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The future of (N)GPON: Will 25G or 50G be the winner beyond 10G PON?

July 2022 | 42 pages | ID: F5E273BB2CE1EN
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This report provides a global overview of PON technologies and their future developments, which are among the most important in the telecommunications sector today.

It begins with a retrospective of PON developments and continues by focusing on the current dominant PON technology while assessing future technologies.

Alongside a review of the broad ecosystem of PON technology providers and adopters, the report examines the different approaches taken by key stakeholders.

In addition, the report provides an assessment of expected OLT port shipments between 2020 and 2030 by region and by type of PON technology.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. INTRODUCTION

Overview of fibre access technologies
Passive Optical Network (PON) explained
Evolution of PON technologies
Summary of PON technological characteristics

3. THE MARKET OF PON

The market of PON
Comparing some key applications of PON evolution
Network equipment vendors positioning
Telecom operators positioning

4. TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS: WILL 25G OR 50G BE THE WINNER BEYOND 10G PON?

10G PON
  Adtran
NGPON2
  Verizon – Calix
25G PON
  Nokia – Frontier Communications
50G PON
  Huawei – Telef?nica

5. CONCLUSION

Concluding on NGPON tendencies

LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES

2. Introduction
  Overview of fibre access technologies
  PON key network components
  PON Architecture
  Evolution of PON technologies – Key milestones up to 2021
  Evolution of PON Technologies and the respective standardization bodies
  Comparing the architecture and bandwidth of GPON, XGS-PON and NG-PON2
  Summary of PON technological characteristics
3. The market of PON
  PON equipment market – Growth rate by region 2020 – 2030
  OLT ports shipment from GPON to 100G PON 2020 – 2030 (% of each technology)
  Comparison of some key applications of PON evolution
  PON ecosystem vendors
  Telecom operators positioning
  Mapping the positioning of leading telecom operators
  Economies of deploying the different PON technologies
  Nokia’s vision and timeline of PON evolution
  Operators adopting Nokia’s 25G PON
  China Mobile choice of architecture for NGPON
5. Conclusion
  PON Technology evolution: 8 – 10 years for one generation
  Historical 10G PON price reduce with shipments volume growth


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