Real- Estate Comprehensive Report Q1/2019
VIETNAM REAL-ESTATE MARKET
After a long time of bumble development with virtual price then falling into a regression, house price has gradually returned to its real value. With the booming economy, Vietnam is one of the most attractive destinations to many retailers in South East Asia.
In the Q4/2019, there were new projects in Hanoi and HCM.city, leading to the dramatic increase in supply. The market showed sign of warning when the occupancy porportion as well as rent price had improved considerably. Whereas, the average office rent price grew due to the scarity of supply.
With an export-oriented economy, Vietnam attracts a huge and increasing amount of foreign direct investment. With the increasing demand of houses and factories, the market segment is an attractive investment channel.
The year 2018 witnessed many big M&A deals, the scale went up to 1 billion USD. Vietnam is forcated to be a promising medium or long term investment for at least 5 years.
After a long time of bumble development with virtual price then falling into a regression, house price has gradually returned to its real value. With the booming economy, Vietnam is one of the most attractive destinations to many retailers in South East Asia.
In the Q4/2019, there were new projects in Hanoi and HCM.city, leading to the dramatic increase in supply. The market showed sign of warning when the occupancy porportion as well as rent price had improved considerably. Whereas, the average office rent price grew due to the scarity of supply.
With an export-oriented economy, Vietnam attracts a huge and increasing amount of foreign direct investment. With the increasing demand of houses and factories, the market segment is an attractive investment channel.
The year 2018 witnessed many big M&A deals, the scale went up to 1 billion USD. Vietnam is forcated to be a promising medium or long term investment for at least 5 years.
Abbreviations
Executive summary
1. BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
1.2 Legal framework
1.3 Impact of trade agreements
2. WORLD REAL ESTATE MARKET
2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the world
2.2 Real estate market in some countries in the region
3. VIETNAM REAL ESTATE MARKET
3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics
3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market
3.3 Movement of the real estate market
3.3.1 Real estate for rent
3.3.2 Real estate for sale
3.4 Risks and challenges
3.4.1 Risks
3.4.2 Challenges
3.4.3 SWOT
3.5 Housing development planning
3.6 Driving forces
3.7 M&A trend
4. ENTERPRISE ANALYSIS
5. APPENDIX
Financial statements
Executive summary
1. BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
1.2 Legal framework
1.3 Impact of trade agreements
2. WORLD REAL ESTATE MARKET
2.1 Real estate market in some countries in the world
2.2 Real estate market in some countries in the region
3. VIETNAM REAL ESTATE MARKET
3.1 Industry concepts and characteristics
3.2 The period of volatility of Vietnam Real Estate Market
3.3 Movement of the real estate market
3.3.1 Real estate for rent
3.3.2 Real estate for sale
3.4 Risks and challenges
3.4.1 Risks
3.4.2 Challenges
3.4.3 SWOT
3.5 Housing development planning
3.6 Driving forces
3.7 M&A trend
4. ENTERPRISE ANALYSIS
5. APPENDIX
Financial statements
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: CPI fluctuations by month, 1/2015 – 12/2018
Figure 2: GDP growth by quarter, 2015 –2018
Figure 3: Consumer Confidence Index, 2014 –2018
Figure 4: CPI by commodity group, 2018
Figure 5: Average lending interest rate applied to USD, 2011 – 2018
Figure 6: FDI, 2014 –2018e
Figure 7: House price movement in the US, , 5/2012 – 12/2018
Figure 8: Total investment capital in global real estate market, 2008-2017
Figure 9: Home/income price indices in some Asian countries, 2019
Figure 10: Number of enterprises in Vietnam real estate business, 2010-2017
Figure 11: Number of labours in Vietnam real estate business, 2010-2017
Figure 12: Vietnam real estate business’s revenue, 2010-2017
Figure 13: Vietnam real estate business’s before-tax profit, 2010-2017
Figure 14: Total supply by category, Q4/2018
Figure 15: Supply structure by region, Q4/2018
Figure 16: Vacancy rates and rental prices, Q4/2018
Figure 17: Rental supply of commercial center, 2010-2018
Figure 18: Rental price and vacancy rates of commercial center, 2010-2018
Figure 19: Total supply, Q4/2018
Figure 20: Retail supply structure by region, Q4/2018
Figure 21: Vacancy rate and rental prices, Q4/2018
Figure 22: Supply of commercial center for lease 2007-2018
Figure 23: Rental price and vacancy rate of commercial centers, 2009-2018
Figure 24: Structure of retail area for rent by purpose, 2015
Figure 25: Structure of retail area for rent by purpose, 2018
Figure 26: New supply and vacancy rate of grade A offices, 2010-2018
Figure 27: Total supply by region,Q4/2018
Figure 28: Office rental price, Q1/2015-Q4/2018
Figure 29: Average rental price by area, Q4/2018
Figure 30: Structure of office for rent by industry, 2018
Figure 31: Office supply and vacancy rate, Q1/2016-Q4/2018
Figure 32: Total supply and rental price by category, Q4/2018
Figure 33: Office rental price, Q1/2015-Q4/2018
Figure 34: Structure of office for rent by industry, 2018
Figure 35: Structure of co-working space for rent by enterprise, 2018
Figure 36: Total Supply by Region, Q4/2018
Figure 37: Rental price by area, Q4/2018
Figure 38: Total supply and vacancy rate of Northern Industrial Zone, Q4/2018
Figure 39: Average rental price for the Northern Industrial Zone, Q4/2018
Figure 40: Total supply and vacancy rate, Q4/2018
Figure 41: Rental price by area, Q4/2018
Figure 42: Vacancy rate, 2011- 2018
Figure 43: Rental price for factories available, 2011 – 2018
Figure 44: Rental price for land by area, 2011 – 2018
Figure 45: Total Supply by Category, 2005- 2018
Figure 46: Apartment rental price by category, Q1/2013- Q4/2018
Figure 47: Apartment rental price and rental capacity, Q1/2015- Q4/2018
Figure 48: Total supply of apartments for rent, Q1/2015- Q4/2018
Figure 49: Apartment rental prices by class, Q4/2016- Q4/2018
Figure 50: Hotel total supply, Q1/2016 – Q4/2018
Figure 51: Rental price and capacity, Q1/2016- Q4/2018
Figure 52: Hotel total supply, Q1/2015 – Q4/2018
Figure 53: Rental price and capacity, Q4/2018
Figure 54: Average rental price and capacity, Q1/2016- Q4/2018
Figure 55: Housing supply in Hanoi, 2008- 2018
Figure 56: Price fluctuation of apartment for sale, Q1/2008 – Q4/2018
Figure 57: New supply and number of apartments sold,
2010- 2018
Figure 58: Offer price for apartment in Ho Chi Minh City, Q1/2015 – Q4/2018
Figure 59: High-end apartment segment's price, 2010- 2018
Figure 60: Structure of buying houses by purpose in HCM, 2016
Figure 61: Total villa/townhouse supply, Q1/2015- Q4/2018
Figure 62: Price fluctuation of villas and townhouses,Q1/2014- Q4/2018
Figure 63: Total villa/townhouse supply, Q1/2014- Q4/2018
Figure 64: House price on income in Vietnam, 2011 – 2017
Figure 65: Stock value of real estate, 6/2015-11/2018
Figure 66: Invest capital in types of transportation,2010-2015
Figure 67: Proportion of logistics cost in Vietnam’s GDP in 2016, compared to other countries
Figure 68: LPI Index ranks of ASEAN countries, 2010-2018
Figure 69: LPI Index rank of Vietnam, 2007- 2018
Figure 70: Level of urbanization, 2010 - 2017
Figure 71: Disposable income and household expenditures, 2008 – 2017f
Figure 72: Outstanding credit of Real estate, 12/2012-12/2018
Figure 73: Structure of real estate credit balance, 2018
Figure 74: Structure of population by stratification (expenditure), 2013 – 2020f
Figure 75: Number of tourists, 2011-2018
Figure 76: Vietnam’s revenue in real estate business, 2010-2022f
Figure 77: Net revenue growth, 2016 - 2017
Figure 78: Gross profit growth, 2017
Figure 79: Liquidity ratio, 2017
Figure 80: Receivable turnover, 2016 - 2017
Figure 81: Solvency. 2017
Figure 82: Asset turnover ratio, 2017
Figure 83: Fixed asset turnover, 2017
Figure 84: Enterprise management expenses/Net revenue, 2016 - 2017
Figure 85: Interest Expense/Net revenue, 2016 - 2017
Figure 86: Sale expenses/Net revenue, 2016 - 2017
Figure 87: Profit ratio , 2017
Figure 88: Retail market share in Vietnam, 2016
Figure 89: Distribution of supermarkets in Vietnam, by region, 2017
Figure 1: CPI fluctuations by month, 1/2015 – 12/2018
Figure 2: GDP growth by quarter, 2015 –2018
Figure 3: Consumer Confidence Index, 2014 –2018
Figure 4: CPI by commodity group, 2018
Figure 5: Average lending interest rate applied to USD, 2011 – 2018
Figure 6: FDI, 2014 –2018e
Figure 7: House price movement in the US, , 5/2012 – 12/2018
Figure 8: Total investment capital in global real estate market, 2008-2017
Figure 9: Home/income price indices in some Asian countries, 2019
Figure 10: Number of enterprises in Vietnam real estate business, 2010-2017
Figure 11: Number of labours in Vietnam real estate business, 2010-2017
Figure 12: Vietnam real estate business’s revenue, 2010-2017
Figure 13: Vietnam real estate business’s before-tax profit, 2010-2017
Figure 14: Total supply by category, Q4/2018
Figure 15: Supply structure by region, Q4/2018
Figure 16: Vacancy rates and rental prices, Q4/2018
Figure 17: Rental supply of commercial center, 2010-2018
Figure 18: Rental price and vacancy rates of commercial center, 2010-2018
Figure 19: Total supply, Q4/2018
Figure 20: Retail supply structure by region, Q4/2018
Figure 21: Vacancy rate and rental prices, Q4/2018
Figure 22: Supply of commercial center for lease 2007-2018
Figure 23: Rental price and vacancy rate of commercial centers, 2009-2018
Figure 24: Structure of retail area for rent by purpose, 2015
Figure 25: Structure of retail area for rent by purpose, 2018
Figure 26: New supply and vacancy rate of grade A offices, 2010-2018
Figure 27: Total supply by region,Q4/2018
Figure 28: Office rental price, Q1/2015-Q4/2018
Figure 29: Average rental price by area, Q4/2018
Figure 30: Structure of office for rent by industry, 2018
Figure 31: Office supply and vacancy rate, Q1/2016-Q4/2018
Figure 32: Total supply and rental price by category, Q4/2018
Figure 33: Office rental price, Q1/2015-Q4/2018
Figure 34: Structure of office for rent by industry, 2018
Figure 35: Structure of co-working space for rent by enterprise, 2018
Figure 36: Total Supply by Region, Q4/2018
Figure 37: Rental price by area, Q4/2018
Figure 38: Total supply and vacancy rate of Northern Industrial Zone, Q4/2018
Figure 39: Average rental price for the Northern Industrial Zone, Q4/2018
Figure 40: Total supply and vacancy rate, Q4/2018
Figure 41: Rental price by area, Q4/2018
Figure 42: Vacancy rate, 2011- 2018
Figure 43: Rental price for factories available, 2011 – 2018
Figure 44: Rental price for land by area, 2011 – 2018
Figure 45: Total Supply by Category, 2005- 2018
Figure 46: Apartment rental price by category, Q1/2013- Q4/2018
Figure 47: Apartment rental price and rental capacity, Q1/2015- Q4/2018
Figure 48: Total supply of apartments for rent, Q1/2015- Q4/2018
Figure 49: Apartment rental prices by class, Q4/2016- Q4/2018
Figure 50: Hotel total supply, Q1/2016 – Q4/2018
Figure 51: Rental price and capacity, Q1/2016- Q4/2018
Figure 52: Hotel total supply, Q1/2015 – Q4/2018
Figure 53: Rental price and capacity, Q4/2018
Figure 54: Average rental price and capacity, Q1/2016- Q4/2018
Figure 55: Housing supply in Hanoi, 2008- 2018
Figure 56: Price fluctuation of apartment for sale, Q1/2008 – Q4/2018
Figure 57: New supply and number of apartments sold,
2010- 2018
Figure 58: Offer price for apartment in Ho Chi Minh City, Q1/2015 – Q4/2018
Figure 59: High-end apartment segment's price, 2010- 2018
Figure 60: Structure of buying houses by purpose in HCM, 2016
Figure 61: Total villa/townhouse supply, Q1/2015- Q4/2018
Figure 62: Price fluctuation of villas and townhouses,Q1/2014- Q4/2018
Figure 63: Total villa/townhouse supply, Q1/2014- Q4/2018
Figure 64: House price on income in Vietnam, 2011 – 2017
Figure 65: Stock value of real estate, 6/2015-11/2018
Figure 66: Invest capital in types of transportation,2010-2015
Figure 67: Proportion of logistics cost in Vietnam’s GDP in 2016, compared to other countries
Figure 68: LPI Index ranks of ASEAN countries, 2010-2018
Figure 69: LPI Index rank of Vietnam, 2007- 2018
Figure 70: Level of urbanization, 2010 - 2017
Figure 71: Disposable income and household expenditures, 2008 – 2017f
Figure 72: Outstanding credit of Real estate, 12/2012-12/2018
Figure 73: Structure of real estate credit balance, 2018
Figure 74: Structure of population by stratification (expenditure), 2013 – 2020f
Figure 75: Number of tourists, 2011-2018
Figure 76: Vietnam’s revenue in real estate business, 2010-2022f
Figure 77: Net revenue growth, 2016 - 2017
Figure 78: Gross profit growth, 2017
Figure 79: Liquidity ratio, 2017
Figure 80: Receivable turnover, 2016 - 2017
Figure 81: Solvency. 2017
Figure 82: Asset turnover ratio, 2017
Figure 83: Fixed asset turnover, 2017
Figure 84: Enterprise management expenses/Net revenue, 2016 - 2017
Figure 85: Interest Expense/Net revenue, 2016 - 2017
Figure 86: Sale expenses/Net revenue, 2016 - 2017
Figure 87: Profit ratio , 2017
Figure 88: Retail market share in Vietnam, 2016
Figure 89: Distribution of supermarkets in Vietnam, by region, 2017
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Typical projects are scheduled for 2019-2020
Table 2: Typical projects are expected to be completed in 2019-2020
Table 3: Typical projects under construction, 2019
Table 4: Big office deals (>1,000m²) in Hanoi, 2018
Table 5: Typical projects under construction
Table 6: Big office deals in HCMC, 2018
Table 7: Typical projects in the period 2018-2020
Table 8: Typical projects in the period 2018-2025
Table 9: Typical Serviced Apartments in Hanoi, 2019
Table 10: Typical projects under construction, 2019
Table 11: Typical projects are projected to complete
Table 12: Typical projects are open for sale
Table 13: Lending rates of commercial banks, Q4/2018
Table 14: Typical projects are expected to to complete
Table 15: Typical projects are expected to complete
Table 16: 20 cities with the highest average income per capita in 2017 in the world
Table 17: Largest urban areas of Vietnam
Table 18: Outstanding M&A transactions in real estate business in 2018
Table 19: Major shopping centers of AEON in Vietnam
Table 20: Top Real Estate enterprises with highest revrenue.
Table 1: Typical projects are scheduled for 2019-2020
Table 2: Typical projects are expected to be completed in 2019-2020
Table 3: Typical projects under construction, 2019
Table 4: Big office deals (>1,000m²) in Hanoi, 2018
Table 5: Typical projects under construction
Table 6: Big office deals in HCMC, 2018
Table 7: Typical projects in the period 2018-2020
Table 8: Typical projects in the period 2018-2025
Table 9: Typical Serviced Apartments in Hanoi, 2019
Table 10: Typical projects under construction, 2019
Table 11: Typical projects are projected to complete
Table 12: Typical projects are open for sale
Table 13: Lending rates of commercial banks, Q4/2018
Table 14: Typical projects are expected to to complete
Table 15: Typical projects are expected to complete
Table 16: 20 cities with the highest average income per capita in 2017 in the world
Table 17: Largest urban areas of Vietnam
Table 18: Outstanding M&A transactions in real estate business in 2018
Table 19: Major shopping centers of AEON in Vietnam
Table 20: Top Real Estate enterprises with highest revrenue.
