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China Country Analysis: 2012-2017 An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk, September 2012

September 2012 | | ID: CB40EBAE726EN
Lucintel

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Despite the Euro crisis and other challenges to its economy, China is expected to witness a good growth rate in its GDP during the forecast period of 2012-2017 and surpass the US in GDP by 2020. The nation’s extreme dependence on export, social risk of increasing dependency ratio, rising inequalities of income and class, and potential mass unrest poses challenges for the ruling party; however, the huge domestic market and expanding international trade is expected to boost the growth momentum over the forecast period.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has analyzed the Chinese economy and presents its findings in “China Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk.”

As per the study, foreign direct investment (FDI) has proven to be the driving force for the economic growth of China. Successive governments’ focus on reform processes and simplification of tax law and FDI procedure makes China an ideal destination for investment and growth. Large-scale production diminishes production costs, leading to exports that are less expensive. China’s strong presence as an export platform has contributed to incomes and employment throughout its economy.

Lack of legal protection for investors and intellectual property rights, inconsistent application of regulations, burdensome bureaucracy, and corruption are the major risks that can hinder the economic growth of China. The low external debts, high foreign exchange reserves, strong balance of payments, and surplus current account balance make China a low default risk.

Lucintel’s research indicates that China faces acute challenges of environmental concerns and resources pressures. China is the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases from burning fossil fuels, but new incentives by the government will increase its international competitiveness through innovation and technological development. Lucintel’s research provides a concise overview of the risk analysis for doing business in China. This report studies the political, economic, social, technological, and business risk analysis of china.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

Features of This Report:

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of “China Country Analysis 2012-2017: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic and Business Risk” include the following:
  • Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision.
  • Analysis on economic activity, Government debt, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
  • In depth political, social, economic and business risk analysis of the country that may have impact on different industries.
  • Risk analysis associated with availability of labor, aging population, wage rates, industry policy, business environment, etc.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. COUNTRY OVERVIEW

3. PERFORMANCE OF CHINESE ECONOMY

3.1: Real GDP growth rate and sectoral contribution to GDP
3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
3.3: Trend of GDP and IIP growth rate
3.4: Total consumption expenditure trends
3.5: Foreign direct investment by industry

4. CHINA POLITICAL AND SOCIAL RISK

4.1: Structure and stability of government
  4.1.1: Internal security risk
4.2: International relations predicaments
4.3: Social risk analysis
4.4: Labor market
4.5: Social development index: risk analysis

5. ECONOMIC RISK OF CHINA

5.1: Risk in real sector - pricing trends
5.2: Risk in financial sector
  5.2.1: Risk in current account balance
  5.2.2: Risk in balance of payment
  5.2.3: Risk in fiscal balance
5.3: Risk in external sector
  5.3.1: International trade risk
  5.3.2: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
  5.3.3: External debt and default risk
  5.3.4: Economic factors impact on business

6. BUSINESS RISK IN CHINA

6.1: Business Risk
6.2: Doing Business in China 2012
6.3: Credit rating of countries
6.4: Risk of doing business in China
6.5: Technological risk
  6.5.1: Impact of technology in industry
  6.5.2: Technology policy
6.6: Business risk factors and its impact

LIST OF FIGURES

Chapter 2. Country Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of China
Chapter 3 Performance of Chinese Economy
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.3: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.4: Trend of GDP at current price
Figure 3.5: Trend of index industrial production
Figure 3.6: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Foreign direct investment by industry sector
Chapter 4 China Political and Social Risk
Figure 4.1: Population age structure of China
Figure 4.2: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.3: Trend of unemployment rate in China
Figure 4.4: Trend of corruption perception index of China
Chapter 5 Economic Risk of China
Figure 5.1: Annual trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.2: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.3: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.4: Trend of fiscal deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.5: Trend of China’s international trade
Figure 5.6: Trend of exports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.7: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.8: Trend of debt position of China
Chapter 6 Business Risk in China
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D expenditure in China

LIST OF TABLES

Chapter 4 China Political and Social Risk
Table 4.1: Corruption perception index
Table 4.2: GINI Index
Chapter 5 Economic Risk of China
Table 5.1: Economic factors impact on business
Chapter 6 Business Risk in China
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industries
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking for procedures of starting business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch, and S&P
Table 6.5: Business risk factors and its impact


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