Global Dry Bulk Shipping Industry Report: 2013 Edition
One of the most important features of growth in world economies in recent years is the dry bulk shipping market, which constitutes the backbone of international trade. Dry bulk shipping vessels carry iron ore, coal, grains, or other dry materials around the world. The global shipping industry went through tough times during the financial crisis of 2008-2009, but recovered well in 2010 and posted solid growth in 2011. It is expected to continue to grow as the world economy improves and new opportunities are created.
Iron ore, coal and grain are the three main constituents of the dry bulk shipping industry followed by some minor bulk commodities. Iron ore constitutes for the major share in the industry followed by coal. Iron ore, coal and minor bulks have shown a tremendous growth in past years and expected to continue this growth in the coming years. On the other side, grain is expected to witness decline in trade in 2012. The total dry bulk fleet, which comprises four types of vessels: Capesize, Panamax, Handymax, and Handysize; is showing a steady growth on the back of increased new orders and reduced scrapping of dry bulk vessels.
The key trends observed within the industry include shrinking of orderbook as a percentage of fleet and scrapping affecting the industry. There are certain challenges which the industry is facing as of now which mainly includes the act of piracy on ocean going vessels. The major factors which will contribute in the growth of the industry include rise in global steel production, growing worldwide economy and rising global demand for grain and steam coal among others.
The present report offers a comprehensive analysis of the global dry bulk shipping industry with focus on the regional markets including China, Europe and Japan. The competition in the global dry bulk shipping industry is intense with few large players viz. Diana Shipping, Dry Ships, Navios Maritime Holdings and Genco Shipping and Trading. The competitive landscape along with the company profiles of the leading players in the market is discussed in detail.
By combining SPSS Inc.’s data integration and analysis capabilities with our relevant findings, we have predicted the future growth of the industry. We employed various significant variables that have an impact on this industry and created regression models with SPSS Base to determine the future direction of the industry. Before deploying the regression model, the relationship between several independent or predictor variables and the dependent variable was analyzed using standard SPSS output, including charts, tables and tests.
Iron ore, coal and grain are the three main constituents of the dry bulk shipping industry followed by some minor bulk commodities. Iron ore constitutes for the major share in the industry followed by coal. Iron ore, coal and minor bulks have shown a tremendous growth in past years and expected to continue this growth in the coming years. On the other side, grain is expected to witness decline in trade in 2012. The total dry bulk fleet, which comprises four types of vessels: Capesize, Panamax, Handymax, and Handysize; is showing a steady growth on the back of increased new orders and reduced scrapping of dry bulk vessels.
The key trends observed within the industry include shrinking of orderbook as a percentage of fleet and scrapping affecting the industry. There are certain challenges which the industry is facing as of now which mainly includes the act of piracy on ocean going vessels. The major factors which will contribute in the growth of the industry include rise in global steel production, growing worldwide economy and rising global demand for grain and steam coal among others.
The present report offers a comprehensive analysis of the global dry bulk shipping industry with focus on the regional markets including China, Europe and Japan. The competition in the global dry bulk shipping industry is intense with few large players viz. Diana Shipping, Dry Ships, Navios Maritime Holdings and Genco Shipping and Trading. The competitive landscape along with the company profiles of the leading players in the market is discussed in detail.
By combining SPSS Inc.’s data integration and analysis capabilities with our relevant findings, we have predicted the future growth of the industry. We employed various significant variables that have an impact on this industry and created regression models with SPSS Base to determine the future direction of the industry. Before deploying the regression model, the relationship between several independent or predictor variables and the dependent variable was analyzed using standard SPSS output, including charts, tables and tests.
1. OVERVIEW
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Dry Bulk Vessel Types
2. DRY BULK MARKET OVERVIEW
2.1 Global Dry Bulk Shipping Market
2.2 Dry Bulk Commodities Market
2.2.1 Iron Ore
2.2.2 Coal
2.2.3 Grain
2.2.4 Minor Bulks
2.3 Dry Bulk Exporting & Importing Regions
Major Importers
Major Exporters
2.3.1 China
2.3.2 Japan
2.3.3 Europe
2.4 Dry Bulk Fleet
Fleet Breakdown
Fleet Utilization
2.4.1 Age Profile
2.4.2 Fleet Growth
2.4.3 Segment Overview
Capesize Dry Bulk Carriers
Panamax Dry Bulk Carriers
Handymax Dry Bulk Carriers
Handysize Dry Bulk Carriers
3. MARKET DYNAMICS
3.1 Growth Drivers
3.1.1 Rise in Global Steel Production
3.1.2 Improving Economic Condition
3.1.3 Rising Global Demand for Grain and Steam Coal
3.2 Key Trends
3.2.1 Orderbook as a Percentage of Fleet is Shrinking
3.2.2 Scrapping Affecting the Industry
3.3 Challenges
3.3.1 Acts of Piracy
4. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
5. COMPANY PROFILE
5.1 Diana Shipping, Inc.
5.1.1 Business Overview
5.1.2 Financial Highlights
5.1.3 Business Strategies
Expansion through Fleet
Maintaining a Strong Balance Sheet
5.2 Dry Ships, Inc.
5.2.1 Business Overview
5.2.2 Financial Highlights
5.2.3 Business Strategies
Growth through Construction Agreements
5.3 Navios Maritime Holdings, Inc.
5.3.1 Business Overview
5.3.2 Financial Highlights
5.3.3 Business Strategies
Vessel Ownership & Long-term Chartered-in fleet
Enhance Vessel Utilization
5.4 Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd.
5.4.1 Business Overview
5.4.2 Financial Highlights
5.4.3 Business Strategies
Expansion of Fleet
Maintaining Financial Strength
6. MARKET OUTLOOK
6.1 Market Forecast
6.2 Forecast Methodology
6.2.1 Dependent and Independent Variables
6.2.2 Correlation Analysis
6.2.3 Regression Analysis
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Dry Bulk Vessel Types
2. DRY BULK MARKET OVERVIEW
2.1 Global Dry Bulk Shipping Market
2.2 Dry Bulk Commodities Market
2.2.1 Iron Ore
2.2.2 Coal
2.2.3 Grain
2.2.4 Minor Bulks
2.3 Dry Bulk Exporting & Importing Regions
Major Importers
Major Exporters
2.3.1 China
2.3.2 Japan
2.3.3 Europe
2.4 Dry Bulk Fleet
Fleet Breakdown
Fleet Utilization
2.4.1 Age Profile
2.4.2 Fleet Growth
2.4.3 Segment Overview
Capesize Dry Bulk Carriers
Panamax Dry Bulk Carriers
Handymax Dry Bulk Carriers
Handysize Dry Bulk Carriers
3. MARKET DYNAMICS
3.1 Growth Drivers
3.1.1 Rise in Global Steel Production
3.1.2 Improving Economic Condition
3.1.3 Rising Global Demand for Grain and Steam Coal
3.2 Key Trends
3.2.1 Orderbook as a Percentage of Fleet is Shrinking
3.2.2 Scrapping Affecting the Industry
3.3 Challenges
3.3.1 Acts of Piracy
4. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
5. COMPANY PROFILE
5.1 Diana Shipping, Inc.
5.1.1 Business Overview
5.1.2 Financial Highlights
5.1.3 Business Strategies
Expansion through Fleet
Maintaining a Strong Balance Sheet
5.2 Dry Ships, Inc.
5.2.1 Business Overview
5.2.2 Financial Highlights
5.2.3 Business Strategies
Growth through Construction Agreements
5.3 Navios Maritime Holdings, Inc.
5.3.1 Business Overview
5.3.2 Financial Highlights
5.3.3 Business Strategies
Vessel Ownership & Long-term Chartered-in fleet
Enhance Vessel Utilization
5.4 Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd.
5.4.1 Business Overview
5.4.2 Financial Highlights
5.4.3 Business Strategies
Expansion of Fleet
Maintaining Financial Strength
6. MARKET OUTLOOK
6.1 Market Forecast
6.2 Forecast Methodology
6.2.1 Dependent and Independent Variables
6.2.2 Correlation Analysis
6.2.3 Regression Analysis
LIST OF CHARTS
Major Dry Bulk Commodities
Main Segments of the Bulk Fleet
Global Seaborne Dry Bulk Trade Growth (2007-2012E)
Global Seaborne Dry Bulk Trade Breakdown by Commodity (2012E)
Growth in Global Seaborne Iron Ore Trade (2002-2012E)
Growth in Global Seaborne Coal Trade (2002-2012E)
Growth in Global Grain Trade (2002-2012E)
Growth in Global Minor Bulks’ Trade (2002-2012E)
Global Dry Bulk Fleet Breakdown by DWT (2012)
Global Fleet Breakdown by Vessel Class by Capacity (2012)
Dry Bulk Fleet Utilization (2008-2014E)
Dry Bulk Fleet Age Profile (2011)
Global Fleet Growth (2008-2012E)
Global Fleet Size of Capesize Vessels (2008-2012E)
Number of Capesize Vessel Delivered (Jan 2012-Sep 2012)
Global Fleet Size of Panamax Vessels (2008-2012E)
Number of Panamax Vessel Delivered (Jan 2012-Sep 2012)
Global Fleet Size of Handymax Vessels (2008-2012E)
Number of Handymax Vessel Delivered (Jan 2012-Sep 2012)
Global Fleet Size of Handysize Vessels (2008-2012E)
Number of Handysize Vessel Delivered (Jan 2012-Sep 2012)
Growth in World Steel Production (2007-2013E)
Growth in World GDP (2001-2011)
Orderbook to Fleet Ratio (2005-Nov 2012)
Total Scrapping by Segment (January 2012-September 2012)
Total Dry Bulk Scrapping on Monthly Basis (Jan 2012-Sep 2012)
Diana’s Shipping Revenues by Business Segments (2011)
Diana Shipping’s Revenues and Net Income (2007-2011)
Dry Ships, Inc.’s Revenues by Business Segments (2011)
Dry Ships, Inc.’s Revenues and Net Income (2007-2011)
Navios Holdings’ Revenues by Business Segments (2011)
Navios Holding’s Revenues and Net Income (2007-2011)
Genco’s Revenues and Net Income (2007-2011)
Global Seaborne Dry Bulk Trade Forecast (2010 – 2014F)
Major Dry Bulk Commodities
Main Segments of the Bulk Fleet
Global Seaborne Dry Bulk Trade Growth (2007-2012E)
Global Seaborne Dry Bulk Trade Breakdown by Commodity (2012E)
Growth in Global Seaborne Iron Ore Trade (2002-2012E)
Growth in Global Seaborne Coal Trade (2002-2012E)
Growth in Global Grain Trade (2002-2012E)
Growth in Global Minor Bulks’ Trade (2002-2012E)
Global Dry Bulk Fleet Breakdown by DWT (2012)
Global Fleet Breakdown by Vessel Class by Capacity (2012)
Dry Bulk Fleet Utilization (2008-2014E)
Dry Bulk Fleet Age Profile (2011)
Global Fleet Growth (2008-2012E)
Global Fleet Size of Capesize Vessels (2008-2012E)
Number of Capesize Vessel Delivered (Jan 2012-Sep 2012)
Global Fleet Size of Panamax Vessels (2008-2012E)
Number of Panamax Vessel Delivered (Jan 2012-Sep 2012)
Global Fleet Size of Handymax Vessels (2008-2012E)
Number of Handymax Vessel Delivered (Jan 2012-Sep 2012)
Global Fleet Size of Handysize Vessels (2008-2012E)
Number of Handysize Vessel Delivered (Jan 2012-Sep 2012)
Growth in World Steel Production (2007-2013E)
Growth in World GDP (2001-2011)
Orderbook to Fleet Ratio (2005-Nov 2012)
Total Scrapping by Segment (January 2012-September 2012)
Total Dry Bulk Scrapping on Monthly Basis (Jan 2012-Sep 2012)
Diana’s Shipping Revenues by Business Segments (2011)
Diana Shipping’s Revenues and Net Income (2007-2011)
Dry Ships, Inc.’s Revenues by Business Segments (2011)
Dry Ships, Inc.’s Revenues and Net Income (2007-2011)
Navios Holdings’ Revenues by Business Segments (2011)
Navios Holding’s Revenues and Net Income (2007-2011)
Genco’s Revenues and Net Income (2007-2011)
Global Seaborne Dry Bulk Trade Forecast (2010 – 2014F)
LIST OF TABLES
Seaborne Dry Bulk Importing Regions by Major Bulk (2011)
Seaborne Dry Bulk Exporting Regions by Major Bulk (2011)
China’s Major Dry Bulk Imports (Q111 & Q112E)
Japan’s Major Dry Bulk Imports (Q111 & Q112E)
Europe’s Major Dry Bulk Imports (Q111 & Q112E)
Leading Dry Bulk Ship Owners (2011)
Dependent & Independent Variables (2007– 2011)
Correlation Matrix
Model Summary – Coefficient of Determination
Regression Coefficients Output
Seaborne Dry Bulk Importing Regions by Major Bulk (2011)
Seaborne Dry Bulk Exporting Regions by Major Bulk (2011)
China’s Major Dry Bulk Imports (Q111 & Q112E)
Japan’s Major Dry Bulk Imports (Q111 & Q112E)
Europe’s Major Dry Bulk Imports (Q111 & Q112E)
Leading Dry Bulk Ship Owners (2011)
Dependent & Independent Variables (2007– 2011)
Correlation Matrix
Model Summary – Coefficient of Determination
Regression Coefficients Output
