Australia LNG Industry Outlook to 2018 - Upcoming LNG Projects to Drive the Future Growth
The report titled ‘Australia LNG Industry Outlook to 2018 - Upcoming LNG Projects to Drive the Future Growth’ provides a comprehensive analysis of the LNG industry in Australia covering various aspects such as market size, market segmentation, market share on the basis of current and future investments in existing and upcoming LNG projects, trends and future projections of the Australian LNG industry with key growth drivers and challenges impacting the industry. The report also provides detailed explanation of the various macro variables and industry factors driving the growth of Australia’s LNG industry.
The natural gas sector in Australia has engulfed the most important industry for the Australian economy – the LNG industry. The investment from institutional investors as well as from global oil majors contributes an important array for strong portfolio of LNG projects. These LNG projects will be contributing immensely towards growing participation of Australia’s LNG industry at global scale. Due to vast natural gas reserves of Australia, interest of major global and domestic Oil & Gas companies to leverage this excess capacity had resulted in formation of infrastructure for LNG exports to important gas consumer markets. These gas markets particularly in Asian countries are good opportunity for LNG business since their emerging economies had outpaced the domestic energy supply-demand balance and due to geographic proximity of Australia, the LNG export industry can flourish in long term prospects.
The market for Australia LNG industry is driven majorly by LNG export volumes which in turn depend upon the natural gas production from proved gas reserves and the LNG production. These export volumes also depends on the number of long term contracts or spot/short term gas sales contracts with the LNG importing countries. The LNG production in 2012 was ~ and showcased a CAGR of 6.3% during 2008-2013. The market size on a broader term is also decided by the proved gas reserves in Australia, as these vast gas reserves forms the basis for developing an export oriented LNG industry in Australia.
The major characteristics of Australian LNG industry solely depends on the portfolio of existing and under construction LNG projects and the respective investments into the establishments of projects. The market share of major global companies such as Chevron by investments in existing LNG projects is ~% with investment worth USD ~ billion in 2013 and domestic company Woodside Petroleum is having major share of ~% worth USD ~ billion. As of 2013, on the basis of under construction LNG projects, Chevron holds a big share among major companies with ~% worth USD ~ billion of investments. This is closely followed by Shell with ~% share in total investments invested in the category of under construction projects.
The outlook for Australia LNG industry is expected to be positive as LNG export volumes from Australia is going to reach ~ million tons by fiscal year 2018-19, giving a CAGR of 27.4% for 2013-2018. This is facilitated by Natural gas production in Australia which is expected to reach ~ billion cubic meters in fiscal year 2018-19 owing to gas sourcing for the LNG projects. The LNG prices also became an important variable affecting the LNG industry of Australia which is the pricing model prevailing in Asian region and is based on Japanese CIF (Cost Insurance Freight) terms. There will be depreciation in the LNG prices till 2018 with a CAGR of -2.4%, since long term gas sales agreement captures the majority of LNG volumes from Australia and hence will be affecting the short term LNG trade from Australia. The combination of several parameters such as government policy framework, investments cycle, competition from unconventional gas resources, regasification capacity of LNG importing countries, and role of Asian countries in driving the global LNG demand would be the key points validating the growth of the Australia’s LNG industry.
KEY TOPICS COVERED IN THE REPORT:
The natural gas sector in Australia has engulfed the most important industry for the Australian economy – the LNG industry. The investment from institutional investors as well as from global oil majors contributes an important array for strong portfolio of LNG projects. These LNG projects will be contributing immensely towards growing participation of Australia’s LNG industry at global scale. Due to vast natural gas reserves of Australia, interest of major global and domestic Oil & Gas companies to leverage this excess capacity had resulted in formation of infrastructure for LNG exports to important gas consumer markets. These gas markets particularly in Asian countries are good opportunity for LNG business since their emerging economies had outpaced the domestic energy supply-demand balance and due to geographic proximity of Australia, the LNG export industry can flourish in long term prospects.
The market for Australia LNG industry is driven majorly by LNG export volumes which in turn depend upon the natural gas production from proved gas reserves and the LNG production. These export volumes also depends on the number of long term contracts or spot/short term gas sales contracts with the LNG importing countries. The LNG production in 2012 was ~ and showcased a CAGR of 6.3% during 2008-2013. The market size on a broader term is also decided by the proved gas reserves in Australia, as these vast gas reserves forms the basis for developing an export oriented LNG industry in Australia.
The major characteristics of Australian LNG industry solely depends on the portfolio of existing and under construction LNG projects and the respective investments into the establishments of projects. The market share of major global companies such as Chevron by investments in existing LNG projects is ~% with investment worth USD ~ billion in 2013 and domestic company Woodside Petroleum is having major share of ~% worth USD ~ billion. As of 2013, on the basis of under construction LNG projects, Chevron holds a big share among major companies with ~% worth USD ~ billion of investments. This is closely followed by Shell with ~% share in total investments invested in the category of under construction projects.
The outlook for Australia LNG industry is expected to be positive as LNG export volumes from Australia is going to reach ~ million tons by fiscal year 2018-19, giving a CAGR of 27.4% for 2013-2018. This is facilitated by Natural gas production in Australia which is expected to reach ~ billion cubic meters in fiscal year 2018-19 owing to gas sourcing for the LNG projects. The LNG prices also became an important variable affecting the LNG industry of Australia which is the pricing model prevailing in Asian region and is based on Japanese CIF (Cost Insurance Freight) terms. There will be depreciation in the LNG prices till 2018 with a CAGR of -2.4%, since long term gas sales agreement captures the majority of LNG volumes from Australia and hence will be affecting the short term LNG trade from Australia. The combination of several parameters such as government policy framework, investments cycle, competition from unconventional gas resources, regasification capacity of LNG importing countries, and role of Asian countries in driving the global LNG demand would be the key points validating the growth of the Australia’s LNG industry.
KEY TOPICS COVERED IN THE REPORT:
- Market Size on the basis of proved natural gas reserves, LNG trade movements from Australia, value of LNG exports and LNG production in Australia
- Market Segmentation on the basis of LNG volumes imported by major LNG importing countries from Australia and Spot/Short term LNG trade volumes received by major LNG importing countries from Australia
- Market Share by major companies and their investments in existing as well as under construction LNG projects in Australia
- Future outlook and projections for Australia LNG industry
- Competitive Landscape of Major Players in LNG shipbuilding industry
- Benchmark Analysis of Australia with its peer competitive LNG exporting countries
- Growth Drivers and Challenges for Australia LNG Industry in terms of present and future scenario
- Detailed project profiles of existing as well as under construction LNG projects
- Snapshot of upcoming Floating LNG (FLNG) projects in Australia
1. LNG INDUSTRY IN AUSTRALIA - INTRODUCTION
1.1. LNG Value Chain
1.2. Australia Contribution by LNG Exports in Global LNG Industry
2. AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY MARKET SIZE
2.1. By Proved Natural Gas Reserves in Australia, 2008-2012
2.2. By LNG Production in Australia, 2008-2012
2.3. By LNG Trade Movements from Australia (in terms of Exports), 2008-2013
2.4. By Value of Australia LNG Exports, 2008 - 2013
3. AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY MARKET SEGMENTATION
3.1. By Major LNG Importing Countries, 2008-2012
3.2. By Spot/Short Term LNG Trade Volumes Received by Major LNG Importing Countries, 2008-2012
4. FLOATING LNG – NEXT GENERATION LNG TECHNOLOGY
4.1. FLNG Concept
4.2. Upcoming FLNG Projects in Australia
4.2.1. Browse FLNG Project
4.2.2. Bonaparte FLNG Project
5. TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS IN AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY: IMPACT ON FUTURE
6. GROWTH DRIVERS AND CHALLENGES FOR AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY: PRESENT AND FUTURE
Growth Drivers
Challenges
7. AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY MARKET SHARE
7.1. By Major Companies and Investments in Existing LNG Projects
7.2. By Major Companies & Investments in Under Construction LNG Projects
8. BENCHMARK ANALYSIS OF AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY WITH ITS PEER MARKETS
9. PROFILE OF LNG PROJECTS IN AUSTRALIA
9.1. Existing LNG Projects in Australia
North West Shelf Project
Darwin LNG Project
Pluto LNG Project
9.2. Under Construction LNG Projects in Australia
10. PROFILE OF MAJOR COMPANIES IN AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY
10.1. Chevron
10.1.1. Business overview
10.1.2. Business Strategies
10.1.3. Financial Performance, 2008-2013
10.2. Conoco Phillips
10.2.1. Business Overview
10.2.2. Business Strategies
10.2.3. Financial Performance, 2010-2013
10.3. Shell
10.3.1. Business Overview
10.3.2. Business Strategies
10.3.3. Financial Performance, 2008-2013
10.4. Santos
10.4.1. Business Overview
10.4.2. Business Strategies
10.4.3. Financial Performance, 2008-2013
10.5. Woodside Petroleum
10.5.1. Business Overview
10.5.2. Business Strategies
10.5.3. Financial Performance, 2008-2013
11. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE OF MAJOR PLAYERS IN LNG SHIPBUILDING INDUSTRY
12. AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY FUTURE OUTLOOK
12.1. Future Projections of Liquefaction capacity of Major LNG Exporting Countries, 2008, 2013 and 2018
12.2. Future Projections of Regasification capacity of Major LNG Importing Countries, 2008, 2013 and 2018
12.3. Future Projections of LNG Production in Australia, 2008-2018
12.4. Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis for Australia LNG Industry
13. MACRO ECONOMIC VARIABLES OF AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY
13.1. Natural Gas Production in Australia, 2008-2018
13.2. LNG Export Volumes from Australia, 2008-2018
13.3. LNG Demand from Asia Pacific Countries, 2008-2018
13.4. LNG Prices in Asia Pacific Region, 2008-2018
14. APPENDIX
14.1. Market Definitions
14.2. Abbreviations
14.3. Research Methodology
Data Collection Methods
Approach
Variables (Dependent and Independent)
Multi Factor Based Sensitivity Model
Final Conclusion
14.4. Disclaimer
1.1. LNG Value Chain
1.2. Australia Contribution by LNG Exports in Global LNG Industry
2. AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY MARKET SIZE
2.1. By Proved Natural Gas Reserves in Australia, 2008-2012
2.2. By LNG Production in Australia, 2008-2012
2.3. By LNG Trade Movements from Australia (in terms of Exports), 2008-2013
2.4. By Value of Australia LNG Exports, 2008 - 2013
3. AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY MARKET SEGMENTATION
3.1. By Major LNG Importing Countries, 2008-2012
3.2. By Spot/Short Term LNG Trade Volumes Received by Major LNG Importing Countries, 2008-2012
4. FLOATING LNG – NEXT GENERATION LNG TECHNOLOGY
4.1. FLNG Concept
4.2. Upcoming FLNG Projects in Australia
4.2.1. Browse FLNG Project
4.2.2. Bonaparte FLNG Project
5. TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS IN AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY: IMPACT ON FUTURE
6. GROWTH DRIVERS AND CHALLENGES FOR AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY: PRESENT AND FUTURE
Growth Drivers
Challenges
7. AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY MARKET SHARE
7.1. By Major Companies and Investments in Existing LNG Projects
7.2. By Major Companies & Investments in Under Construction LNG Projects
8. BENCHMARK ANALYSIS OF AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY WITH ITS PEER MARKETS
9. PROFILE OF LNG PROJECTS IN AUSTRALIA
9.1. Existing LNG Projects in Australia
North West Shelf Project
Darwin LNG Project
Pluto LNG Project
9.2. Under Construction LNG Projects in Australia
10. PROFILE OF MAJOR COMPANIES IN AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY
10.1. Chevron
10.1.1. Business overview
10.1.2. Business Strategies
10.1.3. Financial Performance, 2008-2013
10.2. Conoco Phillips
10.2.1. Business Overview
10.2.2. Business Strategies
10.2.3. Financial Performance, 2010-2013
10.3. Shell
10.3.1. Business Overview
10.3.2. Business Strategies
10.3.3. Financial Performance, 2008-2013
10.4. Santos
10.4.1. Business Overview
10.4.2. Business Strategies
10.4.3. Financial Performance, 2008-2013
10.5. Woodside Petroleum
10.5.1. Business Overview
10.5.2. Business Strategies
10.5.3. Financial Performance, 2008-2013
11. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE OF MAJOR PLAYERS IN LNG SHIPBUILDING INDUSTRY
12. AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY FUTURE OUTLOOK
12.1. Future Projections of Liquefaction capacity of Major LNG Exporting Countries, 2008, 2013 and 2018
12.2. Future Projections of Regasification capacity of Major LNG Importing Countries, 2008, 2013 and 2018
12.3. Future Projections of LNG Production in Australia, 2008-2018
12.4. Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis for Australia LNG Industry
13. MACRO ECONOMIC VARIABLES OF AUSTRALIA LNG INDUSTRY
13.1. Natural Gas Production in Australia, 2008-2018
13.2. LNG Export Volumes from Australia, 2008-2018
13.3. LNG Demand from Asia Pacific Countries, 2008-2018
13.4. LNG Prices in Asia Pacific Region, 2008-2018
14. APPENDIX
14.1. Market Definitions
14.2. Abbreviations
14.3. Research Methodology
Data Collection Methods
Approach
Variables (Dependent and Independent)
Multi Factor Based Sensitivity Model
Final Conclusion
14.4. Disclaimer
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Australia Natural Gas Production in Billion Cubic Meters and Growth in Percentage, 2008-2012
Figure 2: LNG Value Chain
Figure 3: Cost Distribution in the LNG Value Chain
Figure 4: Australia’s Share in Global LNG Exports Market in Percentage (%), 2008-2013
Figure 5: Australia LNG Industry Market Size by Proved Natural Gas Reserves in Trillion Cubic Feet & Growth in Percentage, 2008-2012
Figure 6: Australia LNG Market Size by Production in Billion Cubic Feet & Growth in Percentage, 2008-2012
Figure 7: Australia LNG Industry Market Size by LNG Trade Movements (Exports) in Billion Cubic Meters & Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 8: Australia LNG Industry Market Size by Value of LNG Exports in USD Billion & Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 9: Overview of FLSO Process
Figure 10: Australia LNG Industry Market Share by Major Companies & Investments in Existing LNG Projects in Percentage Share (%), 2013
Figure 11: Australia LNG Industry Market Share by Major Companies & Investments in Under Construction LNG Projects in Percentage Share (%), 2013
Figure 12: Chevron Global Revenues in USD Billion and Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 13: Chevron Global Revenues from Natural Gas in USD Billion, 2008-2013
Figure 14: Conoco Phillips Global Revenue in USD Billion & Growth in Percentage, 2010-2013
Figure 15: Shell Global Revenue in USD Billion and Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 16: Shell Global Upstream Revenue in USD Billion, 2008-2013
Figure 17: Santos Global Revenue in USD Billion and Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 18: Santos Global Natural Gas Sales Revenue in USD Billion, 2008-2013
Figure 19: Santos LNG Sales Revenue in USD Billion, 2008-2013
Figure 20: Woodside Petroleum Global Revenues in USD Billion and Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 21: Woodside Petroleum LNG Sales Revenues from Existing LNG Projects in USD Billion, 2008-2013
Figure 22: Future Projections of Liquefaction Capacity of Major LNG Exporting Countries in Million Tons per annum, 2008-2018
Figure 23: Future Projections of Regasification Capacity of Major LNG Importing Countries in Million Tons per annum, 2008-2018
Figure 24: Future Projections of LNG Production in Australia in Billion Cubic Feet, 2008-2018
Figure 25: Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis for Australia LNG Industry
Figure 26: Natural Gas Production in Australia in Billion Cubic Meters, 2008-2018
Figure 27: LNG Export Volumes from Australia in Million Tons, 2008-2018
Figure 28: LNG Prices in Asia Pacific Region in USD per Metric Millions of British Thermal Unit, 2008-2018
Figure 1: Australia Natural Gas Production in Billion Cubic Meters and Growth in Percentage, 2008-2012
Figure 2: LNG Value Chain
Figure 3: Cost Distribution in the LNG Value Chain
Figure 4: Australia’s Share in Global LNG Exports Market in Percentage (%), 2008-2013
Figure 5: Australia LNG Industry Market Size by Proved Natural Gas Reserves in Trillion Cubic Feet & Growth in Percentage, 2008-2012
Figure 6: Australia LNG Market Size by Production in Billion Cubic Feet & Growth in Percentage, 2008-2012
Figure 7: Australia LNG Industry Market Size by LNG Trade Movements (Exports) in Billion Cubic Meters & Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 8: Australia LNG Industry Market Size by Value of LNG Exports in USD Billion & Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 9: Overview of FLSO Process
Figure 10: Australia LNG Industry Market Share by Major Companies & Investments in Existing LNG Projects in Percentage Share (%), 2013
Figure 11: Australia LNG Industry Market Share by Major Companies & Investments in Under Construction LNG Projects in Percentage Share (%), 2013
Figure 12: Chevron Global Revenues in USD Billion and Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 13: Chevron Global Revenues from Natural Gas in USD Billion, 2008-2013
Figure 14: Conoco Phillips Global Revenue in USD Billion & Growth in Percentage, 2010-2013
Figure 15: Shell Global Revenue in USD Billion and Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 16: Shell Global Upstream Revenue in USD Billion, 2008-2013
Figure 17: Santos Global Revenue in USD Billion and Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 18: Santos Global Natural Gas Sales Revenue in USD Billion, 2008-2013
Figure 19: Santos LNG Sales Revenue in USD Billion, 2008-2013
Figure 20: Woodside Petroleum Global Revenues in USD Billion and Growth in Percentage, 2008-2013
Figure 21: Woodside Petroleum LNG Sales Revenues from Existing LNG Projects in USD Billion, 2008-2013
Figure 22: Future Projections of Liquefaction Capacity of Major LNG Exporting Countries in Million Tons per annum, 2008-2018
Figure 23: Future Projections of Regasification Capacity of Major LNG Importing Countries in Million Tons per annum, 2008-2018
Figure 24: Future Projections of LNG Production in Australia in Billion Cubic Feet, 2008-2018
Figure 25: Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis for Australia LNG Industry
Figure 26: Natural Gas Production in Australia in Billion Cubic Meters, 2008-2018
Figure 27: LNG Export Volumes from Australia in Million Tons, 2008-2018
Figure 28: LNG Prices in Asia Pacific Region in USD per Metric Millions of British Thermal Unit, 2008-2018
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Australia LNG Industry Market Segmentation by Major LNG Importing Countries on the Basis of LNG Volumes Imported in Billion Cubic Meters, 2008-2012
Table 2: Market Segmentation of Australia LNG Industry by Major LNG Importing Countries and their Share in Inter-LNG Trade in Percentage, 2008-2012
Table 3: Australia LNG Industry Market Segmentation of by Spot/Short Term LNG Trade Volumes in Thousand Tons received by Major LNG Importing Countries, 2008-2013
Table 4: Australia LNG Industry Market Segmentation of by Major LNG Importing Countries and their share in Spot/Short Term LNG Trade in Percentage Share, 2008-2013
Table 5: Australia LNG Industry Market Share by Major Companies & Investments in USD Billion in Existing LNG Projects, 2013
Table 6: Australia LNG Industry Market Share by Major Companies & Investments in USD Billion in Under Construction LNG Projects, 2013
Table 7: Benchmark Analysis of Australia LNG Industry with Peer Markets in Global LNG Industry, 2013
Table 8: Profile of Existing LNG Projects in Australia
Table 9: Major Milestones in Australia Pacific LNG Project
Table 10: Profile of Under Construction LNG Projects in Australia
Table 11: Woodside Petroleum Business Strategy
Table 12: Competitive Landscape of Major Players in LNG Shipbuilding/Shipyards Industry
Table 13: Total LNG Imports in Major Asia Pacific Countries in Million Tons, 2008-2018
Table 14: Correlation Matrix of Australia LNG Industry
Table 15: Regression Coefficients Output of Australia LNG Industry
Table 1: Australia LNG Industry Market Segmentation by Major LNG Importing Countries on the Basis of LNG Volumes Imported in Billion Cubic Meters, 2008-2012
Table 2: Market Segmentation of Australia LNG Industry by Major LNG Importing Countries and their Share in Inter-LNG Trade in Percentage, 2008-2012
Table 3: Australia LNG Industry Market Segmentation of by Spot/Short Term LNG Trade Volumes in Thousand Tons received by Major LNG Importing Countries, 2008-2013
Table 4: Australia LNG Industry Market Segmentation of by Major LNG Importing Countries and their share in Spot/Short Term LNG Trade in Percentage Share, 2008-2013
Table 5: Australia LNG Industry Market Share by Major Companies & Investments in USD Billion in Existing LNG Projects, 2013
Table 6: Australia LNG Industry Market Share by Major Companies & Investments in USD Billion in Under Construction LNG Projects, 2013
Table 7: Benchmark Analysis of Australia LNG Industry with Peer Markets in Global LNG Industry, 2013
Table 8: Profile of Existing LNG Projects in Australia
Table 9: Major Milestones in Australia Pacific LNG Project
Table 10: Profile of Under Construction LNG Projects in Australia
Table 11: Woodside Petroleum Business Strategy
Table 12: Competitive Landscape of Major Players in LNG Shipbuilding/Shipyards Industry
Table 13: Total LNG Imports in Major Asia Pacific Countries in Million Tons, 2008-2018
Table 14: Correlation Matrix of Australia LNG Industry
Table 15: Regression Coefficients Output of Australia LNG Industry
