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Turkey Pension Fund Market Forecast to 2013

March 2009 | 50 pages | ID: T864AF030CCEN
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The Turkish pension market is very strong and dynamic, evident from its response to the ongoing financial crisis. Amidst deepening global financial crisis which has resulted into downward trend in pension funds all around the world, the Turkish pension market has shown strong immunity to the crisis.

Unlike the rest of the world, the number of pension funds participants in Turkey has been increasing at fast pace because of its strategy of safe investments. People prefer to invest in less risky instruments like pension funds, says a new report, “Turkey Pension Fund Market Forecast to 2013” by RNCOS, a leading market research firm.

The report provides extensive research and in-depth analysis on the Turkish pension market. It will help clients to analyze the leading-edge opportunities critical to the success of emerging private pension market in the country. Detailed data and objective analysis along with quantitative statistics will help players to navigate through the evolving pension market in Turkey.

Our research provides forecast (2009-2013) on
  • Number of participants in the system
  • Number of potential prospects in the system
  • Investments in pension funds
  • Prospective investments in pension funds
The forecast given in the report is not based on a complex economic model, but is intended as a rough guide to the direction in which the market is likely to move. The forecast is based on a correlation between past market growth and growth of base drivers.

Key Players

This section provides business overview of several prominent players in the industry, including Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik, Yapi Kredi Emeklilik, Garanti Emeklilik ve Hayat and Aviva Hayat ve Emeklilik.
1. ANALYST VIEW

2. MACRO ECONOMIC INDICATORS

2.1 Economic Growth
2.2 Income Distribution
2.3 Demographics

3. PENSION MARKET STRUCTURE

4. MARKET FORECAST TO 2013

4.1 Pension Fund Investments
4.2 Number of Participants
4.3 Type of Contracts
  4.3.1 Individual
  4.3.2 Group
4.4 Participants by Age Group
4.5 Participants by Province

5. MARKET TRENDS

5.1 Life Expectancy
5.2 Health Care Spending
5.3 Investment Strategy
5.4 Distribution Channels
5.5 Stock Market Performance
5.6 Social Security Reforms
5.7 Islamic Bonds

6. REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT

6.1 Private Pension Legislation
6.2 Establishing Pension Company
6.3 Establishing Pension Fund
6.4 Participation in Pension System
6.5 Retirement and Pension Options

7. MARKET PLAYERS

7.1 Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik
7.2 Yapi Kredi Emeklilik
7.3 Garanti Emeklilik ve Hayat
7.4 Aviva Hayat ve Emeklilik

LIST OF FIGURES:

Figure 2-1: Real GDP Growth (%), 2008-2013
Figure 2-2: Disposable Income per Head (US$), 2006-2008
Figure 2-3: Forecast for Disposable Income per Head (US$), 2009-2013
Figure 2-4: Population (Million), 2008-2013
Figure 2-5: Population Breakup by Age Group (%), 2008
Figure 2-6: Forecast for Population Breakup by Age Group (%), 2013
Figure 3-1: Pension Fund Size (Million US$), 2006-2008
Figure 4-1: Pension Fund Investments (Million US$), 2003-2008
Figure 4-2: Forecast for Pension Fund Investments (Million US$), 2009-2013
Figure 4-3: Prospective Pension Fund Investments (Billion US$), 2009-2013
Figure 4-4: Number of Participants in Pension Fund (‘000), 2003-2008
Figure 4-5: Forecast for Number of Participants in Pension Fund (‘000), 2009-2013
Figure 4-6: Potential Prospects for Number of Participants in Pension Fund (Million), 2009-2013
Figure 4-7: Share of Individual and Group Contracts in Pension Contracts
Figure 4-8: Number of Individual Pension Contracts (‘000), 2006-2008
Figure 4-9: Number of Group Pension Contracts (‘000), 2006-2008
Figure 4-10: Pension Fund Participants by Age Group (%), 2008
Figure 4-11: Pension Fund Participants by Province (%), 2008
Figure 4-12: Number of Pension Fund Participants in Istanbul (‘000), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-13: Number of Pension Fund Participants in Ankara (‘000), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-14: Number of Pension Fund Participants in Izmir (‘000), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-15: Number of Pension Fund Participants in Antalya (‘000), 2007 & 2008
Figure 4-16: Number of Pension Fund Participants in Bursa (‘000), 2007 & 2008
Figure 5-1: Life Expectancy (Years), 2002-2008
Figure 5-2: Forecast for Life Expectancy (Years), 2009-2013
Figure 5-3: Forecast for Health Care Spending per Head (US$), 2009-2013
Figure 5-4: Investment Portfolio of Pension Fund (%), 2007
Figure 5-5: Private Pension Plan Sales by Channel (%), 2007
Figure 7-1: Share of Pension Fund Players in Net Asset Value (2007)

LIST OF TABLES:

Table 7-1: Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik - Key Performance Indicators (2007 & Q3 2008)
Table 7-2: Garanti Emeklilik ve Hayat - Key Performance Indicators (2004-2007)


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