The Connector Industry Roadmap: 2011-2021
In-depth Analysis and Historical Perspectives for Forecasts and Planning
The latest Bishop & Associates report, “The Connector Technology Roadmap 2011-2021,” examines the electronics industry and connectors over the past decade, and forecasts the decade to come. This seven-chapter, 209-page report provides electronics industry insiders with valuable insights and information.
The detailed study includes 146 charts and tables, and many photos and illustrations, giving readers a multi-dimensional look into industry trends, technology strategies, and industrial competitiveness in the electronic component and connector industry. The report also analyzes major elements of the electronics industry that parallel, intersect, and influence connectors.
As the global economy has come to define the industry, the report includes a look into the competitive position and strategies affecting various regions, including shifting priorities for North America, Europe, Japan, China, and Asia-Pacific. A discussion of this global dynamic includes the possibility of future “in-sourcing” as some manufacturing returns to North America.
The study also looks at the connector industry’s markets and technology trends, and details over 20 major product roadmaps, with technical parameters, forecasts, encroachment, and possible roadblocks over the next decade. U.S. Census Bureau data is compiled on U.S. shipments in 30 multi-billion dollar equipment markets, including automotive, computer and electronic products, military-aerospace, semiconductors, and many others, charted from 1992-2011, with trend line analysis to 2021.
Also included is a discussion of semiconductor technology, electronics packaging, and printed circuit technology, and the potential for slowing of Moore’s Law — a critical driver for connector technology and demand.
Reflecting upon the deep 2008-2009 recession, the report discusses how the industry will move forward, forecasts key markets, and gives long-range projections on both connector and equipment markets. Many forecasters think the recovery will continue to be slow and painful, or backslide into another recession. Others see the potential for renewed growth as governments grapple, perhaps successfully, with tax, energy, sovereign debt, and environmental policies.
The industry did see a substantial rebound in 2010 — up +25% in some markets, amplified by inventory replenishment, and a bit more in 2011. But 2012 may be slower. Current factors include the European debt crisis and its possibly inadequate short-term fix, and slower growth in China. Uncertainty remains due to the unprecedented situation we have faced and the timing of future recessions, which historically have occurred every 4-6 years. Thus, the connector industry forecast for 2011-2021 is conservative, in single digits, accounting for future downturns, maturing markets such as telecom and computer, higher levels of circuit integration fueled by SiP and SoC, and the potential for continued slower consumer spending.
Key elements of this report include:
The detailed study includes 146 charts and tables, and many photos and illustrations, giving readers a multi-dimensional look into industry trends, technology strategies, and industrial competitiveness in the electronic component and connector industry. The report also analyzes major elements of the electronics industry that parallel, intersect, and influence connectors.
As the global economy has come to define the industry, the report includes a look into the competitive position and strategies affecting various regions, including shifting priorities for North America, Europe, Japan, China, and Asia-Pacific. A discussion of this global dynamic includes the possibility of future “in-sourcing” as some manufacturing returns to North America.
The study also looks at the connector industry’s markets and technology trends, and details over 20 major product roadmaps, with technical parameters, forecasts, encroachment, and possible roadblocks over the next decade. U.S. Census Bureau data is compiled on U.S. shipments in 30 multi-billion dollar equipment markets, including automotive, computer and electronic products, military-aerospace, semiconductors, and many others, charted from 1992-2011, with trend line analysis to 2021.
The latest Bishop & Associates report, “The Connector Technology Roadmap 2011-2021,” examines the electronics industry and connectors over the past decade, and forecasts the decade to come. This seven-chapter, 209-page report provides electronics industry insiders with valuable insights and information.
The detailed study includes 146 charts and tables, and many photos and illustrations, giving readers a multi-dimensional look into industry trends, technology strategies, and industrial competitiveness in the electronic component and connector industry. The report also analyzes major elements of the electronics industry that parallel, intersect, and influence connectors.
As the global economy has come to define the industry, the report includes a look into the competitive position and strategies affecting various regions, including shifting priorities for North America, Europe, Japan, China, and Asia-Pacific. A discussion of this global dynamic includes the possibility of future “in-sourcing” as some manufacturing returns to North America.
The study also looks at the connector industry’s markets and technology trends, and details over 20 major product roadmaps, with technical parameters, forecasts, encroachment, and possible roadblocks over the next decade. U.S. Census Bureau data is compiled on U.S. shipments in 30 multi-billion dollar equipment markets, including automotive, computer and electronic products, military-aerospace, semiconductors, and many others, charted from 1992-2011, with trend line analysis to 2021.
Also included is a discussion of semiconductor technology, electronics packaging, and printed circuit technology, and the potential for slowing of Moore’s Law — a critical driver for connector technology and demand.
Reflecting upon the deep 2008-2009 recession, the report discusses how the industry will move forward, forecasts key markets, and gives long-range projections on both connector and equipment markets. Many forecasters think the recovery will continue to be slow and painful, or backslide into another recession. Others see the potential for renewed growth as governments grapple, perhaps successfully, with tax, energy, sovereign debt, and environmental policies.
The industry did see a substantial rebound in 2010 — up +25% in some markets, amplified by inventory replenishment, and a bit more in 2011. But 2012 may be slower. Current factors include the European debt crisis and its possibly inadequate short-term fix, and slower growth in China. Uncertainty remains due to the unprecedented situation we have faced and the timing of future recessions, which historically have occurred every 4-6 years. Thus, the connector industry forecast for 2011-2021 is conservative, in single digits, accounting for future downturns, maturing markets such as telecom and computer, higher levels of circuit integration fueled by SiP and SoC, and the potential for continued slower consumer spending.
Key elements of this report include:
- Detailed historical perspective
- Current situation
- Detailed statistics on U.S. industry shipments by 30 equipment market segments
- Analysis of connector market by company size and by Top 10, 50, and 100 suppliers
- In-depth analysis of regional factors
- Connector technology trends, enabling technologies, and manufacturing
- Over 20 connector product technology roadmaps
- Analysis of regional design and corporate leadership in an attempt to re-analyze geographic boundaries
The detailed study includes 146 charts and tables, and many photos and illustrations, giving readers a multi-dimensional look into industry trends, technology strategies, and industrial competitiveness in the electronic component and connector industry. The report also analyzes major elements of the electronics industry that parallel, intersect, and influence connectors.
As the global economy has come to define the industry, the report includes a look into the competitive position and strategies affecting various regions, including shifting priorities for North America, Europe, Japan, China, and Asia-Pacific. A discussion of this global dynamic includes the possibility of future “in-sourcing” as some manufacturing returns to North America.
The study also looks at the connector industry’s markets and technology trends, and details over 20 major product roadmaps, with technical parameters, forecasts, encroachment, and possible roadblocks over the next decade. U.S. Census Bureau data is compiled on U.S. shipments in 30 multi-billion dollar equipment markets, including automotive, computer and electronic products, military-aerospace, semiconductors, and many others, charted from 1992-2011, with trend line analysis to 2021.
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
Connector Industry
Economic History
Recent History
Major Electronics Industry Changes 2010
Future of Electronic Manufacturing in Advanced World Economies
United States
Europe
Japan
Taiwan
China
Summary: North America
Summary: EU
Summary: Japan
Summary: Taiwan
Summary: All
Chart 1.1 US Shipments Computers & Electronic Products 1992-2021
Table 1.2 Numerical Table US Shipments Computers & Electronic Products 1992-2011
Innovation in the Electronics Industry
Industrial Age Innovation
Evolution, Not Revolution
Software and ‘Apps’ vs. Hardware
Is Innovation Slowing?
Inhibitors to Hardware Innovation
Recent Past: Consolidation, Globalization, Innovation via Digital Convergence
Recent Top 10 Products
Table 1.2 New Product/Technology Candidates for Past Decade
Table 1.3 Candidates for Next Decade
CHAPTER 2
ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURING IN THE U.S.
Electronic Manufacturing in US
Table 2.1 Important NAICS Numbers (Census Product Codes)
Bureau of Labor Statistics – Electronic Manufacturing
Table 2.2 Projected Employment in NAICS 334 2008-2018
Table 2.3 US Shipments of Electronic Products 2008
Table 2.4 US Durable Goods Shipments 1992-2011
Table 2.5 Value of Shipments – Top 50 EOEM Manufacturers in US
Table 2.6 International Trade 2010 – Computers & Electronic Products
Table 2.7 Trade Statistics 2010 - by US Trading Partner
Table 2.8 US Connector Imports 2010 $
Table 2.9 US Connector Exports 2010 $
ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURING IN THE U.S. (CONT.)
Bureau of Labor Statistics Outlook Electronic Manufacturing in US
Table 2.10 % Change in Employment 2008-18
Table 2.11 Electronic Manufacturing State by State 2007
US – China Differing Paths to Electronic Manufacturing
Table 2.12 North American Connector Roadmap 1990-2021
Table 2.13 US Durable Goods Manufacturing Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.14 US Shipments Machinery Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.15 US Shipments Industrial Machinery Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.16 US Shipments HVAC Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.17 US Shipments Turbines, Generators Power Trans. Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Detail
Table 2.18 US Shipments Computers & Electronics Products Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.19 US Shipments Storage Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.20 US Shipments Peripheral Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021+ Data Detail
Table 2.21 US Shipments Non-Defense Communications Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.22 US Shipments Audio-Video Equipment Trend Line + Data Detail
Table 2.23 US Shipments Semiconductors Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.24 US Shipments Electronic Components Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.25 US Shipments Electro-Medical Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.26 US Shipments Non-Def. Navigation Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.27 US Shipments Non-Def. Search Rescue, Navigation Equip Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data
Table 2.28 US Shipments Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data
Table 2.29 US Shipments Lighting Equip Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.30 US Shipments Household Appliances Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.31 US Shipments Electrical Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.32 US Shipments Battery Manufacturing Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.33 US Shipments Transportation Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.34 US Shipments Passenger Cars Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.35 US Shipments Light Trucks Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURING IN THE U.S. (CONT.)
Table 2.36 US Shipments Heavy Duty Trucks Buses Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.37 US Shipments Auto Bodies, Trailers, Parts Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.38 US Shipments Commercial Aircraft & Parts Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.39 US Shipments Military Aircraft & Parts Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.40 US Shipments Defense Search & Nav. Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.41 US Shipments Defense Comm. Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.42 US Shipments Ships and Boats Manufacturing Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Bottom Line for NA
Electronic Manufacturing in EU
Table 2.43 EU Countries GDP
Manufacturing in NA for EU Suppliers
EU Leads in Automotive, Alternative Energy
EU Roadmap Issues
Table 2.44 Manufacturing Movement in EU
Top Tier
EU Key Markets for 2011-1
Top 10 Connector Manufacturers Serving EU
Table 2.45 EU Connector Manufacturing Roadmap 1990-2021
Bottom Line for EU
Electronic Manufacturing in Japan
Areas on JP Leadership
Areas of Concern
Key Connector Suppliers in JP Market
Asia Pacific & China
Table 2.46 Taiwan Production Value 2006-2011
Table 2.47 AP and China Connector Roadmap 1990-2021
Top Connector Suppliers in AP + CN
Bottom Line for AP + CN
Table 2.48 Connector Industry Regional Performance Projection 1990-2030
Table 2.49 Regional Performance 1990-2030
CHAPTER 3
ELECTRONIC PACKAGING
Packaging Roadblock to the Future?
IC Packaging Trends
Table 3.1 IC Packaging Trends 2009-2019
D Stacked Packaging
Types of Packaging
Level of Packaging
Level 0
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
ELECTRONIC PACKAGING (CONT.)
Level 3 2011-2016
Mid-Plane Designs
Level 4
Level 5
Level 6
Level 6 Future
Google Chrome Cube Computer
Table 3.2 Trends in Level 6 Packaging 2011-2021
Levels
2011-2016
2016-2021
CHAPTER 4
PRINTED CIRCUITS
Background
PCB Market
PCB Suppliers
Interconnects w/ Custom-Designed Flex and Rigid PCBs
Rigid-Flex
Table 4.1 Top 50 PCB Manufacturers 200
Table 4.2 PCB Markets
Table 4.3 Interconnect Lines by Application
Table 4.4 Density Gap: PCB vs. Si
Table 4.5 Pad Pitch-Line Spaces
Table 4.6 Rigid Board Roadmap 2011-1
Copper Pillar Technology
Table 4.7 Major Markets by PCB Company
Leading Factors in NA Decline in PCB Manufacturing
Future of PCB Business
Emerging Printed Electronics
Table 4.8 World Electronics Industries and PCB Market 2009-21
Table 4.9 World PCB Markets 2008-2021
PCB Market Conclusions from a Connector Perspective
PCB Applications
CHAPTER 5
CONNECTOR TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
Introduction
Typical Connector Components
Connector Designs
Worldwide Market
Areas of Expertise by Region
Technology Roadblocks
Linkages to Other Technologies
General Trends 2011-2021
Table 5.1 Connector Industry Use by Market Segment 2011
Market Issues Affecting Growth 2011-2021
Restrictions on Carbon, Hazardous Materials
CONNECTOR TECHNOLOGY TRENDS (CONT.)
China
Future Direction of Si Technology
Connector Manufacturing Equipment & Processes
Electronic Materials
Environmental Technology
Ongoing Environmental Questions
EU REACH
Key Connector Parameters
Table 5.2 Key Connector Design Directions
Table 5.3 Connector Type Summary
Major Change before Great Recession
Developing World Manufacturing
Companies in Connector Industry
Table 5.4 Top 10 Connector Manufacturers 2009-2010
Table 5.5 Top 10 Projected Sales 2000-2020
Table 5.6 Top 10 Projected Sales by Region 2010-2020
Table 5.7 Top 10 Projected Sales by Market 2010-2020
Table 5.8 Top 10 Projected Sales by Product 2010-2020
Table 5.9 Top 10, 2nd 40, 2nd 50, Rest 2010-2020
Table 5.10 Connector Industry Performance 1990-2030
Important Possibility
Regional Equipment & Connector Manufacturing
North America
Recent Studies
Table 5.11 iPhone Cost
Is the Trade Deficit About to Change?
Issues to be Dealt with if US is to Rise Again
What You Can Do
Evertiq.com Survey
Table 5.12 North American Connector Roadmap 1990-2021
Taiwan-China
Table 5.13 Taiwan Manufacturing Value
Table 5.14: Asia Pacific and China Connector Manufacturing Roadmap - 1990-2021
Table 5.15 AP & China Roadmap Detail 1990-2021
European Connector Manufacturing Roadmap: Differentiation
Table 5.16 EU Country Status in General Competitiveness Factors
Table 5.17 EU Countries’ GDP Comparison 2010
EU Market Focus
EU Comments
Table 5.18 EU Manufacturing Movement
EMS Providers in EU
Table 5.19 EU Connector Manufacturing Roadmap 1990-2021
EU Opportunities 2011-2016
Sovereign Debt Issue
Impact of Globalization on All Regions
Impact on Engineering
Impact on Connector Design
Industry Manufacturing Trends
CONNECTOR TECHNOLOGY TRENDS (CONT.)
Keys for Connector Makers
Table 5.20 Regional Movement of Connector Manufacturing 2003-2021
Key Manufacturing Parameters
Global Manufacturing Issues
Fiber Optics Technology Illustrations
Connector Manufacturing Technologies
Base Metals
Contacts
Key Points in Connector Manufacturing
Plating Technology
Precious Metal Plating
Lubricants
Mold Compounds
Parts Manufacturing
Connector Assembly
Overall Manufacturing Trends
Automation
Table 5.21 Levels of Automation
Overall Connector Migration – 2021
Connector Parameter Developments
Future Barriers to Conventional Connector Technologies
Technology Gaps
Subminiaturization
Material Cost Inflation
Wireless Interconnect
Board Assembly
Product Cost
Potential Supply Disruptions
CHAPTER 6
PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
Solar Energy System Interconnect
Solar Technology
Other Solar Applications
Table 6.1 Solar Modules Installed 2008-2021 by Region
Table 6.2 Solar Connectors Installed 2008-2021 by Region
PV Connector Types/Technology
Technology Development and R&D
Market Facilitation & Transformation
Issues
Table 6.3 PV Connector Projection 2009-21
LED Lighting Connectors
OEMs
R&D
Power Infrastructure
TAM
Table 6.4 LED Lighting Initial Roadmap 2000-2030
Table 6.4a LED Lighting Roadmap 2000-2030
Table 6.5 LED Lighting Forecast 2009-2021
PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY TRENDS (CONT.)
Current Examples of LED Lighting Interconnect
Battery Connectors
Table 6.6. Passenger Cars Percent ICE-HEV-PHEV-EV-FC 2008-2021
Table 6.7 Passenger Car Units ICE-HEV-PHEV-EV-FC 2008-2021
Cost Issue
DOE Development Awards
Plug In Hybrid
Honda Engine
Prius V
Plug In Electric Vehicles
Battery Connectors
Table 6.7 Battery Applications – Connector Projections 2000-2021
IC Sockets
Table 6.8 IC Sockets for Production 2000-2021
Intel LGA136, DDR3 Sockets
Table 6.9 Sales Trends Total IC Sockets 2000-2020
World Sockets – Possible Negative Factors2010-2020
Table 6.10 DIMM Sockets 2000-2021
Universal Serial Bus
Superspeed USB
Wireless USB
Fiber Optic USB
Table 6.11 USB Connectors 2000-2021
USB History
Thunderbolt Question
Rectangular IO Connectors
Table 6.12 Regional Rectangular IO Connector Sales 2000-2015
Regional Rectangular IO Connector Sales 2000-2010-2020 Bar Charts
Memory Card Connectors
Table 6.13 Memory Card Receptacles 2000-2021
Printed Circuit Connectors
Table 6.14 PCB Connectors 2000-2021 (PCIe example)
Table 6.15 Generic PCB Connectors 2000-2021
World PCB Connectors 2000-2020 & By Region
Wire-to-Board Connectors
Table 6.16 WTB Example Miniature FPC/FEC 2000-2021
Table 6.17 Min. PCB Stacking Connectors 2000-2021
2mm Backplane Connectors
Table 6.18 2mm BP Connectors 2000-2021
High Performance Backplane Connectors
Table 6.19 High Performance Backplane Connectors 2000-2021
Fiber Optic Connector Roadmap
Table 6.20 Fiber Optic Deployment 2011-1
Cu remains Preferred Technology
PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY TRENDS (CONT.)
Elements of a Photonic System
Future Breakthroughs
Table 6.21 FO Connector Technology Trends 2000-2021
FO 2011-2021
FO Value-Added Connector Technology Trends
Table 6.22 FO Connector vs. Total Connector $s 2000-2015
Table 6.23 World Connectors vs. FO Connector $ 2000-2021
Thunderbolt/Lightpeak Connectors
Table 6.24 Thunderbolt/Lightpeak/Display Port 2011-2021
Video Interface Connectors
Table 6.25 HDMI Video Interface Connectors 2009-2021
Cable Assemblies
Connector Linkage
Types of Cable
Table 6.26 TIA Part 568 Cat 5-7 Cable 2000-2021
Table 6.27 Ethernet Cable 2011-2021
Table 6.28 Plenum/Riser Cable 2009-2021
Burn-In and Test Sockets
Issues going forward for BI and Test Sockets
Test Socket Technology Trends
Key Technologies
Key Points
Burn-In Sockets
Major Roadblocks
Burn-In
Reduction-Elimination of Burn-In
No Roadblock but Costly Solutions
Table 6.29 Burn-In & Test Sockets 2003-2021
Test In Tray Technology
Table 6.30 Test-In-Tray Automation 2009-2021
Summary Future Concerns in Test & BI 2011]-2021
Table 6.31 Total IC Sockets & Test/BI 2000-2020
Table 6.32 20 Year Projection World IC Sockets
Connector Industry R&D Needs
Mid-Term Needs 2011-2015
Long Term Needs 2015-2021
CHAPTER 7
WORLD MARKET PROJECTIONS – PRODUCTION VALUE
Globalization of the Numbers
Chart 7.1 World Market Est. Production Value – Electrical Equipment 1992-2021
Table 7.1a World Market Est. Production Value - Electrical Equipment Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.2 World Market Est. Production Value
Industrial Machinery 1992-2021
Table 7.2a World Market Est. Production Value – Industrial Machinery Numbers 1992-2011
WORLD MARKET PROJECTIONS – PRODUCTION VALUE (CONT.)
Chart 7.3 World Market Est. Production Value – HVAC Equip 1992-2021
Table 7.3a World Market Est. Production Value – HVAC Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.4 World Market Est. Production Value – Turbines, Generators, Power Equip 1992-2021
Table 7.4a World Market Est. Prod. Value - Turbines, Generators, Power Equip Numbers -1992-2011
Chart 7.5 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Transportation Equip. 1992-2021
Table 7.5a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Transportation Equip. Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.6 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Passenger Cars 1992-2021
Table 7.6a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Passenger Cars Numbers 1992-2011
Chart7.7 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Household Appliances 1992-2021
Table 7.7a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Household Appliance Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.8 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Computers & Electronic Products 1992-2021
Table 7.8a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Computers & Electronic Products Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.9 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Storage Equipment 1992-2021
Table 7.9a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Storage Equipment Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.10 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Semiconductors 1992-2021
Table 7.10a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Semiconductors Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.11 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Electronic Components 1992-2021
Table 7.11a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Electronic Components Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.12 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Connector Industry 2000-2021
Chart 7.12b World Market Est. Prod. Value – Connector Industry Percentages--2011
Chart 7.13 World Market Connector Industry by Region of Equip. Assembly 2000-2021
Table 7.13 World Market Connector Industry by Region of Equip. Assembly 2000-2011
Chart 7.13b Connector Revenues by Region 2011 – Where Installed
Contributors/Sources
INTRODUCTION
Connector Industry
Economic History
Recent History
Major Electronics Industry Changes 2010
Future of Electronic Manufacturing in Advanced World Economies
United States
Europe
Japan
Taiwan
China
Summary: North America
Summary: EU
Summary: Japan
Summary: Taiwan
Summary: All
Chart 1.1 US Shipments Computers & Electronic Products 1992-2021
Table 1.2 Numerical Table US Shipments Computers & Electronic Products 1992-2011
Innovation in the Electronics Industry
Industrial Age Innovation
Evolution, Not Revolution
Software and ‘Apps’ vs. Hardware
Is Innovation Slowing?
Inhibitors to Hardware Innovation
Recent Past: Consolidation, Globalization, Innovation via Digital Convergence
Recent Top 10 Products
Table 1.2 New Product/Technology Candidates for Past Decade
Table 1.3 Candidates for Next Decade
CHAPTER 2
ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURING IN THE U.S.
Electronic Manufacturing in US
Table 2.1 Important NAICS Numbers (Census Product Codes)
Bureau of Labor Statistics – Electronic Manufacturing
Table 2.2 Projected Employment in NAICS 334 2008-2018
Table 2.3 US Shipments of Electronic Products 2008
Table 2.4 US Durable Goods Shipments 1992-2011
Table 2.5 Value of Shipments – Top 50 EOEM Manufacturers in US
Table 2.6 International Trade 2010 – Computers & Electronic Products
Table 2.7 Trade Statistics 2010 - by US Trading Partner
Table 2.8 US Connector Imports 2010 $
Table 2.9 US Connector Exports 2010 $
ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURING IN THE U.S. (CONT.)
Bureau of Labor Statistics Outlook Electronic Manufacturing in US
Table 2.10 % Change in Employment 2008-18
Table 2.11 Electronic Manufacturing State by State 2007
US – China Differing Paths to Electronic Manufacturing
Table 2.12 North American Connector Roadmap 1990-2021
Table 2.13 US Durable Goods Manufacturing Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.14 US Shipments Machinery Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.15 US Shipments Industrial Machinery Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.16 US Shipments HVAC Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.17 US Shipments Turbines, Generators Power Trans. Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Detail
Table 2.18 US Shipments Computers & Electronics Products Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.19 US Shipments Storage Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.20 US Shipments Peripheral Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021+ Data Detail
Table 2.21 US Shipments Non-Defense Communications Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.22 US Shipments Audio-Video Equipment Trend Line + Data Detail
Table 2.23 US Shipments Semiconductors Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.24 US Shipments Electronic Components Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.25 US Shipments Electro-Medical Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.26 US Shipments Non-Def. Navigation Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.27 US Shipments Non-Def. Search Rescue, Navigation Equip Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data
Table 2.28 US Shipments Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data
Table 2.29 US Shipments Lighting Equip Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.30 US Shipments Household Appliances Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.31 US Shipments Electrical Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.32 US Shipments Battery Manufacturing Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.33 US Shipments Transportation Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.34 US Shipments Passenger Cars Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.35 US Shipments Light Trucks Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
ELECTRONIC MANUFACTURING IN THE U.S. (CONT.)
Table 2.36 US Shipments Heavy Duty Trucks Buses Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.37 US Shipments Auto Bodies, Trailers, Parts Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.38 US Shipments Commercial Aircraft & Parts Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.39 US Shipments Military Aircraft & Parts Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.40 US Shipments Defense Search & Nav. Equip. Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.41 US Shipments Defense Comm. Equipment Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Table 2.42 US Shipments Ships and Boats Manufacturing Trend Line 1992-2021 + Data Detail
Bottom Line for NA
Electronic Manufacturing in EU
Table 2.43 EU Countries GDP
Manufacturing in NA for EU Suppliers
EU Leads in Automotive, Alternative Energy
EU Roadmap Issues
Table 2.44 Manufacturing Movement in EU
Top Tier
EU Key Markets for 2011-1
Top 10 Connector Manufacturers Serving EU
Table 2.45 EU Connector Manufacturing Roadmap 1990-2021
Bottom Line for EU
Electronic Manufacturing in Japan
Areas on JP Leadership
Areas of Concern
Key Connector Suppliers in JP Market
Asia Pacific & China
Table 2.46 Taiwan Production Value 2006-2011
Table 2.47 AP and China Connector Roadmap 1990-2021
Top Connector Suppliers in AP + CN
Bottom Line for AP + CN
Table 2.48 Connector Industry Regional Performance Projection 1990-2030
Table 2.49 Regional Performance 1990-2030
CHAPTER 3
ELECTRONIC PACKAGING
Packaging Roadblock to the Future?
IC Packaging Trends
Table 3.1 IC Packaging Trends 2009-2019
D Stacked Packaging
Types of Packaging
Level of Packaging
Level 0
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
ELECTRONIC PACKAGING (CONT.)
Level 3 2011-2016
Mid-Plane Designs
Level 4
Level 5
Level 6
Level 6 Future
Google Chrome Cube Computer
Table 3.2 Trends in Level 6 Packaging 2011-2021
Levels
2011-2016
2016-2021
CHAPTER 4
PRINTED CIRCUITS
Background
PCB Market
PCB Suppliers
Interconnects w/ Custom-Designed Flex and Rigid PCBs
Rigid-Flex
Table 4.1 Top 50 PCB Manufacturers 200
Table 4.2 PCB Markets
Table 4.3 Interconnect Lines by Application
Table 4.4 Density Gap: PCB vs. Si
Table 4.5 Pad Pitch-Line Spaces
Table 4.6 Rigid Board Roadmap 2011-1
Copper Pillar Technology
Table 4.7 Major Markets by PCB Company
Leading Factors in NA Decline in PCB Manufacturing
Future of PCB Business
Emerging Printed Electronics
Table 4.8 World Electronics Industries and PCB Market 2009-21
Table 4.9 World PCB Markets 2008-2021
PCB Market Conclusions from a Connector Perspective
PCB Applications
CHAPTER 5
CONNECTOR TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
Introduction
Typical Connector Components
Connector Designs
Worldwide Market
Areas of Expertise by Region
Technology Roadblocks
Linkages to Other Technologies
General Trends 2011-2021
Table 5.1 Connector Industry Use by Market Segment 2011
Market Issues Affecting Growth 2011-2021
Restrictions on Carbon, Hazardous Materials
CONNECTOR TECHNOLOGY TRENDS (CONT.)
China
Future Direction of Si Technology
Connector Manufacturing Equipment & Processes
Electronic Materials
Environmental Technology
Ongoing Environmental Questions
EU REACH
Key Connector Parameters
Table 5.2 Key Connector Design Directions
Table 5.3 Connector Type Summary
Major Change before Great Recession
Developing World Manufacturing
Companies in Connector Industry
Table 5.4 Top 10 Connector Manufacturers 2009-2010
Table 5.5 Top 10 Projected Sales 2000-2020
Table 5.6 Top 10 Projected Sales by Region 2010-2020
Table 5.7 Top 10 Projected Sales by Market 2010-2020
Table 5.8 Top 10 Projected Sales by Product 2010-2020
Table 5.9 Top 10, 2nd 40, 2nd 50, Rest 2010-2020
Table 5.10 Connector Industry Performance 1990-2030
Important Possibility
Regional Equipment & Connector Manufacturing
North America
Recent Studies
Table 5.11 iPhone Cost
Is the Trade Deficit About to Change?
Issues to be Dealt with if US is to Rise Again
What You Can Do
Evertiq.com Survey
Table 5.12 North American Connector Roadmap 1990-2021
Taiwan-China
Table 5.13 Taiwan Manufacturing Value
Table 5.14: Asia Pacific and China Connector Manufacturing Roadmap - 1990-2021
Table 5.15 AP & China Roadmap Detail 1990-2021
European Connector Manufacturing Roadmap: Differentiation
Table 5.16 EU Country Status in General Competitiveness Factors
Table 5.17 EU Countries’ GDP Comparison 2010
EU Market Focus
EU Comments
Table 5.18 EU Manufacturing Movement
EMS Providers in EU
Table 5.19 EU Connector Manufacturing Roadmap 1990-2021
EU Opportunities 2011-2016
Sovereign Debt Issue
Impact of Globalization on All Regions
Impact on Engineering
Impact on Connector Design
Industry Manufacturing Trends
CONNECTOR TECHNOLOGY TRENDS (CONT.)
Keys for Connector Makers
Table 5.20 Regional Movement of Connector Manufacturing 2003-2021
Key Manufacturing Parameters
Global Manufacturing Issues
Fiber Optics Technology Illustrations
Connector Manufacturing Technologies
Base Metals
Contacts
Key Points in Connector Manufacturing
Plating Technology
Precious Metal Plating
Lubricants
Mold Compounds
Parts Manufacturing
Connector Assembly
Overall Manufacturing Trends
Automation
Table 5.21 Levels of Automation
Overall Connector Migration – 2021
Connector Parameter Developments
Future Barriers to Conventional Connector Technologies
Technology Gaps
Subminiaturization
Material Cost Inflation
Wireless Interconnect
Board Assembly
Product Cost
Potential Supply Disruptions
CHAPTER 6
PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
Solar Energy System Interconnect
Solar Technology
Other Solar Applications
Table 6.1 Solar Modules Installed 2008-2021 by Region
Table 6.2 Solar Connectors Installed 2008-2021 by Region
PV Connector Types/Technology
Technology Development and R&D
Market Facilitation & Transformation
Issues
Table 6.3 PV Connector Projection 2009-21
LED Lighting Connectors
OEMs
R&D
Power Infrastructure
TAM
Table 6.4 LED Lighting Initial Roadmap 2000-2030
Table 6.4a LED Lighting Roadmap 2000-2030
Table 6.5 LED Lighting Forecast 2009-2021
PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY TRENDS (CONT.)
Current Examples of LED Lighting Interconnect
Battery Connectors
Table 6.6. Passenger Cars Percent ICE-HEV-PHEV-EV-FC 2008-2021
Table 6.7 Passenger Car Units ICE-HEV-PHEV-EV-FC 2008-2021
Cost Issue
DOE Development Awards
Plug In Hybrid
Honda Engine
Prius V
Plug In Electric Vehicles
Battery Connectors
Table 6.7 Battery Applications – Connector Projections 2000-2021
IC Sockets
Table 6.8 IC Sockets for Production 2000-2021
Intel LGA136, DDR3 Sockets
Table 6.9 Sales Trends Total IC Sockets 2000-2020
World Sockets – Possible Negative Factors2010-2020
Table 6.10 DIMM Sockets 2000-2021
Universal Serial Bus
Superspeed USB
Wireless USB
Fiber Optic USB
Table 6.11 USB Connectors 2000-2021
USB History
Thunderbolt Question
Rectangular IO Connectors
Table 6.12 Regional Rectangular IO Connector Sales 2000-2015
Regional Rectangular IO Connector Sales 2000-2010-2020 Bar Charts
Memory Card Connectors
Table 6.13 Memory Card Receptacles 2000-2021
Printed Circuit Connectors
Table 6.14 PCB Connectors 2000-2021 (PCIe example)
Table 6.15 Generic PCB Connectors 2000-2021
World PCB Connectors 2000-2020 & By Region
Wire-to-Board Connectors
Table 6.16 WTB Example Miniature FPC/FEC 2000-2021
Table 6.17 Min. PCB Stacking Connectors 2000-2021
2mm Backplane Connectors
Table 6.18 2mm BP Connectors 2000-2021
High Performance Backplane Connectors
Table 6.19 High Performance Backplane Connectors 2000-2021
Fiber Optic Connector Roadmap
Table 6.20 Fiber Optic Deployment 2011-1
Cu remains Preferred Technology
PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY TRENDS (CONT.)
Elements of a Photonic System
Future Breakthroughs
Table 6.21 FO Connector Technology Trends 2000-2021
FO 2011-2021
FO Value-Added Connector Technology Trends
Table 6.22 FO Connector vs. Total Connector $s 2000-2015
Table 6.23 World Connectors vs. FO Connector $ 2000-2021
Thunderbolt/Lightpeak Connectors
Table 6.24 Thunderbolt/Lightpeak/Display Port 2011-2021
Video Interface Connectors
Table 6.25 HDMI Video Interface Connectors 2009-2021
Cable Assemblies
Connector Linkage
Types of Cable
Table 6.26 TIA Part 568 Cat 5-7 Cable 2000-2021
Table 6.27 Ethernet Cable 2011-2021
Table 6.28 Plenum/Riser Cable 2009-2021
Burn-In and Test Sockets
Issues going forward for BI and Test Sockets
Test Socket Technology Trends
Key Technologies
Key Points
Burn-In Sockets
Major Roadblocks
Burn-In
Reduction-Elimination of Burn-In
No Roadblock but Costly Solutions
Table 6.29 Burn-In & Test Sockets 2003-2021
Test In Tray Technology
Table 6.30 Test-In-Tray Automation 2009-2021
Summary Future Concerns in Test & BI 2011]-2021
Table 6.31 Total IC Sockets & Test/BI 2000-2020
Table 6.32 20 Year Projection World IC Sockets
Connector Industry R&D Needs
Mid-Term Needs 2011-2015
Long Term Needs 2015-2021
CHAPTER 7
WORLD MARKET PROJECTIONS – PRODUCTION VALUE
Globalization of the Numbers
Chart 7.1 World Market Est. Production Value – Electrical Equipment 1992-2021
Table 7.1a World Market Est. Production Value - Electrical Equipment Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.2 World Market Est. Production Value
Industrial Machinery 1992-2021
Table 7.2a World Market Est. Production Value – Industrial Machinery Numbers 1992-2011
WORLD MARKET PROJECTIONS – PRODUCTION VALUE (CONT.)
Chart 7.3 World Market Est. Production Value – HVAC Equip 1992-2021
Table 7.3a World Market Est. Production Value – HVAC Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.4 World Market Est. Production Value – Turbines, Generators, Power Equip 1992-2021
Table 7.4a World Market Est. Prod. Value - Turbines, Generators, Power Equip Numbers -1992-2011
Chart 7.5 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Transportation Equip. 1992-2021
Table 7.5a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Transportation Equip. Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.6 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Passenger Cars 1992-2021
Table 7.6a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Passenger Cars Numbers 1992-2011
Chart7.7 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Household Appliances 1992-2021
Table 7.7a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Household Appliance Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.8 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Computers & Electronic Products 1992-2021
Table 7.8a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Computers & Electronic Products Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.9 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Storage Equipment 1992-2021
Table 7.9a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Storage Equipment Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.10 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Semiconductors 1992-2021
Table 7.10a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Semiconductors Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.11 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Electronic Components 1992-2021
Table 7.11a World Market Est. Prod. Value – Electronic Components Numbers 1992-2011
Chart 7.12 World Market Est. Prod. Value – Connector Industry 2000-2021
Chart 7.12b World Market Est. Prod. Value – Connector Industry Percentages--2011
Chart 7.13 World Market Connector Industry by Region of Equip. Assembly 2000-2021
Table 7.13 World Market Connector Industry by Region of Equip. Assembly 2000-2011
Chart 7.13b Connector Revenues by Region 2011 – Where Installed
Contributors/Sources
