Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market By Technology (Air to Air (Ducts, Ductless), Air to Water (Split, Integrated)), By End Use (Residential, Hotels & Resorts, Gym & Spas, Education, Food Service, Others), By Distribution Channel (Online, Offline), By Region, Competition, Forecast & Opportunities, 2020-2030F

The Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market was valued at USD 872.23 million in 2024 and is projected t%li%reach USD 1409.92 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.43% during the forecast period. The demand for air source heat pumps (ASHPs) in Australia is increasing steadily, driven by their application in residential and commercial heating, cooling, and hot water systems. Given Australia’s diverse climate, ASHPs are well-suited for efficient space conditioning and water heating across regions. While small generation solar units and solar hot water systems currently dominate installations, ASHPs have experienced a noticeable uptick in adoption, particularly since 2020. According t%li%2024 data from the Clean Energy Regulator, 501,085 ASHPs have been cumulatively installed, reflecting their growing appeal as energy-efficient alternatives amid Australia’s transition t%li%cleaner, sustainable home energy solutions.
Key Market Drivers
Government Incentives and Policy Support
A primary driver of growth in the Australia air source heat pump market is the proactive support provided through government incentives and environmental policy initiatives. Programs like the Victorian Energy Upgrades (VEU) and rebates from Clean Energy Regulator schemes are encouraging both residential and commercial users t%li%transition from outdated, high-emission systems t%li%cleaner alternatives such as ASHPs. These financial incentives reduce upfront costs, making the systems more accessible and accelerating adoption, especially in areas with high electricity prices. Additionally, regulatory moves phasing out gas-based systems in favor of electric heating options are further stimulating demand. By supporting energy savings and emission reductions, government-backed programs have created a favorable environment for ASHPs t%li%become an increasingly preferred choice among consumers.
Key Market Challenges
High Upfront Costs and Installation Barriers
Despite offering long-term cost savings and energy efficiency, air source heat pumps face a significant barrier in their high initial purchase and installation costs. Even with rebates, the investment required for ASHP units, installation, and potential electrical upgrades remains substantial, deterring many potential users—particularly in low-income segments. Installation complexities based on property type, size, and retrofitting needs can further escalate expenses. Compounding the issue is a lack of pricing transparency and inconsistent installation practices, making it difficult for consumers t%li%evaluate their options. Without broader financial solutions such as low-interest financing or expanded subsidies, these costs remain a key challenge t%li%wider market adoption.
Key Market Trends
Integration with Renewable Energy Systems
An emerging trend in the Australia air source heat pump market is the integration of ASHPs with solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. This combination enables homeowners t%li%use solar energy t%li%power their heat pumps, enhancing energy independence while reducing grid reliance and operational costs. It als%li%aligns with national efforts t%li%cut carbon emissions and improve residential energy efficiency. Incentive programs further support this integration, appealing t%li%environmentally conscious consumers seeking sustainable home solutions. As investment in renewable energy infrastructure continues across Australia, the synergy between solar PV and ASHPs is expected t%li%play a pivotal role in shaping the future of energy-efficient heating and cooling in the country.
Key Market Players
In this report, the Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market has been segmented int%li%the following categories, in addition t%li%the industry trends which have als%li%been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies presents in the Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market.
Available Customizations:
Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according t%li%a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:
Company Information
Key Market Drivers
Government Incentives and Policy Support
A primary driver of growth in the Australia air source heat pump market is the proactive support provided through government incentives and environmental policy initiatives. Programs like the Victorian Energy Upgrades (VEU) and rebates from Clean Energy Regulator schemes are encouraging both residential and commercial users t%li%transition from outdated, high-emission systems t%li%cleaner alternatives such as ASHPs. These financial incentives reduce upfront costs, making the systems more accessible and accelerating adoption, especially in areas with high electricity prices. Additionally, regulatory moves phasing out gas-based systems in favor of electric heating options are further stimulating demand. By supporting energy savings and emission reductions, government-backed programs have created a favorable environment for ASHPs t%li%become an increasingly preferred choice among consumers.
Key Market Challenges
High Upfront Costs and Installation Barriers
Despite offering long-term cost savings and energy efficiency, air source heat pumps face a significant barrier in their high initial purchase and installation costs. Even with rebates, the investment required for ASHP units, installation, and potential electrical upgrades remains substantial, deterring many potential users—particularly in low-income segments. Installation complexities based on property type, size, and retrofitting needs can further escalate expenses. Compounding the issue is a lack of pricing transparency and inconsistent installation practices, making it difficult for consumers t%li%evaluate their options. Without broader financial solutions such as low-interest financing or expanded subsidies, these costs remain a key challenge t%li%wider market adoption.
Key Market Trends
Integration with Renewable Energy Systems
An emerging trend in the Australia air source heat pump market is the integration of ASHPs with solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. This combination enables homeowners t%li%use solar energy t%li%power their heat pumps, enhancing energy independence while reducing grid reliance and operational costs. It als%li%aligns with national efforts t%li%cut carbon emissions and improve residential energy efficiency. Incentive programs further support this integration, appealing t%li%environmentally conscious consumers seeking sustainable home solutions. As investment in renewable energy infrastructure continues across Australia, the synergy between solar PV and ASHPs is expected t%li%play a pivotal role in shaping the future of energy-efficient heating and cooling in the country.
Key Market Players
- Stiebel Eltron (Aust) Pty Ltd
- Daikin Australia Pty Ltd
- Rheem Australia Pty Ltd
- Aquamax Australia Pty. Limited
- Robert Bosch (Australia) Pty Ltd
- Ev%li%Industries Australia Pty Ltd.
- Smart Lifestyle Australia Pty Ltd
- Rinnai Australia Pty Ltd
- Solargain Pty Ltd (iStore)
- Mitsubishi Electric Australia Pty Ltd.
In this report, the Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market has been segmented int%li%the following categories, in addition t%li%the industry trends which have als%li%been detailed below:
- Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market, By Technology:
- Air t%li%Air (Ducts, Ductless)
- Air t%li%Water (Split, Integrated)
- Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market, By End Use:
- Residential
- Hotels & Resorts
- Gym & Spas
- Education
- Food Service
- Others
- Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market, By Distribution Channel:
- Online
- Offline
- Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market, By Region:
- New South Wales
- Victoria
- Queensland
- South Australia
- Western Australia
- Tasmania
- Northern Territory
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies presents in the Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market.
Available Customizations:
Australia Air Source Heat Pump Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according t%li%a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:
Company Information
- Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up t%li%five).
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1. Product Overview
1.2. Key Highlights of the Report
1.3. Market Coverage
1.4. Market Segments Covered
1.5. Research Tenure Considered
2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
2.1. Methodology Landscape
2.2. Objective of the Study
2.3. Baseline Methodology
2.4. Formulation of the Scope
2.5. Assumptions and Limitations
2.6. Sources of Research
2.7. Approach for the Market Study
2.8. Methodology Followed for Calculation of Market Size & Market Shares
2.9. Forecasting Methodology
3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
3.1. Overview of the Market
3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
3.4. Overview of Key Regions
3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, and Trends
4. VOICE OF CUSTOMER
4.1. Brand Awareness
4.2. Factor Influencing Availing Decision
5. AUSTRALIA AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMP MARKET OUTLOOK
5.1. Market Size & Forecast
5.1.1. By Value
5.2. Market Share & Forecast
5.2.1. By Technology (Air to Air (Ducts, Ductless), Air to Water (Split, Integrated))
5.2.2. By End Use (Residential, Hotels & Resorts, Gym & Spas, Education, Food Service, Others)
5.2.3. By Distribution Channel (Online, Offline)
5.2.4. By Region
5.2.5. By Company (2024)
5.3. Market Map
6. AUSTRALIA AIR TO AIR HEAT PUMP MARKET OUTLOOK
6.1. Market Size & Forecast
6.1.1. By Value
6.2. Market Share & Forecast
6.2.1. By End Use
6.2.2. By Distribution Channel
7. AUSTRALIA AIR TO WATER HEAT PUMP MARKET OUTLOOK
7.1. Market Size & Forecast
7.1.1. By Value
7.2. Market Share & Forecast
7.2.1. By End Use
7.2.2. By Distribution Channel
8. MARKET DYNAMICS
8.1. Drivers
8.2. Challenges
9. MARKET TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
9.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
9.2. Product Launches (If Any)
9.3. Recent Developments
10. PORTERS FIVE FORCES ANALYSIS
10.1. Competition in the Industry
10.2. Potential of New Entrants
10.3. Power of Suppliers
10.4. Power of Customers
10.5. Threat of Substitute Products
11. AUSTRALIA ECONOMIC PROFILE
12. POLICY & REGULATORY LANDSCAPE
13. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
13.1. Company Profiles
13.1.1. Stiebel Eltron (Aust) Pty Ltd
13.1.1.1. Business Overview
13.1.1.2. Company Snapshot
13.1.1.3. Products & Services
13.1.1.4. Financials (As Per Availability)
13.1.1.5. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
13.1.1.6. Recent Developments
13.1.1.7. Key Management Personnel
13.1.2. Daikin Australia Pty Ltd
13.1.3. Rheem Australia Pty Ltd
13.1.4. Aquamax Australia Pty. Limited
13.1.5. Robert Bosch (Australia) Pty Ltd
13.1.6. Evo Industries Australia Pty Ltd.
13.1.7. Smart Lifestyle Australia Pty Ltd
13.1.8. Rinnai Australia Pty Ltd
13.1.9. Solargain Pty Ltd (iStore)
13.1.10. Mitsubishi Electric Australia Pty Ltd.
14. STRATEGIC RECOMMENDATIONS
15. ABOUT US & DISCLAIMER
1.1. Product Overview
1.2. Key Highlights of the Report
1.3. Market Coverage
1.4. Market Segments Covered
1.5. Research Tenure Considered
2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
2.1. Methodology Landscape
2.2. Objective of the Study
2.3. Baseline Methodology
2.4. Formulation of the Scope
2.5. Assumptions and Limitations
2.6. Sources of Research
2.7. Approach for the Market Study
2.8. Methodology Followed for Calculation of Market Size & Market Shares
2.9. Forecasting Methodology
3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
3.1. Overview of the Market
3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
3.4. Overview of Key Regions
3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, and Trends
4. VOICE OF CUSTOMER
4.1. Brand Awareness
4.2. Factor Influencing Availing Decision
5. AUSTRALIA AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMP MARKET OUTLOOK
5.1. Market Size & Forecast
5.1.1. By Value
5.2. Market Share & Forecast
5.2.1. By Technology (Air to Air (Ducts, Ductless), Air to Water (Split, Integrated))
5.2.2. By End Use (Residential, Hotels & Resorts, Gym & Spas, Education, Food Service, Others)
5.2.3. By Distribution Channel (Online, Offline)
5.2.4. By Region
5.2.5. By Company (2024)
5.3. Market Map
6. AUSTRALIA AIR TO AIR HEAT PUMP MARKET OUTLOOK
6.1. Market Size & Forecast
6.1.1. By Value
6.2. Market Share & Forecast
6.2.1. By End Use
6.2.2. By Distribution Channel
7. AUSTRALIA AIR TO WATER HEAT PUMP MARKET OUTLOOK
7.1. Market Size & Forecast
7.1.1. By Value
7.2. Market Share & Forecast
7.2.1. By End Use
7.2.2. By Distribution Channel
8. MARKET DYNAMICS
8.1. Drivers
8.2. Challenges
9. MARKET TRENDS & DEVELOPMENTS
9.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
9.2. Product Launches (If Any)
9.3. Recent Developments
10. PORTERS FIVE FORCES ANALYSIS
10.1. Competition in the Industry
10.2. Potential of New Entrants
10.3. Power of Suppliers
10.4. Power of Customers
10.5. Threat of Substitute Products
11. AUSTRALIA ECONOMIC PROFILE
12. POLICY & REGULATORY LANDSCAPE
13. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
13.1. Company Profiles
13.1.1. Stiebel Eltron (Aust) Pty Ltd
13.1.1.1. Business Overview
13.1.1.2. Company Snapshot
13.1.1.3. Products & Services
13.1.1.4. Financials (As Per Availability)
13.1.1.5. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
13.1.1.6. Recent Developments
13.1.1.7. Key Management Personnel
13.1.2. Daikin Australia Pty Ltd
13.1.3. Rheem Australia Pty Ltd
13.1.4. Aquamax Australia Pty. Limited
13.1.5. Robert Bosch (Australia) Pty Ltd
13.1.6. Evo Industries Australia Pty Ltd.
13.1.7. Smart Lifestyle Australia Pty Ltd
13.1.8. Rinnai Australia Pty Ltd
13.1.9. Solargain Pty Ltd (iStore)
13.1.10. Mitsubishi Electric Australia Pty Ltd.
14. STRATEGIC RECOMMENDATIONS
15. ABOUT US & DISCLAIMER