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China livestock Market Review & Outlook Proposal 2009/2010

March 2010 | 92 pages | ID: C618D278D95EN
Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Co., Ltd

US$ 1,800.00

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Research Background

China’s breeding industry had big changes in 2009, of which supply of live pigs turned from a shortage to a surplus, from high profits to losses, prices have dropped sharply compared the same period of last year. Broiler breeding also turned from a high profit in 2008 to a low profit and some losses. Due to inadequate adjustment in prior period, layers breeding continued the loss momentum in 2008, resulting in laying hens stock on hand continued to decline. Beef cattle breeding recovered in the third quarter, cow stock in the main producing areas began to pick up and stop declining. Sheep stock continued to decline.

At the policy level, the state continued to subsidize investment and construction of standard and large-scale farms, issued the “Regulation Plan (Provisional) on Preventing Excessive Price Down of Live Pigs”, and for the first time initiated a response mechanism when the market reached warning point, due to the influence of H1N1 influenza, suspended imports of pork products from H1N1 influenza epidemic areas, and required all imported pork must pass the H1N1 detection. The Commerce Ministry of China conducted an anti-dumping investigation to US chicken, and the US market opened up to China’s chicken products.

Regarding breeding, animal diseases remained serious in 2009, and frequently lead to early slaughter and selling of live pigs and chickens, as well as abnormal elimination of laying hens. But sow stock is still in surplus, while many small hatcheries of broilers and layers suffered heavy losses, an increase of market variables.

Regarding slaughter, the construction of large-scale pig and chicken slaughtering and processing enterprises are continued throughout the country, these enterprises are basically in the north of the Yangtze River. Despite the ban on live poultry trade in South China, local chicken slaughtering facilities are still relatively lacking.

China’s corn reduced production in 2009, which will pull corn prices up even through supply is still adequate, thus increasing production cost of breeding industry.

Breeding and slaughtering industries had drastic changes in 2009, BOABC will carry out follow-up analysis in this report, striving to make a clear development direction and provide references for decision-making.
CHAPTER 1 EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT

1.1 Macro Economic and Impacts
  1.1.1 Employment and Income Growth
  1.1.2 Food Expenditure
  1.1.3 Urbanization
1.2 Macro Policies and Impacts
  1.2.1 Document No.1 of 2009
  1.2.2 State council’s executive meeting: Support the development of livestock industry
  1.2.3 Ministry of agriculture: foreign investment introduction must be in favor of Chinese farmers
  1.2.4 Supply policy
  1.2.5 State-owned Company re-dominate livestock products processing industry
  1.2.6 Information statistics system
  1.2.7 Advantageous Regional Layout of china’s beef cattle, sheep, milk cow and pig
  1.2.8 Construction of quality supervision station of agriculture products
  1.2.9 Give out consume subsidy to low income group
1.3 Epidemics Prevention System and Impacts
  1.3.1 Construction of Animal Epidemic Prevention System
  1.3.2 Debut of official vet
1.4 Development and impact of slaughter industry
  1.4.1 Appointed slaughter of flocks and herds
  1.4.2 Tracing System of Quality of Pork
  1.4.3 Slaughterhouses classification
  1.4.4 Plan on hog slaughtering industry (2010-2015)
  1.4.5 Other Companies Engage in Breeding
1.5 Development of Feed Industry and Impacts
1.6 International Trade of Animal Products and Impacts

CHAPTER 2 CHINA PROFILE

2.1 Supply of Animal Products in 2009
  Fig 1.1, Output of Pork, Beef, Mutton, Poultry Meat and Poultry Eggs from 2000-2010
2.2 Demand for Animal Products in 2009
  Fig 1.2, Total Consumption of Pork, Beef, Mutton, Poultry Meat and Poultry Eggs from 2000-2010
2.3 Livestock Slaughter and Processing in 2009
  Fig 1.3, Meat Production of Scaled Slaughterhouses from 2001-2009
2.4 Price Level of Animal Products in 2009
  Fig 1.4, Trend of Retail Price of Animal Products from 2000-2010
  Fig 1.5, Trend of Weighed Price of Animal Products from 2000-2010
2.5 Profits of China Animal Farming in 2009
2.6 Changes of Animal Farming Scale in 2009
2.7 International Trade of Animal Products in 2009
  Fig 1.6, China Animal Products Import, 2000-2010
  Fig 1.7, China Animal Products Export, 2000-2010

CHAPTER 3 PORK MARKET

3.1 Global Pork Output in 2009
3.2 Supporting Policy to Hog Farming
  3.2.1 Fattening Hogs and Insurance
  3.2.2 Early-warning System of Hog Farming
  3.2.3 Establishment and operation of Pork Reserve System
  3.2.4 Establishment of pig exchange
3.3 Pork Supply
  3.3.1 Breeding Hog Inventory in 2009
    Fig 3.1, China Sow Inventory from 2000-2010
  3.3.2 Hog Inventory & Crop and Pork Production in 2009
    Fig 3.2, China Hog Inventory from 2000-2010
    Fig 3.3, China Hog Crop from 2000-2010
    Fig 3.4, China Pork Output from 2000-2010
    Fig 3.5, Regional Structure of Hog Crop in 2009
  3.3.3 Hog Farming Scale in 2009
    Fig 3.6, Scale Structure of Hog Slaughtering from 2001-2009
    Fig 3.7, Scale Structure of Hog Farms in 2009
  3.3.4 Hog Epidemics in 2009
  3.3.5 Ractopamine pork in 2009
  3.3.6 Outlook of Pork Supply in 2010
3.4 Hog Farming Profits
  3.4.1 Hog Farming Cost in 2009
    Fig 3.8, Structure of Hog Farming Cost from 2008-2010
  3.4.2 Live Hog Price in 2009
    Fig 3.9, Monthly Live Hog Price from 2005-2009
  3.4.3 Profit of Hog Farming in 2009
  3.4.4 Forecast of Hog Farming Profit in 2010
3.5 Hog Slaughter and Processing
  3.5.1 Policy on Hog Slaughter and Processing in 2009
  3.5.2 Structure of Hog Slaughterhouses in 2009
    Fig 3.10, Quantity Structure of Slaughterhouses by Capacity in 2009
  3.5.3 Hog Slaughter Capacity in 2009
    Fig 3.11, Capacity Structure of Hog Slaughterhouses in 2009
  3.5.4 Hog Slaughtering in 2009
    Fig 3.12, Structure of Slaughtering Volume of Hog Slaughterhouses in 2009
  3.5.5 Profit of Hog Slaughtering Industry in 2009
  3.5.6 Forecast of Hog Slaughtering Industry in 2010
3.6 Pork Consumption
  3.6.1 Pork Consumption Volume in 2009
  3.6.2 Structure of Urban and Rural Consumption of Pork in 2009
  3.6.3 Structure of Pork Consumption of Different Channels in 2009
  3.6.4 Structure of Pork Consumption of Different Product Style in 2009
  3.6.5 Price Level of Pork in 2009
    Fig 3.13, Monthly Retail Price of Pork from 2005-2009
  3.6.6 Influence of H1N1
3.7 Pork Trade
  3.7.1 Policy on Pork Trade in 2009
  3.7.2 Pork Export in 2009
    Fig 3.14, China Pork Import & Export from 2000-2009
  3.7.3 Import of Pork in 2009
3.8 Outlook of Pork Market in 2010
  3.8.1 Hog Farming Policy
  3.8.2 Hog Inventory and Slaughter
  3.8.3 Pork Production
  3.8.4 Pork Consumption
  3.8.5 Pork Trade
  3.8.6 Pork Price

CHAPTER 4 POULTRY MEAT MARKET

4.1 Global Poultry Meat Output in 2009
4.2 Supporting Policy to Meat Poultry Farming
4.3 General Status of Meat Poultry Farming
  4.3.1 Inventory and Slaughtering of Meat Poultry in 2009
    Fig 4.1, China Poultry Crop from 2000-2010
  4.3.2 Poultry Meat Production in 2009
    Fig 4.2, China Poultry Meat Production from 2000-2010
    Fig 4.3, Structure of Poultry Meat Producing Regions in 2009
  4.3.3 Structure of Meat Poultry Farming in 2009
4.4 Chicken Meat Supply
  4.4.1 Inventory of Breeding Chickens in 2009
  4.4.2 Inventory and Crop of Broilers and Chicken Meat Production in 2009
    Fig 4.4, Structure of Chicken Meat Producing Regions in 2009
  4.4.3 Broiler Farming Scale in 2009
    Fig 4.5, China Broiler Crop Structure by Farm Size from 2000-2009
    Fig 4.6, Structure of Broiler Farming Scales in 2009
  4.4.4 Broiler Farming Technology in 2009
  4.4.5 Broiler Epidemics in 2009
4.5 Broiler Farming Profit
  4.5.1 Cost of Broiler Farming in 2009
    Fig 4.7, Structure of Broiler Farming Costs in 2008-2010
  4.5.2 Live Broiler Price in 2009
  4.5.3 Profit of Broiler Farming in 2009
  4.5.4 Outlook of Broiler Farming Profit in 2010
4.6 Status of Broiler Slaughter and Processing Industry
  4.6.1 Policy on Broiler Slaughter and Processing in 2009
  4.6.2 Structure of Broiler Slaughter and Processing Enterprises in 2009
  4.6.3 Structure of Processed Chicken Meat Products in 2009
  4.6.4 Broiler Slaughter Capacity and Slaughter Amount in 2009
  4.6.5 Outlook of Broiler Slaughter Industry in 2010
4.7 Poultry Meat Consumption
  4.7.1 Poultry Meat Consumption in 2009
  4.7.2 Urban and Rural Structure of Poultry Meat Consumption in 2009
  4.7.3 Structure of Poultry Meat Consumption through Different Channels in 2009
  4.7.4 Poultry Meat Price in 2009
    Fig 4.8, Retail Price of Dressed Chicken from 2005-2009
4.8 Poultry Meat Trade
  4.8.1 Policy on Poultry Meat Trade in 2009
  4.8.2 Poultry Meat Export in 2009
    Fig 4.9, China Chicken Meat and Edible Offal Import & Export from 2000-2009
  4.8.3 Poultry Meat Import in 2009
4.9 Outlook of Meat Poultry Market in 2010
  4.9.1 Policy on Meat Poultry Farming
  4.9.2 Inventory and Crop of Meat Poultry
  4.9.3 Production of Meat Poultry
  4.9.4 Consumption of Poultry Meat
  4.9.5 Poultry Meat Trade
  4.9.6 Price of Poultry Meat

CHAPTER 5 POULTRY EGG MARKET

5.1 Global Egg Output in 2009
5.2 Supporting Policy to Egg Poultry Farming
5.3 General Situation of Egg Poultry Farming
  5.3.1 Inventory and Structure of Egg Poultry in 2009
  5.3.2 Production and Structure of Poultry Eggs in 2009
    Fig 5.1, China Poultry Eggs Output from 2000-2010
5.4 Supply of Chicken Eggs
  5.4.1 Inventory of Breeding Layers in 2009
  5.4.2 Layer Inventory and Egg Output in 2009
    Fig 5.2, Regional Structure of Chicken Egg Production of Scaled Layer Farms in 2009
  5.4.3 Layer Farm Size in 2009
    Fig 5.3, Structure of Scales of Layer Farming from 2000- 2009
    Fig 5.4, Structure of Scales of Layer Farming in 2009
  5.4.4 Layer Farming Enterprises in 2009
  5.4.5 Epidemics of Layers in 2009
5.5 Layer Farming Profit
  5.5.1 Layer Farming Cost in 2009
    Fig 5.5, Structure of Layer Farming Cost from 2008-2010
  5.5.2 Farmers’ Price of Eggs in 2009
  5.5.3 Profit Margin of Layer Farming of Different Scales in 2009
  5.5.4 Outlook of Layer Farming Profit in 2010
5.6 Poultry Egg Processing Industry
  5.6.1 Policy on Poultry Egg Processing in 2009
  5.6.2 Structure of Poultry Egg Processing Enterprises in 2009
  5.6.3 Structure of Poultry Egg Products in 2009
  5.6.4 Processing Capacity and Processing Volume of Poultry Eggs in 2009
  5.6.5 Outlook of Poultry Egg Processing Industry in 2010
5.7 Primary Incidents of Poultry Egg Industry
  5.7.1 Meat Association Advocates Futures of Poultry Eggs
5.8 Poultry Egg Consumption
  5.8.1 Poultry Egg Consumption Volume in 2009
  5.8.2 Urban and Rural Structure of Poultry Egg Consumption
  5.8.3 Structure of Poultry Egg Consumption through Different Channels in 2009
  5.8.4 Poultry Egg Price in 2009
    Fig 5.6, Monthly Egg Retail Price of China from 2005-2009
5.9 China Egg Trade in 2009
  5.9.1 Policy on Poultry Egg Trade in 2009
  5.9.2 Export of Poultry Eggs in 2009
    Fig 5.7, China Fresh Egg Export from 2000-2009
5.10 Outlook of Egg Poultry Market in 2010
  5.10.1 Policy on Egg Poultry Farming
  5.10.2 Egg Poultry Inventory
  5.10.3 Poultry Egg Output
  5.10.4 Poultry Egg Consumption
  5.10.5 Poultry Egg Trade
  5.10.6 Poultry Egg Price

CHAPTER 6 BEEF MARKET

6.1 Global Beef Output in 2009
6.2 Supporting Policy for Beef Cattle Farming
6.3 Beef Supply
  6.3.1 Inventory of Breeding Cattle in 2009
    Fig 6.1, China Breeding Cow Inventory from 2002-2010
  6.3.2 Inventory and Crop of Beef Cattle in 2009
    Fig 6.2, Beef Production from 2000-2010
    Fig 6.3, China Beef Cattle Crop form 2000-2010
    Fig 6.4, Regional Structure of China Beef Cattle Crop in 2009
  6.3.3 Scale of Beef Cattle Farming in 2009
    Fig 6.5, Structure of Scales of Beef Cattle Farming from 2003- 2009
    Fig 6.6, China Beef Cattle Crop by Farm Size in 2009
  6.3.4 Beef Cattle Farming Enterprises in 2009
  6.3.5 Beef Cattle Farming Technology in 2009
  6.3.6 Epidemics of Beef Cattle in 2009
  6.3.7 Beef Quality in 2009
6.4 Efficiency of Beef Cattle Farming
  6.4.1 Cost of Beef Cattle Farming in 2009
    Fig 6.7, China Cost of Beef Cattle Farming from 2008-2010
  6.4.2 Price of Live Cattle in 2009
  6.4.3 Profit of Beef Cattle Farming in 2009
  6.4.4 Outlook of Beef Cattle Farming Profit in 2010
6.5 Slaughter and Processing of Beef Cattle
  6.5.1 National Policy on Beef Cattle Slaughter and Processing in 2009
  6.5.2 Structure of Beef Cattle Slaughter and Processing Enterprises in 2009
  6.5.3 Structure of Beef Products in 2009
  6.5.4 Beef Cattle Slaughter Capacity in 2009
6.6 Beef Consumption
  6.6.1 Beef Consumption in 2009
  6.6.2 Urban and Rural Structure of Beef Consumption in 2009
  6.6.3 Structure of Beef Consumption through Different Channels in 2009
  6.6.4 Beef Price in 2009
    Fig 6.8, China Monthly Retail Price of Beef from 2005-2009
6.7 Beef Trade
  6.7.1 Policy on Beef Trade in 2009
  6.7.2 Beef Export in 2009
    Fig 6.9, China Beef Import & Export from 2000-2009
  6.7.3 Export of Live Cattle in 2009
  6.7.4 Beef Import in 2009
6.8 Outlook of Beef Market in 2010
  6.8.1 Policy on Beef Cattle Farming
  6.8.2 Beef Cattle Inventory
  6.8.3 Beef Output
  6.8.4 Beef Consumption
  6.8.5 Beef Trade
  6.8.6 Beef Price

CHAPTER 7 MUTTON MARKET

7.1 Global Mutton Output in 2009
7.2 Policy on Mutton Sheep Farming
7.3 Mutton Supply
  7.3.1 Inventory of Breeding Sheep in 2009
  7.3.2 Inventory and Crop of Mutton Sheep in 2009
    Fig 7.1, China Mutton Sheep Crop from 2000-2010
    Fig 7.2, China Mutton Output from 2000-2010
    Fig 7.3, Regional Structure of China Mutton Production in 2009
  7.3.3 Scale of Mutton Sheep Farming in 2009
    Fig 7.4, Scale Structure of China Mutton Sheep Farming from 2002-2009
    Fig 7.5, Scale Structure of China Mutton Sheep Farming in 2009
  7.3.4 Mutton Sheep Farming Enterprises in 2009
  7.3.5 Mutton Sheep Farming Technology in 2009
  7.3.6 Epidemics of Mutton Sheep in 2009
  7.3.7 Quality of Mutton in 2009
7.4 Mutton Sheep Farming Profit
  7.4.1 Farming Cost in 2009
    Fig 7.6, Composition of Mutton Sheep Farming Cost from 2008- 2010
  7.4.2 Live Sheep Price in 2009
  7.4.3 Profit of Mutton Sheep Farming in 2009
  7.4.4 Outlook of Farming Profit of Mutton Sheep in 2010
7.5 Slaughter and Processing of Mutton Sheep
  7.5.1 National Policy on Slaughter and Processing Industry of Mutton Sheep in 2009
  7.5.2 Structure of Mutton Sheep Slaughter and Processing in 2009
  7.5.3 Structure of Mutton Products in 2009
  7.5.4 Mutton Sheep Slaughter Capacity in 2009
  7.5.5 Outlook of Mutton Sheep Processing Industry in 2010
7.6 Mutton Consumption
  7.6.1 Mutton Consumption Volume in 2009
  7.6.2 Urban and Rural Structure of Mutton Consumption in 2009
  7.6.3 Structure of Mutton Consumption through Different Channels in 2009
  7.6.4 China Mutton Price in 2009
    Fig 7.7, China Monthly Retail Price of Mutton from 2005-2009
7.7 Mutton Trade
  7.7.1 Policy on Mutton Trade in 2009
  7.7.2 Mutton Export in 2009
    Fig 7.8, China Mutton Import & Export from 2000-2009
  7.7.3 Mutton Import in 2009
7.8 Outlook of Mutton Market in 2010
  7.8.1 Policy on Mutton Sheep Farming
  7.8.2 Mutton Sheep Inventory
  7.8.3 Mutton Output
  7.8.4 Mutton Consumption
  7.8.5 Mutton Trade
  7.8.6 Mutton Price

APPENDIX

Table 1, China Pork Output by Province in 2009
Table 2, China Hog Inventory by Province from 2000-2009
Table 3, China Hog Crop by Province from 2000-2009
Table 4, China Monthly Pork Import by Source in 2009
Table 5, China Monthly Pork Export by Destination in 2009
Table 6, China Pork Balance Sheet from 2000-2010
Table 7, China Poultry Meat Output by Province from 2000-2009
Table 8, China Poultry Crop by Province from 2000-2009
Table 9, China Monthly Import of Poultry Meat & Edible Offal by Source in 2009
Table 10, China Monthly Export of Poultry Meat & Edible Offal by Source in 2009
Table 11, China Poultry Meat Balance Sheet from 2000-2010
Table 12, China Poultry Egg Output by Province from 2000-2009
Table 13, China Monthly Egg Export by Destination in 2009
Table 14, China Poultry Egg Balance Sheet from 2000-2010
Table 15, China Beef Output by Province from 2000-2009
Table 16, China Cattle Inventory by Province from 2000-2009
Table 17, China Cattle Crop by Province from 2000-2009
Table 18, China Monthly Import of Fresh and Chilled Beef by Source in 2009
Table 19, China Monthly Export of Fresh and Chilled Beef by Destination in 2009
Table 20, China Monthly Import of Frozen Beef by Source in 2009
Table 21, China Monthly Export of Frozen Beef by Source in 2009
Table 22, China Beef Balance Sheet from 2000-2010
Table 23, China Mutton Output by Provicne from 2000-2009
Table 24, Chna Sheep Inventory by Province from 2000-2009
Table 25, China Sheep Crop by Province from 2000-2009
Table 26, China Monthly Mutton Import by Source in 2009
Table 27, China Monthly Mutton Export by Source in 2009
Table 28, China Mutton Balance Sheet from 2000-2010
Table 29, China Monthly Average Retail Prices of Feedsttff, Manufacted Feed and Livestock Products in 2009


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