China Oil and Oilseed Market Review & Outlook 2010-2011
Research Background
In the first half of 2010, domestic cooking oil production enterprises, especially northeastern soybean processing enterprises, were in loss, so a large number of northeastern soybean processing enterprises stopped production; In July and August, with rising of domestic soybean oil and soybean meal prices, cooking oil production enterprises have gradually recovered to gain profits; this report will give an in-depth analysis and prediction on profit variation of cooking oil enterprises in 2011.
In the second half of 2010, in the context of overall rise of domestic resident consumable prices, prices of cooking oil have also continued to rise, to prevent pressure on residents brought by continued rise of consumable prices including cooking oil, the state has issued various measures to stabilize market in succession, regarding cooking oil industry, the state has implemented auction sales of oil and oilseed products including rapeseed oil and soybean, and summoned four key cooking oil production enterprises to require them not to raise prices before March 2011, this report will give an in-depth exploration on whether cooking oil price will develop according with the control objectives of China in 2011.
Although China released Guidance on Promoting Healthy Development of Soybean Processing Industry in August 2008, which requires to control soybean oil processing capacity to 65 million tons/year by 2012, and provides that if the actual soybean annual processing amount of a single soybean oil processing enterprise (group) reaches over 15% of China’s total, the enterprise will not be allowed to construct or expand soybean processing projects in principle, however, in recent two years, cooking oil production enterprises have continued their paces of construction, expansion and M&A, this report will explore and predict how the competition pattern of China's cooking oil production enterprises will develop in the future.
In the first half of 2010, domestic cooking oil production enterprises, especially northeastern soybean processing enterprises, were in loss, so a large number of northeastern soybean processing enterprises stopped production; In July and August, with rising of domestic soybean oil and soybean meal prices, cooking oil production enterprises have gradually recovered to gain profits; this report will give an in-depth analysis and prediction on profit variation of cooking oil enterprises in 2011.
In the second half of 2010, in the context of overall rise of domestic resident consumable prices, prices of cooking oil have also continued to rise, to prevent pressure on residents brought by continued rise of consumable prices including cooking oil, the state has issued various measures to stabilize market in succession, regarding cooking oil industry, the state has implemented auction sales of oil and oilseed products including rapeseed oil and soybean, and summoned four key cooking oil production enterprises to require them not to raise prices before March 2011, this report will give an in-depth exploration on whether cooking oil price will develop according with the control objectives of China in 2011.
Although China released Guidance on Promoting Healthy Development of Soybean Processing Industry in August 2008, which requires to control soybean oil processing capacity to 65 million tons/year by 2012, and provides that if the actual soybean annual processing amount of a single soybean oil processing enterprise (group) reaches over 15% of China’s total, the enterprise will not be allowed to construct or expand soybean processing projects in principle, however, in recent two years, cooking oil production enterprises have continued their paces of construction, expansion and M&A, this report will explore and predict how the competition pattern of China's cooking oil production enterprises will develop in the future.
1 RETROSPECTION OF IMPORTANT EVENTS OF CHINA’S OIL AND OILSEED INDUSTRY IN 2010
1.1 Analysis of Regulating Policies of China’s Oil and Oilseed Industry
1.2 Analysis of Processing Efficiency Variation of Soybean Processing Enterprise
1.3 Construction and Expansion Pattern Variation of Soybean Processing Capacity
1.4 Research and Analysis of Cooking Oil Food Safety Problem
2 RESEARCH OF CHINA’S SOYBEAN MARKET
2.1 China’s Soybean Planting Regions and the Area Change
2.2 China’s Soybean Output Change and Forecast
2.3 China’s Soybean Import & Export and the Forecast
2.4 China’s Soybean Consumption and Features
2.5 China’s Soybean Supply-Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast
2.6 China’s Soybean Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
3 RESEARCH OF CHINAS’ RAPESEED MARKET
3.1 China’s Rapeseed Planting Regions and the Area Change
3.2 China’s Rapeseed Output Change and Forecast
3.3 China’s Rapeseed Import & Export and the Forecast
3.4 China’s Rapeseed Consumption and Features
3.5 China’s Rapeseed Supply-Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast
3.6 China’s Rapeseed Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
4 RESEARCH OF CHINAS’ PEANUT MARKET
4.1 China’s Peanut Planting Regions and the Area Change
4.2 China’s Peanut Output Change and Forecast
4.3 China’s Peanut Imports & Exports and the Forecast
4.4 China’s Peanut Consumption and Features
4.5 China’s Peanut Supply-Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast
4.6 China’s Peanut Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
5 CHINESE COTTONSEED MARKET RESEARCH
5.1 China’s Cottonseed Output Change and Forecast
5.2 China’s Cottonseed Imports & Exports and the Forecast
5.3 China’s Cottonseed Consumption and Features
6 CHINESE SUNFLOWER SEED MARKET RESEARCH
6.1 China’s Sunflower Seed Output Change and Forecast
6.2 China’s Sunflower Seed Imports & Exports and the Forecast
6.3 China’s Sunflower Seed Consumption and Features
7 CHINESE SOYBEAN OIL MARKET RESEARCH
7.1 China’s Soybean Oil Producing Regions and the Output Change
7.2 China’s Soybean Oil Output by Province
7.3 China’s Soybean Oil Imports & Exports and the Forecast
7.4 China’s Soybean Oil Consumption and Features
7.5 Analysis on China’s Soybean Oil Supply and Demand Balance
7.6 China’s Soybean Oil Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
8 CHINESE PALM OIL MARKET RESEARCH
8.1 China’s Palm Oil Imports and Forecast
8.2 China’s Palm Oil Consumption and Features
8.3 Analysis on China’s Palm Oil Supply and Demand Balance
8.4 China’s Palm Oil Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
9 CHINESE RAPESEED OIL MARKET RESEARCH
9.1 China’s Rapeseed Oil Producing Regions and the Output Change
9.2 China’s Rapeseed Oil Output by Province
9.3 China’s Rapeseed Oil Imports & Exports
9.4 China’s Rapeseed Oil Consumption and Features
9.5 Analysis on China’s Rapeseed Oil Supply and Demand Balance
9.6 China’s Rapeseed Oil Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
10 CHINESE PEANUT OIL MARKET RESEARCH
10.1 China’s Peanut Oil Producing Regions and the Output Change
10.2 China’s Peanut Oil Imports and Exports
10.3 China’s Peanut Oil Consumption and Features
10.4 Analysis on China’s Peanut Oil Supply and Demand Balance
10.5 China’s Peanut Oil Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
11 CHINESE COTTONSEED OIL MARKET RESEARCH
11.1 China’s Cottonseed Oil Producing Regions and the Output Change
11.2 China’s Cottonseed Oil Imports and Exports
11.3 China’s Cottonseed Oil Consumption and Features
11.4 Analysis on China’s Cottonseed Oil Supply and Demand Balance
11.5 China’s Cottonseed Oil Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
12 CHINESE SUNFLOWER OIL MARKET RESEARCH
12.1 China’s Sunflower Oil Producing Regions and the Output Change
12.2 China’s Sunflower Oil Imports and Exports
12.3 China’s Sunflower Oil Consumption and Features
12.4 Analysis on China’s Sunflower Oil Supply and Demand Balance
13 CHINESE SMALL-PACKAGED OIL MARKET RESEARCH
13.1 China’s Small-packaged Edible Oil Market Position and Development Trends
13.2 Analysis on the Competition Structure of Small-packaged Edible Oil in Different Brands
14 RESEARCH ON CHINESE KEY EDIBLE OIL ENTERPRISES
14.1 Yi hai Kerry
14.2 COFCO
14.3 China Textile Group
14.4 93 Group
14.5 Shandong Luhua
1.1 Analysis of Regulating Policies of China’s Oil and Oilseed Industry
1.2 Analysis of Processing Efficiency Variation of Soybean Processing Enterprise
1.3 Construction and Expansion Pattern Variation of Soybean Processing Capacity
1.4 Research and Analysis of Cooking Oil Food Safety Problem
2 RESEARCH OF CHINA’S SOYBEAN MARKET
2.1 China’s Soybean Planting Regions and the Area Change
2.2 China’s Soybean Output Change and Forecast
2.3 China’s Soybean Import & Export and the Forecast
2.4 China’s Soybean Consumption and Features
2.5 China’s Soybean Supply-Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast
2.6 China’s Soybean Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
3 RESEARCH OF CHINAS’ RAPESEED MARKET
3.1 China’s Rapeseed Planting Regions and the Area Change
3.2 China’s Rapeseed Output Change and Forecast
3.3 China’s Rapeseed Import & Export and the Forecast
3.4 China’s Rapeseed Consumption and Features
3.5 China’s Rapeseed Supply-Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast
3.6 China’s Rapeseed Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
4 RESEARCH OF CHINAS’ PEANUT MARKET
4.1 China’s Peanut Planting Regions and the Area Change
4.2 China’s Peanut Output Change and Forecast
4.3 China’s Peanut Imports & Exports and the Forecast
4.4 China’s Peanut Consumption and Features
4.5 China’s Peanut Supply-Demand Balance Analysis and Forecast
4.6 China’s Peanut Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
5 CHINESE COTTONSEED MARKET RESEARCH
5.1 China’s Cottonseed Output Change and Forecast
5.2 China’s Cottonseed Imports & Exports and the Forecast
5.3 China’s Cottonseed Consumption and Features
6 CHINESE SUNFLOWER SEED MARKET RESEARCH
6.1 China’s Sunflower Seed Output Change and Forecast
6.2 China’s Sunflower Seed Imports & Exports and the Forecast
6.3 China’s Sunflower Seed Consumption and Features
7 CHINESE SOYBEAN OIL MARKET RESEARCH
7.1 China’s Soybean Oil Producing Regions and the Output Change
7.2 China’s Soybean Oil Output by Province
7.3 China’s Soybean Oil Imports & Exports and the Forecast
7.4 China’s Soybean Oil Consumption and Features
7.5 Analysis on China’s Soybean Oil Supply and Demand Balance
7.6 China’s Soybean Oil Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
8 CHINESE PALM OIL MARKET RESEARCH
8.1 China’s Palm Oil Imports and Forecast
8.2 China’s Palm Oil Consumption and Features
8.3 Analysis on China’s Palm Oil Supply and Demand Balance
8.4 China’s Palm Oil Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
9 CHINESE RAPESEED OIL MARKET RESEARCH
9.1 China’s Rapeseed Oil Producing Regions and the Output Change
9.2 China’s Rapeseed Oil Output by Province
9.3 China’s Rapeseed Oil Imports & Exports
9.4 China’s Rapeseed Oil Consumption and Features
9.5 Analysis on China’s Rapeseed Oil Supply and Demand Balance
9.6 China’s Rapeseed Oil Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
10 CHINESE PEANUT OIL MARKET RESEARCH
10.1 China’s Peanut Oil Producing Regions and the Output Change
10.2 China’s Peanut Oil Imports and Exports
10.3 China’s Peanut Oil Consumption and Features
10.4 Analysis on China’s Peanut Oil Supply and Demand Balance
10.5 China’s Peanut Oil Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
11 CHINESE COTTONSEED OIL MARKET RESEARCH
11.1 China’s Cottonseed Oil Producing Regions and the Output Change
11.2 China’s Cottonseed Oil Imports and Exports
11.3 China’s Cottonseed Oil Consumption and Features
11.4 Analysis on China’s Cottonseed Oil Supply and Demand Balance
11.5 China’s Cottonseed Oil Price Changes and the Trend Forecast
12 CHINESE SUNFLOWER OIL MARKET RESEARCH
12.1 China’s Sunflower Oil Producing Regions and the Output Change
12.2 China’s Sunflower Oil Imports and Exports
12.3 China’s Sunflower Oil Consumption and Features
12.4 Analysis on China’s Sunflower Oil Supply and Demand Balance
13 CHINESE SMALL-PACKAGED OIL MARKET RESEARCH
13.1 China’s Small-packaged Edible Oil Market Position and Development Trends
13.2 Analysis on the Competition Structure of Small-packaged Edible Oil in Different Brands
14 RESEARCH ON CHINESE KEY EDIBLE OIL ENTERPRISES
14.1 Yi hai Kerry
14.2 COFCO
14.3 China Textile Group
14.4 93 Group
14.5 Shandong Luhua
LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES
Figure 1-1 Grinding Profit Variation of Soybean in China, 2007-2011
Figure 2-1 Planting Area Change of Soybean in China, 1990-2010
Figure 2-2 Distribution of Soybean Planting Region in China, 2009
Figure 2-3 Output Change of Soybean in China, 1990-2010
Figure 2-4 China’s Soybean Import & Export and the Forecast, 1997-2010
Figure 2-5 Price Change of China’s Soybean, 2004-2011
Figure 3-1, China’s Rapeseed Planting Area Change, 1990-2011
Figure 3-2, Distribution of China’s Rapeseed Planting Regions, 2009
Figure 3-3, China’s Rapeseed Output Change, 1990-2011
Figure 3-4, China’s Rapeseed Import & Export Changes, 1997-2010
Figure 3-5, Change of China’s Rapeseed Purchasing Price, 2009-2011
Figure 4-1, Regional Distribution of China’s Peanut Planting, 2009
Figure 4-2, China’s Peanut Area and Output Changes, 1990-2010
Figure 4-3, China’s Peanut Import & Export Changes, 1997-2010
Figure 5-1, China’s Cottonseed Output Changes, 1987-2011
Figure 5-2, China’s Cottonseed Import & Export Changes, 1997-2010
Figure 6-1, China’s Sunflower Seed Output Changes, 1991-2010
Figure 6-2, China’s Sunflower Seed Import & Export Changes, 2000-2010
Figure 7-1, China’s Soybean Oil Output Changes, 1998/1999-2010/11
Figure 7-2, Regional Distribution of China’s Soybean Oil, 2009/10
Figure 7-3, China’s Soybean Oil Import & Export Changes and Trend, 1997-2010
Figure 7-4, China’s Soybean Oil Ex-factory Price Trend, 2005-2010
Figure 8-1, China’s Palm Oil Import Changes, 1992-2010
Figure 8-2, China’s Palm Oil Wholesale Price Trend, 2005-2011
Figure 9-1, China’s Rapeseed Oil Production Regions, 2009/10
Figure 9-2, China’s Rapeseed Oil Output Change and Trend, 1993/94-2010/11
Figure 9-3, China’s Rapeseed Oil Import & Export Changes, 1997-2010
Figure 9-4, China’s Rapeseed Oil Wholesale Price Trend, 2005-2010
Figure 10-1, China’s Peanut Oil Output and the Trend of the Change in the Proportion to Domestic Edible Oil Consumption
Figure 10-2, China’s Peanut Oil Import & Export Changes, 2000-2010
Figure 10-3, China’s First-level Peanut Oil Average Wholesale Price Trend
Figure 11-1, China’s Cottonseed Oil Output Changes, 1987-2011
Figure 11-2, China’s Cottonseed Oil Import & Export Contrast, 1997-2010
Figure 11-3, China’s Cottonseed Oil Wholesale Price Trend, 2005-2010
Figure 12-1, China’s Sunflower Oil Output Changes, 1996/97-2010/11
Figure 12-2, China’s Sunflower Oil and Safflower Oil Import and Export Changes, 1997-2010
Figure 13-1, Market Share of China’s Small-packaged Edible Oil Brands
Table 1-1, Auction Sales of China’s National Reserve Oil and Oil Seed
Table 2-1, China’s Soybean Supply and Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 3-1, China’s Rapeseed Supply- Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 4-1, China’s Peanut Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 7-1, Soybean Oil Output of China’s Main Production Provinces, 2007/08-2009/2010
Table 7-2, China’s Soybean Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 8-1, China’s Palm Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 9-1, China’s Rapeseed Oil Output by Province, 2003/04-2009/10
Table 9-2, China’s Rapeseed Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 10-1, China’s Peanut Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 11-1, China’s Cottonseed Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 12-1, China’s Sunflower Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 14-1 Profitability of Singapore Wilmar International Limited, 2007-2010
Table 14-2, Revenue Structure of Singapore Wilmar International Limited, 2009-2010
Table 14-3, Production Capacity of COFCO Oilseed Processing Plants
Table 14-4, Profitability of COFCO, 2007-2009
Table 14-5, Revenue Structure of COFCO, 2007-2009
Table 14-6, Profitability of COFCO’s Grease Business, 2007-2009
Table 14-7, Processing Capabilities of Subsidiary Companies of China Textile Group
Table 14-8, Crushing Capacity of Subsidiary Companies of 93 Group
Table 14-9, Grease Production Capacity of Luhua Group
Figure 1-1 Grinding Profit Variation of Soybean in China, 2007-2011
Figure 2-1 Planting Area Change of Soybean in China, 1990-2010
Figure 2-2 Distribution of Soybean Planting Region in China, 2009
Figure 2-3 Output Change of Soybean in China, 1990-2010
Figure 2-4 China’s Soybean Import & Export and the Forecast, 1997-2010
Figure 2-5 Price Change of China’s Soybean, 2004-2011
Figure 3-1, China’s Rapeseed Planting Area Change, 1990-2011
Figure 3-2, Distribution of China’s Rapeseed Planting Regions, 2009
Figure 3-3, China’s Rapeseed Output Change, 1990-2011
Figure 3-4, China’s Rapeseed Import & Export Changes, 1997-2010
Figure 3-5, Change of China’s Rapeseed Purchasing Price, 2009-2011
Figure 4-1, Regional Distribution of China’s Peanut Planting, 2009
Figure 4-2, China’s Peanut Area and Output Changes, 1990-2010
Figure 4-3, China’s Peanut Import & Export Changes, 1997-2010
Figure 5-1, China’s Cottonseed Output Changes, 1987-2011
Figure 5-2, China’s Cottonseed Import & Export Changes, 1997-2010
Figure 6-1, China’s Sunflower Seed Output Changes, 1991-2010
Figure 6-2, China’s Sunflower Seed Import & Export Changes, 2000-2010
Figure 7-1, China’s Soybean Oil Output Changes, 1998/1999-2010/11
Figure 7-2, Regional Distribution of China’s Soybean Oil, 2009/10
Figure 7-3, China’s Soybean Oil Import & Export Changes and Trend, 1997-2010
Figure 7-4, China’s Soybean Oil Ex-factory Price Trend, 2005-2010
Figure 8-1, China’s Palm Oil Import Changes, 1992-2010
Figure 8-2, China’s Palm Oil Wholesale Price Trend, 2005-2011
Figure 9-1, China’s Rapeseed Oil Production Regions, 2009/10
Figure 9-2, China’s Rapeseed Oil Output Change and Trend, 1993/94-2010/11
Figure 9-3, China’s Rapeseed Oil Import & Export Changes, 1997-2010
Figure 9-4, China’s Rapeseed Oil Wholesale Price Trend, 2005-2010
Figure 10-1, China’s Peanut Oil Output and the Trend of the Change in the Proportion to Domestic Edible Oil Consumption
Figure 10-2, China’s Peanut Oil Import & Export Changes, 2000-2010
Figure 10-3, China’s First-level Peanut Oil Average Wholesale Price Trend
Figure 11-1, China’s Cottonseed Oil Output Changes, 1987-2011
Figure 11-2, China’s Cottonseed Oil Import & Export Contrast, 1997-2010
Figure 11-3, China’s Cottonseed Oil Wholesale Price Trend, 2005-2010
Figure 12-1, China’s Sunflower Oil Output Changes, 1996/97-2010/11
Figure 12-2, China’s Sunflower Oil and Safflower Oil Import and Export Changes, 1997-2010
Figure 13-1, Market Share of China’s Small-packaged Edible Oil Brands
Table 1-1, Auction Sales of China’s National Reserve Oil and Oil Seed
Table 2-1, China’s Soybean Supply and Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 3-1, China’s Rapeseed Supply- Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 4-1, China’s Peanut Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 7-1, Soybean Oil Output of China’s Main Production Provinces, 2007/08-2009/2010
Table 7-2, China’s Soybean Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 8-1, China’s Palm Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 9-1, China’s Rapeseed Oil Output by Province, 2003/04-2009/10
Table 9-2, China’s Rapeseed Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 10-1, China’s Peanut Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 11-1, China’s Cottonseed Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 12-1, China’s Sunflower Oil Supply-Demand Balance, 2004/05-2010/11
Table 14-1 Profitability of Singapore Wilmar International Limited, 2007-2010
Table 14-2, Revenue Structure of Singapore Wilmar International Limited, 2009-2010
Table 14-3, Production Capacity of COFCO Oilseed Processing Plants
Table 14-4, Profitability of COFCO, 2007-2009
Table 14-5, Revenue Structure of COFCO, 2007-2009
Table 14-6, Profitability of COFCO’s Grease Business, 2007-2009
Table 14-7, Processing Capabilities of Subsidiary Companies of China Textile Group
Table 14-8, Crushing Capacity of Subsidiary Companies of 93 Group
Table 14-9, Grease Production Capacity of Luhua Group