US Economic Outlook: Q4 2018

November 2018 | 14 pages | ID: U9A4C76856BEN
Euromonitor International Ltd

Abstracts

US GDP increased by almost 3% year-on-year in the last two quarters, leading to a slight upwards revision in our 2018 growth forecast. However, trade tensions with China have escalated. In September, the US imposed 10% tariffs on another USD200 billion of imports from China, rising to a 25% tariff in 2019. The impact on 2018 GDP growth is negligible, but the higher 2019 tariffs justify a reduction of around 0.2 percentage points in the output growth forecast.

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Data coverage: market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.

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• Identify factors driving change now and in the future
• Understand motivation
• Forward-looking outlook
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• Take a step back from micro trends
• Get up to date estimates and comment

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Contents

Baseline Outlook
Forecast Risks
Aggregate Demand and Economic Activity
Household Income and Labour Markets
Private Sector Sentiment
Stock Markets
Interest Rates and Monetary Policy