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Tobacco Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report By Product (Smokeless Tobacco, Cigarettes, Cigars & Cigarillos, NGPs, Kretek), By Distribution Channel (Supermarket/Hypermarket, Online), By Region, And Segment Forecasts, 2023 - 2030

July 2023 | 80 pages | ID: T8EFEF7F07AEEN
Grand View Research, Inc.

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Tobacco Market Growth & Trends

The global tobacco market size is expected to reach USD 1049.9 billion by 2030, registering a CAGR of 2.1% over the forecast period, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc. The growing demand from developing nations, coupled with the rising proliferation of Next-generation Products (NGPs) across the globe is driving the market growth. Furthermore, the high expenditure on the marketing and discounting of products undertaken by major tobacco companies is further driving the industry growth. Consumption of tobacco through cigarettes has been the predominant factor driving market growth. According to the WHO’s 2022 report, there are more than a billion smokers globally and more than 80% of the smokers live in middle-income countries.

Government cessation policies have also not been able to cut down smoking rates. The tobacco demand is inelastic and therefore, a major factor driving the market growth. Furthermore, the introduction of NGPs by major companies is another factor expected to fuel the market growth during the forecast period. The industry, segmented on the basis of products, was dominated by cigarettes. However, NGP is projected to be the fastest-growing segment during the forecast period. Products, such as oral nicotine products, e-cigarettes and vape, are witnessing an increased proliferation, especially among youths and millennials. Furthermore, major tobacco companies are stepping up their strategies to incorporate the growing trend of NGPs.

For instance, in November 2022, Philip Morris International introduced a tobacco heating system known as BONDS by IQOS, which utilizes heat instead of combustion to release the flavors of tobacco. This innovative technology significantly reduces the emission of harmful chemicals, boasting a remarkable 95% reduction when compared to traditional cigarettes. The product is now available in the Philippines and is specifically designed to cater to adult smokers, offering them a range of tobacco tastes to choose from. The supermarket/hypermarket segment accounted for the largest share in 2022 and is expected to maintain its dominance over the forecast period to a high number of stores across the world, as well as the convenience they offer.

Tobacco Market Report Highlights
  • The NGP segment is projected to register the fastest CAGR of 4.5% from 2023 to 2030 due to all the major companies diversifying their product portfolios to include more smoke-free and heated tobacco offerings
  • The supermarket/hypermarket segment held the largest revenue share of 50.4% in 2022. Consumers prefer these stores as they offer considerable discounts and offers and are present in close proximities to the users
  • Asia Pacific dominated the global market in 2022 on account of the presence of a large target population
  • Furthermore, the incremental growth of the working class and the stress associated with their jobs are driving the tobacco consumption
  • The global market is characterized by the presence of major global players and a few small-scale regional players
CHAPTER 1. METHODOLOGY AND SCOPE

1.1. Market Segmentation & Scope
1.2. Market Definition
1.3. Information Procurement
  1.3.1. Purchased Database
  1.3.2. GVR’s Internal Database
  1.3.3. Secondary Products & Third-Party Perspectives
  1.3.4. Primary Research
1.4. Information Analysis
  1.4.1. Data Analysis Models
1.5. Market Formulation & Data Visualization
1.6. Data Validation & Publishing

CHAPTER 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2.1. Market Outlook
2.2. Product Outlook
2.3. Distribution Channel Outlook

CHAPTER 3. TOBACCO MARKET VARIABLES, TRENDS & SCOPE

3.1. Market Lineage Outlook
3.2. Industry Value Chain Analysis
  3.2.1. Raw Material Outlook
  3.2.2. Manufacturing and Technology Outlook
  3.2.3. Profit Margin Analysis
3.3. Market Dynamics
  3.3.1. Market Driver Analysis
  3.3.2. Market Restraint Analysis
  3.3.3. Market Opportunities
  3.3.4. Market Challenges
3.4. Industry Analysis - Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
3.5. Market Entry Strategies

CHAPTER 4. BUYER BEHAVIOR ANALYSIS

4.1. Buyer Trends and Preferences
4.2. Factors Affecting Buying Decision
4.3. Buyer Product Adoption
4.4. Observations & Recommendations

CHAPTER 5. TOBACCO MARKET: PRODUCT ESTIMATES & TREND ANALYSIS

5.1. Product Movement Analysis & Market Share, 2022 & 2030
5.2. Smokeless
  5.2.1. Market estimates and forecast for smokeless, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
5.3. Cigarettes
  5.3.1. Market estimates and forecast for cigarettes, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
5.4. Cigars & Cigarillos
  5.4.1. Market estimates and forecast for tobacco with cigars & cigarillos 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
5.5. Next Generation Products
  5.5.1. Market estimates and forecast for next generation products, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
5.6. Kretek
  5.6.1. Market estimates and forecast for kretek, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
5.7. Others
  5.7.1. Others estimates and forecast for kretek, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)

CHAPTER 6. TOBACCO MARKET: DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL ESTIMATES & TREND ANALYSIS

6.1. Distribution Channel Movement Analysis & Market Share, 2022 & 2030
  6.1.1. Supermarket/Hypermarket
    6.1.1.1. Market estimates and forecast through supermarket/hypermarket, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  6.1.2. Convenience Stores
    6.1.2.1. Market estimates and forecast through convenience Stores, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  6.1.3. Tobacco Shops
    6.1.3.1. Market estimates and forecast through tobacco shops, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  6.1.4. Online
    6.1.4.1. Market estimates and forecast through online, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  6.1.5. Others
    6.1.5.1. Market estimates and forecast through others, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)

CHAPTER 7. TOBACCO MARKET: REGIONAL ESTIMATES & TREND ANALYSIS

7.1. Regional Movement Analysis & Market Share, 2022 & 2030
7.2. North America
  7.2.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.2.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.2.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.2.4. U.S.
    7.2.4.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.2.4.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.2.4.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.2.5. Mexico
    7.2.5.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.2.5.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.2.5.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.2.6. Canada
    7.2.6.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.2.6.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.2.6.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
7.3. Europe
  7.3.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.3.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.3.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.3.4. UK
    7.3.4.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.4.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.4.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.3.5. Germany
    7.3.5.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.5.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.5.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.3.6. France
    7.3.6.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.6.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.6.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.3.7. Italy
    7.3.7.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.7.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.7.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.3.8. Bulgaria
    7.3.8.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.8.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.8.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.3.9. Scandinavia
    7.3.9.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.9.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.9.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.3.10. Spain
    7.3.10.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.10.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.3.10.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
7.4. Asia Pacific
  7.4.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.4.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.4.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.4.4. China
    7.4.4.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.4.4.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.4.4.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.4.5. Indonesia
    7.4.5.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.4.5.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.4.5.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.4.6. Japan
    7.4.6.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.4.6.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.4.6.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.4.7. India
    7.4.7.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.4.7.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.4.7.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.4.8. Malaysia
    7.4.8.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.4.8.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.4.8.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
7.5. Central & South America
  7.5.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.5.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.5.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.5.4. Brazil
    7.5.4.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.5.4.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.5.4.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.5.5. Argentina
    7.5.5.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.5.5.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.5.5.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
7.6. Middle East & Africa
  7.6.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.6.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.6.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.6.4. UAE
    7.6.4.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.6.4.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.6.4.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.6.5. South Africa
    7.6.5.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.6.5.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.6.5.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.6.6. Egypt
    7.6.6.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.6.6.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.6.6.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
  7.6.7. Lebanon
    7.6.7.1. Market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.6.7.2. Market estimates and forecast, by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)
    7.6.7.3. Market estimates and forecast, by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Billion)

CHAPTER 8. COMPANY PROFILES

8.1. Recent developments & impact analysis, by key market participants
8.2. Company Categorization
8.3. Participant’s Overview
8.4. Financial Performance
8.5. Product Benchmarking
8.6. Company Market Share Analysis, 2022 (%)
8.7. Company Heat Map Analysis
8.8. Strategy Mapping
8.9. List of key companies analyzed in this section include:
  8.9.1. Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S
  8.9.2. Swedish Match AB
  8.9.3. Altria Group, Inc.
  8.9.4. KT&G Corp.
  8.9.5. Imperial Brands
  8.9.6. Philip Morris Products S.A.
  8.9.7. British American Tobacco
  8.9.8. Japan Tobacco Inc.
  8.9.9. China Tobacco.
  8.9.10. ITC Limited
LIST OF TABLES


Table 1 Tobacco - Key market driver analysis
Table 2 Tobacco - Key market restraint analysis
Table 3 Global smokeless tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 4 Global cigarettes water market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 5 Global cigars & cigarillos water market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 6 Global next generation market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 7 Global kretek market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 8 Global others market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 9 Global tobacco market estimates and forecast for supermarket/hypermarket distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 10 Global tobacco market estimates and forecast for convenience stores distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 11 Global tobacco market estimates and forecast for tobacco shops distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 12 Global tobacco market estimates and forecast online distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 13 Global tobacco market estimates and forecast others distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 14 North America tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 15 North America tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 16 North America tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 17 U.S. tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 18 U.S. tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 19 U.S. tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 20 Canada tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 21 Canada tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 22 Canada tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 23 Mexico tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 24 Mexico tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 25 Mexico tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 26 Europe tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 27 Europe tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 28 Europe tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 29 Germany tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 30 Germany tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 31 Germany tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 32 UK tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 33 UK tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 34 UK tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 35 France tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 36 France tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 37 France tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 38 Italy tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 39 Italy tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 40 Italy tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 41 Spain tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 42 Spain tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 43 Spain tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 44 Bulgaria tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 45 Bulgaria tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 46 Bulgaria tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 47 Scandinavian tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 48 Scandinavian tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 49 Scandinavian tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 50 Asia Pacific tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 51 Asia Pacific tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 52 Asia Pacific tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 53 China tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 54 China Tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 55 China tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 56 India tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 57 India tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 58 India tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 59 Japan tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 60 Japan tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 61 Japan tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 62 Indonesia tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 63 Indonesia tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 64 Indonesia tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 65 Malaysia tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 66 Malaysia tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 67 Malaysia tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 68 Central & South America tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 69 Central & South America tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 70 Central & South America tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 71 Brazil tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 72 Brazil tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 73 Brazil tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 74 Argentina tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 75 Argentina tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 76 Argentina tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 77 Middle East & Africa tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017- 2030 (USD Million)
Table 78 Middle East & Africa tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 79 Middle East & Africa tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 80 South Africa tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030(USD Million)
Table 81 South Africa tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 82 South Africa tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 83 South Africa tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 84 U.A.E. tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 85 U.A.E. tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 86 U.A.E. tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 87 Lebanon tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 88 Lebanon tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 89 Lebanon tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 90 Egypt tobacco market estimates and forecast, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 91 Egypt tobacco market estimates and forecast by product, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 92 Egypt tobacco market estimates and forecast by distribution channel, 2017 - 2030 (USD Million)
Table 93 Vendor landscape
LIST OF FIGURES


Fig. 1 Tobacco market snapshot
Fig. 2 Tobacco market segmentation & scope
Fig. 3 Tobacco market penetration & growth prospect mapping
Fig. 4 Tobacco market value chain analysis
Fig. 5 Tobacco market dynamics
Fig. 6 Tobacco market Porter's analysis
Fig. 7 Tobacco market: Product share (%) analysis, 2022 & 2030
Fig. 8 Tobacco market: Distribution Channel share (%) analysis, 2022 & 2030
Fig. 9 Tobacco market: Regional share (%) analysis, 2022 & 2030
Fig. 10 Key tobacco company market share analysis, 2022


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