The Future of PVC and PVC Compound in China

Date: December 22, 2008
Pages: 219
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US$ 11,917.24
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Publisher: Guangzhou CCM Information Science & Technology Co., Ltd. (CCM)
Report type: Strategic Report
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ID: F27D5321F61EN
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The Future of PVC and PVC Compound in China
China, with its great development of PVC, captures about 30% global PVC output and consumption and it is the largest manufacturer and consumer of PVC in the world.

Different from most overseas countries, China adopts both of calcium carbide method and ethylene method, since China has abundant calcium carbide resource. In 2007, PVC by calcium carbide method captures 72.65% of the total output in China.

As the 60%~80% production cost comes from raw materials cost, any price change of raw material will impart both method greatly. As price of calcium carbide is low in the past several years, Chinese PVC As the largest PVC manufacturer and consumer in the world, China captures about 30% of global PVC output and consumption at present.

Different from most overseas countries, China adopts both calcium carbide method and ethylene method, since it has abundant calcium carbide resource. In 2007, PVC by calcium carbide method captures 72.65% of the total output in China.

As 60%~80% of production cost comes from raw materials, any price change in raw material will greatly impart China’s PVC production. In the past several years, China’s PVC export has been rising with the low price of calcium carbide. But from July 2008, with the price fall of crude oil, the production cost of ethylene method has been lower than that of calcium carbide method, thus some Chinese PVC manufacturers have shifted to ethylene method.

The analysis of the gross profit of each production method in China during different periods will help you better understand how the raw materials impact the PVC production in China.

Though China is still a net importer of PVC and PVC compound, its import volume has reduced from 2003 greatly. Besides, the capacity growth rate has maintained around 30% in the past few years. With the continuous capacity expansion, China is likely to face overcapacity in the future.

The major driver of the increasing PVC and PVC compound output in China is the growing downstream demand. And the development trend of these downstream industries and their consumption of PVC and PVC compound are also disclosed in this report.

Affected by the global financial crisis, the downstream demand for PVC and PVC compound, especially from construction industry, has greatly reduced. This report forecasts the future development of China’s PVC market in the next 10 years and the opportunities in PVC industry.

The report also covers the following aspects of China’s PVC industry:
- All the PVC producers and some major PVC compound producers in China, which have been sourced and contacted.
- Comparison between calcium carbide method and ethylene method
- Import & export analysis of PVC and PVC compound in China
- Consumption pattern in different end-use segments.
- Investment opportunities in China’s PVC industry
Executive Summary
Source & methodology

I BRIEF INTRODUCTION TO PVC INDUSTRY IN CHINA

I-1 Brief introduction to PVC
I-2 PVC industry in China

II PRODUCTION OF PVC AND PVC COMPOUND IN CHINA

II-1 Production situation of PVC and PVC compound in the past few years in China
  II-1.1 China PVC situation in the global market
  II-1.2 Production situation of PVC and PVC compound in the past few years in China
  II-1.3 Production situation of PVC and PVC compound in China in 2008
  II-1.4 Major problems of China’s PVC industry
II-2 Technology and production cost
  II-2.1 Production method
    II-2.1.1 Classification by polymerization method
    II-2.1.2 Classification by raw materials
    II-2.1.3 Production methods of PVC compound
  II-2.2 Production cost
    II-2.2.1 Production cost of calcium carbide method
    II-2.2.2 Production cost of ethylene method
    II-2.2.3 Comparison of gross profit between calcium carbide and ethylene method
II-3 Major players of PVC compound in China
  II-3.1 Industry concentration
  II-3.2 Geographic distribution of PVC in China
II-4 New PVC and PVC compound projects under construction or projects to be constructed
II-5 Introduction to raw materials of PVC production
  II-5.1 Calcium carbide
  II-5.2 EDC
  II-5.3 VCM
  II-5.4 Ethylene
  II-5.5 Crude oil
  II-5.6 Coal
  II-5.7 Electricity
II-6 Forecast on the production of PVC and PVC compound in the next 5-10 years in China
  II-6.1 Forecast on the PVC production in the next 5~10 years
  II-6.2 Forecast on the PVC compound production in the next 5~10 years

III DEMAND FOR PVC COMPOUND

III-1 Global Demand for PVC Compound
III-2 Domestic Demand for PVC Compound
  III-2.1 Market size and share of PVC Compound in major end-use segments
  III-2.2 Trends in market size by end-use segments
III-3 Brief introduction to major downstream industries in China
  III-3.1 Automobile
  III-3.2 Medical
  III-3.3 Construction
  III-3.4 Packaging
  III-3.5 Others
III-4 Detailed description of recent PVC compound market
  III-4-1 Automobile
  III-4-2 Medical
III-5 Forecast for PVC Compound Demand

IV IMPORT & EXPORT ANALYSIS OF PVC AND PVC COMPOUND IN THE RECENT THREE YEARS

IV-1 Import situation of PVC in 2008 (Jan-Oct)
  IV-1.1 Import volume and price
  IV-1.2 Major importers
  IV-1.3 Import origin
  IV-1.4 Import by province
IV-2 Export situation of PVC in 2008 (Jan-Oct)
  IV-2.1 Export volume and price
  IV-2.2 Major exporters
  IV-2.3 Export destination
  IV-2.4 Export by province

V PRICING OF PVC COMPOUND

V-1 Price Changes in the Past Few Years
V-2 Factors Resulting in Price Changes
V-3 Forecast on PVC price changes in next 10 years

VI FORECAST ON CHINA’S PVC COMPOUND MARKET TO THE NEXT 5~10 YEARS

VI-1 Factors influencing China’s PVC industry
  VI-1.1 Governmental policies
  VI-1.2 Macroeconomic factors
  VI-1.3 Raw materials supply
  VI-1.4 Technological factors
  VI-1.5 Inefficient facilities
  VI-1.6 Lack of capital
VI-2 Forecast on PVC compound to the next 5~10 years

VII INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN CHINA’S PVC INDUSTRY

VIII CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS

IX APPENDIX: PROFILES OF MANUFACTURERS

IX-1 Active PVC manufacturers
  IX-1.1 Tianjin Dagu Chemical Industry Co., Ltd....
  IX-1.30 Sichuan Yongxiang Co., Ltd
IX-2 Active PVC compound manufacturers
  IX-2.1 Dongguan Win-Tech Plastic Materials Co., Ltd....
  IX-2.10 Daiden Plastics (Shanghai) Co., Ltd

LIST OF TABLES

Table I-1.1 Comparison of properties and applications among PVC, PE and PP
Table I-1.3 Corresponding relationship of Henan Haohua’s PVC with national standard
Table I-1.2 Import, export and apparent consumption of PE, PP and PVC in China in 1998~2007
Table I-1.4 National standard of suspension polyvinyl chloride resins of general purpose-1
Table I-1.5 National standard of suspension polyvinyl chloride resins of general purpose-2
Table II-5.2-1 Production situation of EDC in China in 2005~2007
Table II-5.2-2 Capacity of major EDC manufacturers in China in 2007
Table II-5.3-1 Consumption of VCM in China in 2001~2007
Table II-5.4-1 Consumption of ethylene in China in 2000~2007
Table II-5.4-2 Unit consumption of ethylene in China, 2003-2020 (t/t)
Table II-5.4-3 Forecast on ethylene output and consumption in China, 2010-2020
Table II-6-1 Assumptions on the GDP growth in China, 2009~2018
Table II-6.1-1 Trends influencing the PVC development in China
Table II-6.1-2 Historical growth of PVC production and consumption, 2003~2007
Table II-6.1-3 Future forecast on PVC production in China, 2007~2018
Table II-6.2-1 Trends influencing the development of PVC compound in China
Table II-6.2-2 Historical growth of PVC compound production and consumption, 2003~2007
Table II-6.2-3 Future forecast on PVC compound output in China, 2007~2018
Table III-2.1-1 PVC consumption in China in 2007, break down by different end-use segment,
Table III-2.1-2 Major specifications of PVC resin used in China
Table III-2.1-3 Geographic distribution of PVC consumption in China in 2007
Table III-2.1-3 Major producers of PVC profiles in China in 2007
Table III-2.2-1 Realty fixed assets investment in China
Table III-2.4-1 Trends influencing the development of PVC
Table III-2.4-2 Future forecast on PVC consumption in China, 2008~2018,
Table III-2.4-3 Future forecast on the consumption of PVC compound in China, 2008~2018, ‘000 tonnes
Table III-2.4-4 Future forecast on market size of PVC in automobile industry in China, 2008~2018,
Table III-2.4-5 Future forecast on market size of PVC in medical industry in China, 2008~2018,
Table III-2.4-6 Future forecast on market size of PVC in construction industry in China, 2008~2018,
Table III-2.4-7 Future forecast on market size of PVC in packaging industry in China, 2008~2018,
Table IV-1 Import and export volume of PVC in China in 1998~2008est,
Table IV-2 Import and export volume of PVC compound in China in 1998~2008est
Table IV-1.2-1 Major PVC importers in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.2-2 Major importers of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.2-3 Major importers of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.3-1 Major import origins of PVC in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.3-2 Major import origins of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.3-3 Major import origins of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.4-1 PVC import volume in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.4-2 PVC compound import volume in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-1.4-3 PVC paste import volume in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-1 Major PVC exporters in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-2 PVC export carried out by manufacturers in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-3 Export situation of China’s PVC manufacturers, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-4 Major exporters of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.2-5 Major exporters of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.3-1 Export destinations of China’s PVC, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.3-2 Export destinations of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.3-3 Export destination of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.4-1 Export situation of PVC in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.4-2 Export situation of PVC compound in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table IV-2.4-3 Export situation of PVC paste in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Table V-1.1-1 Classification of enterprises in calcium carbide industry in China
Table V-1.1-2 Electricity price policy on the high energy-consuming industry in China
Table V-1.1-3 Export rebate rate for plastics and plastic products in China
Table VI-2.1-1 Supply situation of crude oil in China, 2002~2007, million tonnes
Table VI-2.1-2 Comparison of acetylene production methods of wet process and dry process
Table VI-2-1 Future growth of PVC in China to 2018,
Table VI-2-2 Future growth of PVC compound in China to 2018,

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure II-1.1.2 Growth rate of China’s and global PVC capacity and output in 2001~2007
Figure II-1.1.3 Newly-added PVC capacity and output in China and the world in 2001~2007
Figure II-1.2.1 Production situation of PVC in China in 1995~2007
Figure II-1.2.2 Production situation of PVC in the world in 2000~2007
Figure II-1.2.3 Production situation of PVC compound in China in 2002~2007
Figure II-1.3-1 Production situation of PVC in China in Jan.-Oct. 2008
Figure II-1.3-2 PVC output structure in China in 2008est.by raw material,
Figure II-1.3-3 PVC output structure in China in 2008est.by polymerization method,
Figure II-2.1.1-1 PVC output by polymerization method in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.1.1-2 Growth rate of PVC output by polymerization method in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.1.2-1 PVC output and growth rate by raw material in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.1.2-2 PVC output structure by raw material in China in 2003~2007
Figure II-2.2.1-1 Production chain of PVC by calcium carbide method in China
Figure II-2.2.1-2 Major production process for PVC by calcium carbide method in China
Figure II-2.2.1-3 General production cost structure of PVC by calcium carbide method in China
Figure II-2.2.3-1 Production cost of PVC in China, Jan. 2007- Nov. 2008 ...
Figure II-2.2.3-2 Comparison of PVC gross profit by different methods in China in 2007~2008
Figure II-3.2-1 Geographic distribution of PVC capacity in China in 2008
Figure II-3.2-2 PVC capacity share in China by province in 2008
Figure II-3.2-3 Output share of PVC in China by province in 2007
Figure II-5.1-1 Production situation of calcium carbide in China in 2000~2007
Figure II-5.1-2 Growth rates of calcium carbide and PVC’s capacity and output in China in 2000~2007
Figure II-5.1-3 Geographic distribution of calcium carbide output in China in 2007
Figure II-5.1-4 Output share of calcium carbide in China by province in 2007
Figure II-5.1-5 Consumption structure of calcium carbide in China in 2007
Figure II-5.1-6 Price change of calcium carbide and PVC in China, Jul. 2005-Nov. 2008
Figure II-5.2-1 Import and export of EDC in China in 2000~2007
Figure II-5.3-1 VCM output and its growth rate in China in 2001~2007
Figure II-5.4-1 Ethylene output and its growth rate in China in 2000~2007
Figure II-5.5-1 Output and consumption of crude oil in China in 2004~2007
Figure II-5.6-1 Output and consumption of coal in China in 2004~2007
Figure II-5.6-2 Output and consumption of electricity in China in 2004~2007
Figure II-5.7-1 Consumption structure of NaOH in China in 2007
Figure II-6.1-1 Forecast on PVC production in China, 2008~2018
Figure II-6.2-1 Forecast on PVC compound production in China, 2008~2018
Figure III-1-1 Comparison between global and Chinese PVC consumption in 2002~2007
Figure III-1-2 Geographical distribution of global PVC consumption in 2007
Figure III-1-3 Consumption structure of PVC resin in West Europe in 2007
Figure III-1-4 Global consumption of PVC resin in 2008~2013
Figure III-2.1-1 Consumption situation of PVC in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.1-2 PVC consumption in China by type in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.1-3 Consumption situation of different PVC resins in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.1-4 Industrial chain of PVC resin in China in 2007
Figure III-2.1-5 Consumption situation of PVC in pipes in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.1-6 Consumption situation of PVC in window profiles in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.1-7 Consumption situation of PVC in film in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.1-8 Consumption situation of PVC in artificial leather in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.2-1 Consumption structure of PVC in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.2-2 Total output of automobile in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.2-3 Consumption of PVC in automobile in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.2-4 Consumption of PVC in medical industry in China in 2007
Figure III-2.2-5 Market share of each infusion packaging in China in 2007
Figure III-2.2-6 PVC consumption in construction industry in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.2-7 PVC consumption in packaging industry in China in 2002~2007
Figure III-2.4-1 Future forecast on PVC consumption in China in 2008~2018
Figure III-2.4-2 Future forecast on market size of PVC in automobile industry in China, 2008~2018,
Figure III-2.4-3 Future forecast on market size of PVC in automobile industry in China, 2008~2018,
Figure III-2.4-4 Future forecast on market size of PVC in medical industry in China, 2008~2018,
Figure III-2.4-5 Future forecast on market size of PVC in construction industry in China, 2008~2018,
Figure III-2.4-6 Future forecast on market size of PVC in packaging industry in China, 2008~2018,
Figure IV-1.1-1 Import volume and price of PVC in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-1.1-2 Import volume and price of PVC in China by custom code, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-1.1-3 Import volume and price of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-1.1-4 Import volume and price of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-1.3-1 Import origin structure of PVC in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-1.3-1 Import origin structure of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-1.3-3 Import origin structure of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-1.4-1 PVC import structure in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-1.4-2 PVC compound import structure in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-1.4-3 PVC paste import structure in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-2.1-1 Export volume and price of PVC in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-2.1-2 Export volume and price of PVC in China by customs code, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-2.1-3 Export volume and price of PVC compound in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-2.1-3 Export volume and price of PVC paste in China, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-2.3-1 Export destination structure of China’s PVC, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-2.4-1 Export structure of PVC in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-2.4-2 Export structure of PVC compound in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure IV-2.4-3 Export structure of PVC paste in China by province, Jan-Oct. 2008
Figure V-1-1 Price of PVC in China in 2008
Figure V-2-1 Price of calcium carbide and PVC by calcium carbide method in 2005~2008
Figure V-2-2 The output, apparent consumption and price of PVC in China, 1998~2007
Figure V-2-3 Export price of PVC in China in 2005~2008 (Jan.~Oct.)
Figure V-3-1 Forecast on PVC price in China, 2009~2018
Figure VI-1.2-1 Growth rates of GDP and PVC production in China, 1999-2009est
Figure VI-1.2-2 CPI and PPI growth in China, Aug-2007~Nov-2008
Figure VI-2-1 Forecast on PVC in China to 2018
Figure VI-2-2 Forecast on PVC compound in China to 2018

COMPANIES MENTIONED

Tianjin Dagu Chemical industry Co., Ltd.; Qilu Petrochemical Co., Ltd. Soda Chloride Factory; Dongguan Win-Tech Plastic Materials Co., Ltd.; Anhui Wuhu Conch Profiles and Science Co., Ltd.;Liaoning Zhongwang Group Co., Ltd.
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