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China Natural Rubber Market Review & Outlook 2007-2008 Proposal

April 2008 | 120 pages | ID: C29280DA1E7EN
Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Co., Ltd

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Research Background

In recent years, with the increasing demand for cars in China, the tyre industry has witnessed its rapid growth, which leads to expanded demand for natural rubber in China. To date, China has surppassed Japan and US to become the largest rubber consuming country in the world.

In 2005, Typhoon Damrey played havoc with part of the rubber forestes in Yunnan and Hainan. The yield in 2005 was only 510,000 tons, down by 10.6% from 2004. In 2007, with the recovery of rubber forests and the improvement of tapping technologies, it is expected that the output of natural rubber should recover to the level of 2004 or even better.

The growth of natural rubber output in China is coupled with rapid growing natural rubber consumption in the country. Then, does the increase in output meet the consumption demands in China? How will the surging demands for natural rubber in China affect the supply-demand relation in the China market. How will the import of natural rubber evolve? How much influence will the development of synthetic rubber have on the natural rubber market? What will be the trend for the natural rubber market in China in 2008? All these are questions to be answered systematically.

Hopefully, we shall make some correct judgements for the future natural rubber market in this Report through in-depth analysis and studies of the natural rubber market in China in 2007.
PART I PRODUCTION AND TRADE OF NATURAL RUBBER IN CHINA

1. PRODUCTION OF NATURAL RUBBER IN CHINA IN 2007 AND PREDICTION FOR 2008

1.1 Weather Conditions in Main Producting Regions of Natural Rubber in China in 2007
1.2 Analysis of Natural Rubber Production of Main Producing Regions in China
  1.2.1 Changes of Natural Rubber Growing Area in Main Producing Regions
  1.2.2 Changes of Natural Rubber Yield in Main Producing Regions
  1.2.3 Changes of Natural Rubber Output in Main Producing Regions
1.3 Prediction of Natural Rubber Production in China in 2008

2. CHINA'S NATURAL RUBBER TRADE AND PREDICTION FOR 2008

2.1 Natural Rubber Export Characteristics
2.2 Natural Rubber Import Characteristics
  2.2.1 Main Natural Rubber Importers - Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia
  2.2.2 Import Price of Natural RubberNatural Rubber (CIF)
  2.2.3 Analysis of Main Changes of Natural Rubber Import
2.3 Predition of China's Natural Rubber Trade in 2008

3. SITUATION OF MAIN WORLD PRODUCING REGIONS OF NATURAL RUBBER IN 2007 AND PREDICTION FOR 2008

3.1 Thailand
3.2 Malaysia
3.3 Indonesia

PART II ANALYSIS OF CHINA'S NATURAL RUBBER INDUSTRY AND PREDICTIONS

1. RETROSPECT OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA'S NATURAL RUBBER INDUSTRY IN 2007

2. RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA'S AUTOMOBILE MARKET IN 2007

2.1 Retrospect of China's Automobile Market in 2007
  2.1.1 Automobile Production and Sales in China in 2007
  2.1.2 Car Production and Sales in China in 2007
  2.1.3 Commercial Vehicle Production and Sales in China in 2007
  2.1.4 Passenger Vehicle Production and Sales in China in 2007
2.2 Analysis and Prediction of China's Automobile Market in 2007
2.3 Trend and Prediction of the Development of China's Automobile Market in 2008

3. RETROSPECT AND PREDICTION OF CHINA'S TYRE INDUSTRY IN 2007

3.1 Retrospect of China's Tyre Production in 2007
3.2 Distribution of China's Tyre Industry
3.3 Analysis of China's Tyre Import and Export in 2007
3.4 Trend of the Development of China's Tyre Industry in 2008

4 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA'S RUBBER BOOT/SHOE MARKET IN 2007

4.1 Retrspect of China's Rubber Boot/Shoe Market in 2007
4.2 Distribution of China's Rubber Boot/Shoe Market
4.3 Analysis of China's Rubber Boot/Shoe Import and Export in 2007
4.4 Trend of China's Rubber Boot/Shoe Market in 2008

5 ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF CHINA'S SYNTHETIC RUBBER MARKET IN 2007

5.1 Synthetic Rubber Production and Output in 2007
5.2 Synthetic Rubber Import and Export in 2007
5.3 Synthetic Rubber Price Analysis in 2007
5.4 Replacement of Synthetic Rubber for Natural Rubber
5.5 China's Synthetic Rubber Market Prospect in 2008

6 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF OTHER NATURAL RUBBER RELATED INDUSTRIES

6.1 China's Rubber Tube/Belt Market
6.2 China’s Daily and Medical Rubber Product Market 6.3 China’s Cycle Tyre Market
6.4 China’s Tyre Renovation Market
6.5 China’s Rubber Recycling Market

PART III ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF CHINA’S NATURAL RUBBER DEMAND AND SUPPLY EQUILIBRIUM

1. CHINA’S DEMAND FOR NATURAL RUBBER IN 2007

1.1 Demand for Natural Rubber from Tyre Industry
1.2 Rubber Boot/Shoe Demand for Natural Rubber
1.3 Demands for Natural Rubber from Other Natural Rubber Related Industry

2. ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF CHINA’S NATURAL RUBBER DEMAND-SUPPLY EQUILIBRIUM

2.1 China’s Natural Rubber Demand-Supply Equilibrium Table
2.2 China’s Monthly Balance Table of Natural Rubber in 2007

3. PREDICTION OF CHINA’S DEMAND FOR NATURAL RUBBER IN 2008

PART IV ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF CHINA’S NATURAL RUBBER MARKET PRICE

1. ANALYSIS OF CHANGES OF NATURAL RUBBER FORWARD PRICE IN 2007

1.1 Analysis and Prediction of Natural Rubber Forward Price at Tokyo Future Market
1.2 Analysis and Prediction of Natural Rubber Forward Price at Shanghai Stock Exchange

2. ANALYSIS OF NATURAL RUBBER SPOT PRICE IN CHINA IN 2007

2.1 Analysis of Domestic Market Price of Main Producing Regions of Natural Rubber
2.2 Analysis of Domestic Market Price of Main Sales Regions of Natural Rubber

3. NATURAL RUBBER SPOT PRICE OF MAIN PRODUCING COUNTRIES IN SOUTHEAST ASIA IN 2007

3.1 Natural Rubber Spot Price in Thailand
3.2 Natural RubberSpot Price in Malaysia
3.3 Natural RubberSpot Price in Indonesia

4 COMPARISON BETWEEN FORWARD PRICE AND SPOT PRICE OF NATURAL RUBBER AND PREDICTION OF THE TRENDS

TABLES:

Table 1 Output of Natural Rubber in China (1995-2006)
Table 2 China’s Annual Import of Natural Rubber (2003-2007)
Table 3 China’s Natural Rubber Import by Country (2007)
Table 4 China’s Annual Export of Natural Rubber (2003-2007)
Table 5 Output of Natural Rubber in Thailand (2003-2007)
Table 6 Output of Natural Rubber in Malaysia (2003-2007)
Table 7 China’s Automobile Output (2003-2007)
Table 8 China’s Car Output (2003-2007)
Table 9 China’s Commercial Vehicle Output (2003-2007)
Table 10 China’s Passenger Vehicle Output (2003-2007)
Table 11 China’s Type Output (2003-2007)
Table 12 China’s Radial Tyre Output (2003-2007)
Table 13 China’s Rubber Boot/Shoe Output (2003-2007)
Table 14 China’s Synthetic Rubber Import (2003-2007)
Table 15 China’s Synthetic Rubber Export (2003-2007)
Table 16 China’s Natural Rubber Demand-Supply Balance Table (2003-2007)
Table 17 China’s Natural Rubber Monthly Demand-Supply Balance Table in 2007
Table 18 Prediction of Natural Rubber Consumption in 2008

FIGURES:

Figure 1 Temperature Changes of China's Natural Rubber Producing Regions
Figure 2 Temperature Changes of Natural Rubber Producing Regions in Thailand
Figure 3 Temperature Changes of Natural Rubber Producing Regions in Malaysia
Figure 4 Temperature Changes of Natural Rubber Producing Regions in Indonesia
Figure 5 Natural Rubber Import Price of China
Figure 6 China Natural Rubber Spot Price
Figure 7 China Natural Rubber Forward Price
Figure 8 Japan Natural Rubber Forward Price
Figure 9 Synthetic Rubber Price in China
Figure 10 Thailand Natural Rubber Spot Price
Figure 11 Malaysia Natural Rubber Spot Price
Figure 12 Indonesia Natural Rubber Spot Price


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