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Madagascar - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

November 2020 | 98 pages | ID: M7A223C6BFACEN
BuddeComm

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The Madagascar - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses report includes all relevant BuddeComm research data and analysis. Covering trends and developments in telecommunications, mobile, internet, broadband, infrastructure and regulation. Please review the Executive Summary and Table of Contents for more details.

Executive Summary

Gulfsat licensed as Madagascar's second backbone operator

Telecom services in Madagascar have benefited from intensifying competition between the main operators, including Orange Madagascar, Airtel and the incumbent telco Telma. A fourth mobile operator, Gulfsat Madagascar, operating under the Blueline banner, has its own mobile network and in mid-2020 was licensed to build its own fibre network, thus ending the monopoly long held by Telma.

Positive developments in the international connectivity are also materialising following investments in the METISS cable connecting to South Africa and Mauritius. Landing stations for this cable were completed in June 2020. The country's connection to the Africa-1 cable will provide additional links to the African mainland and to other international cable systems.

A national fibre backbone has been implemented connecting the major cities, with Telma having invested some $250 million to expand the network to 11,000km between 2017 and 2019. Wireless access networks are being rolled out, with Telma having completed a network upgrade to LTE-A, and with the government in mid-2020 committing itself to deploying free WiFi hotspots in a bid to ensure that poorest sections of society have access to internet services.

Penetration rates in all market sectors are still below African averages, and so there remains considerable growth potential.

BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus in 2020 is having a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure. Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.

On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.

Although it is challenging to predict and interpret the long-term impacts of the crisis as it develops, these have been acknowledged in the industry forecasts contained in this report.

The report also covers the responses of the telecom operators as well as government agencies and regulators as they react to the crisis to ensure that citizens can continue to make optimum use of telecom services. This can be reflected in subsidy schemes and the promotion of tele-health and tele-education, among other solutions.

Key developments:
  • Telma ordered to suspend its 5G service;
  • Madagascar to host landing station for the Africa-1 cable system, to be ready in 2021;
  • National backbone network extended to 11,000km;
  • Gulfsat Madagascar secures licence to become the second national backbone provider;
  • Government announces plans to deploy free Wi-Fi hotspots;
  • Orange Madagascar completes national LTE-A network upgrade;
  • Telecom service tax drops to 8%;
Report update includes the regulator's market data updates for 2019, telcos' operating data to Q2 2020, assessment of the global impact of Covid-19 on the telecoms sector, recent market developments.

Companies mentioned in this report:

Telecom Malagasy (Telma), Airtel Madagascar (Zain, Celtel), Orange Madagascar, Madamobil, Gulfsat Madagascar (Blueline), Datacom, Data Telecom Services (DTS, Moov)
1 KEY STATISTICS

2 COUNTRY OVERVIEW

3 COVID-19 AND ITS IMPACT ON THE TELECOM SECTOR

3.1 Economic considerations and responses
3.2 Mobile devices
3.3 Subscribers
3.4 Infrastructure

4 TELECOMMUNICATIONS MARKET

4.1 Market analysis

5 REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT

5.1 Telecommunications reform
5.2 National ICT Policy
5.3 Regulatory authority
5.4 Fixed-line developments
5.5 Mobile network developments

6 MOBILE MARKET

6.1 Market analysis
6.2 Mobile statistics
6.3 Mobile infrastructure
6.4 Major mobile operators
6.5 Mobile content and applications

7 FIXED-LINE BROADBAND MARKET

7.1 Market analysis
7.2 Broadband statistics
7.3 Public internet access locations
7.4 Data licensees
7.5 Broadband infrastructure

8 FIXED NETWORK OPERATORS

8.1 Telecom Malagasy (Telma)
8.2 Gulfsat Madagascar

9 TELECOMMUNICATIONS INFRASTRUCTURE

9.1 Overview of the national telecom network
9.2 Network infrastructure
9.3 National fibre optic backbone
9.4 International infrastructure

10 GLOSSARY OF ABBREVIATIONS

11 RELATED REPORTS

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1 Top Level Country Statistics and Telco Authorities - Madagascar 2020 (e)
Table 2 Development of telecom market revenue by service 2010 2019
Table 3 Fixed-line voice and data revenue 2014 2019
Table 4 Development of wholesale revenue by service 2016 2019
Table 5 Change in telecom market investment 2010 2019
Table 6 Telecom sector share of GDP 2012 2018
Table 7 Mobile network coverage of communes 2017; 2019
Table 8 New mobile network coverage by technology 2018 - 2019
Table 9 Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration rate 2010 2025
Table 10 Development of off-net mobile traffic 2010 2019
Table 11 Development of on-net mobile traffic 2010 2019
Table 12 Development of mobile revenue by type 2017 2019
Table 13 Increase in SMS traffic 2008 2019
Table 14 Decline in SMS revenue 2017 2019
Table 15 Population coverage by mobile platform 2014 2018
Table 16 Shared and owned mobile base stations 2017 2019
Table 17 Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration 2013 - 2025
Table 18 Increase in fixed and mobile internet traffic 2010 2019
Table 19 Mobile internet revenue 2016 2019
Table 20 Airtel Madagascar mobile subscribers 2013 2019
Table 21 Change in the number of Orange Madagascar's mobile subscribers 2010 2020
Table 22 Telma Mobile mobile subscribers 2013 2019
Table 23 Change in the number of fixed-line internet users and penetration rate 2010 2019
Table 24 Fixed-line broadband subscribers 2010 2021
Table 25 Increase in fixed-line internet traffic 2010 2019
Table 26 Decline in the number of DSL subscribers 2010 2019
Table 27 Increase in the number of fibre broadband subscribers 2013 2019
Table 28 Change in the number of sixed wireless broadband subscribers 2016 2019
Table 29 Decline in the number of satellite broadband subscribers 2016 2019
Table 30 Change in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity 2010 2021
Table 31 Change in the number of fixed lines by type 2015 2019
Table 32 Decline in fixed-line traffic 2010 2019
Table 33 Increase in international internet bandwidth 2010 2018
Table 34 Historic - Telecom market revenue by service 2006 2009
Table 35 Historic - Mobile network coverage by technology and operator 2017
Table 36 Historic - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate 2000 2009
Table 37 Historic - Development of off-net mobile traffic 2006 2009
Table 38 Historic - Development of on-net mobile traffic 2006 2009
Table 39 Historic - Zain Madagascar financial data before takeover 2006 2009
Table 40 Historic - Orange Madagascar subscribers 2007 2009
Table 41 Historic - Orange Madagascar revenue 2012 2014
Table 42 Historic - Fixed-line internet users and penetration rate 2000 2009
Table 43 Historic - Fixed-line broadband subscribers 2006 2009
Table 44 Historic - DSL broadband subscribers 2006 2009
Table 45 Historic - Fixed lines in service and teledensity 2000 2009
Table 46 Historic - Fixed-line traffic 2006 2009
Table 47 Historic - International internet bandwidth 2000 2009
Chart 1 Development of telecom market revenue by service 2010 2019
Chart 2 Development of wholesale revenue by service 2016 2019
Chart 3 Change in telecom market investment 2010 2019
Chart 4 Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration rate 2010 2025
Chart 5 Development of off-net mobile traffic 2010 2019
Chart 6 Development of on-net mobile traffic 2010 2019
Chart 7 Increase in SMS traffic 2008 2019
Chart 8 Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration 2013 - 2025
Chart 9 Increase in fixed and mobile internet traffic 2010 2019
Chart 10 Change in the number of Orange Madagascar's mobile subscribers 2010 2020
Chart 11 Decline in the number of DSL subscribers 2010 2019
Chart 12 Increase in the number of fibre broadband subscribers 2013 2019
Chart 13 Change in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity 2010 2021
Chart 14 Change in the number of fixed lines by type 2015 2019
Chart 15 Decline in fixed-line traffic 2010 2019
Exhibit 1 2Africa submarine cable
Exhibit 2 2Africa landing stations


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