Adult and Retirement Communities: Market Research Report

December 2011 | 135 pages | ID: A02F1D89247EN
Global Industry Analysts, Inc

Abstracts

The global outlook series on Adult and Retirement Communities provides a collection of statistical anecdotes, market briefs, and concise summaries of research findings.

Illustrated with 56 fact-rich market data tables, the report offers an aerial view of adult and retirement industry, highlights latest market trends, and key market drivers.

Regional markets briefly abstracted and covered include North America, United States, Canada, Japan, Europe (including Finland, Monaco, and UK), Asia-Pacific (including Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan), Latin America (including Mexico), and Africa (including Morocco).

The report offers a compilation of recent mergers, acquisitions, and strategic corporate developments.

Also included is an indexed, easy-to-refer, fact-finder directory listing the addresses, and contact details of 206 companies worldwide.

Contents

1.OVERVIEW

Retirement Communities – An Introduction
Location & Design – Key Factors for Retirement Units
Lifestyle Demands – Vital for Retirement Community Setting
Geriatric Living Solutions – An Overview
Skilled Nursing Facilities (SNFs)
Service Description, Typical Patient Profile and Period of Stay for Skilled Nursing Facilities
Senior Living
Independent Living
Assisted Living
Continuous Care Retirement Communities
Service Description, Typical Patient Profile, and Period of Stay in Senior Living Market by Category - Independent Living, Assisted Living, and Continuous Care Retirement Communities (CCRCs)

Table 1. Senior Housing in the US (2010): Leading Senior Housing Owners by Number of Units (in '000)

Primary Operating Models in Senior Living
Comparison of Major Operating Models in Senior Living Market
Global Demographics – A Review
Ageing World Population

Table 2. Global Aging Population - Percentage Breakdown of Senior Population (Above 65 Years, and Above 85 Years) by Select Region for the Years 2000, 2015, and 2030

Table 3. Most Populous Countries in the World: Population in Million for the Year 2008 and Projections for 2050

Table 4. Top 10 Countries with Oldest Population in the World (2011): 65+ Population by Gender for Japan, Germany, Italy, Sweden, Greece, Austria, Bulgaria, Belgium, Portugal, and Finland

Most of the Aged Population Live in Developed Nations: A Myth

Table 5. Global Distribution of Population for Age Group (60+, and 80+) by Region for Years 2010 & 2050 (In Million)

Table 6. Global Average Annual Rate of Change of Total Population for Different Age Groups by Major Region for Years 2009-2050 (in %)

Table 7. Global Distribution of Population for Age Group (60+, and 80+) by Major Areas for Years 2010 & 2050 (In Million)

Table 8. Global Average Annual Rates of Change of Total Population for Different Age Groups by Major Area for Years 2009-2050 (in %)

Addressing the Needs of Aged Population

Table 9. Percentage of Assisted Living (AL) Residents Who Require Help for Daily Living Activities - Bathing, Dressing, Eating, Medication Management, Toileting, and Transferring

Dementia: Imminent Global Healthcare Crisis

2.MARKET TRENDS & ISSUES

Latest Trends in Senior Living: An Insight
Assisted Living Continues to be a Popular Choice over Nursing Facilities
Housing Industry Adopts Universal Design for Adult Communities
Credit Crunch Impacts the US Seniors’ Housing Loan Volumes
Net Worth of Seniors Declines
Highly Fragmented US Senior Market Offers Opportunities for Consolidation
Recession Generates New Opportunities
Stable Occupancies and Limited Supply of Units

3.MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS

4.STRATEGIC CORPORATE DEVELOPMENTS

A REGIONAL MARKET PERSPECTIVE

1.NORTH AMERICA

Seniors Population Continues to Grow
Improvements in Lifestyles and Life Expectancy
Senior Care Shifts from Family Care to Professional Care
Investment Trends in Senior Housing
Senior Women – The Prime Target Customers
Consolidation of Divided Ownership

1A.UNITED STATES

US Senior Housing Market – An Overview
Independent Living and Continuing Care Communities Bore the Brunt of Plunge in the Housing Sector
Impact of Recession on Assisted Living Sector: An Overview
Favorable Demographics Continue to Drive Market Growth

Table 10. US Population in Million by Age Group: 2010-2020

Table 11. US Population (Above 65 and Above 85) in Million: 2010-2050

REITs Fuel Senior Housing Sales
Retirement Communities Adapt to Evolving Needs of Today’s Aged Population
Active Adult Communities: A Favorite Choice of Baby Boomers
Baby Boomers Shift to AACs Likely to Attain Record Levels in Future

Table 12. Active Adult Retirement Communities in the United States by State (2011)

Present-day AACs Specially Customized as per Baby Boomer Specifications
Assisted Living: An Overview

Table 13. Long Term Care Market in the United States (2011): Percentage Share Breakdown by Type of Care for Nursing Home Care, Home Care, Assisted Living, and Hospice Care

Table 14. Estimated Number of Senior Housing Units in the United States by Type (2010)

Table 15. Senior Housing in the United States (2010): Percentage Share Breakdown by Value for Independent Living, Skilled Nursing, and Assisted Living

Table 16. Senior Housing Communities in the United States by Type of Community (2010): Percentage Share Breakdown for Majority Skilled Nursing, Majority Assisted Living, Majority Independent Living, and Continuing Care Retirement Communities

Table 17. Number of Units/Beds in Senior Housing Communities in the US by Type of Community (2010): Percentage Share Breakdown for Majority Skilled Nursing, Continuing Care Retirement Communities, Majority Independent Living, and Majority Assisted Living

Table 18. Average Cost (in US$) of Assisted Living and Nursing Homes (Private and semi-Private) in the US: 2010

Continuing Care Retirement Communities
Continuing Care Retirement Communities in the US: An Overview
Background
CCRCs Poised to Gain Greater Market Share in Future
Independent Living Communities
Independent Living Communities: An Overview

Table 19. Independent Living Communities in the US as of 2006 by Select Province: A Historic Perspective

Assisted Living Communities
Assisted Living Communities: An Overview

Table 20. Assisted Living Communities in the US as of 2006 by Select Province: A Historic Perspective

Assisted Living Properties - Types

Table 21. US Assisted Living Market (2010): Percentage Breakdown of Various Settings for AL Residences (by Property Type) - Freestanding Assisted Living, Assisted Living/Dementia Care, Continuing Care Retirement Communities, Assisted Living/ Independent Living, Assisted Living/Nursing, and Freestanding Dementia Care

Table 22. US Assisted Living Market (2010): Percentage Breakdown of Various Settings for AL Residences (by Number of Units) - Assisted Living/Dementia Care, Freestanding Assisted Living, Continuing Care Retirement Communities, Assisted Living/Independent Living, Assisted Living/Nursing, and Freestanding Dementia Care

Public and Private for-Profit Companies: Dominance of Private Pay Model

Table 23. US Assisted Living Market (2008): Percentage Breakdown by Ownership Type - Private-For-Profit, Public-For-Profit, Not-For-Profit, and Others

Table 24. US Senior Living Market (2010): Percentage Breakdown of Annual Average Cost for Senior Living by Category - Pent- Up Home Equity (Opportunity Cost), Housing, Food, Transportation, Utilities, and Entertainment

Assisted Living - Dementia Care Facilities
Service Description, Typical Patient Profile and Period of Stay for Memory Care Facilities

Table 25. Dementia Care Facilities in the US as of 2006 by Select Province

Table 26. Average Cost of Assisted Living and Nursing Homes (Private and Semi- Private) (2010)

Nursing Homes
Nursing Homes in the US: An Overview
Growth of Nursing Homes
Nursing Home Residents

Table 27. US Nursing Homes Market (2010): Percentage Breakdown of Residents Seeking Assistance in Activities of Daily Living (ADLs)

Nursing Home Costs: A Historic Review

Table 28. US Nursing Homes Market (2007): Average Nursing Home Costs per Day in US Dollar for Semi-Private Room and Private Room in Select Areas

Senior Housing – Glance into History

Table 29. US Assisted Living Market – Growth of AL Properties: Percentage Breakdown by Time Period - Before 1989, Between 1990-1999, 2000 or later

Factors Affecting Senior Housing Industry
Lending Scenario
Increasing Buyers' Expectations
Key Mode of Operations in the US Senior Housing Market

Table 30. US Senior Housing Market (2009): Average Occupancy Rate in Assisted Living and Independent Living Facilities for Sunrise Senior Living, Brookdale, Emeritus, Capital Senior Living, and Five Star Senior Living

Table 31. US Senior Housing Market (2009): Average Occupancy Rate in Skilled Nursing Homes for Kindred Healthcare, Sun Healthcare, Skilled Healthcare Group, Ensign Group, and Sun Healthcare

Table 32. Brookdale Senior Living - Number of Facilities, Occupancy Ratio, and Total Units/Bed Capacity by Select Community - Assisted Living, Independent Living, and CCRCs

Table 33. Top Senior Housing Owners in the United States in Terms of Percentage Increase in Number of Units Owned: 2010

Table 34. Top Senior Housing Managers in the United States in Terms of Percentage Increase in Number of Units Managed: 2010

Real Estate Investment Trusts
REITs in the US
General Factors Influencing the US Senior Housing Industry
Delayed Retirement of Active Adults: Decline of Independent Living Segment
Seniors Delay Entry into Adult Communities: Constriction of Market Size
Seniors Seek Short-Term Assistance: Need Driven Growth of Assisted Living Segment
Limited Options to Meet Assisted Living Expenses: Decline in Occupancy Rate
US Assisted Living Market – Primary Reasons for Residents Leaving AL Facility by Ranking

Table 35. US Assisted Living Market – Primary Reasons for Residents Leaving AL Facility (2010) – Percentage Breakdown by Reason – Shift to Nursing Home, Death, Shift to Private Home, Another Residence, Hospital, and Others

Financially Constrained Seniors Seek Alternatives
Adult Communities in Urban Areas: Moderate Occupancy
Current Status of the Industry: Recapitulating the Impact of Influential Factors
Adult Community Operators Simplify Procedures and Extend Services
Active Adult Communities Mull over “Age Desegregation”
Upscale Assisted Living Segment Remains Strong: Hospitality-based Model
HUD Revamps FHA to Offset Credit Crisis
Superimposition with Health Care Industry
Market Outlook
Attractive Demographics
Baby Boomers – A Snapshot

Table 36. Percentage Share Breakdown of Grandparents in the US by Age Group (2011)

Table 37. 65 + Population in the United States by Gender

Generation-Xers – Snapshot
High Expansion of Capacity Unlikely in Senior Living Industry
Senior Housing Market Remains Attractive for Investment

Table 38. US Current & Future Analysis for Assisted Living Communities – Number of New Units for the Years 2010 through 2015

Independent Living Communities

Table 39. US Current & Future Analysis for Independent Living Communities – Number of New Units for the Years 2010 through 2015

Continuous Care Retirement Communities

Table 40. US Current & Future Analysis for Continuing Care Retirement Communities – Number of New Units for the Years 2010 through 2015

Table 41. US Current & Future Analysis for Continuing Care Retirement Community (CCRC) Services– Revenues in US$ Billion for the Years 2010 through 2015

Skilled Nursing Facilities (SNF) Versus Senior Living: Outlook
Comparison of Skilled Nursing Facilities and Senior Living Communities in the US

Table 42. US Current & Future Analysis for Skilled Nursing – Revenues in US$ Billion for the Years 2010 through 2015

1B.CANADA

Investments in Canadian Senior Housing Industry
Canadian Adult Communities

Table 43. 65 + Population in Canada by Gender

2.JAPAN

Japanese Dankai Generation

Table 44. Living Arrangement of Japanese Older Population: Percentage Breakdown by Mode of Living for Years 1980, 1995, and 2010

Table 45. 65 + Population in Japan by Gender

3.EUROPE

Aging Population in Europe – An Overview

Table 46. European Population Statistics for Age Group (Below 65, and 65+) for Select Countries - France, Germany, Italy, United Kingdom, Russia, and Spain

Table 47. Rest of Western European Population Statistics for Age Group (Below 65, and 65+) for Select Countries – Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, Greece, Ireland, The Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, Switzerland, and Turkey

Table 48. Eastern European Population Statistics for Age Group (Below 65, and 65+) for Select Countries – Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia

3A.FINLAND

Overview

3B.FRANCE

French Retirement Homes Market
Demographic Trends
Over 65 Years Age Group
Over 85 Years Age Group

Table 49. 65 + Population in Canada by Gender

3C.UNITED KINGDOM

Overview
Need for Private Investment
Nursing Care and Residential Care Real Estate Market to Surge
High Growth Potential as Supply Likely to Surpass Demand by 2030

4.ASIA-PACIFIC

Overview
Attractive Demographics

Table 50. Asia-Pacific Population Statistics for Age Group (Below 65, and 65+) for Select Countries – Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Korea, South Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan, and Thailand

Consumer Behavior

4A.AUSTRALIA

Overview
Demography and Other Growth Factors
Current and Future Status of the Industry

Table 51. Australian Current & Future Analysis of Continuing Care Retirement Community Services Market – Revenues in US$ Billion for the Years 2010 through 2015

4B.CHINA

Overview
Senior Living Market in China: A Prelude
Rapid Increase in the Costs of elderly Care
Background
Real Estate for Elderly Care, a Promising Market in China
China: An Emerging Hotspot for Elderly Care Real Estate Investment
Demographics

4C.INDIA

Overview
Senior Care and Living

4D.INDONESIA

Overview

4E.KOREA

Overview

4F.SINGAPORE

Overview

4G.TAIWAN

Overview

5.LATIN AMERICA

Boom of American Retirement Communities in Latin America

Table 52. Latin American Population Statistics for Age Group (Below 65, and 65+) by Gender for Select Country – Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Venezuela in 2011

Table 53. Latin America Population Statistics (2011): 65+ Population by Gender for Select Regions – Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, and Venezuela

5A.MEXICO

Overview

6.AFRICA

Overview

6A.MOROCCO

Overview

7.REST OF WORLD

ISRAEL

Table 54. Distribution of Assisted Living Facilities in Israel (2011)

Table 55. Distribution of Beds among Elders in Assisted Living Facilities in Israel (2011)

Table 56. Distribution of Beds (in ‘000) among Elders in Assisted Living Facilities in Israel (2011)

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