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Guyana - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

November 2020 | 94 pages | ID: GC8A94C7E51EEN
BuddeComm

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The Guyana - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses report includes all relevant BuddeComm research data and analysis. Covering trends and developments in telecommunications, mobile, internet, broadband, infrastructure and regulation. Please review the Executive Summary and Table of Contents for more details.

Executive Summary

Guyana's oil revenue potential for telecom infrastructure upgrades

The only English-speaking nation in South America, Guyana has a small population which traditionally had one of the lowest GDP rates in the region. Although GDP growth had been steady in recent years, the sale of oil from offshore reserves which started in February 2020 promises to completely transform the economy. With good stewardship, oil revenue has the potential to lead to a major overhaul of the country's infrastructure, including the aging telecom networks.

The incumbent telco Guyana Telephone and Telegraph (GT&T, rebranded as GTT in late 2015) is controlled by the US-based Atlantic Tele-Network (ATN). The company competes with Digicel in the mobile market but retains a monopoly over fixed-line services. Although GTT's fixed-line monopoly was renewed for 20 years in December 2010 it drew to a close following the passing of the 2016 Telecommunications Act. However, since 2017 there have been delays in negotiations between the government and GTT relating to the terms of the market liberalisation and so the monopoly has been retained in practice: GTT still claims that it enjoys a monopoly on international voice and data services until 2030. Digicel is expected to launch competing services in the fixed-line market as soon as it is able to do so. In 2019 the government signed an MoU with ATN regarding licensing terms and the benefits expected to develop from market liberalisation. However, relations between the company and government are fraught, not least in relation to tax arears amounting to some $44 million.

Fixed broadband services have improved, especially since the opening of the SG-SCS submarine cable in mid-2010, but they are still comparatively slow and expensive, and the number of broadband subscribers remains small. The submarine cable proposed by Digicel would provide a second link to international cable infrastructure in the region and would go far in reducing consumer pricing. The government's plan to build a domestic network connecting government offices in remote and inland areas was halted by a newly elected government in 2015 and closed down in 2016, having been disastrously mismanaged. However, in the 2019 budget funds were made available to promote the use of ICTs for a range of e-government, e-health and tele-education services, as well as to build ICT hubs in remote areas affecting a number of communities.

In the mobile sector GTT's mobile unit Cellink competes with Digicel Guyana. Both operate GSM/GPRS networks while Cellink in mid-2017 also launched a limited LTE service.

BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus has had a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure. Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.

On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.

Although it is challenging to predict and interpret the long-term impacts of the crisis as it develops, these have been acknowledged in the industry forecasts contained in this report.

The report also covers the responses of the telecom operators as well as government agencies and regulators as they react to the crisis to ensure that citizens can continue to make optimum use of telecom services. This can be reflected in subsidy schemes and the promotion of tele-health and tele-education, among other solutions.

Key developments:
  • Sale of extracted oil begins, though hopes of a financial windfall are diluted by the crash in demand caused by the pandemic;
  • GTT expands LTE and fibre broadband services;
  • Digicel Guyana has microwave link with Suriname shut down;
  • Three spectrum monitoring stations opened;
  • Government struggles to complete end to GTT's monopoly;
  • E-Networks signs agreement to use O3b's Fiber in the Sky satellite network;
Report update includes the regulator's 2018 annual report, ITU's 2019 market data, operator data to Q3 2020, Telecom Maturity Index charts and analyses, assessment of the global impact of COVID-19 on the telecoms sector recent market developments.
1 KEY STATISTICS

2 REGIONAL LATIN AMERICA MARKET COMPARISON

2.1 Telecom Maturity Index by tier
2.2 TMI versus GDP
2.3 Mobile and mobile broadband penetration
2.4 Fixed and mobile broadband penetration

3 COUNTRY OVERVIEW

4 COVID-19 AND ITS IMPACT ON THE TELECOM SECTOR

4.1 Economic considerations and responses
4.2 Mobile devices
4.3 Subscribers
4.4 Infrastructure

5 TELECOMMUNICATIONS MARKET

5.1 Market analysis

6 REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT

6.1 Historical overview
6.2 Regulatory authorities
6.3 Privatisation of GTT
6.4 Telecom sector liberalisation

7 MOBILE MARKET

7.1 Market analysis
7.2 Mobile statistics
7.3 Mobile infrastructure
7.4 Major mobile operators
7.5 Mobile content and applications

8 FIXED-LINE BROADBAND MARKET

8.1 Broadband statistics
8.2 Fixed-line broadband technologies

9 DIGITAL ECONOMY

10 FIXED NETWORK OPERATORS

10.1 Guyana Telephone & Telegraph Company (GTT)

11 TELECOMMUNICATIONS INFRASTRUCTURE

11.1 National telecom network
11.2 International infrastructure

12 GLOSSARY OF ABBREVIATIONS

13 RELATED REPORTS

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1 Top Level Country Statistics and Telco Authorities Guyana 2020 (e)
Table 2 Evolution of GDP in Guyana 2010 2020
Table 3 Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration 2010 2025
Table 4 Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration 2014 2025
Table 5 Growth in the number of fixed-line broadband subscribers and penetration 2010 2025
Table 6 Change in the number of DSL subscribers 2010- 2020
Table 7 GTT International revenue by sector (new style) 2015 2020
Table 8 GTT International revenue by sector 2019 2020
Table 9 Change in the number of GTT International's subscribers by sector 2016 2020
Table 10 Change in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity 2010 2025
Table 11 International internet bandwidth 2004 2017
Table 12 Historic - Evolution of GDP in Guyana 2000 2009
Table 13 Historic - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate 1997 2009
Table 14 Historic - Fixed lines in service and teledensity 1997 2009
Table 15 Historic - Mobile operators' market share 2003 2011
Table 16 Historic - GTT mobile subscribers 1999 2014
Table 17 Historic - Digicel Guyana revenue 2013 2015
Table 18 Historic - Internet users and user penetration rate 1998 2009
Table 19 Historic - Internet users and user penetration rate 2010 2015
Table 20 Historic - Fixed-line broadband subscribers and penetration 2005 2009
Table 21 Historic - DSL subscribers 2005- 2009
Table 22 Historic - GTT revenue by sector 2010 2015
Chart 1 Latin America Overall Telecoms Maturity Index
Chart 2 Latin America Telecoms Maturity Index Market Leaders Category
Chart 3 Latin America Telecoms Maturity Index Market Challengers Category
Chart 4 Latin America Telecoms Maturity Index Market Laggards Category
Chart 5 South America Telecoms Maturity Index by country
Chart 6 Central America Telecoms Maturity Index by country
Chart 7 Latin America Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per Capita
Chart 8 Latin America mobile subscriber penetration versus mobile broadband penetration
Chart 9 Latin America fixed broadband penetration versus mobile broadband penetration
Chart 10 Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration 2010 2025
Chart 11 Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration 2014 2025
Chart 12 Growth in the number of fixed-line broadband subscribers and penetration 2010 2025
Chart 13 Development of GTT International's revenue by sector (new style) 2015 2019
Chart 14 Change in the number of GTT International's subscribers by sector 2016 2020
Chart 15 Change in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity 2010 2025
Exhibit 1 Generalised Market Characteristics by Market Segment
Exhibit 2 South America - Key Characteristics of Telecoms Markets by Country
Exhibit 3 Central America - Key Characteristics of Telecoms Markets by Country
Exhibit 4 Map of Guyana


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