China Solar Photovoltaic Market Outlook to 2015

Date: September 1, 2011
Pages: 33
Price:
US$ 700.00
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Publisher: Ken Research Private Ltd
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Hard Copy Mail Delivery
ID: CD142D2E715EN
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China Solar Photovoltaic Market Outlook to 2015
The report titled “China Solar Photovoltaic Market Outlook to 2015” provides a comprehensive analysis on various aspects such as On-Grid and Off-Grid Cumulative and Annual Installed Capacity, PV power per capita, market segmentation and competitive landscape of the major players operating in the country. The report also entails the SWOT analysis of solar PV market in China.

The future outlook presented the base case, conservative case and aggressive case scenario factor analysis providing an insight on the prospects in the solar PV cumulative and annual installed capacity for the country.

The country has over 400 solar PV companies which produce over 23% of the PV products globally. The number of grid connected large scale PV installations has increased in the country. It has been witnessed that the proportion of on-grid installations in the total annual installed capacity has risen over the years. The grid connected installations were 477 MW in 2010.

China is one of the leaders in the production of PV cells and modules but lag in the number of PV installations. Although the country has witnessed growth in the PV sector, still in terms of PV installations the country has a small share of 4% of the global PV installations as the country ships over 96% of its production to overseas market. The shipment level has increased almost 8 times from the level of 1088 MW in 2007 to 8000 MW in 2010.

The country has a moderate capacity utilization ratio of 53% in terms of output of polysilicon material. China generated 45,000 tons of polysilicon wafers in 2010 comparative to the capacity of 85,000 tons. The market is currently dominated by the multi-crystalline and single crystalline technology. About 11 GW of solar cells were produced in 2010.

Rural electrification was the largest application of PV systems in China. Almost 50% of solar PV installations are utilized for electrifying the rural areas. With more emphasis by government on the BIPV segment, its share of 17.5% in 2010 is likely to increase in the coming years. Communication and Industrial Applications, Small solar PV appliances and ground based large scale PV power plants are other segments where PV installed capacity are utilized.

Electricity demand in China has grown at a rapid pace in the past. It was registered at 2,783 TWh in 2010 with solar PV contributing approximately around 0.20%. It is expected that in 2011, total electricity demand will increase to 2,914 TWh while solar PV market share in the electricity consumption will increase to 0.24%. The electricity demand is expected to grow at an estimated CAGR of 5% and will reach to ~ TWh by 2015 with solar PV contribution of ~%.

Key Topics Covered in the Report:
  • The feed-in-tariffs introduced in the country and their effect on the solar PV market
  • The annual and cumulative PV installations along with PV power per capita in the country from 2006-2010
  • Future Outlook on the basis of assumed scenarios i.e. base case, worst case and aggressive case on cumulative installed capacity, annual installed capacity and PV power per capita, from 2011-2015
  • SWOT analysis of the solar PV industry and Macro Economic Environment in the country
  • Competitive Landscape of the various players operating in the country.
1. CHINA SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC (PV) MARKET INTRODUCTION

2. CHINA SOLAR FEED-IN TARIFFS PRESENT STATUS AND IMPACT

3. CHINA SOLAR PV MARKET SIZE, 2006-2010

3.1. China Solar PV On-Grid and Off-Grid Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2006-2010
3.2. China Solar PV On-Grid and Off-Grid Annual Installed Capacity, 2006-2010

4. CHINA SOLAR PV POWER PER CAPITA, 2006-2010

5. CHINA PV SHIPMENTS, 2007-2010

6. CHINA SOLAR PV MARKET SEGMENTATION

6.1. By Technology Capacity and Output, 2010
6.2. On the Basis of Applications of Solar PV, 2010

7. CHINA SOLAR PV MARKET COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

8. CHINA SOLAR PV SWOT ANALYSIS

Strengths
Weakenesses
Opportunities
Threats

9. CHINA SOLAR PV MARKET FUTURE OUTLOOK

9.1. China Solar PV Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2011-2015
9.2. China Solar PV Annual Installed Capacity, 2011-2015
9.3. China Solar PV Power Per Capita, 2011-2015
9.4. China Total Electricity Demand and Solar PV Electricity Contribution, 2009-2015

10. CHINA MACRO ECONOMIC INDICATORS: CURRENT AND PROJECTIONS

10.1. Population, 2006-2015
10.2. GDP, 2006-2015

11. APPENDIX

11.1. Market Definition
11.2. Abbreviations
11.3. Research Methodology
Data Collection Methods
Approach
11.4. Disclaimer

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: China Solar PV Market Size in terms of Grid Connected and Off-Grid Cumulative Installed Capacity in Percentage, 2006-2010
Figure 2: China Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid Annual Installed Capacity in Percentage, 2006-2010
Figure 3: China Solar PV Power Installed Capacity per Capita in Watt/Inhabitant, 2006-2010
Figure 4: China Solar PV Shipments in Megawatt (MW), 2007-2010
Figure 5: China Solar PV Market Segmentation on the Basis of Applications of Solar PV, in Percentage, 2010
Figure 6: China Solar PV Cell/Module Producers Market Share on the basis of Production or Shipment Volume in Percentage, 2010
Figure 7: China Solar PV Market Size in terms of Cumulative Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015
Figure 8: China Solar PV Market Size in terms of Annual Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015
Figure 9: China Solar PV Power Installed Capacity per Capita in Watt/Inhabitant, 2011-2015
Figure 10: China Total Electricity Demand in Terawatt hour (TWh) and Contribution of Solar PV Electricity in Percentage, 2009-2015

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Present Scenario and Impact of Feed-in Tariff Plans in China Solar Photovoltaic Market
Table 2: China Solar Photovoltaic Industry Feed-in Tariff Rates, in CNY/kWh in 2011
Table 3: China Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid and Total Cumulative Installed Capacity in Megawatt (MW), 2006-2010
Table 4: China Solar PV Market Size in terms of On-Grid and Off-Grid and Total Annual Installed Capacity in Megawatt (MW), 2006-2010
Table 5: China Solar PV Market Segmentation by Technology Capacity and Output, 2010
Table 6: Competitive Landscape of Major Solar Photovoltaic Cell/Module Producers in China (JA Solar, Suntech, Yingli Solar and Trina Solar)
Table 7: China Major Solar PV Cell/Module Producers’ Production or Shipment Volume in Megawatt (MW), 2009-2010
Table 8: China Solar PV Market Size in terms of Cumulative Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015
Table 9: China Solar PV Market Size in terms of Annual Installed Capacity in Megawatt, 2011-2015
Table 10: China Population Trend in Million, 2006-2015
Table 11: China Gross Domestic Product in USD Billion, 2006-2015
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