China Automobile Sector Forecast to 2012

Date: September 23, 2009
Pages: 70
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Publisher: RNCOS E-Services Pvt. Ltd.
Report type: Strategic Report
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China Automobile Sector Forecast to 2012
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China's automobile industry has been rapidly developing since 2000. Recently, at the starting of 2009, China has overtaken the US to become the largest automobile market in the world. Despite the impact of recession, country’s economy is growing steadily. Moreover, China has a vast consumer base with increasing disposable income and changing lifestyle and rapid development in road infrastructure, China has become a renowned name in the global automobile industry.

According to our latest study “China Automobile Sector Forecast to 2012”, China produced a total 9.3 Million vehicles in 2008, surpassing United States as the 2nd largest automobile maker, after Japan. The automobile production in China is expected to reach 16 Million Units by 2012, hitting a CAGR of around 17% during 2009-2012. Despite the ongoing financial crisis, China has also become the largest automobile market in the world, with total sale of 3.84 Million vehicles for the first four months of 2009. It is expected that China will surpass the United States and become the largest car market for the full year of 2009.

China is also making every possible effort to become the world’s leading producer of new energy vehicle. Chinese government has recently announced various incentives and subsidies to boost the new energy vehicle market and to become the world’s largest producer of electric cars in the next three years. After the announcement, various big players, including investor Warren Buffet, BMW and Toyota, and leading Chinese auto manufacturers like Chery Automobile and Geely Automobile, are entering or planning to enter the promising green vehicle market of China.

The report covers various aspects of the Chinese automobile market. It gives detailed analysis of the Chinese automobile market and its various segments including passenger vehicle, commercial vehicle, utility vehicles, two wheelers and auto component. Each section explains the current and future market trends, and developments in the Chinese automobile market. Our research forecasts immense opportunities for automobile manufacturers and players of automobile component industry in China.

Besides this, we have also comprehensively analyzed the alternative fuel vehicle industry in China and its future outlook. The study also evaluates the growth avenues available for the country’s automobile market, which include motor insurance industry, steel industry, used vehicle market, automotive electronic market, biofuel industry, etc.
1. ANALYST VIEW

2. CHINA IN CONTEXT OF GLOBAL AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY

3. CHINA AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY - FORCES FUELING GROWTH

3.1 Government Support
3.2 Economic Development
3.3 Emerging Middle Class
3.4 Expenditure on Transportation
3.5 Car Ownership
3.6 Availability of Raw Material

4. INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE

4.1 Automobile Industry
  4.1.1 Production
  4.1.2 Sales
  4.1.3 Trade
  4.1.4 Future Outlook 2012
4.2 Passenger Cars
  4.2.1 Production
  4.2.2 Sales
  4.2.3 Trade
  4.2.4 Future Outlook 2012
4.3 Commercial Vehicles
  4.3.1 Production
  4.3.2 Sales
  4.3.3 Trade
  4.3.4 Future Outlook 2012
4.4 Two-Wheelers
  4.4.1 Production
  4.4.2 Sales
  4.4.3 Trade
  4.4.4 Future Outlook 2012
4.5 Alternative Fuel Vehicles
  4.5.1 Hybrid & Electric
  4.5.2 Solar
  4.5.3 Fuel Cell
  4.5.4 Future Outlook 2012
4.6 Auto Components
  4.6.1 Production
  4.6.2 Sales
  4.6.3 Trade

5. INDUSTRY TRENDS

5.1 Motor Insurance Industry
5.2 Steel Industry
5.3 Used Vehicle Market
5.4 Automotive Electronic Market
5.5 Biofuel Industry
5.6 GPS Industry
5.7 Currency Appreciation

6. KEY PLAYERS

6.1 Foreign Players
  6.1.1 General Motors Corporation
  6.1.2 Volkswagen AG
  6.1.3 Toyota Motor Corporation
  6.1.4 Hyundai Motor Company
  6.1.5 Ford Motor Company
6.2 Domestic Players
  6.2.1 China FAW Group Corporation
  6.2.2 Dongfeng Motor Group Co. Ltd
  6.2.3 Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation
  6.2.4 Chery Automobile Co., Ltd.
  6.2.5 ChangAn Automobile Group Co., Ltd.

LIST OF FIGURES:

Figure 2-1: Share of China in Global Automobile Production (2008)
Figure 2-2: Forecast for Share of China in Global Automobile Production (2012)
Figure 3-1: GDP Growth (%), 2004-2008
Figure 3-2: Middle Class Families (Million), Jan 2005 & Jan 2007
Figure 3-3: Consumer Expenditure on Transportation and Communication (Million US$), 2004-2008
Figure 3-4: Passenger Car Stock (per ‘000 Population), 2004-2008
Figure 3-5: Crude Steel Production (Million Metric Tons), 2004-2008
Figure 4-1: Automobile Production Structure (%), 2008
Figure 4-2: Automobile Production (Million Units), 2004-2008
Figure 4-3: Automobile Sales (Million Units), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-4: Automobile Exports (‘000 Units), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-5: Automobile Imports (‘000 Units), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-6: Forecast for Automobile Production (Million Units), 2009-2012
Figure 4-7: Passenger Car Production (Million Units), 2004-2008
Figure 4-8: Passenger Car Sales (Million Units), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-9: Passenger Car Exports (‘000 Units), 2008 & 2009
Figure 4-10: Passenger Car Imports (‘000 Units), 2008 & 2009
Figure 4-11: Forecast for Passenger Car Stock (per '000 Population), 2009-2012
Figure 4-12: Commercial Vehicle Production (Million Units), 2004-2008
Figure 4-13: Commercial Vehicle Production by Structure (%), 2007
Figure 4-14: Commercial Vehicle Sales (Million Units), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-15: Commercial Vehicle Exports (‘000 Units), 2008 & 2009
Figure 4-16: Commercial Vehicle Imports (‘000 Units), 2008 & 2009
Figure 4-17: Forecast for Commercial Vehicle Production (Million Units), 2009-2012
Figure 4-18: Motorcycle Production (Million Units), 2004-2008
Figure 4-19: Motorcycle Sales (Million Units), 2004-2008
Figure 4-20: Motorcycle Exports (Million Units), 2008 & 2009
Figure 4-21: Forecast for Motorcycle Production (Million Units), 2009-2012
Figure 4-22: Global Hybrid Electric Vehicle Sales (‘000 Units), 2004-2008
Figure 4-23: Auto Parts Production (Billion RMB), 2008 & 2010
Figure 4-24: Auto Component Industry Sales (Billion RMB), 2008 & 2009
Figure 4-25: Auto Component Imports (Billion US$), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-26: Auto Component Exports (Billion US$), 2007 & 2008
Figure 5-1: Motor Insurance Premium Income (Billion RMB), 2007 & 2012
Figure 5-2: Steel Demand in Automobile Industry (Million Metric Tons), 2008 & 2015
Figure 5-3: Used Vehicle Trade (Million Units), 2007 & 2008
Figure 5-4: Automotive Electronics Market (Billion RMB), 2002-2011
Figure 5-5: Automotive Electronics Market by Type (%), 2007
Figure 5-6: Forecast for Ethanol Consumption (Million Gallon), 2009-2018
Figure 5-7: Passenger Car GPS Market (‘000 Units), 2002-2006
Figure 5-8: Passenger Car GPS Market by Product (%), 2006
Figure 5-9: Average Currency Exchange Rate (RMB per US$), 2006-2013

LIST OF TABLES:

Table 4-1: Number of Passenger Car Sales by Top Companies (2009)
Table 4-2: Number of Commercial Vehicle Sales by Top Companies (2009)
Table 6-1: Top 10 Vehicle Manufacturers (2008)
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