Construction in China - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022

Date: November 20, 2018
Pages: 51
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Publisher: GlobalData
Report type: Strategic Report
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Construction in China - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022
Construction in China - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022

SUMMARY

China’s construction industry registered a growth of 4.3% in real terms in 2017 which was preceded by an average annual growth of 8.2% during 2013-2016. The slow growth in 2017 can be attributed to high debt-to-GDP ratios, slow economic growth and deceleration in fixed assets investment. Although output growth slowed in 2017, the general upward trend can be attributed to public and private sector investment in transport, residential and energy infrastructure construction projects.

The industry is expected to expand over the forecast period (2018-2022), albeit at a much slower pace. The industry’s expansion is expected to be supported by the government’s ongoing efforts to promote economic growth through large-scale investments in infrastructure. The government’s focus on upgrading tourism and energy infrastructure is expected to drive funding towards construction projects over the forecast period. Additionally, the construction works related to the upcoming 2022 Winter Olympic Games are expected to drive the growth of the industry.

The Chinese construction industry is expected to face challenges over the forecast period. Notably, the ongoing trade war between China and the US is expected to impact China's economy, which could have an adverse impact on construction spending. Moreover, the government’s efforts to curb public debt are expected to affect the growth prospects of the construction industry over the forecast period. However, to stimulate the economy and absorb trade war impact, the government is set to increase infrastructure spending.

The industry’s output value in real terms is expected to rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.24% over the forecast period, compared to 6.84% during the review period (2013-2017).

GlobalData’s 'Construction in China - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022', report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Chinese construction industry, including -
  • The Chinese construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Chinese construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
  • GlobalData expects the residential construction market to account for 43.9% of the industry’s total value in 2022. Over the forecast period, market output is expected to be supported by public and private sector investments in the construction of new residential buildings to meet the demand for housing. According to the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the government plans to construct 5.8 million housing units in rundown urban areas in 2018.
  • GlobalData expects the infrastructure construction market to record a forecast-period CAGR of 10.38% in nominal terms driven by the government’s focus on the development of the country’s rail, road, airport and other transport infrastructure under the 13th Five-Year Plan 2016-2020. In April 2018, the central Chinese municipality of Chongqing announced plans to invest CNY90.5 billion (US$14.3 billion) in developing transport infrastructure across the region in 2018.
  • The Chinese energy and utilities construction market’s growth will be supported by investment in the construction of nuclear power units in the country. In June 2018, Rosatom, the Russian state nuclear company and China National Nuclear Power (CNNC) signed two agreements for the construction of the four nuclear power units in the country. The total investment in the project is anticipated to be CNY24.2 billion (US$3.6 billion).
  • In 2017, the Civil Aviation Administration of China and the National Development and Reform Commission announced a plan to construct 136 new civil airports across the country by 2025. Consequently, the country’s airports passenger-handling capacity will increase from 910 million passengers in 2015 to 1.5 billion in 2020, and 2.2 billion by 2025.
  • The total construction project pipeline in China - as tracked by GlobalData and including all mega projects with a value above US$25 million - stands at CNY21.6 trillion (US$3.2 trillion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is skewed to late-stage projects, with 67.6% of the pipeline value being in projects in the pre-execution and execution stages as of October 2018.
SCOPE

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in China. It provides -
  • Historical (2013-2017) and forecast (2018-2022) valuations of the construction industry in China, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants.
REASONS TO BUY
  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.
  • Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.


NOTE: Out of security concerns GlobalData requires using corporate email address.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. CONSTRUCTION OUTLOOK: AT-A-GLANCE

3. LATEST NEWS AND INDICATORS

4. KEY DRIVERS AND RISKS

4.1. Economic Performance
4.2. Political Environment
4.3. Demographics
4.4. Risk Profile

5. CONSTRUCTION OUTLOOK

5.1. All Construction
  5.1.1. Outlook
  5.1.2. Project analytics
5.2. Commercial Construction
  5.2.1. Outlook
  5.2.2. Project analytics
5.3. Industrial Construction
  5.3.1. Outlook
  5.3.2. Project analytics
5.4. Infrastructure Construction
  5.4.1. Outlook
  5.4.2. Project analytics
5.5. Energy and Utilities Construction
  5.5.1. Outlook
  5.5.2. Project analytics
5.6. Institutional Construction
  5.6.1. Outlook
  5.6.2. Project analytics
5.7. Residential Construction
  5.7.1. Outlook
  5.7.2. Project analytics

6. KEY INDUSTRY PARTICIPANTS

6.1. Contractors
6.2. Consultants

7. APPENDIX

7.1. What is this Report About?
7.2. Definitions

8. ABOUT GLOBALDATA

8.1. GlobalData at a Glance
8.2. GlobalData Construction
8.3. Disclaimer
8.4. Contact Us

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix
Figure 2: China, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (CNY Billion)
Figure 3: China, Value of New Contracts Signed by Construction Enterprises (CNY Billion)
Figure 4: China, Risk Profile, Q3 2018
Figure 5: China, Risk Comparison, Q3 2018
Figure 6: China, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ billion, 2017 prices and exchange rate)
Figure 7: China, Construction Output Value, Growth Matrix
Figure 8: China, Construction Output Value, by Sector (CNY Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 9: China, Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (CNY Billion), 2017-2022
Figure 10: China, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 11: China, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (CNY Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 12: China, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 13: China, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 14: China, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (CNY Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 15: China, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 16: China, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 17: China, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (CNY Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 18: China, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 19: China, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 20: China, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (CNY Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 21: China, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 22: China, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 23: China, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (CNY Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 24: China, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 25: China, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 26: China, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (CNY Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 27: China, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 28: China, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (CNY Billion)
Figure 29: China, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 30: China, Headquarters of Foreign Contractors (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Contractor)
Figure 31: China, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)
Figure 32: China, Headquarters of Foreign Consultants (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Consultants)

The industrial construction market is expected to be the second-fastest-growing market in the construction industry over the forecast period, recording a nominal CAGR of over 9%.

Timetric’s Construction in China – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2018 provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Chinese construction industry including analysis of equipment, material and service costs across each project type in China as well as critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, and the risks and opportunities they present to participants in the Chinese construction industry. You will acquire profiles of the leading operators in the Chinese construction industry and analysis of equipment, material and service costs across each project type in China.

The office, retail, and other commercial buildings categories were the key drivers for overall growth in the market during the review period. The growth was primarily due to increased investment, consumer household spending and rising disposable income. The market is projected to continue to expand over the forecast period, supported by general expansion in the economy and increased investment, in particular in the office and retail sectors.

The industrial construction market is expected to be the second-fastest-growing market in the construction industry over the forecast period, recording a nominal CAGR of over 9% and reaching an output value of almost CNY3 trillion in 2018.

Increased government investments have helped to support infrastructure construction activity, and PPPs for infrastructure development also increased. The infrastructure system in China still requires large investment to cope with increased urbanization and the rising number of vehicles and passengers. The market is projected to continue to expand over the forecast period, driven mainly by increases in public investments to improve and expand the rail, road and energy communications infrastructure.

The material was prepared in July, 2014.

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Construction Outlook
Table 2: China, Key Economic Indicators
Table 3: China, Construction Output Value (nominal, CNY Billion)
Table 4: China, Construction Output Value (nominal, US$ Billion)
Table 5: China, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value
Table 6: China, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value
Table 7: China, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value
Table 8: China, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value
Table 9: China, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value
Table 10: China, Top Residential and Mixed-Use Construction Projects by Value
Table 11: China, Key Contractors
Table 12: China, Key Consultants
Table 13: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions
Table 14: Construction Risk Index Ratings and Scores

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