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Mobile and Alternative Payments in Canada

December 2012 | 146 pages | ID: M0DF08D9725EN
Packaged Facts

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Mobile payments are gaining a foothold in Canada: Of an estimated 22 million Canadian adult mobile phone users, some 17% have made a mobile payment in past 12 months, according to Packaged Facts’ survey results. But in this very nascent-stage market, the issue comes down to the method of payment. Despite Canada’s solid contactless point-of-sale base, we see significant challenges for NFC-based mobile payments. However, mobile P2P has already taken hold, and we expect mobile P2P to continue to lead Canadian mobile payments growth, thanks in large part to PayPal and Zoompass, already popular P2P methods straddling online and mobile payments. While QR code awareness is low, our consumer survey results suggest that mobile payers are twice as likely to use a barcode scanning apps during the next 12 months than during the last 12 months. And with Starbucks’ Canadian rollout of its barcode scan-based mobile payment application, usage—and interest—could rise.

Packaged Facts expects Canadian E-Wallet and electronic P2P payments to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 62% during 2012-2015, on the heels of recent and expected mobile payments launches and subsequent consumer uptake.

Mobile and Alternative Payments in Canada provides industry participants with the wealth of analysis and guidance they need to stay abreast of this quickly evolving market. Report coverage includes market sizing and forecast for Canadian mobile payments, as well as a comprehensive evaluation of competitor dynamics:
  • Canadian contactless and mobile payment strategies employed by American Express, Interac, MasterCard and Visa.
  • Mobile payments strategies employed by non-banks: carrier-based payment strategies, led by Rogers Communications and Zoompass; alternative payments & emerging wallet payment strategies, led by Google, PayPal and Square; direct carrier billing, provided by Bango and Text2pay; and emerging mobile payment acceptance options, led by NetSecure Technologies and Payfirma.
  • Mobile banking and mobile payment solutions of Canada’s Big 5 banks (Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Royal Bank of Canada, Scotiabank and Toronto-Dominion Bank)
  • Merchant perspective on Canadian mobile payments and analysis of the diverging mobile payment paths taken by Canadian QSR playersTim Hortons and Starbucks.
  • Macro trends shaping the Canadian mobile payments landscape, including internet and mobile phone use trends; eCommerce and online merchant adoption trends; Payment method trends; mobile banking and payments usage versus future interest; and security and fraud.
In addition, Proprietary Packaged Facts consumer survey data provide the basis for a detailed analysis of the consumer context:
  • Mobile phone and smartphone ownership trends, feature usage, app usage, and tablet ownership
  • Mobile payment methods (i.e. P2P, bill payment, etc.) and payment funding choices by demographic
  • Mobile payers’ current and intended use of mobile payment, deposit and communication methods, broken out by smartphone users, non-smartphone users, mobile bankers, and mobile payers
  • Mobile banking by demographic group; feature usage uptake among mobile bankers and mobile smartphone bankers.
  • Current and intended use of mobile phone financial, promotional & shopping tools
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Report Scope
Overview
Market Size and Forecast
  Macro trends shaping Canadian mobile payments landscape
  Internet and mobile phone use trends
  eCommerce and online merchant adoption
  Payment methods
  Mobile banking and payments usage versus future interest
  Security and fraud concerns
Canadian Mobile Phone Usage Trends
Canadian Mobile Banking Trends
  Summary analysis
Canadian Mobile Payments Trends
  Summary analysis
Canadian Interest in Mobile Financial, Promotional & Shopping Tools
  Summary analysis
Canadian Mobile Payments Strategies: Card Associations
  American Express
  Interac
  MasterCard
  Visa Canada
Canadian Mobile Payments Strategies: Nonbanks
  Carrier-Based Payment Strategies
  Alternative Payments & Emerging Wallet Payment Strategies
  Emerging mobile payment acceptance options
Mobile Payments Strategies: Canadian Banks
Tim Hortons & Starbucks Canadian Mobile Payment Strategies
  Retailer perspective
  Tim Horton’s opts for NFC
  Starbucks Canada takes the barcode route

CHAPTER 1: OVERVIEW

Canadian payments infrastructure
Payment methods
Canadian payment laws
Payments industry undergoing significant change
  The Task Force for the Payments System Review
  Code of Conduct for the Credit and Debit Card Industry
Application to mobile payments
  Merchant payment choice
  Competing domestic debit applications
  Principle of equal branding
  Debit and credit comingling
CBA Mobile Payments Reference Model
Competition Bureau
  Huge discrepancy between credit and debit fees
  Challenging practices as anti-competitive

CHAPTER 2: MARKET SIZE AND FORECAST

Summary analysis
Mobile payments are gaining a foothold in Canada
E-Wallet and electronic P2P payments growing robustly
  But represent a tiny sliver of retail payments
  Zoompass and PayPal
Going forward: 62% 2012-2015 CAGR
  Table 2-1: Canadian E-Wallet/P2P Transaction Value, 2011-2015
>NFC mobile payments at POS: significant challenges ahead
NFC mobile payment growth inhibitors
  Limited acceptance
  Limited access
  Limited transaction value amounts
  Limited payment flexibility; no loyalty flexibility
  Fee & competition concerns
Payment growth context
Cash and check garner largest value share
Credit and debit gain
Contactless card growth
Prepaid use also rises aggressively, but total value remains very small
Graph 2-1: Canadian Retail Payments Value, by Payment Type, 2008-2011

CHAPTER 3: MACRO TRENDS SHAPING CANADIAN MOBILE PAYMENTS LANDSCAPE

Internet and mobile phone use trends
Mobile phone usage nears saturation
  Mobile phone coverage virtually universal
  Table 3-1: Canadian Wireless Subscribers, Revenue, Availability and Penetration, 2010 and 2011
Smartphone share nears 60%
  Graph 3-1: Quarterly Canadian Smartphone/Feature Phone Share, 2011
  Smartphone share passes 50%
  100% penetration by 2014
Apps and more apps
  Graph 3-2: iTunes Music and App Store Downloads
Tablet penetration exceeds U.S. rate
Broadband internet availability nearly universal
  Table 3-2: Residential Internet, Broadband and High-Speed Broadband Metrics, 2011
Household internet access at 80%
  Graph 3-3: Percentage of Canadian Households with Home Internet Access, 2010
Online banking highly penetrated
eCommerce and online merchant adoption
E-commerce lags
  Table 3-3: Canadian Electronic Commerce, Number and Value of Orders
  Credit cards dominant online payment option, but online payment services have foothold
Small- and midsize- businesses
  Small business online penetration very high
  Online banking penetration high; online selling is low
  PayPal leading internet payment choice
  Table 3-4: Internet payment solutions used by SMEs
  Less than half can accept online payments
  Table 3-5: Small- and Medium-Size Business Payment Acceptance Rates, Preferred Payment, and Share of Dollar Sales
  And mobile platform adoption very low
  Social networking not significant
  Justifying cost of electronic payment equipment a challenge
  Graph 3-4: Obstacles to Accepting Electronic Payments
Payment methods
NFC and contactless
  Is 80,000 enough to drive a revolution?
  PayPass merchant adoption passing 20,000
  But only 5% terminal penetration?
  An urban skew
  Table 3-6: MasterCard PayPass Terminals & Terminals per Capita:
  Top 10 Canadian Cities by Population, 2012
  payWave skewed heavily to major chains; narrow retail segment scope
  Table 3-7: Visa payWave Merchant Category Penetration: Top 10 Canadian Cities by Population, 2012
Don’t count out QR codes
Eyeing P2P
  Lots of checks and cash left to convert
  Online/mobile opportunity: P2P transactions skew to cash
  Table 3-8: Percentage of Consumer Transactions by Method of Payment & Payment Channel
  Card-and phone-based opportunity: Most micropayments made in cash
  Table 3-9: Percentage of Consumer Transactions by Transaction Value Range & Method of Payment
Mobile banking and mobile payments use and interest
Awareness is relatively high
Usage foundation is forming
  Mobile payments gaining a foothold
  NFC and wallet penetration is low
  But mobile P2P has taken hold
  Future intent suggests pent up demand for mobile payments. . .
  . . . and for more holistic mobile financial & promotional organization tools
Security and fraud concerns
  Need for robust digital identification and authentication
  Research In Motion to address mobile wallet security

CHAPTER 4: CANADIAN MOBILE PHONE USAGE TRENDS

Summary analysis
Mobile phone usage and smartphone usage share
Smartphone share well above 50%
  Youth and non-Europeans lead the way
  Table 4-1: Canadian Mobile Phone & Smartphone Usage Penetration, 2012
Operating system: still RIM territory
  Graph 4-1: Quarterly Canadian Smartphone Operating System Share, 2011
Smartphone users v. non-smartphone users: feature usage, bill & downloads
  Texting carries across smartphones and non-smartphones
  Strong feature-driven user base for mobile payments providers to target
  Table 4-2: Table Feature Usage, Phone Bill & App Download Frequency: Smartphone Users V.Non-Smartphone Users, 2012
Demographic analysis
  Table 4-3: Smartphone User Feature Usage, Phone Bill & App Download Frequency: By Gender, 2012
  Table 4-4: Smartphone User Feature Usage, Phone Bill & App Download Frequency: By Age, 2012

CHAPTER 5: CANADIAN MOBILE BANKING TRENDS

Summary analysis
Mobile banker definition
18-29s a pivotal demographic
  Table 5-1: Mobile Banking: Canadian Usage Penetration, 2012
Mobile banking features & services
  More than 4 million using phone to check account balance/recent transactions
  Mobile bill payment catching on
  Table 5-2: Mobile Banking Features & Services Usage Penetration and Population:
  Canadian Population, Mobile Phone & Smartphone Users, 2012
Mobile bankers = smartphone users
  Moderate usage frequency
  Table 5-3: Mobile Banking & Mobile Banking Frequency: Mobile Phone, Smartphone & Non-Smartphone Users, 2012

CHAPTER 6: CANADIAN MOBILE PAYMENTS TRENDS

Summary analysis
Mobile payer definition
Gaining a foothold
  Table 6-1: Mobile Payments: Usage Penetration, 2012
But marked by infrequent use
Mobile payment methods
  Bill payment has widest usage footprint
  P2P taking hold
  Online purchasing more prevalent than most mobile payment methods
  Less than 1 in 10 tapping phone at POS; even fewer using virtual wallets
  Table 6-2: Mobile Payment Methods, 2012
Payment cards prevailing funding option, followed by bank account & PayPal
  Wallet solutions not relevant yet
  Carrier direct billing and iTunes
  Table 6-3: Mobile Payments: Payment Sources, 2012
Past vs. next 12 months: mobile payment, deposit & communication methods
  In light of current use, NFC mobile payment interest is pronounced
  Picture check deposit and bill payment
  Graph 6-1: Mobile Payers’ Mobile Payment, Deposit and Communication Methods:
  Current v. Intended Use, 2012
Interest during next 12 months
  Interest more prevalent among smartphone users
  Table 6-4: Interest in Mobile Phone Payment, Deposit & Communication Methods in Next 12 months:
  Mobile Phone, Smartphone & Non-Smartphone Users, 2012
  Mobile bankers more apt to express interest in mobile payment & deposit methods
  Table 6-5: Interest in Mobile Phone Payment, Deposit & Communication Methods in Next 12 months:
  Mobile Phone Users, Mobile Bankers & Mobile Payers, 2012

CHAPTER 7: CANADIAN INTEREST IN MOBILE FINANCIAL, PROMOTIONAL & SHOPPING TOOLS

Summary analysis
Introduction
Mobile Phone Financial & Promotional Organization
Mobile Financial & Promotional Organization Tools: Current Use & Future Use
  Graph 7-1: Mobile Payers: Current and Future Use of Mobile Financial &
    Promotional Organization Tools, 2012
  Non-smartphone users interested, too
    Table 7-1: Interest in Mobile Financial And Promotional Organization Tools in Next 12 months: Mobile Phone, Smartphone & Non-Smartphone Users, 2012
    Mobile bankers most apt to express interest in variety of methods
    Table 7-2: Interest in Mobile Financial And Promotional Organization Tools in Next 12 months:
    Mobile Phone Users, Mobile Bankers & Mobile Payers, 2012
  Mobile Phone Shopping Enhancements
  Mobile Shopping Tools: Current Use & Future Use
    Path to purchase
    An online shopping laggard
    Mobile purchase apps
    Comparing prices while shopping a popular phenomenon
    Barcode scanning demand
    Graph 7-2: Mobile Payers: Current and Future Use of Mobile Shopping Tools, 2012
  Non-smartphone users interested, too
    Table 7-3: Interest in Mobile Shopping Tools in Next 12 months: Mobile Phone, Smartphone & Non-Smartphone Users, 2012
  Mobile banker interest suggests platform development route
    Table 7-4: Interest in Mobile Shopping Tools in Next 12 months: Mobile Phone Users,
      Mobile Bankers & Mobile Payers, 2012

CHAPTER 8: CANADIAN MOBILE PAYMENTS STRATEGIES: CARD ASSOCIATIONS

Summary analysis
  American Express
  Interac
  MasterCard
  Visa Canada
American Express Canada
Payment diversification
  Prepaid moves
  Contactless chip technology migration
  Mobile banking website
  No Canada Serve yet
Interac
Non-profit status a boon and a bane
Products and services
  Interac Flash: Canada’s first contactless debit payment function
  Interac Online
  Interac e-Transfer
  Low, low, low fees
MasterCard
  Maestro take a bow—then leaves the stage
PayPass
  Security
  New issuers
PayPass Wallet Services
PayPass global network remains small
  But Canada tells a slightly different story
  But only 3% terminal penetration?
  An urban skew
  Table 8-1: MasterCard PayPass Terminals & Terminals per Capita, Top 10 Canadian Cities by Population, 2012
Visa Canada
Visa payWave
payWave skewed heavily to major chains; narrow retail segment scope
  Table 8-2: Visa payWave Merchant Category Penetration, Top 10 Canadian Cities by Population, 2012
  CIBC mobile payment app
  Visa digital wallet
  Zoompass prepaid card option
  Co-badged debit foothold

CHAPTER 9: CANADIAN MOBILE PAYMENTS STRATEGIES: NONBANKS

Carrier-Based Payment Strategies
Rogers Communications
  Graph 9-1: Wireless Carrier Mobile Phone Subscriber Market Share, Q3 2012
  Direct carrier billing
  Rogers-branded suretap solution
  Gemalto partnership
  Financial institution? A credit card?
Zoompass
  Major partnerships
  Zoompass Tag
Zoompass functionality
  Enrollment
  Loading the wallet
  Transferring money
  Prepaid card option
  Fee structure
  Table 9-1: Zoompass Account Fees
  Table 9-2: Zoompass Account Funding and Transaction Maximums
Alternative Payments & Emerging Wallet Payment Strategies
Google Wallet
PayPal
Square
Google Wallet
  Not in Canada, for some time we expect
  But study it closely
  Wallet 1.0: lots of fanfare; little success
  Wallet 1.5: putting it in the cloud
  Calling all cards
  Save to Wallet feature
  Online/offline integration: Enter the virtual prepaid card
  Online purchases: ubiquity, courtesy of MasterCard
  In-store purchase limited by NFC
  Security enhancement
  Wallet 2.0: Leapfrogging NFC with a physical card
  Thank you, Discover
PayPal
  100 million accounts and counting
  Online and mobile capability
  Mobile payment apps
  In-store payment launching in U.S.
  Already a strong Canadian online player
  Mobile checkout enabled for hundreds of thousands of Canadian merchants
  PayPal Here: POS payment solution
  PayPal Here delays holding it back?
Square, Inc.
  How much it costs
  Table 9-3: Square Pricing Options & Fees
  How it works
  Open tab feature
  Loyalty tracking
  Security
  Tools
  Square Card Reader
  Square Register
  Starbucks U.S. relationship does not extend to Canada
Direct Carrier Billing
Text2pay
Bango
Emerging mobile payment acceptance options
NetSecure Technologies
  Like Square, but not like Square
  Kudos Slice
Payfirma
  NFC in the works
  Fee structure
  Table 9-4: Payfirma Mobile Payment Pricing

CHAPTER 10: MOBILE PAYMENTS STRATEGIES: CANADIAN BANKS

Summary analysis
Bank of Montreal
Mobile PayPass Tag
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
Mobile banking leadership
CIBC Mobile Payment App
  Who can use it
  Incentive to use it
  How they can use it
Royal Bank of Canada
  Mobex Mobile Payment provides learning curve
Mobile wallet launch on the horizon
Scotiabank/ING Direct
  Passive social network banking on Facebook
  Remote check deposit
Toronto-Dominion Bank
Mobile banking app launches met with strong demand

CHAPTER 11: TIM HORTONS & STARBUCKS CANADIAN MOBILE PAYMENT STRATEGIES

Summary analysis: retailer perspective
A Tale of Two Chains: Starbucks and Tim Horton’s
Tim Horton’s opts for NFC
Starbucks Canada takes the barcode route
  100 mobile million transactions and counting
Stored value card foundation
  Benefits
  Square partnership—a Square investment
  But Starbucks chooses PayPal in Canada
Appendix
Methodology
Consumer survey methodology
  U.S. Cell Phone Ownership/Use, by Demographic: 2012 Survey Comparison
  Packaged Facts Canadian Survey Demographics
Market size and forecast
Report table interpretation
Abbreviations
Terms and definitions
  Explanatory tables
  Table A1: Mobile Phone, Smartphone, Non-Smartphone, Mobile Banking & Mobile Payments Users, 2012


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