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UAE Country Analysis: 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic and Business Risk, March 2013

March 2013 | | ID: UC377E8DE0CEN
Lucintel

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The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is located in Southwest Asia, bordering the Gulf of Oman and Persian Gulf. UAE’s economy is likely to grow to $447.46 billion at the current prices by 2018 with good growth over 2013-2018. UAE is ranked 28th among 187 countries in the transparency index, and the country has a risk rating of AAA by different credit rating agencies, indicating a stable fiscal outlook.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has conducted a competitive analysis of UAE and presents its findings in “UAE Country Analysis 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk.” This study provides a concise overview of the political, economic, social, technological, and business risk associated with the country.

Lucintel discusses the various challenges the country face in its path to higher economic growth and prosperity. UAE’s economy grew rapidly with the oil and real estate sectors contributing significantly. The economy, however, faces challenges in terms of problems such as a high unemployment rate and income inequality. In addition, UAE has a higher proportion of foreign labor than local labor. In 2012, the economy was on a decline as global oil prices fell. This will affect the debt repayment capability of the country.

Lucintel's study encompasses the major drivers of the nation’s economy. UAE ranks eighth in terms of per capita income in the world. This has a major impact on the country's development, as the growing middle class of the country is a source of major consumption of goods and materials. The total consumption to GDP ratio of UAE is at an average of 70% over the last decade.

This report highlights the different aspects of the country including its geopolitical situation, economic performance, quarterly trend, sectoral contribution, FDI by industry, trend of population, per capita income, trend of inflation, balance of payment, budget deficit, trade structure, foreign exchange reserve and exchange rates, and R&D expenditures.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

Features of This Report:

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of “UAE Country Analysis 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic and Business Risk” include:
  • Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision.
  • Analysis on economic activity, Government debt, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
  • In depth political, social, economic and business risk analysis of the country that may have impact on different industries.
  • Risk analysis associated with availability of labor, aging population, wage rates, industry policy, business environment, etc.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. COUNTRY OVERVIEW

3. UAE’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE

3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP growth rate
3.2: Consumption, saving, and investment trends
3.3: Foreign direct investment (FDI) by industry

4. POLITICAL AND SOCIAL RISK ANALYSIS OF UAE

4.1: Structure and stability of government
4.2: Government policy agenda
  4.2.1: Policy agenda
4.3: Risk in international relations
4.4: Social risk analysis
  4.4.1: Social development index risk analysis
  4.4.2: Labor market

5. ECONOMIC RISK OF UAE

5.1: Pricing trends - inflation and interest rates
5.2: Risk in financial sector
  5.2.1: Risk in current account balance
  5.2.2: Risk in balance of payment (BOP)
  5.2.3: Risk in fiscal balance
5.3: Risk in external sector
  5.3.1: International trade and its contribution to GDP
  5.3.2: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
  5.3.3: External debt and default risk
5.4: Economic factors impact on business

6. BUSINESS RISK OF UAE

6.1: Business risk
6.2: Credit rating of countries
6.3: R&D expenditure and technological risk
6.4: Business risk factors and its impact

LIST OF FIGURES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of UAE
Chapter 3. UAE’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors to GDP
Figure 3.5: Quarterly index of industrial production and GDP growth
Figure 3.6: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.8: Foreign direct investment by industry
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of UAE
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend of unemployment rate in UAE
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of UAE
Figure 5.1: Annual Trend of inflation and interest rate
Figure 5.2: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.3: Terms of trade for UAE
Figure 5.4: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.5: Trend of fiscal deficit and revenue deficit as percent of GDP
Figure 5.6: Trend of budget deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.7: Trend of UAE’s international trade
Figure 5.8: Trend of exports and imports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.9: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.10: Trend of debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.11: Trend of gross government debt position of UAE
Figure 5.12: Mixed prospects of debts in UAE

LIST OF TABLES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of UAE
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of UAE
Table 4.2: GINI index of UAE
Table 4.3: Corruption perception index
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of UAE
Table 5.1: Economic factors and its impact on business
Chapter 6. Business Risk of UAE
Table 6.1: FDI limits by industry
Table 6.2: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.3: Ranking in 2011 for procedures of starting a business
Table 6.4: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch, and S&P
Table 6.5: Business risk factors and its impact


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