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Vietnam Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk,December 2012

December 2012 | | ID: VF48F3DD47CEN
Lucintel

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Vietnam is the easternmost country on the Indochina Peninsula in Southeast Asia. The country is expected to witness good economic growth over the next five years. The real GDP of Vietnam is projected to reach US $206 billion by 2017, growing with a CAGR of 6.5%.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, conducted a competitive analysis on various aspects of the country and presents its findings in “Vietnam Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk.” The report gives a holistic view of the country from current and future perspectives.

Lucintel's report provides an array of analytical inputs on the country's performance and briefly discusses the political, social, economic, and business risk present in Vietnam. The analysis also considers the challenges Vietnam faces, including its persistent trade deficit. The increasing trade deficit has led to serious impacts such as increasing current account deficit, a growing fiscal deficit, and mounting public debt. Continuous depreciation of the Vietnamese currency, the dong, has led to higher debt repayments, which depletes the country’s foreign exchange reserve.

The report gives a brief description of the main drivers of the country. Vietnam’s geostrategic location adds an edge to its economy. Its ports and shipping industry offers potential as the country’s international trade grows. Vietnam has emerged as an important investment destination because of its enriched natural resources such as oil, gas, nuclear, and a wide range of exploitable deposits.

This report provides a competitive benchmarking of the industries doing business in Vietnam. The study provides up-to-date information on the economic upheavals, social dynamics, political instability, industrial development, technological advancements, and the market entry strategy for doing business in this country.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

Features of This Report:

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of “Vietnam Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk” include:
  • Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision.
  • Analysis on economic activity, Government debt, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
  • In depth political, social, economic and business risk analysis of the country that may have impact on different industries.
  • Risk analysis associated with availability of labor, aging population, wage rates, industry policy, business environment, etc.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. COUNTRY OVERVIEW

3. VIETNAM’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE

3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP growth rate
3.2: Consumption, saving, and investment trends
3.3: Foreign direct investment (FDI) by industry

4. POLITICAL AND SOCIAL RISK ANALYSIS OF VIETNAM

4.1: Structure and stability of government
4.2: Government policy agenda
  4.2.1: Policy agenda
  4.2.2: Internal security risk
4.3: Risk in international relations
4.4: Social risk analysis
  4.4.1: Social development index: risk analysis
  4.4.2: Labor market

5. ECONOMIC RISK OF VIETNAM

5.1: Pricing trends - inflation and interest rates
5.2: Risk in financial sector
  5.2.1: Risk in current account balance
  5.2.2: Risk in balance of payment (BOP)
  5.2.3: Risk in fiscal balance
5.3: Risk in external sector
  5.3.1: International trade and its contribution to GDP
  5.3.2: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
  5.3.3: External debt and default risk
  5.3.4: Economic factors impact on business

6. BUSINESS RISK OF VIETNAM

6.1: Business risk
6.2: Doing business in Vietnam 2012
6.3: Credit rating of countries
6.4: R&D expenditure and technological risk
6.5: Business risk factors and its impact

LIST OF FIGURES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of Vietnam
Chapter 3 Vietnam’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors to GDP
Figure 3.5: Quarterly trend of GDP and IIP growth
Figure 3.6: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.8: Trend in FDI registered and implemented capital
Figure 3.9: Foreign direct investment by industry
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Vietnam
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend of corruption perception index of Vietnam
Figure 4.5: Trend of unemployment rate in Vietnam
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Vietnam
Figure 5.1: Annual trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.2: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.3: Terms of trade for Vietnam
Figure 5.4: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.5: Trend of government revenue and expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.6: Trend of fiscal deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.7: Vietnam’s international trade structure
Figure 5.8: Exports and imports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.9: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.10: Trend of debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.11: Trend of gross government debt position of Vietnam
Figure 5.12: Mixed prospects of debts in Vietnam
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Vietnam
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D expenditure in Vietnam

LIST OF TABLES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Vietnam
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of Vietnam
Table 4.2: GINI index of Vietnam
Table 4.3: Corruption perception index
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Vietnam
Table 5.1 Economic factors impact on business
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Vietnam
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking in 2011 for procedures of starting a business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch, and S&P
Table 6.5: Business risk factors and its impac


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