China Sugar Market Review & Outlook 2007-2008 Proposal
Research Background
Sugar market witnessed lots of changes in the 2006/2007 campaign affected by some influencial factors, such as droughts and output accumulation in producing regions, macro-adjustment, dramatic consumption, etc, so price change is unavoidable.
Several factors will greatly influence the new 2007/2008 campaign:
1 Output
Acreage of sugar cane in the 2006/2007 campaign expanded from the previous campaign thanks to more profit generated from sugar cane crops. At present, sugar cane has been entirely harvested in the North, while main producing areas in the South is going through dry conditions. How will it influence the output in the South? How will it affect the total output this year?
2. Consumption
Domestic sugar consumption reached 12.5 million tons, surpassing the previous campaign by 1.8 million tons, which is out of expectation among insiders. And the main reason is that starch sugar and other substitutes are less competitive due to drowsy. What will be the same situation happened to the new campaign? Whether consumption will increase on a large margin from previous campaign pushed by the economy in 2008 Olympic year?
3. Import and export
What will the supar price change under the background of oversupply in international sugar market? What kind of measures will be taken to protect domestic sugar industry under the macro-adjustment?
4. Policy trend
Policies influence the supply and demand relation dramatically. Major producing areas in the 2005/2006 campaign suffered from drought, so output declined by 4%. State reserve was sold by 12 times, reaching 1.2 million tons in 2006, as to relieve the situation of demand exceeding supply in domestic market. How will central government move in the coming new campaign?
On the basis of systemic analysis on macro-adjustment, production, sale, import and export, etc, this report will make an evaluation to the market in the 2007/2008 campaign in order to provide reference for insiders in China sugar industry.
Sugar market witnessed lots of changes in the 2006/2007 campaign affected by some influencial factors, such as droughts and output accumulation in producing regions, macro-adjustment, dramatic consumption, etc, so price change is unavoidable.
Several factors will greatly influence the new 2007/2008 campaign:
1 Output
Acreage of sugar cane in the 2006/2007 campaign expanded from the previous campaign thanks to more profit generated from sugar cane crops. At present, sugar cane has been entirely harvested in the North, while main producing areas in the South is going through dry conditions. How will it influence the output in the South? How will it affect the total output this year?
2. Consumption
Domestic sugar consumption reached 12.5 million tons, surpassing the previous campaign by 1.8 million tons, which is out of expectation among insiders. And the main reason is that starch sugar and other substitutes are less competitive due to drowsy. What will be the same situation happened to the new campaign? Whether consumption will increase on a large margin from previous campaign pushed by the economy in 2008 Olympic year?
3. Import and export
What will the supar price change under the background of oversupply in international sugar market? What kind of measures will be taken to protect domestic sugar industry under the macro-adjustment?
4. Policy trend
Policies influence the supply and demand relation dramatically. Major producing areas in the 2005/2006 campaign suffered from drought, so output declined by 4%. State reserve was sold by 12 times, reaching 1.2 million tons in 2006, as to relieve the situation of demand exceeding supply in domestic market. How will central government move in the coming new campaign?
On the basis of systemic analysis on macro-adjustment, production, sale, import and export, etc, this report will make an evaluation to the market in the 2007/2008 campaign in order to provide reference for insiders in China sugar industry.
CHAPTER ONE MACRO-ADJUSTMENT POLICIES IN CHINA
1.1 Policies on Sugar Reserve
1.2 Policies on Sugar Procurement
1.3 Policies on Imports and Exports of Sugar
1.4 Policies on Production Restriction and Saccharin & Other Sweeteners
1.5 Policies on Structure Adjustment and Output Restriction in China Sugar Processing Indsutry
1.6 Outlook of Macro-adjustment in the 2007/2008 Campaign
CHAPTER TWO PRODUCTION OF SUGAR CROPS IN CHINA
2.1 Overview of Production of Sugar Crops
2.1.1 Production and Crushing of Sugarcanes
2.1.1.1 Geographical Layout of Sugarcanes
2.1.1.2 Acreage, Yield and Output of Major Sugarcane Producing Regions
2.1.1.3 Production Cost and Profit of Major Sugarcane Producing Regions
2.1.1.4 Procurement Prices of Major Sugarcane Producing Regions
2.1.1.5 Outlook of Sugarcane Production in the 2007/2008 Campaign
2.1.2 Production and Crushing of Sugar Beets
2.1.2.1 Geographical Layout of Sugar Beets
2.1.2.2 Acreage, Yield and Output of Major Sugar Beet Producing Regions
2.1.2.3 Production Cost and Profit of Major Sugar Beet Producing Provinces
2.1.2.4 Procurement Prices of Major Sugar Beet Producing Regions
2.1.2.5 Outlook of Sugar Beet Production in the 2007/2008 Campaign
2.2 Production of Main Subtitutes
2.2.1 Starch Sugar
2.2.2 Saccharin
2.2.3 Other Sweeteners
2.2.4 Outlook of Main Subtitutes Production in the 2007/2008 Campaign
CHAPTER THREE CONSUMPTION OF SUGAR IN CHINA
3.1 Production of Major Suagr Use Industry
3.1.1 Confectionery
3.1.2 Cakes
3.1.3 Biscuits
3.1.4 Deep Frozen Staple Food
3.1.5 Dairy Products
3.1.6 Canned Food
3.1.7 Carbonated Drinks
3.1.8 Fruit Juices and Drinks
3.1.9 Frozen Beverage
3.1.10 Outlook of Sugar Consumption in China Food Industry in the 2007/2008 Campaign
3.2 Household Sugar Consumption
3.2.1 Sugar Consumption by Urban Residents
3.2.2 Outlook of Household Sugar Consumption in the 2007/2008 Campaign
CHAPTER FOUR IMPORTS & EXPORTS OF SUGAR IN CHINA
4.1 Sugar Imports in Recent Years
4.1.1 Volume and Price of Imported Sugar in Recent Years
4.1.2 Varieties of Imported Sugar in Recent Years
4.1.3 Monthly Imported Sugar in Recent Years
4.1.4 Commercial Mode of Imported Sugar in Recent Years
4.1.5 Imported Sugar by Different Enterprises in Recent Years
4.1.6 Outlook of Imported Sugar in China
4.2 Sugar Exports in Recent Years
4.2.1 Volume and Price of Exported Sugar in Recent Years
4.2.2 Varieties of Exported Sugar in Recent Years
4.2.3 Monthly Exported Sugar in Recent Years
4.2.4 Commercial Mode of Exported Sugar in Recent Years
4.2.5 Exported Sugar by Different Enterprises in Recent Years
4.2.6 Outlook of Exported Sugar in China
CHAPTER FIVE SUPPLY & DEMAND BALANCE SITUATION AND PRICE TREND
5.1 Sugar Supply & Demand Balance Situation in Recent Years
5.2 Outllok of Sugar Supply & Demand Balance Situation in the 2007/2008 Campaign
5.3 Overall Trend of Domestic Sugar Price in the 2006/2007 Campaign
5.3.1 Trend of Granulated Sugar
5.3.2 Trend of Superfine Sugar
5.4 Comparison of International and Domestic Sugar Price
5.5 Estimations on Sugar Price in the 2007/2008 Campaign
5.5.1 Estimations on International Sugar Price in the 2007/2008 Campaign
5.5.2 Estimations on Domestic Sugar Price in the 2007/2008 Campaign
CHAPTER SIX ANALYSIS OF DOMESTIC SUGAR PROCESSING ENTERPRISES
6.1 Nanning Sugar
6.2 Guitang Group
6.3 Huazi Group
6.4 Xiwang Sugar
6.5 Ganhua Sugar
TABLE
Table 1 Output and Acreages of Sugar Crops in Recent Years
Table 2 Output and Acreages of Sugarcanes by Provinces in Recent Years
Table 3 Yield of Sugar Canes by Provinces in Recent Years
Table 4 Production Cost and Profit of Sugar Canes by Provinces in Recent Years
Table 5 Production Cost of Major Sugarcane Producing Regions
Table 6 Sugarcane Procurement Prices of Major Sugarcane Producing Regions
Table 7 Output and Acreages of Sugar Beets by Provinces in Recent Years
Table 8 Yield of Sugar Beets by Provinces in Recent Years
Table 9 Production Cost of Major Sugar Beet Producing Regions
Table 10 Output of Saccharin in Recent Years
Table 11 Exports and Domestic Sales of Saccharin in Recent Years
Table 12 Output of Starch Sugar in Recent Years
Table 13 Production and Sales of Cane Sugar by Month
Table 14 Production and Sales of Beet Sugar by Month
Table 15 State Reserve Sales in the 2006/2007 Campaign
Table 16 Balance Sheet of Sugar Supply and Demand Relation in Recent Years
Table 17 Output of Confectionery in Recent Years
Table 18 Output of Cakes in Recent Years
Table 19 Output of Biscuits in Recent Years
Table 20 Output of Deep Frozen Staple Food in Recent Years
Table 21 Output of Dairy Products in Recent Years
Table 22 Output of Canned Food in Recent Years
Table 23 Output of Carbonated Drinks in Recent Years
Table 24 Output of Fruit Juices and Drinks in Recent Years
Table 25 Output of Frozen Beverage in Recent Years
FIGURE
Figure 1 Layout of Sugar Crop Production
Figure 2 Layout of Sugarcane Production
Figure 3 Production Cost of Sugarcane in Recent Years
Figure 4 Layout of Sugar Beet Production
Figure 5 Production Cost of Sugar Beet in Recent Years
Figure 6 Spot Prices of Granulated Sugar in Major Producing Regions in Recent Years
Figure 7 Spot Prices of Superfine Sugar in Major Producing Regions in Recent Years
Figure 8 Trend of International Sugar Price in Recent Years
Figure 9 Import Volume of Sugar in Recent Years
Figure 10 Export Volume of Sugar in Recent Years
Figure 11 Import Volume of Raw Sugar by Different Enterprises
Figure 12 Import Volume of Granulated Sugar by Different Enterprises
Figure 13 Export Volume of Raw Sugar by Different Enterprises
Figure 14 Export Volume of Granulated Sugar by Different Enterprises
Figure 15 Output and Sales of Specified Enterprises by China Sugar Association
1.1 Policies on Sugar Reserve
1.2 Policies on Sugar Procurement
1.3 Policies on Imports and Exports of Sugar
1.4 Policies on Production Restriction and Saccharin & Other Sweeteners
1.5 Policies on Structure Adjustment and Output Restriction in China Sugar Processing Indsutry
1.6 Outlook of Macro-adjustment in the 2007/2008 Campaign
CHAPTER TWO PRODUCTION OF SUGAR CROPS IN CHINA
2.1 Overview of Production of Sugar Crops
2.1.1 Production and Crushing of Sugarcanes
2.1.1.1 Geographical Layout of Sugarcanes
2.1.1.2 Acreage, Yield and Output of Major Sugarcane Producing Regions
2.1.1.3 Production Cost and Profit of Major Sugarcane Producing Regions
2.1.1.4 Procurement Prices of Major Sugarcane Producing Regions
2.1.1.5 Outlook of Sugarcane Production in the 2007/2008 Campaign
2.1.2 Production and Crushing of Sugar Beets
2.1.2.1 Geographical Layout of Sugar Beets
2.1.2.2 Acreage, Yield and Output of Major Sugar Beet Producing Regions
2.1.2.3 Production Cost and Profit of Major Sugar Beet Producing Provinces
2.1.2.4 Procurement Prices of Major Sugar Beet Producing Regions
2.1.2.5 Outlook of Sugar Beet Production in the 2007/2008 Campaign
2.2 Production of Main Subtitutes
2.2.1 Starch Sugar
2.2.2 Saccharin
2.2.3 Other Sweeteners
2.2.4 Outlook of Main Subtitutes Production in the 2007/2008 Campaign
CHAPTER THREE CONSUMPTION OF SUGAR IN CHINA
3.1 Production of Major Suagr Use Industry
3.1.1 Confectionery
3.1.2 Cakes
3.1.3 Biscuits
3.1.4 Deep Frozen Staple Food
3.1.5 Dairy Products
3.1.6 Canned Food
3.1.7 Carbonated Drinks
3.1.8 Fruit Juices and Drinks
3.1.9 Frozen Beverage
3.1.10 Outlook of Sugar Consumption in China Food Industry in the 2007/2008 Campaign
3.2 Household Sugar Consumption
3.2.1 Sugar Consumption by Urban Residents
3.2.2 Outlook of Household Sugar Consumption in the 2007/2008 Campaign
CHAPTER FOUR IMPORTS & EXPORTS OF SUGAR IN CHINA
4.1 Sugar Imports in Recent Years
4.1.1 Volume and Price of Imported Sugar in Recent Years
4.1.2 Varieties of Imported Sugar in Recent Years
4.1.3 Monthly Imported Sugar in Recent Years
4.1.4 Commercial Mode of Imported Sugar in Recent Years
4.1.5 Imported Sugar by Different Enterprises in Recent Years
4.1.6 Outlook of Imported Sugar in China
4.2 Sugar Exports in Recent Years
4.2.1 Volume and Price of Exported Sugar in Recent Years
4.2.2 Varieties of Exported Sugar in Recent Years
4.2.3 Monthly Exported Sugar in Recent Years
4.2.4 Commercial Mode of Exported Sugar in Recent Years
4.2.5 Exported Sugar by Different Enterprises in Recent Years
4.2.6 Outlook of Exported Sugar in China
CHAPTER FIVE SUPPLY & DEMAND BALANCE SITUATION AND PRICE TREND
5.1 Sugar Supply & Demand Balance Situation in Recent Years
5.2 Outllok of Sugar Supply & Demand Balance Situation in the 2007/2008 Campaign
5.3 Overall Trend of Domestic Sugar Price in the 2006/2007 Campaign
5.3.1 Trend of Granulated Sugar
5.3.2 Trend of Superfine Sugar
5.4 Comparison of International and Domestic Sugar Price
5.5 Estimations on Sugar Price in the 2007/2008 Campaign
5.5.1 Estimations on International Sugar Price in the 2007/2008 Campaign
5.5.2 Estimations on Domestic Sugar Price in the 2007/2008 Campaign
CHAPTER SIX ANALYSIS OF DOMESTIC SUGAR PROCESSING ENTERPRISES
6.1 Nanning Sugar
6.2 Guitang Group
6.3 Huazi Group
6.4 Xiwang Sugar
6.5 Ganhua Sugar
TABLE
Table 1 Output and Acreages of Sugar Crops in Recent Years
Table 2 Output and Acreages of Sugarcanes by Provinces in Recent Years
Table 3 Yield of Sugar Canes by Provinces in Recent Years
Table 4 Production Cost and Profit of Sugar Canes by Provinces in Recent Years
Table 5 Production Cost of Major Sugarcane Producing Regions
Table 6 Sugarcane Procurement Prices of Major Sugarcane Producing Regions
Table 7 Output and Acreages of Sugar Beets by Provinces in Recent Years
Table 8 Yield of Sugar Beets by Provinces in Recent Years
Table 9 Production Cost of Major Sugar Beet Producing Regions
Table 10 Output of Saccharin in Recent Years
Table 11 Exports and Domestic Sales of Saccharin in Recent Years
Table 12 Output of Starch Sugar in Recent Years
Table 13 Production and Sales of Cane Sugar by Month
Table 14 Production and Sales of Beet Sugar by Month
Table 15 State Reserve Sales in the 2006/2007 Campaign
Table 16 Balance Sheet of Sugar Supply and Demand Relation in Recent Years
Table 17 Output of Confectionery in Recent Years
Table 18 Output of Cakes in Recent Years
Table 19 Output of Biscuits in Recent Years
Table 20 Output of Deep Frozen Staple Food in Recent Years
Table 21 Output of Dairy Products in Recent Years
Table 22 Output of Canned Food in Recent Years
Table 23 Output of Carbonated Drinks in Recent Years
Table 24 Output of Fruit Juices and Drinks in Recent Years
Table 25 Output of Frozen Beverage in Recent Years
FIGURE
Figure 1 Layout of Sugar Crop Production
Figure 2 Layout of Sugarcane Production
Figure 3 Production Cost of Sugarcane in Recent Years
Figure 4 Layout of Sugar Beet Production
Figure 5 Production Cost of Sugar Beet in Recent Years
Figure 6 Spot Prices of Granulated Sugar in Major Producing Regions in Recent Years
Figure 7 Spot Prices of Superfine Sugar in Major Producing Regions in Recent Years
Figure 8 Trend of International Sugar Price in Recent Years
Figure 9 Import Volume of Sugar in Recent Years
Figure 10 Export Volume of Sugar in Recent Years
Figure 11 Import Volume of Raw Sugar by Different Enterprises
Figure 12 Import Volume of Granulated Sugar by Different Enterprises
Figure 13 Export Volume of Raw Sugar by Different Enterprises
Figure 14 Export Volume of Granulated Sugar by Different Enterprises
Figure 15 Output and Sales of Specified Enterprises by China Sugar Association
