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Serbia - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

February 2021 | 155 pages | ID: SD8BF92E50A3EN
BuddeComm

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Serbia delays 5G auctions due to pandemic

Considerable network investment has been undertaken in Serbia by incumbent and alternative operators in recent years, despite economic difficulties. This has helped to stimulate internet usage, which has also been bolstered by improved affordability as prices are reduced through competition. The pandemic has stimulated consumer take up of services, particularly mobile data. The government's various initiatives to improve rural broadband availability have also been supported by European development loans.

Serbia's high mobile penetration, partly the result of multiple SIM card use, has seen lower revenue in recent years, placing further pressure on operators to develop business models which encourage consumer use of mobile data services as also the continued substitution of fixed-line for mobile voice calls.

In early 2021 Telekom Srbija agreed to provide Telenor Serbia with access to its fibre network. Despite accusations from United Group, which owns the principal cable broadband player SBB, that the deal could undermine SBB's market position, the Group has also agreed to share network assets. This could lead to a significant shift in the telecom market landscape.

BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus continues to have a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure. Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.

On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.

Although it is challenging to predict and interpret the long-term impacts of the crisis as it develops, these have been acknowledged in the industry forecasts contained in this report.

The report also covers the responses of the telecom operators as well as government agencies and regulators as they react to the crisis to ensure that citizens can continue to make optimum use of telecom services. This can be reflected in subsidy schemes and the promotion of tele-health and tele-education, among other solutions.

Key developments:
  • MTS trials 5G services with Ericsson, Telenor with Huawei;
  • Telenor Serbia and Telekom Srbija deny rumours of a merger;
  • SBB delivers gigabit services to its eighth city;
  • Serbia prepares for end of regional roaming by July 2021;
  • Report update includes the regulator's annual reports, market data report to September 2020, telcos' operating and financial data to Q4 2020, assessment of the global impact of Covid-19 on the telecoms sector, recent market developments.
Companies mentioned in this report:

Mobilna Telefonija Srbija (MTS), Telekom Srbija, Vip Mobile, Telenor Serbia, Serbia Broadband (SBB), I.KOM, Knight Development Support, Invest-Inenjering, Beogrid, JET TV, Kopernikus Technology, BeotelNet, Sat Trakt, Telemark and Radijus vektor.
1 KEY STATISTICS

2 REGIONAL EUROPEAN MARKET COMPARISON

2.1 Europe Telecom Maturity Index by tier
2.2 TMI versus GDP
2.3 Mobile and mobile broadband penetration
2.4 Fixed versus mobile broadband penetration

3 COUNTRY OVERVIEW

4 COVID-19 AND ITS IMPACT ON THE TELECOM SECTOR

4.1 Economic considerations and responses
4.2 Mobile devices
4.3 Subscribers
4.4 Infrastructure

5 TELECOMMUNICATIONS MARKET

5.1 Market analysis

6 REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT

6.1 Law on Electronic Communications
6.2 Regulatory authority
6.3 Fixed-line developments
6.4 Mobile network developments

7 MOBILE MARKET

7.1 Market analysis
7.2 Mobile statistics
7.3 Mobile data
7.4 Mobile broadband
7.5 Mobile infrastructure
7.6 Major mobile operators
7.7 Mobile content and applications

8 FIXED-LINE BROADBAND MARKET

8.1 Introduction and statistical overview
8.2 Broadband statistics
8.3 Fixed-line broadband technologies

9 FIXED NETWORK OPERATORS

9.1 Telekom Srbija

10 TELECOMMUNICATIONS INFRASTRUCTURE

10.1 Overview of the national telecom network
10.2 International infrastructure

11 APPENDIX HISTORIC DATA

12 GLOSSARY OF ABBREVIATIONS

13 RELATED REPORTS

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1 Top Level Country Statistics and Telco Authorities - Serbia 2020 (e)
Table 2 Share of telecom investment by service 2010 2019
Table 3 Share of telecom revenue by service 2009 2019
Table 4 Decline in the number of annual fixed number portings 2014 2020
Table 5 Average mobile number portings per month 2011 2020
Table 6 Annual and cumulative mobile number portings 2011 2020
Table 7 Change in roaming voice traffic 2012 2019
Table 8 Change in roaming voice revenue 2013 2019
Table 9 Mobile base stations in service by MNO 2017 2019
Table 10 Growth in mobile market revenue 2009 2019
Table 11 Change in revenue market share by operator 2009 2019
Table 12 Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration 2011 2026
Table 13 Growth in outgoing mobile traffic 2009 2020
Table 14 Change in share of mobile subscribers by operator 2009 2020
Table 15 Prepaid subscribers and proportion of total mobile subscribers 2009 - 2020
Table 16 Change in the number of Telenor's prepaid subscribers 2010 - 2020
Table 17 Change in the number of MTS's prepaid subscribers 2012 - 2019
Table 18 Growth in mobile data traffic 2012 2020
Table 19 Change in SMS traffic 2009 2020
Table 20 Change in MMS traffic 2009 2019
Table 21 Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration 2011 2026
Table 22 Mobile base stations installed by operator 2019
Table 23 Growth in the number of M2M connections 2014 2020
Table 24 Telenor Serbia mobile subscribers 2010 2020
Table 25 Telenor Serbia mobile financial data 2010 2018
Table 26 Telenor Serbia financial data ( ) 2018 2020
Table 27 Telenor Serbia mobile ARPU - 2018 - 2020
Table 28 Change in the number of MTS's mobile subscribers 2010 2019
Table 29 Development of Vip Mobile's revenue and EBITDA 2010 2020
Table 30 Development of Vip Mobile's operating income and capex 2010 2020
Table 31 Development of Vip Mobile's financial data by quarter 2016 2020
Table 32 Increase in the number of Vip Mobile's subscribers 2010 2020
Table 33 Change in the number of fixed-line broadband subscribers by platform 2009 2020
Table 34 Change in the fixed broadband market share by platform 2015 - 2020
Table 35 Fixed broadband market share by access speed 2016 2020
Table 36 Growth in the number of fixed-line broadband subscribers and penetration 2011 2026
Table 37 Development of Telekom Srbija's DSL subscribers 2008 - 2019
Table 38 Development of Telekom Srbija Group financial data 2010 2019
Table 39 Change in Telekom Srbija Group revenue by service 2014 2019
Table 40 Development of Telekom Srbija financial data 2009 2019
Table 41 Development of Telekom Srbija revenue by service 2014 2019
Table 42 Decline in Telekom Srbija Group fixed voice subscribers 2009 2019
Table 43 Change in the number of Telekom Srbija's subscribers by sector 2010 2019
Table 44 Growth in Telekom Srbija Group investment 2013 2019
Table 45 Change in Telekom Srbija investments by segment 2010 2019
Table 46 Decline in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity 2011 2026
Table 47 Decline in fixed line voice traffic 2009 2020
Table 48 International internet bandwidth 2011 2019
Table 49 Historic - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate 1998 - 2010
Table 50 Historic International internet bandwidth 2004 - 2009
Table 51 Historic - Development of Telekom Srbija Group financial data (billion) 2007 2009
Table 52 Historic - Telenor prepaid users 2007 2009
Table 53 Historic - Telenor Serbia's mobile financial data 2007 2009
Table 54 Historic - Vip Mobile revenue and EBITDA 2007 2009
Table 55 Historic - Vip Mobile operating income and capex 2007 2009
Table 56 Historic - Vip Mobile subscribers 2007 2009
Table 57 Historic - Telenor Serbia mobile subscribers 2006 2009
Table 58 Historic- Vip Mobile financial data by quarter 2007 2009
Table 59 Historic - Telenor prepaid users 2007 - 2009
Table 60 Historic - Fixed-line broadband subscribers and penetration 2005 - 2010
Chart 1 Europe Telecoms Maturity Index Market Leaders (top tier)
Chart 2 Europe Telecoms Maturity Index Market Challengers (middle tier)
Chart 3 Europe Telecoms Maturity Index Market Emergents (bottom tier)
Chart 4 Overall view - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per Capita
Chart 5 Europe - mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
Chart 6 Scandinavia and Baltics: mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
Chart 7 Northern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
Chart 8 Southern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
Chart 9 Eastern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
Chart 10 Scandinavia and Baltics fixed and mobile broadband penetration
Chart 11 Northern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration
Chart 12 Southern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration
Chart 13 Eastern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration
Chart 14 Share of telecom investment by service 2009 2019
Chart 15 Share of telecom revenue by service 2009 2019
Chart 16 Decline in the number of annual fixed number portings 2014 2020
Chart 17 Average mobile number portings per month 2011 2020
Chart 18 Annual and cumulative mobile number portings 2011 2020
Chart 19 Change in roaming voice traffic 2012 2019
Chart 20 Change in roaming voice revenue 2013 2019
Chart 21 Growth in mobile market revenue 2009 2019
Chart 22 Change in revenue market share by operator 2009 2019
Chart 23 Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration 2011 2026
Chart 24 Growth in outgoing mobile traffic 2009 2020
Chart 25 Change in mobile operator market share by subscribers 2009 2020
Chart 26 Prepaid subscribers and proportion of total mobile subscribers 2009 - 2020
Chart 27 Change in the number of Telenor's prepaid subscribers 2010 2020
Chart 28 Change in the number of MTS's prepaid subscribers 2012 - 2019
Chart 29 Growth in mobile data traffic 2012 2020
Chart 30 Change in SMS traffic 2009 2020
Chart 31 Change in MMS traffic 2009 2019
Chart 32 Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration 2011 2026
Chart 33 Growth in the number of M2M connections 2014 2020
Chart 34 Telenor Serbia mobile subscribers 2010 2020
Chart 35 Telenor Serbia mobile financial data 2010 2018
Chart 36 Telenor Serbia financial data ( ) 2018 2020
Chart 37 Change in the number of MTS's mobile subscribers 2010 2019
Chart 38 Development of Vip Mobile's revenue and EBITDA 2010 2020
Chart 39 Development of Vip Mobile's operating income and capex 2010 2020
Chart 40 Vip Mobile financial data by quarter 2016 2020
Chart 41 Increase in the number of Vip Mobile's subscribers 2010 2020
Chart 42 Change in the number of fixed-line broadband subscribers by platform 2009 2020
Chart 43 Change in the fixed broadband market share by platform 2015 - 2020
Chart 44 Fixed broadband market share by access speed 2016 2020
Chart 45 Growth in the number of fixed-line broadband subscribers and penetration 2011 2026
Chart 46 Development of Telekom Srbija's DSL subscribers 2008 - 2019
Chart 47 Development of Telekom Srbija Group financial data 2010 2019
Chart 48 Change in Telekom Srbija Group revenue by service 2014 2019
Chart 49 Development of Telekom Srbija financial data 2009 2019
Chart 50 Development of Telekom Srbija revenue by service 2014 2019
Chart 51 Decline in Telekom Srbija Group fixed voice subscribers 2009 2019
Chart 52 Change in the number of Telekom Srbija subscribers by sector 2010 2019
Chart 53 Growth in Telekom Srbija Group investment 2013 2019
Chart 54 Change in Telekom Srbija investments by segment 2010 2019
Chart 55 Decline in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity 2011 2026
Chart 56 Decline in fixed line voice traffic 2009 2020
Chart 57 International internet bandwidth 2010 2019
Exhibit 1 Generalised Market Characteristics by Market Segment


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