Armenia 2019Q1- Macroeconomic quarterly review

May 2019 | 28 pages | ID: A1A055C5AB9EN
Ameria cjsc

Abstracts

• Updates and expectations for economic policy of Armenia and of the region;
• In depth review of real sector in Armenia and its comparison to the region;
• Analysis of risks resulting from fluctuations in fiscal profile of Armenia;
• In-depth review of external sector and outlook into the future trends;
• Benefits and possible challenges in socio-demographic changes in Armenia

Contents

1.EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2.RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

3.REAL SECTOR

GDP dynamics
GDP by Expenditure
Industry Developments
Labor market
Inflation

4.FISCAL SECTOR

Public Debt
State Budget

5.FINANCIAL SECTOR

6.EXTERNAL SECTOR

Current Account Deficit
External Trade
Remittances
FDI
Exchange Rates

7.SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC SECTOR

8.ARMENIA’S INTERNATIONAL RANKING

List Of Tables

LIST OF TABLES

Main Macroeconomic Indicators (2008-2019)
Use Structure of GDP (2013-2018)
Real GDP Growth and forecasts for 2019-20/2024
GDP of CIS and Emerging Europe countries in 2019Q1
CPI by Categories, 2018 December
Inflation in 2011-2018 and forecasts for 2019-2020/2024
CPI of CIS and Emerging Europe countries in 2019Q1
Public Debt to GDP%
External Debt and Reserve Assets
Expenditure by Functional classification 2018
Budget Deficit/GDP 2011-2018 and Forecast for 2019-2020
Financial Soundness Indicators, %
Banking Sector Assets and Loans to GDP, %
Average Interest Rates, %
CAB/GDP 2011-2018 and Forecast for 2019-2020/2021
Export by Top-5 commodity groups, 2018
AMD annual average exchange rates 2012-2018
AMD exchange rates changes – first 5 months of 2019
Population Dynamics
Marriages and Divorces
Main economic international rankings of Armenia

List Of Figures

LIST OF FIGURES

Annual GDP, volume and growth for 2013-2018 and expectation for 2019
Quarterly GDP Real Growth (to same period of previous year) for 2014-2019 (first quarter)
Contribution of Industries in GDP for 2019Q1
GDP: Structure by production for 2018Q1 and 2019Q1
Contribution to GDP growth from expenditure components (percentage points in GDP growth), 2018- 2019Q1
CPI (Inflation) for 2012-2018
Unemployment Rate for 2014Q1-2019Q1
Average Monthly Wages, for 2014Q1-2019Q1
Structure of Public External Debt by Creditors for 2012-2019Q1
General Budget Deficit, % to GDP for 2012-2018
Taxes to GDP% for 2012-2018
Expenditure by Functional classification for 2018-19 Q1
Banking Sector Loans for 2017Q1-2019Q1
Banking Sector Deposits for 2017Q1-2019Q1
CAB and Its Components for 2012-2018
CAB, % to GDP for 2009-2018
Exports and Imports of Goods for 2008-2018
FDI (inflow) for 2008-2018
FDI net inflow in Real Sector by economic sectors for 2017-2019Q1
FDI (net inflow) 2017Q1,2018Q1, 2019Q1
Remittances (inflow) 2008-2018
Total individual transfers through banks 2016-2019 (4 months)
Age structure of population, as of 01.01.2018
Population Forecast to 2030*
Armenia vs. other countries Economic Freedom Index 2019
Armenia’s rank vs. other countries Ease of Doing Business 2019
Armenia’ rank vs. other countries Global Competitiveness Index