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Analysis and Forecast on China Sugar Industry (2015/2016)

June 2016 | 80 pages | ID: A5B9267BB1DEN
Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Co., Ltd

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Starting from the current overall status of the domestic policy, crop growing, processing, consumption and trade and combining the international sugar supply and demand status, there is systematic analysis and combing, and there is summery and prediction on the trend of domestic sugar market. This Report is a reference for decision makers that pay attention to China’s sugar industry.

Research Background

Sugar price has been falling due to the oversupply both at domestic and international market. The domestic sugar manufacturing industry has been generating deficit for three consecutive years, the profit of cane growers has shrunk sharply and there has been serious reduction of crop harvest. China produced 10.556 million tons sugar in 2014/15. 2/762 million tons less than in 2013/14, 2015/16 shall sustain this falling trend and the production shall be about 9.3 million tons. Large sugar import affected China’s market, the Government therefore included sugar into import automatic management to control the import in 2014/15, but the total import was still 788,000 tons more than that in the previous campaign to hit 4.812 million tons. In order to protect cane growers’ interest, the Government raised the price for sugar crops again and again, there was exercise of the sugar reserve policy and temporary interest-subsidized collection for the reserve. As a result there was a considerable growth of sugar stock and the domestic market faces a huge pressure.

There is no doubt on domestic reduction of sugar production in the new campaign, the market is foreseen to recover somewhat, but there shall be challenges from the huge domestic stock and the huge price gap between the domestic and foreign market. The domestic sugar market trend is not optimistic in 2015/16, so in 2015/2016:

(1) How shall be China’s policy on the sugar industry?
(2) Will sugar import continue to grow in the new campaign?
(3) How shall be international sugar supply and demand? What shall be the price trend?
(4) Will the Government release its sugar reserve at a certain time?
(5) How is sugar consumption in China?
(6) How shall starch sugar replace sugar?

Centering on these issues, starting from the current overall status of the domestic policy, crop growing, processing, consumption and trade and combining the international sugar supply and demand status, there is systematic analysis and combing, and there is summery and prediction on the trend of domestic sugar market. This Report is a reference for decision makers that pay attention to China’s sugar industry.
CHAPTER I THE GENERAL SITUATION OF GLOBAL MARKET FOR SUGAR

1.1 Overview of Global Sugar Manufacturing Industry
1.2 Analysis of Supply and Demand of Global Sugar
  1.2.1 Analysis and Forecast of Global Sugar Production
  1.2.2 Analysis and Forecast of Global Sugar Consumption
1.3 Sugar Supply and Demand of Key Producing Countries and Forecast
  1.3.1 Brazil
  1.3.2 India
  1.3.3 USA
  1.3.4 European Union
  1.3.5 Thailand
  1.3.6 Russian
1.4 Global Price Trend and Forecast

CHAPTER II ANALYSIS OF POLICY ENVIRONMENT OF CHINA’S SUGAR INDUSTRY

2.1 Development Plan of China’s Sugar Industry
  2.1.1 Production and Development Plan on Sugar Cane Growing Regions (2015-2020)
  2.1.2 Special Plan for the 5 Million Mu “Four-goal” Sugar Cane Growing Land Rectification Project in Guangxi
2.2 Analysis of Sugar Purchasing and Storage Policy of China’s Sugar Industry
  2.2.1 National Temporary Reserve
  2.2.2 Regional Temporary Reserve
2.3 Analysis of China’s Sugar Materials Purchasing and Pricing Policies
2.4 China’s Trading Polices on Sugar Import & Export
  2.4.1 Sugar Import Quota Policy to Continue
  2.4.2 Sugar Included into Automatic Import Approval Management
2.5 Forecast on Policy Change
  2.5.1 Targeted Sugar Price Management
  2.5.2 Sugar Import Management
  2.5.3 Threshold of Sugar Manufacturing Industry

CHAPTER III GENERAL SITUATION OF CHINA’S SUGAR MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY

3.1 Industrial Scale
3.2 Revenue from Core Business Sector
3.3 Cost and Profit of Core Business Sector
3.4 Number of Companies Running in Losses and Total Deficit
3.5 Gross Margin of the Industry

CHAPTER IV ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF CHINA’S SUGAR CROPS PRODUCTION

4.1 Sugarcane Production in China
  4.1.1 Sugarcane Planting Area and Yield in China
  4.1.2 Distribution of China’s Sugarcane Planting Regions
    4.1.2.1 Sugarcane Planting Area by Province
    4.1.2.2 Sugarcane Output by Province
    4.1.2.3 Sugarcane Per Unit Yield by Province
  4.1.3 Sugarcane Planting Varieties in China
  4.1.4 Mechanized Planting and Harvesting of Canes in China
  4.1.5 Sugarcane Purchasing Price in Main Producing Province
  4.1.6 Planting Cost and Benefit from Canes
  4.1.7 Cane Farming Trend in China
4.2 Sugar Beet Production in China
  4.2.1 Sugar Beet Planting Area and Yield in China
  4.2.2 Distribution of China’s Sugar Beet Planting Regions
    4.2.2.1 Sugar Beet Planting Area by Province
    4.2.2.2 Sugar Beet Output by Province
    4.2.2.3 Sugar Beet Per Unit Yield by Province
  4.2.3 Sugar Beet Planting Varieties in China
  4.2.4 Mechanized Planting and Harvesting of Sugar Beet in China
  4.2.5 Sugar Beet Purchasing Price in Main Producing Province
  4.2.6 Planting Cost and Benefit from Sugar Beet
  4.2.7 Sugar Beet Farming Trend in China

CHAPTER V ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF CHINA’S SUGAR PRODUCTION

5.1 China’s Sugar Output
  5.1.1 China’s Sugar Total Output and Trend
  5.1.2 China’s Sugar Output by Province
5.2 Distribution and Production Capacity of China’s
  5.2.1 Quantity of China’s Grinding Sugar Mills
  5.2.2 Daily Grinding Capability of China’s Grinding Sugar Mills
5.3 Other Production Technological and Economic Indicators of China’s Grinding Sugar Mills
  5.3.1 China’s Sugar Product Cost
  5.3.2 China’s Mixed Sugar Production Ratio by Province
5.4 Raw Sugar Processing Capacity and Layout in China

CHAPTER VI ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF CHINA’S SUGAR CONSUMPTION

6.1 Analysis on China’s Total Sugar Consumption and Prospect
  6.1.1 China’s Total Sugar Consumption and Forecast
  6.1.2 China’s Sugar Consumption Per Capita
6.2 Analysis on China Food Industry Sugar Consumption
6.3 Analysis on the Impact of the Development of Sugary Food Industry on the Development of Sugar Industry
6.4 Sugar Consumption of Chinese Residents
  6.4.1 Sugar Consumption of Chinese Residents by Provinces
  6.4.2 Forecast of Sugar Consumption of Chinese Residents

CHAPTER VII ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF CHINA’S SUGAR TRADE

7.1 China’s Sugar Imports
  7.1.1 China’s Sugar Imports and Trend
  7.1.2 China’s Granulated Sugar Imports by Country
  7.1.3 China’s Raw Sugar Imports by Country
7.2 China’s Sugar Imports by Enterprise
  7.2.1 China’s Granulated Sugar Imports by Enterprise
  7.2.2 China’s Raw Sugar Imports by Enterprise
7.3 China’s Sugar Imports by Port
7.4 China’s Sugar Imports by Province
7.5 China’s Sugar Exports
  7.4.1 China’s Sugar Exports and Trend
  7.4.2 China’s Raw Sugar Exports by Country
  7.4.3 China’s Granulated Sugar Exports by Country
7.6 Analysis and Prediction of China’s Net Import of Sugar

CHAPTER VIII ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF THE PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION OF CHINA’S SUGAR SUBSTITUTES

8.1 Analysis on China’s Starch Sugar Output and Trend
  8.1.1 China’s Starch Sugar Output
  8.1.2 China’s Starch Sugar Consumption and Prospect
8.2 Analysis on China’s Saccharin Production and Consumption
8.3 Other Sugar Substitutes
8.4 Impact of Sugar Substitutes on the Sugar Industry

CHAPTER IX ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF SUGAR SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE

CHAPTER X ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF SUGAR PRICE

10.1 China’s Domestic Sugar Price
  10.2.1 Price Index of Sugar Wholesale Markets in China
  10.2.2 The Wholesale Price of White Granulated Sugar of China’s Major Producing Areas
  10.2.3 The Wholesale Price of White Granulated Sugar of China’s Major Selling Areas
  10.2.4 China’s Imported Sugar CIF
  10.2.5 China’s Imported Raw Sugar CIF
10.2 International Sugar Price
  10.3.1 Futures Prices of New York No. 11 Raw Sugar in Recent Months
  10.3.2 Comparison of Domestic Sugar Price and Imported Sugar Price
10.3 Factors Affecting Sugar Price Trend in China

CHAPTER XI CHINA’S MAJOR SUGAR ENTERPRISE (GROUPS)

11.1 Guangxi Yangpu Nanhua Sugar Industry Group Co., Ltd.
  11.1.1 Business Movement
  11.1.2 Industrial Distribution
11.2 Guangxi Nanning Dongya Sugar Industry Group
  11.2.1 Business Movement
  11.2.2 Industrial Distribution
11.3 Guangxi Dongtang Investment Co., Ltd.
  11.3.1 Business Movement
  11.3.2 Industrial Distribution
11.4 Guangxi State Farms Sugar Industrial Group Company Limited
  11.4.1 Business Movement
  11.4.2 Industrial Distribution
11.5 Guangxi Fengtang Biochemical Co., Ltd.
  11.5.1 Business Movement
  11.5.2 Industrial Distribution
11.6 Nanning Sugar Industry Co., Ltd.
  11.6.1 Business Movement
  11.6.2 Industrial Distribution
11.7 Guangxi Guitang (Group) Co., Ltd.
  11.7.1 Business Movement
  11.7.2 Industrial Distribution
11.8 Guangdong Hengfu Sugar Industry Group Co., Ltd.
  11.8.1 Business Movement
  11.8.2 Industrial Distribution
11.9 Guangxi Yongxinhua Sugar Group
  11.9.1 Business Movement
  11.9.2 Industrial Distribution
11.10 COFCO Tunhe Co., Ltd.
  11.10.1 Business Movement
  11.10.2 Industrial Distribution

LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES

Table China’s Sugarcane Planting Area in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Sugarcane Output in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Sugar Beet Planting Area in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Sugar Beet Output in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Sugarcane Planting Area by Province in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Sugarcane Per Unit Yield by Province in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Sugarcane Output by Province in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table Major Sugarcane Planting Varieties of China
Table China’s Sugar Beet Planting Area by Province in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Sugar Beet Per Unit Yield by Province in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season Table China’s Sugar Beet Output by Province in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table Major Sugar Beet Planting Varieties of China
Table Sugarcane Purchasing Price in Main Sugarcane Producing Provinces in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table Sugar Beet Purchasing Price in Main Sugar Beet Producing Provinces in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Sugar Output in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Cane Sugar Output by Province in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Beet Sugar Output by Province in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table Quantity of China’s Sugar Mills by Province
Table Sugar Materials Daily Grinding Capacity of All Provinces
Table Sugar Production Cost
Table Cane Sugar Output Ratio of Main Sugarcane Producing Provinces in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table Beet Sugar Output Ratio of Main Sugar Beet Producing Provinces in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Table China’s Sugar Consumption in 1997/98-2010/11 Grinding Season
Table China’s Sugar Consumption Per Capita in 97/98-09/10 Grinding Season
Table Output of Carbonated Beverages in 2006-2015
Table Output of Fruit Juice and Juice Beverages in 2006-2015
Table Output of Dairy Products in 2006-2015
Table Output of Canned Food in 2006-2015
Table Output of Candies in 2006-2015
Table Output of Frozen Food Staple in 2006-2015
Table Output of Frozen Beverages in 2006-2015
Table Sugar Consumption of China’s Food Industry in 2006-2015
Table Sugar Consumption of Chinese Residents by Provinces in 2006-2015
Table China’s Sugar Imports in 2006-2015
Table China’s White Granulated Sugar Imports by Country in 2006-2015
Table China’s Raw Sugar Imports by Country in 2006-2015
Table China’s Granulated Sugar Imports by Enterprise in 2006-2015
Table China’s Raw Sugar Imports by Enterprise in 2006-2015
Table China’s Sugar Imports by Port
Table China’s Granulated Sugar Imports by Port
Table China’s Sugar Exports and Trend in 2006-2015
Table China’s Raw Sugar Exports by Country in 2006-2015
Table China’s Granulated Sugar Exports by Country in 2006-2015
Table China’ Starch Sugar Production and Consumption in 2006-2015
Table China’s Top 20 Starch Sugar Enterprises by Production Capacity
Table China’s Saccharin Output and Consumption in 2006-2015
Table China’s Other Main Substitute Production in 2006-2015
Table Wholesale Price of White Granulated Sugar in Nanning i2006-2015
Table The Wholesale Price of White Granulated Sugar of China’s Major Selling Areas in 2006-2015
Table China’s Imported White sugar CIF by Month in 2006-2015
Table China’s Imported Raw Sugar CIF by Month in 2006-2015
Table Futures Prices of New York No. 11 Raw Sugar in Recent Months in 2006-2015
Table National Sugar Supply-Demand Balance
Figure China’s Sugarcane Planting Area in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Figure China’s Sugarcane Output in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Figure China’s Sugar Beet Planting Area in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Figure China’s Sugar Beet Output in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Figure China’s Sugar Output in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Figure China’s Sugar Consumption in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Figure China’s Sugar Consumption Per Capita in 2005/06-2015/16 Grinding Season
Figure Proportion of China’s Industrial Sugar Consumption
Figure China’s Sugar Imports in 2006-2015
Figure China’s White Granulated Sugar Imports in 2006-2015
Figure China’s White Granulated Sugar Import Proportions by Country
Figure China’s Sugar Exports and Trend in 2006-2015
Figure China’s Granulated Sugar Exports in 2006-2015
Figure China’ Starch Sugar Production and Consumption in 2006-2015
Figure China’s Saccharin Output and Domestic Selling Forecast in 2006-2015
Figure Wholesale Price of White Granulated Sugar in Nanning in 2006-2015
Figure The Wholesale Price of White Granulated Sugar of China’s Major Selling Areas in 2006-2015
Figure China’s Imported White sugar CIF by Month in 2006-2015
Figure China’s Imported Raw Sugar CIF by Month in 2006-2015
Figure Futures Prices of New York No. 11 Raw Sugar in Recent Months in 2006-2015
Figure Comparison of Domestic Sugar Price and Imported Sugar Price


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