Poland Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

Date: June 29, 2016
Pages: 69
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: P033706BF70EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Polish telecoms market is rapidly evolving and is one of the fastest-changing markets in the Central and Eastern European region. The deployment of next-generation infrastructure is driving usage of premium non-voice services as well as complex, multi-screen converged services. We believe that the market will post only modest gains in terms of new subscriber growth. However, our outlook on the uptake of 3G/4G services is optimistic, despite the 2015/16 auction of 4G 800MHz and 2600MHz spectrum ending thus-far unsatisfactorily as the costs turned out to be much higher than operators had anticipated.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments
  • The mobile market contracted sharply in Q415 as T-Mobile shed more than 3mn inactive subscriptions. By contrast, Orange and P4 (Play) performed well, signalling good underlying growth prospects despite saturation. We forecast 53.423mn mobile subscriptions by 2020.
  • Mobile expansion is being driven by 3G/4G migration. We forecast 48.364mn subscriptions by 2020, or 90.5% of the overall market, but the rate of growth will depend on the final outcome of the spectrum auction of 2015/16 as outlays on spectrum will weigh on operators' capacity to invest in networks.
  • T-Mobile claims to have installed more than 200 new LTE base stations across the country and now claims to offer 4G LTE services to over 90% of the population. We believe that competitors will continue to invest heavily into advanced data services as a means of propelling the market forward and generating revenue streams.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Poland 2013-2020)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe Industry Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016
Industry Risk Reward Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers And Trends
Wireline Voice And Broadband
  Table: Pay-TV Subscriptions By Key Operator (000)
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
  Table: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Poland - Key Telecoms Players
Mobile Operator Data
  Table: Poland Mobile Market Overview
  Table: T-Mobile Poland (PTC)
  Table: Orange
  Table: P4/Play
  Table: Polkomtel/Cyfrowy Polsat
Wireline Operator Data
  Table: Orange (TP SA)
  Table: UPC Poland
  Table: Netia
  Table: Vectra
  Table: Cyfrowy Polsat Wireline
  Table: Multimedia Polska
Company Profile
Cyfrowy Polsat Group
Orange Polska (TPSA)
T-Mobile (Polska Telefonia Cyfrowa)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025)
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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