India to Have the Highest increase in HIV Incident Cases, Expects GlobalData

26 Feb 2013 • by Natalie Aster

Although the number of HIV incident cases is expected to drop across the majority of Europe’s major nations in the near future, the UK figure will actually increase, predicts research and consulting firm GlobalData.

According to the report "EpiCast Report: Human Immunodeficiency Virus - Epidemiology Forecast to 2022" by GlobalData, the number of newly diagnosed HIV cases in the UK is forecast to climb from 7,545 in 2012 to 8,691 by the end of 2022 – representing an increase of 15%.

Report Details:

EpiCast Report: Human Immunodeficiency Virus - Epidemiology Forecast to 2022
Published: December, 2012
Pages: 76
Price: US$ 6,995.00

The rise runs counter to forecasted trends for other major EU nations such as Germany, Italy, France and Spain, who can all expect falling incident cases of HIV during the same period, says GlobalData.

Due primarily to substantial population growth within the 15–49 years age group, GlobalData expects India to have the highest increase in HIV incident cases, with an increase of over 21,000 new cases expected over the 10 years.

Alyssa Klein, GlobalData’s Senior Analyst covering Epidemiology, says: “If India and China adopt prevention programs similar to Brazil, which is often considered a model of HIV prevention for the developing world, the number of incident cases could decrease, as high-risk groups become the focus of targeted prevention strategies.”

Of the 10 markets studied in the report, Japan is expected to display the highest growth rate for the next decade. Although the country displayed the lowest number of HIV prevalent cases in 2012, with 1,327, this figure is forecast to climb by almost 40% to 1,854 by 2022.

More information can be found in the report “EpiCast Report: Human Immunodeficiency Virus - Epidemiology Forecast to 2022” by GlobalData.

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