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Croatia Insurance Market Intelligence

January 2010 | 23 pages | ID: CB2E9E06CF8EN
Koncept Analytics

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The insurance market of Croatia has been growing strongly since the last few years. The industry is mainly thriving as a result of the notable performance of the life insurance segment as well as the contribution of third party motor insurance. The insurance portfolio of Croatia is different from that of the EU states. The reason behind this is that the insurance sector is dominated by non-life insurance segment in Croatia and the lack of confidence in the majority of its population in the life insurance segment. This trend has taken shape as a result of hyperinflation from the beginning of 1990s, as well as to a large share of compulsory insurance in total non-life insurance portfolio. Rising health concerns among aging population, increasing interest of young population in the new premium products, intensive development of the bank-assurance and unit linked products are some of the important factors to drive the growth of the Croatian insurance market.

The insurance market of Croatia is dominated by the non-life segment, while the life segment represents only a small percentage of the insurance market, despite a faster growth rate as compared with the non-life segment. The healthcare sector has shown strong results as compared to other European developing countries. Though it accounts for a small percent of the market but it helps in driving growth of the overall insurance industry in the country, which is evident by its double digit growth during the last five years (2003-2008). The demand for health insurance is higher than other insurance products, accounting for the second largest segment after motor insurance. The insurance industry of Croatia is set to grow at a continuous pace in 2009 but the growth rate is likely to be slow due to falling income levels and unemployment. However, rising birth rate and falling mortality rate will further help the industry to overcome economic turmoil.

The present report gives an overview of Croatia insurance market along with an analysis of Croatia’s political structure and economic growth. The report provides an insight into the market size and growth in insurance premiums as well as life and non-life premiums. Insurance premiums are discussed in terms of life and non-life segments and the density and penetration levels. The various developments and drivers are also discussed and finally the projections regarding premium growth are given.

By combining SPSS Inc.’s data integration and analysis capabilities with our relevant findings, we have predicted the future growth of the Croatian insurance industry. We employed various significant variables that have an impact on this industry and created regression models with SPSS Base to determine the future direction of the industry and its sub-segments life and non-life insurance. Before deploying the regression model, the relationship between several independent or predictor variables and the dependent variable was analyzed using standard SPSS output, including charts, tables and tests.

1. INDUSTRY SNAPSHOT

1.1 Industry Structure
  1.1.1 Introduction of Insurance Law and Supervisory Directorate
1.2 Market Overview
  1.2.1 Market Size & Growth
    1.2.1.1 Hyperinflation Leading to Lack of Confidence in Life Segment
    1.2.1.2 Increasing Market Share of Life Segment Driving the Insurance Industry
    1.2.1.3 Bank-Assurance and Unit Linked Products Development and Awareness
  1.2.2 Market Segments
    1.2.2.1 Dominance by Non-Life Segment, Motor Insurance Largest Share
    1.2.2.2 Growth in Life Segment Driven by Life Policies, Contracted Life Assurance and Supplementary Insurance
  1.2.3 Market Density & Penetration
    1.2.3.1 Low per Capita Expenditure on Insurance
    1.2.3.2 Low but Rising Penetration Rate
    1.2.3.3 Low Share of Gross Written Premium in GDP
  1.2.4 Market Share
    1.2.4.1 Non-Life Segment Highly Concentrated

2. INDUSTRY ANALYSIS

2.1 Industry Developments
  Compulsory Insurance
  Supervision of the Insurance Market
  Reform of the Croatian Healthcare System
  Growing Demand for Actuaries
2.2 Market Drivers
  Growth in Economy
  Expanding Market for Health Insurance
  Rising Demand for Motor Insurance
  Rising Birth Rates and Falling Mortality Rates

3. COUNTRY ANALYSIS: RISK ASSESSMENT

3.1 Political Environment
3.2 Macro-Economic Indicators: Current and Projections

4. INDUSTRY OUTLOOK: FORECAST AND PROJECTIONS

4.1 Falling Income Level and Employment Rate to Effect the Growth of Industry
4.2 Growth in Long Term on Account of Rise in GDP and Purchasing Power

LIST OF TABLES

Key Macroeconomic Indicators: (2008 – 2013F)

LIST OF CHARTS

Annual Premium – Croatian Insurance Industry: (2001-2008)
Premium – Croatia Insurance Industry: (H109 vs. H108)
Premium – Life and Non-Life Insurance: (H109 vs. H108)
Insurance Premium Share (%) by Segment (2008)
Insurance Premium by Segment (2001-2008)
Non-Life Insurance Premium Share (%) by Segment (2008)
Croatia Insurance Density (US$): (2001 – 2008)
Croatia Insurance Penetration: (2001 – 2008)
Top Five Life Insurer’s Market Share (2008)
Top Five Non-Life Insurance Market Share (2008)
GDP at Current Market Prices (2000-2008)
Employment Growth (2000-2008)
Health Insurance Premium (2001-2008)
Motor Third Party Insurance (2001-2008)
Forecast: Croatia Insurance Industry: (2008A – 2012F)
Forecast: Croatia Life & Non-Life Insurance Industry: (2008A – 2012F)


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