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Future Material Needs for the Global Wind Energy Market, 2009 - 2014, June 2009

June 2009 | 95 pages | ID: F03957E4C64EN
Lucintel

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Background:

The total worldwide electricity cumulative installed capacity topped 5,026 GW in 2010 and cumulative installed capacity is expected to grow to 6,416 GW in 2016 with a CAGR of 4 % over the next five years.

Volatility in fossil fuel costs, coupled with the environmental problems associated with burning such fuels, could be a positive factor driving increased acceptance of alternative technologies, especially for environmentally friendly technologies such as wind and solar. Although the high cost and variability challenges faced by the renewable energy sources pose some challenge but the new innovations is expected to reduce the cost of electricity and renewable energy is expected to witness robust growth in the future.

Lucintel’s research indicates that, levelized cost of energy for natural gas is the lowest $ 62/MWh whereas solar PV has the highest LCOE at $ 253/MWh. The LCOE of wind energy is high due to increase in the price of wind turbines. A substantial decrease is expected in the cost of solar PV because of decline in the cost of the solar modules largely driven by decreases in the price of raw materials (e.g. Polysilicon) and increased competition among polysilicon suppliers. It is expected that the LCOE for solar PV would be $ 223/MWh in Q4 2012.

Although conventional energy sources are the biggest and by far the largest source of energy today but conventional sources are making way for non conventional energy sources because of their finite existence and their increasing footprint.

Lucintel’s research report provides trend scenarios and forecast statistics for quarterly cost of different energy sources for 2005–2012; details the industry’s drivers and challenges; production; consumption; and demand and supply scenarios of the different energy industry. The report also examines emerging trends and status of conventional and non conventional energy sources in US.

This unique report from Lucintel offers valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate successfully in this market. This report can save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s turbulent economy, you need every advantage that you can find to keep ahead in your business.

Features of This Report

To make business, investment, or strategic decisions, you need timely and adequate information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multi-national material suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, quarterly cost analysis, benchmarking and many more that are dealing with this market.

Some of the features of “Quarterly Competitive Analysis of Conventional and Renewable Energy Sources in US Market: 2011-2012” are as follows:
  • Trend (Q1 2005-Q4 2010) and forecast (Q1 2011–Q4 2012) of quarterly cost analysis for coal, natural gas, nuclear, wind, solar PV, in terms of $/MWh
  • Major growth drivers and challenges for each of energy sources
  • Trend and forecast of levelized cost of energy (LCOE) for each of the energy sources of Q4 2010 in terms of $/MWh
  • Growth opportunities of coal, natural gas, nuclear, wind, solar PV
  • Capital cost, operational and maintenance cost and fuel cost for different energy sources in Q4 2010
  • Cost breakdowns for different energy sources in Q4 2010
  • Emerging trends in conventional and renewable energy sources
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. QUARTERLY COST ANALYSIS FOR DIFFERENT ENERGY SOURCES Q4 2010

2.1: Levelized cost of energy
2.2: Wind energy
2.3: Solar photovoltaic
2.4: Coal
2.5: Natural gas
2.6: Nuclear
2.7: Levelized cost comparison
  2.7.1: Capital cost
  2.7.2: Operational and maintenance cost
  2.7.3: Fuel cost
2.8: Cost benchmarking for different energy sources

3. QUARTERLY COST ANALYSIS FOR DIFFERENT ENERGY SOURCES TREND Q1 2005-Q4 2010

3.1: Wind energy
  3.1.1: Cost breakdown and analysis
    3.1.1.1: Capital cost
    3.1.1.2: Operational and maintenance cost
3.2: Solar photovoltaic
  3.2.1:Cost breakdown and analysis
    3.2.1.1: Capital cost
    3.2.1.2: Operational and maintenance Cost
3.3: Coal
  3.3.1: Cost breakdown and analysis
    3.3.1.1: Capital cost
    3.3.1.2: Operational and maintenance Cost
    3.3.1.3: Fuel cost
3.4: Natural gas
  3.4.1: Cost breakdown and analysis
    3.4.1.1: Capital cost
    3.4.1.2: Operational and maintenance cost
    3.4.1.3: Fuel cost
3.5: Nuclear
  3.5.1: Cost breakdown and analysis
    3.5.1.1: Capital cost
    3.5.1.2: Operational and maintenance cost
    3.5.1.3: Fuel cost
3.6: Quarterly cost benchmarking of levelized cost of energy-trend
  3.6.1: Capital cost trend for different energy sources
  3.6.2: Quarterly operational and maintenance cost trend for different energy sources
  3.6.3: Quarterly fuel cost trend for different energy sources

4. QUARTERLY COST ANALYSIS FOR DIFFERENT ENERGY SOURCES FORECAST Q1 2011–Q4 2012

4.1: Wind Energy
  4.1.1: Capital cost
  4.1.2: Operational and maintenance Cost
4.2: Solar PV
  4.2.1: Capital cost
  4.2.2: Operational and maintenance cost
4.3: Coal
  4.3.1: Capital cost
  4.3.2: Operational and maintenance cost
  4.3.3: Fuel cost
4.4: Natural gas
  4.4.1: Capital cost
  4.4.2: Operational and maintenance cost
  4.4.3: Fuel cost
4.5: Nuclear
  4.5.1: Capital cost
  4.5.2: Operational and maintenance cost
  4.5.3: Fuel cost
4.6: Cost benchmarking analysis forecast for different energy sources
  4.6.1: Capital cost
  4.6.2: Operational and maintenance cost
  4.6.3: Fuel cost

5. EMERGING TRENDS IN CONVENTIONAL AND RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES

LIST OF FIGURES

Chapter 2
Figure 2.1: Levelized cost for different energy sources in Q4 2010
Figure 2.2: Comparative study of levelized cost for different energy sources in Q4 2010
Figure 2.3: Levelized capital cost for different energy sources in Q4 2010
Figure 2.4: Capital cost for different energy sources in Q4 2010
Figure 2.5: Levelized o&m cost for different energy sources in Q4 2010
Figure 2.6: Operational and maintenance cost for different energy sources in Q4 2010
Figure 2.7: Levelized fuel cost for different energy sources in Q4 2010
Figure 2.8: Fuel cost for different energy sources in Q4 2010
Figure 2.9: Cost breakdowns for different energy sources in Q4 2010

Chapter 3
Figure 3.1: Trend in levelized cost of wind energy
Figure 3.2: Trend in cost breakdown of wind energy
Figure 3.3: Trend in levelized capital cost of wind energy
Figure 3.4: Trend in capital cost of wind energy
Figure 3.5: Trend in wind turbine and steel price
Figure 3.6: Trend in levelized o&m cost of wind energy
Figure 3.7: Trend in o&m cost of wind energy
Figure 3.8: Trend in levelized cost of solar PV
Figure 3.9: Trend in cost breakdown of solar PV
Figure 3.10: Trend in levelized capital cost of solar PV
Figure 3.11: Trend in capital cost of solar PV
Figure 3.12: Trend in solar module and polysilicon price
Figure 3.13: Trend in solar PV inverter price
Figure 3.14: Trend in levelized O&M cost of solar PV
Figure 3.15: Trend in o&m cost of solar PV
Figure 3.16: Trend in levelized cost of coal energy
Figure 3.17: Trend in cost breakdown of coal energy
Figure 3.18: Trend in levelized capital cost of coal energy
Figure 3.19: Trend in capital cost of coal energy
Figure 3.20: Trend in levelized o&m cost of coal energy
Figure 3.21: Trend in o&m cost of coal energy
Figure 3.22: Trend in levelized fuel cost of coal energy
Figure 3.23: Trend in fuel cost of coal energy
Figure 3.24: Trend in fuel price of coal
Figure 3.25: Trend in levelized cost of natural gas energy
Figure 3.26: Trend in cost breakdown of natural gas energy
Figure 3.27: Trend in levelized capital cost of natural gas energy
Figure 3.28: Trend in capital cost of natural gas energy
Figure 3.29: Trend in levelized o&m cost of natural gas energy
Figure 3.30: Trend in o&m cost of natural gas energy
Figure 3.31: Trend in levelized fuel cost of natural gas energy
Figure 3.32: Trend in fuel cost of natural gas energy
Figure 3.33: Trend in fuel price of natural gas
Figure 3.34: Trend in levelized cost of nuclear energy
Figure 3.35: Trend in cost breakdown of nuclear energy
Figure 3.36: Trend in levelized capital cost of nuclear energy
Figure 3.37: Trend in capital cost of nuclear energy
Figure 3.38: Trend in levelized o&m cost of nuclear energy
Figure 3.39: Trend in o&m cost of nuclear energy
Figure 3.40: Trend in levelized fuel cost of nuclear energy
Figure 3.41: Trend in fuel cost of nuclear energy
Figure 3.42: Trend in uranium price
Figure 3.43: Trend in levelized cost for different energy sources
Figure 3.44: Trend in levelized capital cost for different energy sources
Figure 3.45: Trend in capital cost for different energy sources
Figure 3.46: Trend in levelized o&m cost for different energy sources
Figure 3.47: Trend in o&m cost for different energy sources
Figure 3.48: Trend in levelized fuel cost for different energy sources
Figure 3.49: Trend in fuel cost for different energy sources

Chapter 4
Figure 4.1: Forecast of levelized cost of wind energy
Figure 4.2: Forecast of levelized capital cost of wind energy
Figure 4.3: Forecast of capital cost of wind energy
Figure 4.4: Forecast of levelized o&m cost of wind energy
Figure 4.5: Forecast of o&m cost of wind energy
Figure 4.6: Forecast of levelized cost of solar PV
Figure 4.7: Forecast of levelized capital cost of solar PV
Figure 4.8: Forecast of capital cost of solar PV
Figure 4.9: Forecast of levelized o&m cost of solar PV
Figure 4.10: Forecast of o&m cost of solar PV
Figure 4.11: Forecast of levelized cost of coal energy
Figure 4.12: Forecast of levelized capital cost of coal energy
Figure 4.13: Forecast of capital cost of coal energy
Figure 4.14: Forecast of levelized o&m cost of coal energy
Figure 4.15: Forecast of o&m cost of coal energy
Figure 4.16: Forecast of levelized fuel cost of coal energy
Figure 4.17: Forecast of fuel cost of coal energy
Figure 4.18: Forecast of levelized cost of natural gas energy
Figure 4.19: Forecast of levelized capital cost of natural gas energy
Figure 4.20: Forecast of capital cost of natural gas energy
Figure 4.21: Forecast of levelized o&m cost of natural gas energy
Figure 4.22: Forecast of o&m cost of natural gas energy
Figure 4.23: Forecast of levelized fuel cost of natural gas energy
Figure 4.24: Forecast of fuel cost of natural gas energy
Figure 4.25: Forecast of levelized cost of nuclear energy
Figure 4.26: Forecast of levelized capital cost of nuclear energy
Figure 4.27: Forecast of capital cost of nuclear energy
Figure 4.28: Forecast of levelized o&m cost of nuclear energy
Figure 4.29: Forecast of o&m cost of nuclear energy
Figure 4.30: Forecast of levelized fuel cost of nuclear energy
Figure 4.31: Forecast of fuel cost of nuclear energy
Figure 4.32: Forecast of levelized cost for different energy sources
Figure 4.33: Forecast of levelized capital cost for different energy sources
Figure 4.34: Forecast of capital cost for different energy sources
Figure 4.35: Forecast of levelized o&m cost for different energy sources
Figure 4.36: Forecast of o&m cost for different energy sources
Figure 4.37: Forecast of levelized fuel cost for different energy sources
Figure 4.38: Forecast of fuel cost for different energy sources

Chapter 5
Figure 5.1: Emerging trends in conventional and renewable energy sources

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1.1: Trend and forecast in levelized cost of energy of different energy sources


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