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Ukraine Country Analysis 2012-2017 An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk, September 2012

September 2012 | | ID: UF308880578EN
Lucintel

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The Ukrainian economy is considered to be a lower middle income economy. The economy has witnessed considerable growth rate and is expected to grow with a CAGR of 3.9% to reach $269 billion by 2017. The country is the 26th most populous economy and 44th largest economy in the world. Ukraine's importance as an investment destination is based on the geostrategic importance as it shares borders with Europe.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has conducted a competitive analysis on this country and presents its findings in "Ukraine Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk.”

The study of Ukraine from the risk perspective is the major focus of the report. This study provides a concise overview of the political, economic, social, technology, and business risk analysis of the country.

According to Lucintel's study, the economic crisis hit the global economy badly and most of the economies witnessed negative trend. Although the Ukrainian economy maintained a strong growth rate unlike other European countries, the crisis disrupted the macroeconomic and financial stability of the country. The Ukrainian emission money scandal and Euro corruption scandal have increased the ranking of Ukraine in world corruption ranking. The main causes of corruption in Ukraine are a weak justice system and an over-controlling and non-transparent government combined with business-political ties and a weak civil society.

Despite the challenges, the government of the country has maintained a stability that has supported the industrial and other government policies to sustain for longer period and has also accelerated the country's GDP growth. The population of the country is expected to increase during the forecast period as there is a decrease in the death rate.

This report highlights different aspects of the country including geographical location, economic performance, quarterly trend, sectoral contribution, FDI by industry, trend of population, per capita income, trend of inflation, balance of payment, budget deficit, trade structure, foreign exchange reserve and exchange rates, R&D expenditure, etc.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

Features of This Report:

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of “Ukraine Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic and Business Risk” include:
  • Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision.
  • Analysis on economic activity, Government debt, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
  • In depth political, social, economic and business risk analysis of the country that may have impact on different industries.
  • Risk analysis associated with availability of labor, aging population, wage rates, industry policy, business environment, etc.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. COUNTRY OVERVIEW

3. UKRAINE’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE

3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP growth rate
3.2: Consumption, saving, and investment trends
3.3: Foreign direct investment (FDI) by industry

4. POLITICAL AND SOCIAL RISK ANALYSIS OF UKRAINE

4.1: Structure and Stability of government
4.2: Government policy agenda
  4.2.1: Policy agenda
4.3: Risk in international relations
4.4: Social risk analysis
  4.4.1: Social development index: risk analysis
  4.4.2: Labor market

5. ECONOMIC RISK OF UKRAINE

5.1: Risk in real sector
5.2: Risk in financial sector
  5.2.1: Risk in current account balance
  5.2.2: Risk in balance of payment (BOP)
  5.2.3: Risk in fiscal balance
5.3: Risk in external sector
  5.3.1: International trade and its contribution to GDP
  5.3.2: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
  5.3.3: External debt and default risk
  5.3.4: Economic factors impact on business

6. BUSINESS RISK OF UKRAINE

6.1: Business risk
6.2: Doing business in Ukraine 2012
6.3: Credit rating of countries
6.4: R&D expenditure and technological risk
6.5: Business risk factors and its impact

LIST OF FIGURES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of Ukraine
Chapter 3. Ukraine’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors to GDP
Figure 3.5: Quarterly trend of index of industrial production and GDP growth rate
Figure 3.6: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.8: Foreign direct investment by industry
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Ukraine
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend and forecast of working age population
Figure 4.5: Trend of corruption perception index of Ukraine
Figure 4.6: Trend of unemployment rate in Ukraine
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Ukraine
Figure 5.1: Annual trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.2: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.3: Terms of trade for Ukraine
Figure 5.4: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.5: Trend of fiscal deficit and revenue deficit as percent of GDP
Figure 5.6: Trend of budget deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.7: Ukraine’s international trade structure
Figure 5.8: Exports and imports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.9: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.10: Trend of debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.11: Trend of gross government debt position of Ukraine
Figure 5.12: Mixed prospects of debts in Ukraine
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Ukraine
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D Expenditure in Ukraine

LIST OF TABLES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Ukraine
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of Ukraine
Table 4.2: GINI Index of Ukraine
Table 4.3: Corruption perception index
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Ukraine
Table 5.1: Economic factors and its impact on business
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Ukraine
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking in 2012 for procedures of starting a business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch, and S&P
Table 6.5: Business risk factors and its impact on business


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