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The Future of Kenya Oil Markets, Investments, Projects and Companies to 2025- Exploration, Oil Production, Oil and Product Pipelines, Storage, Refineries and Supply Demand

October 2016 | 90 pages | ID: FE74CE6BB35EN
OG Analysis

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‘The future of Kenya Oil industry’ from one of the world’s leading energy research firm-OGANALYSIS analyses the effect of current global market changes on Kenya oil markets.

Effect of current market dynamics including price fluctuations, CAPEX declines and others on Kenya oil markets

The impact of recent developments including OPEC decision to cut production at Algiers, US shale oil production decline, Kenya government policy changes and CAPEX reductions on companies across Kenya oil value chain are analysed in detail. The research provides detailed analysis of all major risks and opportunities faced by oil and gas companies in Kenya.

Planning and Strategy Support

The report identifies key trends and drivers of Kenya oil markets and provides the SWOT profile of the country. Further, the country is benchmarked with peer markets to compare its position in regional markets. In addition, impact of competing assets in other countries is also evaluated.

Short Term Risk Mitigation and Long Term Growth Strategies

The research work identifies the key moves being taken by government, companies and investors to cop up with global changes and minimize the risks in current market conditions. Further, the research also identifies the strategies being taken by oil and gas players to ensure growth and beat competition in the long run.

Outlook Statements-
  • Crude oil supply and demand outlook, 2005- 2025
  • Products (Gasoline, Diesel, LPG and Fuel Oil) Supply and demand outlook, 2005- 2025
  • Products production and consumption by Fuel, 2015
  • Kenya Primary Energy mix, 2015
  • GDP, Population and Investment Outlook, 2005- 2025
Analysis across value chain

The comprehensive research provides opportunities, risks, infrastructure, trade and competition on exploration blocks, licensing rounds, oil fields, storage, products and crude pipelines and refineries in Kenya.

Feasibility study, Current Status and Expected Start Up and Impacts

For all planned projects including new refineries, storage terminals and pipelines, feasibility study of new projects, their current status including FID/ FEED/EPC along with expected start up, construction contract details and the impact of these projects on Kenya are analysed in detail.

Complete Infrastructure Details

Kenya oil report provides complete asset by asset details of Kenya oil infrastructure. Key details provided in the research include-
  • Exploration- Awarded and Available Block Details, Licensing rounds on Offer, Briefs on Successful Exploration operations, Rigs Count
  • Production- Field wise production information from 2007- 2014; Operational and Planned Oil Field details
  • Oil, Petroleum Products and Chemicals Storage- Storage Capacity by Terminal, 2005- 2022; Terminal details including- location, start up, operator, owners, stakes, tanks, tank sizes, products stored, mode of transport, capex and construction partners
  • Refineries- Refinery wise CDU, Coking, FCC, Hydrocracking, reformer, Hydrotreating, Isomerization capacity outlook, 2005- 2022; Refinery details including- location, start up, operator, owners, equity shares, capex and construction partners
  • Pipelines- Crude and Products pipelines including start point, end point, route, length, diameter, capacity, capex and operators and owners and construction partners
Competitive Landscape

The report provides market shares of each of the sector in Kenya oil markets including-
  • Company wise net weighted oil production, 2005- 2014
  • Company wise refining, coking, FCC and Hydrocracking capacity, 2005- 2022
  • Company wise storage capacity, 2005- 2022
  • Company wise Pipeline Lengths, 2015
The report also analyses three leading companies in Kenya oil markets. Business operations, SWOT Analysis and financial performance of the companies are provided.

Recent Industry Developments

All latest developments in the industry along with their possible impact on the industry are included in the report.

Robust methodology

OG Analysis has daily updated 15 oil and gas databases, which provide updated data on all projects in Kenya. Further, in house experts with years of experience use widely appreciated forecast models to analyse the future of the country. In addition, data and insights are frequently validated with opinions from industry experts to ensure complete accuracy of our predictions.
1 TABLE OF CONTENTS

1.1 List of Tables
1.2 List of Figures

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2.1 Current Market Conditions in Kenya Oil Sector
2.2 Impact of Current Low Price Conditions on Kenya
2.3 Uncertainties and Challenges Faced by Kenya Oil Companies
2.4 Trends and Drivers Shaping the Future of Kenya Oil Markets
2.5 SWOT Analysis
2.6 Benchmark with Peer Markets
  2.6.1 Final Ranking
  2.6.2 Supply Index
  2.6.3 Demand Index
  2.6.4 Infrastructure Index
  2.6.5 Growth Index

3 KENYA OIL MARKET FACTSHEET

3.1 Kenya Oil Market Snapshot, 2016
3.2 Operational Infrastructure Across Oil Value Chain, 2016
  3.2.1 Upstream Sector
  3.2.2 Midstream Sector
  3.2.3 Downstream Sector
3.3 Kenya Primary Energy Demand Outlook, 2000- 2025
3.4 Fuel wise Primary Energy Mix, 2016
3.5 Demographic and Economic Analysis
  3.5.1 Geographical Location Details
  3.5.2 GDP Growth Outlook, 2005- 2025
  3.5.3 Population Outlook, 2005- 2025
3.6 Kenya Oil and Gas Ministry, Regulatory and Licensing Authorities

4 INVESTMENT AND BUSINESS EXPANSION OPPORTUNITIES IN KENYA OIL MARKETS

4.1Current Status of Planned Projects in Exploration, Production, Storage, Transport and Refining Sectors
4.2 Feasibility and Expected Start Ups of Planned Projects in Kenya

5 KENYA OIL MARKET OUTLOOK AND FORECASTS

5.1 Kenya Crude Oil Production Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025
5.2 Kenya Crude Oil Demand Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025
5.3 Kenya LPG Production Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025
5.4 Kenya Motor Gasoline Production Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025
5.5 Kenya Diesel Oil Production Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025
5.6 Kenya Fuel Oil Production Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025
5.7 Kenya LPG Demand Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025
5.8 Kenya Motor Gasoline Demand Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025
5.9 Kenya Diesel Oil Demand Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025
5.10 Kenya Fuel Oil Demand Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE IN KENYA OIL MARKETS, 2016

6.1 Kenya oil production sector – market shares by company, 2014
6.2 Kenya oil storage sector – market shares by company, 2015
6.3 Kenya pipeline sector – market shares by company, 2015
6.4 Kenya refinery sector – market shares by company, 2015

7 KENYA UPSTREAM OIL MARKET ANALYSIS

7.1 Kenya Exploration and Production Sector- Proven Oil Reserves, 2005-2015
7.2 Field by Field Oil Production in Kenya, 2007-2014
7.3 Company wise Oil Production in Kenya, 2007- 2014
7.4 Kenya Exploration Blocks and Oil Field Details
7.5 Kenya Drilling Rigs Information, 2007-2015
7.6 Kenya Upstream Oil Industry- Recent Developments

8 KENYA REFINERY MARKET ANALYSIS

8.1 Kenya refinery market snapshot, 2016
8.2 Kenya petroleum products production, 2016
8.3 Kenya petroleum products consumption, 2016
8.4 Kenya operational and Planned refinery details- startup, capacities, location, operators and owners
8.5 Kenya CDU, Coking, FCC, Hydrocracking, Reformer, Hydrotreater capacity outlook, 2005-2022
8.6 Refinery wise CDU capacity outlook, 2005-2022
8.7 Refinery wise coking capacity outlook, 2005-2022
8.8 Refinery wise FCC capacity outlook, 2005-2022
8.9 Refinery wise HydroCracking capacity outlook, 2005-2022
8.10 Refinery wise Reformer Capacity, Outlook, 2005-2022
8.11 Refinery wise Hydrotreating Capacity, Outlook, 2005-2022,
8.12 Refinery wise Isomerization Capacity, Outlook, 2005-2022
8.13 Kenya refining capacity outlook by company, 2005-2022
8.14 Kenya refining Industry- Recent Developments

9 KENYA OIL STORAGE MARKET ANALYSIS

9.1 Kenya operational Storage Terminal Details- start-up, capacity, tanks, operator and owners, 2016
9.2 Kenya planned Storage Terminal Details- start-up, capacity, tanks, operator and owners, 2017- 2022
9.3 Kenya Oil Storage Capacity by Terminal, 2016
9.4 Oil Storage Capacity by Company, 2016
9.5 Kenya storage Industry- Recent Developments

10 KENYA PIPELINE MARKET ANALYSIS

10.1 Kenya Crude Pipeline Details- Location, Operator, Owners, Length, Diameter, Capacity- 2016
10.2 Kenya Petroleum Product Pipeline Details- Location, Operator, Owners, Length, Diameter, Capacity- 2016
10.4 Kenya Planned Pipeline Details- 2017-2022
10.5 Kenya Pipeline Market- Share in Total Network- 2016
10.6 Kenya pipeline Industry- Recent Developments

11 COMPETITOR OPERATIONS AND BUSINESS PROFILES

11.1 Company A
  11.1.1 Snapshot
  11.1.2 Business Description
  11.1.3 SWOT Analysis
  11.1.4 Financial Analysis
11.2 Company B
  11.2.1 Snapshot
  11.2.2 Business Description
  11.2.3 SWOT Analysis
  11.2.4 Financial Analysis
11.3 Company C
  11.3.1 Snapshot
  11.3.2 Business Description
  11.3.3 SWOT Analysis
  11.3.4 Financial Analysis

12 APPENDIX

12.1 About OG Analysis
12.2 Sources and Research Methodology
12.3 Abbreviations and Conversions
12.4 Contact Information

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Kenya Oil Market Benchmark with Peer Countries- Final Ranking
Table 2: Kenya Oil Market Benchmark with Peer Countries- Supply Index
Table 3: Kenya Oil Market Benchmark with Peer Countries- Demand Index
Table 4: Kenya Oil Market Benchmark with Peer Countries- Infrastructure Index
Table 5: Kenya Oil Market Benchmark with Peer Countries- Growth Index
Table 6: Kenya Oil Markets- Key Facts, 2016
Table 7: Kenya Planned Upstream Project Details
Table 8: Kenya Planned Midstream Project Details
Table 9: Kenya Planned Downstream Project Details
Table 10: Kenya Oil Supply Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Table 11: Kenya LPG Supply Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Table 12: Kenya Gasoline Supply Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Table 13: Kenya Diesel Supply Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Table 14: Kenya Oil Consumption Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Table 15: Kenya LPG Consumption Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Table 16: Kenya Gasoline Consumption Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Table 17: Kenya Diesel Consumption Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Table 18: Kenya Proven Oil Reserve Volume, 2005- 2015
Table 19: Field wise Annual Production, 2007- 2014
Table 20: Company wise Annual Production, 2007- 2014
Table 21: Kenya Refining Operations – Snapshot, 2016
Table 22: Operational and Planned Refinery Details
Table 23: CDU Capacity Outlook by Refinery, 2005- 2022
Table 24: Coking Capacity Outlook by Refinery, 2005- 2022
Table 25: FCC Capacity Outlook by Refinery, 2005- 2022
Table 26: Hydrocracking Capacity Outlook by Refinery, 2005- 2022
Table 27: Hydrotreater Capacity Outlook by Refinery, 2005- 2022
Table 28: Reformer Capacity Outlook by Refinery, 2005- 2022
Table 29: Isomerization Capacity Outlook by Refinery, 2005- 2022
Table 30: Company wise Refining Capacity Outlook, 2005-2022
Table 31: Active and Planned Storage Terminal Details
Table 32: Storage Capacity Outlook by Terminal, 2005-2022
Table 33: Company wise Storage Capacity, 2016
Table 34: Oil Pipeline Details, 2016
Table 35: Product Pipeline Details, 2016
Table 36: Company wise Pipeline Length, 2016

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Kenya Primary Energy Demand Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 2: Kenya Energy Consumption by Fuel, 2016
Figure 3: Kenya Geographical Location and Map
Figure 4: Kenya GDP (Current Prices) Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 5: Kenya Population Outlook, 2005- 2025
Figure 6: Kenya Oil Supply Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Figure 7: Kenya LPG Supply Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Figure 8: Kenya Gasoline Supply Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Figure 9: Kenya Diesel Supply Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Figure 10: Kenya Oil Consumption Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Figure 11: Kenya LPG Consumption Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Figure 12: Kenya Gasoline Consumption Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Figure 13: Kenya Diesel Consumption Forecasts, 2005- 2025
Figure 14: Kenya Oil Production Sector- Market shares by Company, 2014
Figure 15: Kenya Oil Storage Sector- Market shares by Company, 2016
Figure 16: Kenya Oil Refining Sector- Market shares by Company, 2016
Figure 17: Kenya Oil Pipeline Transportation Sector- Market shares by Company, 2016
Figure 18: Drilling Rigs Count
Figure 19: Oil Products Production from Refineries by Fuel, 2016
Figure 20: Oil Products Consumption in Domestic Markets by Fuel, 2016


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