I&R - The Sub-Sharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Report 2016

Date: May 1, 2017
Pages: 133
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Publisher: Investment & Research (I&R)
Report type: Strategic Report
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ID: I44CE95D7BBEN
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I&R - The Sub-Sharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Report 2016
The retailing market in Africa is expected to record a stronger positive value performance over the next decade. Major drivers will include population growth and the projected positive economic growth across many African countries, as well as heightened marketing activities and investing from international players. In addition, growth is set to be driven by the increasing rate of urbanization, the rapidly-growing middle class and increased local and international retail investment by players in the African market, which is expected to boost retailing in the region. Driven by “one-stop-shopping”, in addition to offering consumer convenience, grocery retailers across the continent have used retail floor space to accommodate a variety of products aimed at growing sales revenues and maintaining customer loyalty.

Increased international interest in the African market, through direct investment by players, such as Walmart Game, Carrefour and continental players especially from Southern Africa Such as South Africa’s Shoprite, Botswana’s Choppies, and Kenya’s Nakumatt have played a key role in expanding mass grocery retail and promoting consumer confidence and spending.

As incomes rise and all of the usual emerging market dynamics are in play, such as urbanization, more hectic lifestyles, many people in Africa are also gaining access to mass grocery retail services. However, while Africa continent is prime for investment‚ this must be tempered with knowledge of the trading risks such as the lack of formalized retail infrastructure, power shortages and poor supply and logistics chains.

Why you should buy The Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market 2017
  • 133 pages of comprehensive analysis
  • 71 tables and graphs quantifying the market in detail
  • Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail market forecasts between 2017 and 2027
  • Forecasts for Southern Africa, Eastern Africa and West Africa are included, with detailed analysis of the South African, Botswanan, Kenyan, Nigerian, Ghanaian and Nigerian Mass grocery retail markets.
  • A SWOT analysis that examines the Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail market
  • 18 key companies identified and profiled operating within the Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market, including 2017 market share information.
You can order this report today and discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail market and gain an understanding of how to tap into the potential of this market by ordering The Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market 2017.
Executive Summary
Benefits of the Report
Intended Audience
Report Contributors
Methodology
Introduction to the Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Retail Market
The African Retail Landscape
  Figure 1: Sub-Saharan Africa’s Most Populous Cities
  Figure 2: Comparing Market Size and Saturation for the Right go-to-market approach
Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail SWOT
Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Industry Outlook
  Table 1: Sub-Sahara African Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR%)
  Figure 3: Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR%)
  Figure 4: African Retail Value Proposition Stages
African E-Commerce on The Verge of Take-off
  Figure 5: Sub-Saharan Africa Retail And Internet Near-term Outlook Through 2018
Investors competing for a slice of Africa's food and drink acquisitions
  Figure 6: Selected Countries' Private Final Consumption Growth (% change y-o-y, RHS) And Food And Non-Alcoholic Drinks Spending Per Capita (USD, LHS)
Drivers & Restraints of the Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market
Drivers of the African Organizsed Retail Market
Young Expanding and Rapidly Urbanising Population
  Figure 7: African Demographics And Largest Cities
Rising Disposable Income
  Table 2: Africa’s Emerging Consumer Markets
Foreign Interest in the Regions Fast Growing Food Industry is Rising
Chained Players Drive the Market
International Players Raise the Level of Competition
Restraints of the African Organized Retail Market
Limited Middle Class
  Figure 8: African Middle Class Spread By Class Spending Per Day at PPP, (%)
Low Disposable and Discretionary Income
Challenging Trading Environment
  Figure 9: Corruption Perception Index 2016 (%)
Poor Distribution Channels
Infrastructure Hurdles
Regional Sub-Saharan African Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Outlook
  Table 3: Sub-Saharan African Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR%)
  Figure 10: Sub-Saharan African Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR%)
  Figure 11: Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Share Forecast 2017 (%) AGR%)
  Figure 12: Sub-Saharan Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Share Forecast 2027 (%) AGR%)
Southern Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast
  Table 4: Southern Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 13: Southern Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
South Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast
  Table 5: South African Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 14: South African Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 15: South Africa Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
Reasons to be optimistic towards the country's retail sector
  Figure 16: South Africa Headline Household Spending Forecast Through 2020
Retailers’ results mirror economic environment in South Africa
Internet retailing gains momentum
Grocery retail sales drive growth
Domestic entities continue to lead sales
Socio-economic challenges expected to impact sales over forecast period
  Figure 17: South Africa Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Botswana Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast
  Table 6: Botswana Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 18: Botswana Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 19: Botswana Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
Choppies rising fast
Botswana Consumer Outlook
  Figure 20: Botswana Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Namibia Outlook
  Figure 21: Namibia Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
  Figure 22: Namibia Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Mozambique Outlook
  Figure 23: Mozambique Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
  Figure 24: Mozambique Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Political and Economic Risks to Outlook
Zambia Outlook
  Figure 25: Zambia Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
  Figure 26: Zambia Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Consumer Outlook
  Figure 27: Zimbabwe Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
Retail Attracting Interest
  Figure 28: Zimbabwe - Per Capita GDP (US$)
East Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast
  Table 7: East African Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 29: East African Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
Kenya Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast
  Table 8: Kenyan Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 30: Kenyan Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 31: Kenya Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
  Figure 32: Kenya Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
  Figure 33: Kenya Headline Household Spending Forecast Through 2020
Positive economic outlook spurs retailing growth in Kenya
Foreign interest in the country’s fast growing retail industry is rising
Grocery retailers increase their offer of non-grocery items
Local and foreign company partnerships experience challenges
Further strong growth expected over the forecast period
Foreign Presence To Drive Consolidation In Kenyan Retail
  Figure 34: Kenya - Real Private Consumption Growth (%, LHS) & MGR Sales (USDbn, RHS
Consolidation To Accelerate Following Entry Of Foreign Players
Absence of South African Retailers
Rest of East Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast
Uganda Outlook
  Figure 35: Uganda Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
  Figure 36: Uganda Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Tanzania Outlook
  Figure 37: Tanzania Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
  Figure 38: Tanzania Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Ethiopia Outlook
  Figure 39: Ethiopia Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
Rwanda Outlook
  Figure 40: Rwanda Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
West Africa Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast
  Table 9: West African Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 41: West African Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
Nigeria Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast
  Table 10: Nigerian Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 42: Nigerian Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 43: Nigeria Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
  Figure 44: Nigeria Headline Household Spending Forecast Through 2020
  Figure 45: Nigeria Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Increasingly sophisticated consumer lifestyles
The rise of modern retailing drives overall growth in retailing
Nigeria’s internet retailing boom has begun to emerge
Grocery retailers increase their stock of non-grocery items
International players continue to expand, although local brands remain key players
Retailing expected to register a positive performance over the forecast period
Nigeria's surge in food manufacturing
  Figure 46: Selected African Countries Food Spending Per Capita (USD) - Historical & Forecast
Tipping Point To Be Reached In Food Retail
Some Major Challenges
  Table 11: Angola, Ghana, Nigeria and South Africa Selected Indicators - Historic & Forecast
  Figure 47: Nigeria and South Africa Total Mass Grocery Retail Sales (USDbn) - Historic & Forecast
Ghana Organized Mass Grocery Retail Forecast
  Table 12: Ghanaian Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 48: Ghanaian Organized Mass Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2016 – 2027 ($m, AGR %)
  Figure 49: Ghana Headline Household Spending Forecast Through 2020
  Figure 50: Ghana Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
  Figure 51: Ghana Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Household spending still low but rising
Gabon Outlook
  Figure 52: Gabon Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
  Figure 53: Gabon Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Cameroon Outlook
  Figure 54: Cameroon Population And Income Statistical Snapshot
  Figure 55: Cameroon Food and Non-alcoholic Drink Sales Forecast Through 2020
Retailing records steady growth over review period
Independent grocers remains the leading channel
Both grocery and non-grocery retailing on the rise
Established players are gradually losing ground to new entrants
Retailing will only keep rising
African Consumer Outlook
Limited Growth for Food Companies from Africa's Booming Middle Class
African Middle Class To Remain Constrained
  Figure 56: Selected Countries - Share Of Households With Net Income Above USD5,000 (%)
Implications For Food & Drink Companies
Surging Food Demand: Where Are The Opportunities?
  Figure 57: Africa - Middle Class By US$ Daily Expenditure, Millions
  Figure 58: South Africa - Agricultural Production, US$mn
South Africa: A Cut Above
Kenya: Emerging Agribusiness Hub?
Nigeria: Retail Growth, Production Potential Unlikely To Be Realised
  Figure 59: Nigeria - Unmanufactured Tomato Production, 1000s of Tonnes (LHS) & Tomato Product Imports, US$mn (RHS)
  Figure 60: Africa - Chicken Meat Production & Imports
Brazil: Tapping Into The African Growth Story
Bringing Production Home
Industry Trends And Developments
Nakumatt In Financial Trouble
Shoprite Expands Into West Africa
Carrefour Opens First Store in Kenya
Pick n Pay Plans Nigeria Entry, to Partner Leventis
Choppies Expands in Zimbabwe
Botswana’s Choppies Supermarket Chain Targets Kenya Entry Through Acquisition
Carrefour to stock more loccaly made products in Cote d'Ivoire
Tuskys Considers Share Sale to Expand into Ethiopia, Congo and Tanzania
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Southern Africa Competitive Outlook
East Africa Competitive Outlook
West Africa Competitive Outlook
Company Profiles
Addide Limited
ALLE
Artee Group
Boxer Superstores Pty Limited
Carrefour SA
Choppies Enterprises Limited
Massmart Holding Limited
Nakumatt Holdings Limited
Naivas Limited
Numidis SpA
Park 'n' Shop
Pick ‘n’ Pay Holdings Limited
Retail Supermarket Nigeria Limited
Shoprite Holdings Limited
SPAR Group Limited
Tuskys Supermarkets Limited
Uchumi Supermarkets Limited
Conclusions
Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Disclaimer
Appendix A
Appendix B

COMPANIES MENTIONED

Abraaj Capital
addiba.com
Addide Limited
Afrilux
AG Leventis & Company
ALLE Limited
Arno
Artee Industries Limited
Artee Group Limited
Atterbury
Azam
Boxer Superstores Pty Ltd
buyam.com.ng
Carrefour
Casino
Cevital SpA
Chandarana Supermarkets
Chi Farms
Choppies Enterprises Limited
Cleanshelf Supermarkets Limited
Coca-Cola
Dangote
Danone
Deacons
Dee-lite Sarl
Del Monte
Diageo
Distribuidora Internacional de Alimentacion SA (DIA)
Doov
Edgars
Eastmatt Supermarkets Limited
Farmers' Choice
First Master Retailers Ltd
Foschini
Fresh Cuts Uganda Limited
Game Stores
Géant Casino
Glencore
Groupe ARNO
Häagen-Dazs
Heineken
Jumia
Kakuzi
KFC
Khetia's Supermarkets Limited
Konga
KongaPay
Krispy Kreme
Kwatsons
L’Atrium S.A
Mahima
Makro
Majid Al-Futtaim
Makumatt Holdings Limited
Massmart Holdings Limited
Melcom
Millicom
Mr Price
MTN
Mumias
Naivas Limited
Nestlé
Numidis SpA
Orca
OK
Palace Hypermarket
Park’n’Shop Nigeria
PayPal
People’s Trading Centre
Pick ‘n’ Pay Holdings Limited
Prix Import
Retail Supermarket Nigeria Limited
Rocket Internet
SABMiller
Santa Lucia
Schulze GI
Shoprite Holdings Limited
Socropole
SPAR Group Limited
Standard Chartered
supermart.ng
Tigo
TM
Total
Transcorp
Truworths International Limited
Tuskys Supermarkets Limited
Tsekenis
Uchumi Supermarkets Limited
Unilever
Unilever Nigeria
Ukwala Supermarket Limited
Valumart
Wal-Mart
Webcor
webmall.ng
Woermann Brock
Woolworths Holdings Limited
Organisations
African Development Bank
United Nations
World Bank
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