Sudan Telecommunications Report Q2 2011

Date: February 22, 2011
Pages: 70
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: SB07E587554EN

Download PDF Leaflet

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s Q211 update on the Sudanese telecoms market contains updated operational and financial data published by the leading network operators for the end of September 2010. Since our last update, new data has been published by mobile operators Zain and MTN although Sudanese fixed-line incumbent operator Sudatel offers data for Q210, for both fixed-line and mobile services, through its mobile unit Sudani. The data helped us ascertain the size of Sudan’s mobile subscriber market at the end Q310. Based on the most recent data published by Zain and MTN, we estimate Sudan had 18.113mn mobile telephony customers at the end of September 2010. This figure represented an increase of 2.9% in Q310 revealing an improvement from the previous quarter, which was down by 0.8% q-o-q. During Q110 the number of mobile subscribers increased by 4.2%. We had noted in Q210 that the overall decline in mobile subscribers had been the result of negative customer growth was reported by MTN in the same quarter. The operator revealed further declines in Q310. However, stronger growth from its rival managed to offset the operator’s negative performance.

MTN has not provided an explanation behind the second consecutive loss in subscriber figures ended Q310, although BMI suspects this relates to the deduction of inactive prepaid customers from the operator’s reported total. As we have noted in previous reports, Sudan’s mobile subscriber market is heavily dominated by prepaid subscribers. As a result, it is possible this encouraged strong growth in the number of inactive customers across the mobile market. It is also understood that a number of MTN’s rivals also have strong prepaid bases, which contributed to inflated penetration rates although they have not provided a breakdown of their subscriber mixes.

Considering the dominance of the prepaid market, the development of the value-added services market remained low level with most services confined to SMS and MMS. However, this has not stopped the development of new services for the market based on SMS. With the Sudan referendum on January 9 2011, to decide whether South Sudan becomes an independent country or not, Sudan Institute for Research and Policy, a non-profit research organisation, came up with the country’s first SMS-based voting monitor (SVM). Fareed Zein, who works at the institute and developed the service, says the service allows other various international bodies to track the development of the referendum as it progresses. Voters could send an SMS with a simple message such as violence, intimidation or other select words, which is then verified by the SVM team and published on their website in English and Arabic.

Meanwhile, there are no further changes this quarter to our growth forecasts for Sudan’s fixed-line telephony and internet user markets. Over the next five years, we forecast Sudan’s internet-user base will expand at an annual average growth rate of 9.5%. By contrast, we continue to predict steady fixed-line growth over the next few years. Growth will be underpinned by ongoing infrastructure investments.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Sudan Mobile SWOT
Sudan Fixed-Line And Broadband SWOT
Sudan Political SWOT
Sudan Economic SWOT
Sudan Business Environment SWOT
Business Environment
Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
    Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Business Environment Rankings
Industry Forecast Scenario
Industry Forecast Scenario
    Table: Telecoms Sector – Mobile – Historical Data & Forecasts
Fixed Line
    Table: Telecoms Sector – Fixed Line – Historical Data & Forecasts
    Table: Telecoms Sector – Broadband And Internet – Historical Data & Forecasts
Market Data Analysis
    Table: Sudan Mobile Market Q310
    Table: Sudan Mobile Market Net Additions Q310


Regional Outlook
Country Outlook
    Table: VAS Developments
Mobile Operator Data
    Table: Sudan Mobile Market Overview
    Table: Zain (formerly Celtel)
    Table: MTN
Fixed Line
    Table: Wireline Developments
Telecoms Regulatory Environment Table
Sudan: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
    Table: Key Players – Sudan Telecoms Sector
    Table: Selected Operators Financial Indicators (US$mn)
Company Monitor
Alcatel-Lucent: Slowly Raising Profile In Africa & Middle East
    Table: : Alcatel-Lucent Q310 Results (EURmn)
    Table: Alcatel-Lucent - Key Contracts, 2009-2010
Company Profiles
Zain Sudan
Regional Telecommunications Penetration Overview
Fixed Line
    Table: Regional Fixed-Line Penetration Overview
    Table: Regional Mobile Penetration Overview
    Table: Regional Internet Penetration Overview
Glossary Of Terms
    Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
    Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Ratings System
    Table: Ratings Indicators
    Table: Weighting Of Indicators
Skip to top

Ask Your Question

Sudan Telecommunications Report Q2 2011
Company name*:
Contact person*:
Request invoice
Your enquiry:
Please click on a Check Box below to confirm you are not a robot: