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India Country Analysis: 2012-2017 an Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk, August 2012

August 2012 | 70 pages | ID: I5B03E7A78DEN
Lucintel

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India experienced considerable growth in GDP during 2007-2011. The country is expected to continue its growth momentum and grow with a CAGR of 7.5% over the next five years. The opportunities for doing business here are immense with a huge domestic market along with low cost manufacturing process, cheaper work force etc. Industries are having immeasurable opportunities in organized retail sector, healthcare sector, education, residential housing, banking and financial sector in India.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has conducted the political, social, economic and business risk analysis of India and presents its findings in “India Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic and Business Risk”

India registered a remarkable economic performance during past 30 years. India’s moves towards economic development includes — Adapting local initiative and interregional competition; integrating with the world; adjusting to new technologies; building world-class infrastructure; and investing heavily in its people.

Lucintel’s research indicates that the economic performance of India seems slowing down in 2011 and the slowdown is likely to continue in 2012 as well, however, both government and central bank have already taken steps to increase domestic consumption. International scenario is likely to have negative impact on overall Indian economic performance in 2012. With government of India stepping up on accelerator of disinvestment, government fiscal deficit is likely to fall down in 2012-13. The year 2014 is expected to be the general election year and new government may continue with reform process.

Research by Lucintel indicates that India has a multi-party political system where government is moderately stable. Risk in political structure of India is due to conflicting situation causing delay in decision making process. Apart from that social risk in India includes the youth bulge problems, rising unemployment levels, rising Income inequalities and corruption of high level prevailing in the country.

This research report provides annual trends for past ten years and forecasts of GDP and population; outlines political, social, economic and business risk analysis of India and recent economic policies analysis of India and more.

The data and analysis found in this report can be utilized for a variety of functional business reasons, including business development, strategic planning, determination of market size and trends, competitive analysis, investment decisions, and joint product development.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

Features of This Report:

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of “India Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic and Business Risk” include
  • Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision.
  • Analysis on economic activity, Government debt, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
  • In depth political, social, economic and business risk analysis of the country that may have impact on different industries.
  • Risk analysis associated with availability of labor, aging population, wage rates, industry policy, business environment, etc.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. COUNTRY SNAPSHOT / OVERVIEW

3. PERFORMANCE OF INDIAN ECONOMY

3.1: GDP growth rate and sectoral contribution to GDP
3.2: Forecast of Real GDP growth rate
3.3: Trend of GDP and IIP growth rate
3.4: Consumption, saving and investment trends
3.5: Foreign direct investment by industry

4. POLITICAL AND SOCIAL RISK ANALYSIS IN INDIA

4.1: Structure and stability of government
  4.1.1: Internal security risk
4.2: Risk in international relations
4.3: Social risk analysis
  4.3.1: Social development index: risk analysis
2.4: Labor market

5. ECONOMIC RISK OF INDIA

5.1: Risk in real sector - pricing trends
5.2: Risk in financial sector
  5.2.1: Risk in current account balance
  5.2.2: Risk in balance of payment
  5.2.3: Risk in fiscal balance
5.3: Risk in external sector
  5.3.1: International trade risk
  5.3.2: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
  5.3.3: External debt and default risk

6. BUSINESS RISK OF INDIA

6.1: Business risk
6.3: Doing business in India 2012
6.4: Credit rating of countries
6.6: R&D Expenditure and technological Risk

LIST OF FIGURES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of India
Chapter 3. India’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP Sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Trend of GDP at current price
Figure 3.5: Trend of index industrial production.
Figure 3.6: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Foreign direct investment by industry sector
Chapter 4. India Political and Social Risk
Figure 4.1: Population age structure of India
Figure 4.2: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.3: Trend of unemployment rate in India
Figure 4.5: Trend of corruption perception index of India
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of India
Figure 5.1: Annual trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.2: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.3: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.4: Trend of fiscal deficit as percent of GDP
Figure 5.5: Trend of India’s international trade
Figure 5.6: Trend of exports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.7: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.8: Trend of debt position as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.9: Mixed prospects of debts in India
Chapter 6. Business Risk of India
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D expenditure in India

LIST OF TABLES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview
Chapter 4. India Political and Social Risk
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of India
Table 4.2: GINI index
Chapter 6. Business Risk of India
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industries
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking for procedures of starting business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch and S&P


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