The Shale Gas Market 2013-2023

Date: June 21, 2013
Pages: 126
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US$ 2,635.00
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Publisher: Visiongain
Report type: Strategic Report
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The Shale Gas Market 2013-2023
The shale gas industry has seen significant growth in the North American market changing the dynamics of natural gas trading in the region. The combination of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing to extract gas from low permeability rock sources has presented a major new energy source, which has significantly reduced the need for natural gas imports to the US. Nations across the world are now looking at the possibility of tapping into this resource to supplement domestic gas consumption or even for export. As a consequence, visiongain has determined that the value of the global shale gas market in 2013 will reach $33.2bn.

The shale gas market is currently dominated by the US as this is where the technology to develop shale was pioneered. The US also has a number of favourable characteristics that have helped promote the speed of shale gas production. However, this has created a distinctly two tier market between the nations with an established shale gas market, and less mature and more rapidly developing markets.

Investment in shale gas exploration outside of North America will grow strongly over the next decade while the US and Canadian markets will maintain their position as the epicentre of shale gas investment. This report provides in-depth analysis of the emerging international shale gas market and gives insights into the unique characteristics of each national market and its growth potential.

What makes this report unique?

Visiongain consulted widely with industry experts to identify key aspects and trends in the shale gas market. Capital expenditure figures were collected for all major companies in the market to create a basis for the forecast. As such, our reports have a unique blend of primary and secondary research providing informed opinion. The report provides insight into key drivers and restraints behind technological and programme developments, as well as identifying leading companies. The report also provides a unique blend of qualitative analysis combined with extensive quantitative data including global and national markets forecasts from 2013-2023 - all highlighting key business opportunities.

Why you should buy The Shale Gas Market 2013-2023
  • 96 tables, charts, and graphs
  • Global shale gas market forecasts between 2013-2023
  • 8 leading regional shale gas market forecasts between 2013-2023
    • Argentina
    • Australia
    • Canada
    • China
    • India
    • Mexico
    • Poland
    • United States
    • Rest of the World
  • A PEST analysis of shale gas market
  • Identification and profiles of the 10 leading shale gas developers
    • Antero Resources
    • BHP Billiton
    • Chesapeake Energy
    • CONSOL Energy
    • Devon Energy
    • EQT Corporation
    • ExxonMobil
    • Range Resources
    • Royal Dutch Shell
    • Southwestern Energy
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Gain an understanding of how to tap into the potential of this market by ordering The Shale Gas Market 2013-2023
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1.1 Overview of the Shale Gas Market
1.2 Benefits of This Report
1.3 Who is This Report For?
1.4 Methodology
1.5 Global Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
1.6 Leading National Shale Gas Market Forecasts 2013-2023

2. INTRODUCTION TO THE SHALE GAS MARKET

2.1 Global Shale Gas Resources
2.2 Global Shale Gas Market Emphasis
2.3 Global Shale Gas Economics
2.4 Current Trends in the Shale Gas Market
  2.4.1 Natural Gas Prices
  2.4.2 Increasing Influence of Large Multi-National Companies
  2.4.3 Growing Number of Joint Ventures
  2.4.4 Improving Operational Efficiency
  2.4.5 Shift from Gas to Liquids
  2.4.6 Hedging not Managing to Cover Losses

3. GLOBAL SHALE GAS MARKET 2013-2023

3.1 Global Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
3.2 Global Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
3.3 Emulating the US Shale Gas Revolution?
  3.3.1 Geology, Industry, Regulation, Pipelines, Water, Demand, Finance
  3.3.2 Shale Gas in the US-Canadian Market and the Rest of the World

4. LEADING NATIONAL SHALE GAS MARKETS 2013-2023

4.1 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Forecast 2013-2023
  4.1.1 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Share Forecast 2013, 2018, 2023
4.2 Global Shale Gas Market Barriers to Entry Analysis
  4.2.1 National Shale Gas Market Barriers to Entry Analysis
4.3 US Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
  4.3.1 US Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
  4.3.2 US Shale Gas Market Analysis
4.4 Canadian Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
  4.4.1 Canadian Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
  4.4.2 Canadian Shale Gas Market Analysis
4.5 Chinese Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
  4.5.1 Chinese Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
  4.5.2 Chinese Shale Gas Market Analysis
4.6 Argentinean Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
  4.6.1 Argentinean Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
  4.6.2 Argentinean Shale Gas Market Analysis
4.7 Australian Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
  4.7.1 Australian Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
  4.7.2 Australian Shale Gas Market Analysis
4.8 Polish Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
  4.8.1 Polish Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
  4.8.2 Polish Shale Gas Market Analysis
4.9 Mexican Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
  4.9.1 Mexican Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
  4.9.2 Mexican Shale Gas Market Analysis
4.10 Indian Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
  4.10.1 Indian Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
  4.10.2 Indian Shale Gas Market Analysis
4.11 Rest of the World Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023
  4.11.1 Rest of the World Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
  4.11.2 Rest of the World Shale Gas Market Analysis

5. PEST ANALYSIS OF THE SHALE GAS MARKET 2013-2023

5.1 Political Factors
5.2 Economic Factors
5.3 Social Factors
5.4 Technological Factors

6. LEADING COMPANIES IN THE SHALE GAS MARKET

6.1 Chesapeake Energy Company Profile
6.2 BHP Billiton Company Profile
6.3 ExxonMobil Company Profile
6.4 Southwestern Energy Company Profile
6.5 Royal Dutch Shell Company Profile
6.6 Antero Resources Company Profile
6.7 Range Resources Company Profile
6.8 Devon Energy Company Profile
6.9 CONSOL Energy Company Profile
6.10 EQT Corporation Company Profile
6.11 Other Leading Companies in the Shale Gas Market

7. CONCLUSIONS

7.1 Shale Gas Market Outlook
7.2 Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
  7.2.1 Shale Gas Market Drivers
  7.2.2 Shale Gas Market Restraints
7.3 Leading National Shale Gas Market Forecasts 2013-2023

8. GLOSSARY

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 2.1 Regional Shale Gas Resource Estimates (tcf)
Figure 2.2 Global Distribution of Shale Gas Capital Spending 2013 (%)
Figure 2.3 Breakeven Prices for Top North American Shale Plays & Henry Hub Price ($/MMbtu)
Figure 2.4 US Spot Gas Price History with Short Term Forecast and NYMEX Futures 2012-2014 ($/MMBtu)
Figure 2.5 US and European Natural Gas Price with Japanese LNG Price 2008-2012 ($/MMBtu)
Figure 2.6 US Onshore Oil and Gas Rig Count and Crude to Natural Gas Price Ratio 2000-2011 (Units & %)
Figure 2.7 US Onshore Oil and Gas Rig Count 2011-2013 (Units)
Figure 3.1 Global Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($bn, AGR %)
Figure 3.2 US-Canada, and Rest of the World CAGRs 2013-2023, 2013-2018, and 2018-2023 (%)
Figure 3.3 US-Canadian Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %)
Figure 3.4 Rest of the World Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %)
Figure 3.5 US-Canada, and Rest of the World Market Share 2013, 2018, 2023 (% Share)
Figure 3.6 US-Canada, and Rest of the World Market Cumulative Spending 2013-2023 (%)
Figure 4.1 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Forecast 2013-2023 ($m)
Figure 4.2 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Figure 4.3 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Share Forecast 2018 (%)
Figure 4.4 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Share Forecast 2023 (%)
Figure 4.5 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Share Change 2013-2023 (%)
Figure 4.6 Barriers to Entry vs. National Market Size 2013 vs. CAGR 2013-2023 ($m, CAGR%)
Figure 4.7 US Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)
Figure 4.8 US Shale Gas Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)
Figure 4.9 Henry Hub Natural Gas Price 2008-2013 ($/MMBtu)
Figure 4.10 Monthly US Shale Play Dry Gas Output 2007-2013 (Bcf/d)
Figure 4.11 Major US Shale Formation Production 2010-2013 (Bcf/d)
Figure 4.12 US Shale Gas Production by Shale Formation 2010-2013 (% Share)
Figure 4.13 Canadian Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)
Figure 4.14 Canadian Shale Gas Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)
Figure 4.15 Chinese Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)
Figure 4.16 Chinese Shale Gas Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)
Figure 4.17 Argentinean Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)
Figure 4.18 Argentinean Shale Gas Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)
Figure 4.19 Australian Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)
Figure 4.20 Australian Shale Gas Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)
Figure 4.21 Polish Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)
Figure 4.22 Polish Shale Gas Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)
Figure 4.23 Mexican Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)
Figure 4.24 Mexican Shale Gas Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)
Figure 4.25 Indian Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)
Figure 4.26 Indian Shale Gas Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)
Figure 4.27 Rest of the World Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR%)
Figure 4.28 Rest of the World Shale Gas Market Share Forecast 2013, 2018 and 2023 (% Share)
Figure 6.1 Leading 10 Companies in the Shale Gas Market Share 2013 (% share)
Figure 7.1 Global Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %)
Figure 7.2 National Shale Gas Markets CAGR 2013-2018, 2018-2023, 2013-2023 (%)
Figure 7.3 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Share Forecast 2013 (%)
Figure 7.4 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Share Forecast 2023 (%)
Figure 7.5 National Shale Gas Markets Cumulative Capital Expenditure 2013-2023 (%)

COMPANIES LISTED

3Legs Resources
Americas Petrogas
Anadarko Petroleum
Antero Resources
Apache Energy
Atlas Energy
Baker Hughes
Beach Energy
BG Group
BHP Billiton
BNK Petroleum Reliance Industries
Bridas Corporation
Buru Energy
Cabot Oil & Gas
Cairn India
Carrizo Oil & Gas
Chesapeake Energy
Chevron Corporation
China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC)
China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC)
ConocoPhillips
CONSOL Energy
Cuadrilla
Devon Energy
Drillsearch
Encana Corporation
ENI S.p.A.
EOG Resources
EQT Corporation
ExxonMobil
FX Energy
GAIL India Limited
Gas Plus International B.V.
Huaying Shanxi Energy Investment Co Ltd
Igas
Korea Gas Corporation (Kogas)
LNG Canada
Marathon Oil
Mitsubishi
New Standard Energy
Noble Energy
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited (ONGC)
Orlen Upstream
Pemex (Petroleos Mexicanos)
Pertamina
PetroChina
Petrohawk
PKN Orlen Upstream
Plains Exploration & Production Company
Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo SA (PGNIG)
Range Resources
Reliance Industries
Repsol
Royal Dutch Shell
San Leon Energy
Santos
Sasol
Saudi Aramco
Schlumberger
Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Group
Sinopec
SM Energy
Southwestern Energy
Statoil
Talisman Energy
Total S.A.
Ultra Petroleum
Warburg Pincus LLC
WPX Energy
XTO Energy
Yacimientos Petrol—ćferos Fiscales (YPF)
Yanchang Petroleum

GOVERNMENT AGENCIES AND OTHER ORGANISATIONS MENTIONED IN THIS REPORT

China's Ministry of Land and Resources
Chinese National Energy Administration
Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC)
Energy Information Administration (EIA)
Institute of Directors
Polish Environment Ministry
United States Geological Survey (USGS)

Natural Gas Prices

Natural gas prices in North America, where all commercial shale gas production currently resides, are slowly recovering from a ten year low. The low gas price of the last two years has been inhibiting development of a number of shale gas plays as it has dipped under the break even point of the dry gas plays. The substantial drop in the natural gas price throughout the second half of 2011 and the first half of 2012 has made a number of dry gas developments uneconomical, and a number of companies have suspended or slowed drilling operations. In the majority of cases, the shale gas industry will need gas prices of over $4.50MMbtu in order to break even on dry gas plays. The EIA’s latest short term gas price forecast does not envisage this to happen in the next 18 months if the traditional rise in prices during the winter season is discounted.

There is however some positive news with many market indicators pointing towards a rise in the price of natural gas. Firstly, the main cause of the low gas price is related to the glut of the resource in the US and its lack of ability to export excess gas. Typical production decline from new wells can be as much as 60% from the first year, so if there is a significant curbing of drilling it shouldn’t take too long for supply and demand to balance. That being said natural gas storage levels remain close to capacity and releasing some of this gas will slow the process somewhat.

Chesapeake Energy Company Profile 

Chesapeake is the number two gas producing company in the US, only surpassed by the largest oil and gas company in the world, ExxonMobil. In 2012 the company produced 1.1tcf, had 196tcf of proved reserves and was one of the largest shale gas developers in the world with over 3.6 million net shale acres in its North American gas portfolio and a total of 14 million net acres of exploration and production leasehold in the United States. Chesapeake is partnered with Statoil (32.5%) in its Marcellus holdings, Plains Exploration & Production Company (20%) in Haynesville, Total (25%) in Barnett and CNOOC (33.3%) in Pearsall and Eagle Ford. In 2012, Total purchased a 25% stake in 619,000 acres of Chesapeake’s Utica Shale.

Due to its problematic financial situation which saw the company facing a $10bn funding gap Chesapeake has been selling of parts of its North American assets over the past year. In 2012 the company sold assets worth $6.9bn, including the sale of most of its assets in the Permian Basin to Royal Dutch Shell Plc and Chevron Corp as well as nearly all of its infrastructure network in the region. The company still faces a funding gap of around $3.5bn for 2013 and has continued to sell off E&P acreage and midstream assets to raise a total $7bn this year. In the first quarter of 2013 alone Chesapeake sold assets worth $2.3bn. Among the deals in 2013 were several involving high quality shale gas acreage. In April 2013, Southwestern Energy agreed to acquire approximately 162,000 net acres of leasehold in Northeast Pennsylvania prospective for the Marcellus Shale from Chesapeake and Statoil for approximately $93 million. The acreage is located in Susquehanna, Wyoming, Tioga and Sullivan counties.

The material was prepared in July, 2013.

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1.1 Leading National Shale Gas Market Forecasts Summary 2013, 2018, 2023 ($m, CAGR %)
Table 3.1 Global Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($bn, AGR %, CAGR %, Cumulative)
Table 3.2 Global Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
Table 3.3 Important Global Shale Gas Market Factors (Geology, Industry, Regulation, Demand, Finance, Water, Pipelines)
Table 4.1 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %)
Table 4.2 Leading National Shale Gas Market CAGRs 2013-2018, 2018-2023, 2013-2023 (CAGR %)
Table 4.3 Leading National Shale Gas Markets Cumulative Capital Expenditure 2013-2023 (Rank, $bn)
Table 4.4 US Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 4.5 US Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
Table 4.6 Canadian Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 4.7 Canadian Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
Table 4.8 Chinese Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 4.9 Chinese Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
Table 4.10 Major International & Domestic Shale Gas Companies Operating in China
Table 4.11 Argentinean Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 4.12 Argentinean Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
Table 4.13 Major International & Domestic Shale Gas Companies Operating in Argentina
Table 4.14 Australian Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 4.15 Australian Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
Table 4.16 Major International & Domestic Shale Gas Companies Operating in Australia
Table 4.17 Polish Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 4.18 Polish Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
Table 4.19 Major International & Domestic Shale Gas Companies Operating in Poland
Table 4.20 Mexican Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 4.21 Mexican Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
Table 4.22 Indian Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 4.23 Indian Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
Table 4.24 Major International & Domestic Shale Gas Companies Operating in India
Table 4.25 Rest of the World Shale Gas Market Forecast 2013-2023 ($m, AGR %, CAGR%, Cumulative)
Table 4.26 Rest of the World Shale Gas Market Drivers & Restraints
Table 4.27 Major International & Domestic Shale Gas Companies Operating in the Rest of the World
Table 5.1 PEST Analysis of the Shale Gas Market 2013-2023
Table 6.1 Leading 10 Companies in the Shale Gas Market 2013 (Shale Gas Capex, Market Share %)
Table 6.2 Chesapeake Overview (Shale Gas Capex $m, Global Market Share %, Net Income $m, Debt $bn, HQ, Ticker, Website)
Table 6.3 BHP Billiton Overview (Shale Gas Capex $m, Global Market Share %, Net Income $m, Debt $bn, HQ, Ticker, Website
Table 6.4 BHP Billiton Shale Gas Acreage (acres)
Table 6.5 ExxonMobil Overview (Shale Gas Capex $m, Global Market Share %, Net Income $m, Debt $bn, HQ, Ticker, Website)
Table 6.6 ExxonMobil North American Shale Gas Acreage (acres)
Table 6.7 Southwestern Energy Overview (Shale Gas Capex $m, Global Market Share %, Net Income $m, Debt $bn, HQ, Ticker, Website)
Table 6.8 Royal Dutch Shell Overview (Shale Gas Capex $m, Global Market Share %, Net Income $m, Debt $bn, HQ, Ticker, Website)
Table 6.9 Shell Shale Gas Acreage (acres)
Table 6.10 Antero Resources Overview (Shale Gas Capex $m, Global Market Share %, Net Income $m, Debt $bn, HQ, Website)
Table 6.11 Range Resources Overview (Shale Gas Capex $m, Global Market Share %, Net Income $m, Debt $bn, HQ, Website)
Table 6.12 Devon Energy Overview (Shale Gas Capex $m, Global Market Share %, Net Income $m, Debt $bn, HQ, Website)
Table 6.13 Devon Energy's Shale Gas Acreage (acres)
Table 6.14 CONSOL Energy Overview (Shale Gas Capex $m, Global Market Share %, Net Income $m, Debt $bn, HQ, Website)
Table 6.15 EQT Corporation Overview (Shale Gas Capex $m, Global Market Share %, Net Income $m, Debt $bn, HQ, Website)
Table 6.16 Other Leading Companies in the Shale Gas Market 2013 (Company, Country)
Table 7.1 Leading National Shale Gas Market Forecasts Summary 2013, 2018, 2023 ($m), 2013-2023 CAGR (%)

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