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Lithuania Country Analysis 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk, April 2013

April 2013 | | ID: L888BDCDFDBEN
Lucintel

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Lithuania is a modern, private sector-oriented economy. The global financial crisis disrupted the macroeconomic and financial stability of Lithuania, which had enjoyed sustained growth before the recession. Lithuania’s open investment situation supports foreign direct investment, which demonstrates the openness and flexibility of the economy toward investment and adds momentum to economic growth. By 2014, the global economy is expected to recover from the European debt crisis, boosting international demand and resulting in economic growth for Lithuania, which is highly dependent on exports.

Lucintel, a leading global management consulting and market research firm, has conducted a competitive analysis on Lithuania and offers its findings in its research report, “Lithuania Country Analysis 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic, and Business Risk.”

Lucintel identifies Lithuania’s high emigration rate, resulting in declining youth population in the country, high export dependency to European countries, and high homicide rate as major challenges for the nation’s economy. Drivers that are expected to give Lithuania’s economy competitive advantage are strong domestic demand and high external demand. Lithuania is a net importing country as it imports semi-finished goods and exports finished products. Therefore, both exports and imports are high in Lithuania, which drives the overall economy.

This report will benefit company managers, fund managers, and private equity firms wanting to invest in Lithuania. Investors that are seeking a complete analysis of Lithuania’s economy from all perspectives: political, economic, social, and business risk, will find this study useful. The impact of economic factors, such as sovereign debt, fiscal deficit, and current account deficit, is gauged on Lithuania’s economy and industrial outlook. The report analyzes the Lithuanian government’s measures to stabilize the economy in response to the European debt crises. This report also considers the effects of recent changes in monetary, fiscal, and trade policies and their impact on business in Lithuania in the coming years.

This unique report from Lucintel will provide you with valuable information, insights, and tools needed to identify new growth opportunities and operate your business successfully in this market. This report will save hundreds of hours of your own personal research time and will significantly benefit you in expanding your business in this market. In today’s stringent economy, you need every advantage that you can find.

Features of This Report:

To make business, investment, and strategic decisions, you need timely, useful information. This market report fulfills this core need and is an indispensable reference guide for multinational materials suppliers, product manufacturers, investors, executives, distributors, and many more that operate in this market.

Some of the features of “Lithuania Country Analysis 2013-2018: An Evaluation of Political, Social, Economic and Business Risk” include:
  • Trend and forecast for key macroeconomic variables that are useful to make major investment decision.
  • Analysis on economic activity, Government debt, investment environment, and trade structure of the country
  • In depth political, social, economic and business risk analysis of the country that may have impact on different industries.
  • Risk analysis associated with availability of labor, aging population, wage rates, industry policy, business environment, etc.
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. COUNTRY OVERVIEW

3. LITHUANIA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE

3.1: Sectoral contribution to GDP and GDP growth rate
3.2: Consumption, saving, and investment trends
3.3: Foreign direct investment (FDI) by industry

4. POLITICAL AND SOCIAL RISK ANALYSIS OF LITHUANIA

4.1: Structure and stability of government
4.2: Government policy agenda
  4.2.1: Policy agenda
4.3: Risk in international relations
4.4: Social risk analysis
  4.4.1: Social development index risk analysis
  4.4.2: Labor market

5. ECONOMIC RISK OF LITHUANIA

5.1: Risk in financial sector
  5.1.1: Risk in fiscal balance
  5.1.2: Risk in current account balance
  5.1.3: Risk in balance of payment (BOP)
5.2: Risk in external sector
  5.2.1: External debt and default risk
  5.2.2: International trade and its contribution to GDP
  5.2.3: Risk in foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
5.3: Risk in real sector
5.4: Economic factors’ impact on business

6. BUSINESS RISK OF LITHUANIA

6.1: Business risk
6.2: Doing business in Lithuania in 2013
6.3: Credit rating of countries
6.4: R&D expenditure and technological risk
6.5: Business risk factors and its impact

7. EMERGING RISK IN LITHUANIA

LIST OF FIGURES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Figure 2.1: Geographical location of Lithuania
Chapter 3. Lithuania’s Economic Performance
Figure 3.1: Trend of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.2: Forecast of real GDP growth rate
Figure 3.3: GDP sectoral contribution
Figure 3.4: Share of different sectors to GDP
Figure 3.5: Trend of consumption expenditure as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.6: Trend of savings and investments as percentage of GDP
Figure 3.7: Foreign direct investment by industry
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Lithuania
Figure 4.1: Trend of population and population growth rate
Figure 4.2: Population age structure
Figure 4.3: Trend of per capita income
Figure 4.4: Trend of corruption perception index of Lithuania
Figure 4.5: Trend of unemployment rate in Lithuania
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Lithuania
Figure 5.1: Regional financial stability scenario
Figure 5.2: Trend of government revenue and expenditure as percent of GDP
Figure 5.3: Trend of fiscal deficit as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.4: Trend of current account balance and share in GDP
Figure 5.5: Terms of trade for Lithuania
Figure 5.6: Trend of balance of payment
Figure 5.7: Trend of debt as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.8: Trend of gross government debt position of Lithuania
Figure 5.9: Mixed prospects of debts in Lithuania
Figure 5.10: Lithuania’s international trade structure
Figure 5.11: Exports and imports as percentage of GDP
Figure 5.12: Trend of foreign exchange reserves and exchange rate
Figure 5.13: Annual trend of inflation and interest rate
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Lithuania
Figure 6.1: Trend of R&D expenditure in Lithuania
Chapter 7. Emerging Risk in Lithuania
Figure 7.1: Lithuania’s exports by region
Figure 7.2: Trend emigration from Lithuania
Figure 7.3: Trend of homicide rate in Lithuania

LIST OF TABLES

Chapter 2. Country Snapshot / Overview
Table 2.1: Demographic and political overview
Chapter 4. Political and Social Risk Analysis of Lithuania
Table 4.1: Homicide rate of Lithuania
Table 4.2: GINI index
Table 4.3: Corruption perception index
Chapter 5. Economic Risk of Lithuania
Table 5.1: Economic factors and its impact on business
Chapter 6. Business Risk of Lithuania
Table 6.1: Indicators for starting business
Table 6.2: Ranking in 2013 for procedures of starting a business
Table 6.3: Credit rating of countries by Moody, Fitch, and S&P
Table 6.4: Business risk factors and its impact on business


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