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Indonesia Country Analysis 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk, December 2012

December 2012 | | ID: IA35D760D4CEN
Lucintel

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Indonesia is the large archipelago located between Southeast Asia and Australia. Indonesia’s GDP grew at a CAGR of 5.6% for a total of $890.67 billion at current prices in 2012. The country is recognized for its strong economic growth, prudent fiscal management, and a sound macroeconomic policy framework in recent years. Lucintel estimates the economy of Indonesia would reach $2 trillion by 2018. The country has a risk rating of BBB by different credit rating agencies.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has conducted a competitive analysis on this country and presents its findings in “Indonesia Country Analysis 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk.” This study provides a concise overview of the political, economic, social, technological, and business risk associated with the country.

Lucintel discusses the various challenges including financial the country faced in the last decade. Indonesia has weak infrastructure in terms of railways and roadways. Poor infrastructure presents obstacles in the growth of investment in the country and is a major obstacle in industrial growth.

Lucintel's study encompasses the major drivers. Indonesia has low dependence on foreign trade. The major source of domestic consumption in the country is its burgeoning middle class. This factor insulates Indonesia from being dependent on exports and become vulnerable to economic risks.

Indonesia ranks among the more stable economies of the Asia Pacific region. The country has an advantageous position in terms of its young population. The level of education plays a vital role in the development of better quality human resources in the country. In Indonesia, the national literacy rate stands at 92% and there is approximately 39% enrollment in tertiary education, which is ample and indicates the quality of higher education.

This report highlights different aspects of the country including geographical location, economic performance, sectoral contribution, population trends, per capita income, trend of inflation, balance of payment, budget deficit, trade structure, foreign exchange reserve and rates, and R&D expenditure.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

Features of This Report:

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of “Indonesia Country Analysis 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk” include:
  • Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision.
  • Analysis on economic activity, Government debt, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
  • In depth political, social, economic and business risk analysis of the country that may have impact on different industries.
  • Risk analysis associated with availability of labor, aging population, wage rates, industry policy, business environment, etc.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. COUNTRY OVERVIEW

3. INDONESIA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE

3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP growth rate
3.2: Consumption, saving, and investment trends
3.3: Foreign direct investment (FDI) by Industry

4. POLITICAL AND SOCIAL RISK ANALYSIS OF INDONESIA

4.1: Structure and stability of government
4.2: Government policy agenda
  4.2.1: Policy agenda
  4.2.2: Internal security risk
4.3: Risk in international relations
4.4: Social risk analysis
  4.4.1: Social development index: risk analysis
  4.4.2: Labor market

5 ECONOMIC RISK OF INDONESIA

5.1: Pricing trends - inflation and interest rates
5.2: Risk in financial sector
  5.2.1: Risk in current account balance
  5.2.2: Risk in balance of payment (BOP)
  5.2.3: Risk in fiscal balance
5.3: Risk in external sector
  5.3.1: International trade and its contribution to GDP
  5.3.2: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
  5.3.3: External debt and default risk
  5.3.4: Economic Factors Impact on Business

6. BUSINESS RISK OF INDONESIA

6.1: Business risk
6.2: Doing business in Indonesia 2012
6.3: Credit rating of countries
6.4: R&D expenditure and technological risk
6.5: Business risk factors and its impact

LIST OF FIGURES

Chapter 2. Country Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical Location of Indonesia
Chapter 3. Indonesia’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP Sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors to GDP
Figure 3.5: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.6: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Foreign direct investment by industry
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Indonesia
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend of corruption perception index of Indonesia
Figure 4.5: Trend of unemployment rate in Indonesia
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Indonesia
Figure 5.1: Annual trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.2: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.3: Terms of trade for Indonesia
Figure 5.4: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.5: Trend of government revenue and expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.6: Trend of fiscal deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.7: Indonesia’s international trade structure
Figure 5.8: Exports and imports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.9: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.10: Trend of debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.11: Trend of gross government debt position of Indonesia
Figure 5.12: Mixed prospects of debts in Indonesia
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Indonesia
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D expenditure in Indonesia

LIST OF TABLES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Indonesia
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of Indonesia
Table 4.2: GINI Index of Indonesia
Table 4.3: Corruption perception index
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Indonesia
Table 5.1 Economic factors impact on business
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Indonesia
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking in 2011 for procedures of starting a business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch, and S&P
Table 6.5: Business risk factors and its impact


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