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Colombia Country Analysis 2012-2017 An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk, November 2012

November 2012 | 76 pages | ID: C3BDDE857D0EN
Lucintel

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The nation of Colombia registered remarkable economic growth during the past decade. The country's economy is estimated to reach US $451.6 billion at the current prices by 2017, with a CAGR of 5.3%. Colombia's economic growth is primarily driven by domestic demand under the influence of increasing middle class population, in addition to growing global demand.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, conducted a competitive analysis on this country and presents its findings in “Colombia Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk.” This study provides a concise overview of the political, economic, social, technological, and business risk associated with the country.

Among the various challenges the country faces is a very high homicide rate. Drug trafficking is one of the major reasons for the high level of crime in Colombia. The high crime rate is affecting the investment climate negatively. Industries such as oil, gas, and mining all are severely impacted by the crime rate.

Colombia’s population that is over 60 years of age is expected to increase through 2017. The government is likely to face issues related to its aging population by 2017, as healthcare costs for aging population are nearly eight times higher than that of children.

Lucintel's study considers Colombia major economic drivers. The country has an advantageous position in terms of its young population. Colombia registers high national literacy rate with ample enrolment in tertiary education, which shows the quality of higher education. The government is increasingly spending more on education. One of the major attractions in the economy is its cheap labor costs. Colombia has a low level of labor costs compared to other emerging Latin American countries such as Brazil and Argentina.

The report highlights the different aspects of Colombia, including geographic location, economic performance, quarterly trends, sectoral contributions, foreign direct investment by industry, and trend of population. Other factors considered include per capita income, inflation trend, balance of payments, budget deficit, trade structure, foreign exchange reserve and exchange rates, and R&D expenditures.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

Features of This Report:

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of “Colombia Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk” include:
  • Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision.
  • Analysis on economic activity, Government debt, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
  • In depth political, social, economic and business risk analysis of the country that may have impact on different industries.
  • Risk analysis associated with availability of labor, aging population, wage rates, industry policy, business environment, etc.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. COUNTRY OVERVIEW

3. COLOMBIA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE

3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP growth rate
3.2: Consumption, saving, and investment trends
3.3: Foreign direct investment (FDI) by industry

4. POLITICAL AND SOCIAL RISK ANALYSIS OF COLOMBIA

4.1: Structure and stability of government
4.2: Government policy agenda
  4.2.1: Political agenda
4.3: Risk in international relations
4.4: Social risk analysis
  4.4.1: Social development index- risk analysis
  4.4.2: Labor market

5. ECONOMIC RISK OF COLOMBIA

5.1: Pricing trends - inflation and interest rates
5.2: Risk in financial sector
  5.2.1: Risk in current account balance
  5.2.2: Risk in balance of payment (BOP)
  5.2.3: Risk in fiscal balance
5.3: Risk in external sector
  5.3.1: International trade and its contribution to GDP
  5.3.2: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
  5.3.3: External debt and default risk
5.4: Economic factors impact on business

6. BUSINESS RISK OF COLOMBIA

6.1: Business risk
6.2: Credit rating of countries
6.3: R&D expenditure and technological risk
6.4: Business risk factors and impact

LIST OF FIGURES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of Colombia
Chapter 3. Colombia’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors to GDP
Figure 3.5: Quarterly trend of IIP and GDP growth
Figure 3.6: Annual trend of IIP and GDP growth
Figure 3.7: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.8: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.9: Foreign direct investment by industry
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Colombia
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend of unemployment rate in Colombia
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Colombia
Figure 5.1: Quarterly trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.2: Annual trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.3: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.4: Terms of trade for Colombia
Figure 5.5: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.6: Trend of fiscal deficit and revenue deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.7: Trend of budget deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.8: Trend of Colombia’s International trade
Figure 5.9: Trend of exports and imports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.10: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.11: Trend of debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.12: Trend of gross government debt position of Colombia
Figure 5.13: Mixed prospects of debts in Colombia
Chapter 6 Business Risk of Colombia
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D rxpenditure in Colombia

LIST OF TABLES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Colombia
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of Colombia
Table 4.2: GINI index of Colombia
Table 4.3: Corruption perception Index
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Colombia
Table 5.1: Economic factors impacting business
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Colombia
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking in 2011 for procedures of starting a business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch, and S&P
Table 6.5: Business risk factors and impact


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