Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q3 2016

Date: July 6, 2016
Pages: 85
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: N25F96F2111EN

Download PDF Leaflet

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We continue to have a positive outlook for the Nigerian mobile market and the country's telecoms sector in general. This is despite an increasingly challenging economic climate which, in Q116, saw a 0.4% contraction in real GDP - largely attributable to falling crude prices and oil production. Subscription growth in the mobile market continues to be driven by factors including operators' promotional activities, multiple SIM ownership and the extension of network coverage to underserved areas. Meanwhile broadband penetration remains very low. There continues to be significant demand for traditional voice and data services, and to a large extent this demand has remained untapped.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments
  • Nigerian mobile subscriptions reached an impressive 150.83mn by the end of 2015, up 8.5% y-o-y, with penetration reaching 82.8%. Then in Q116, the mobile sector contracted by 1.5%, with the total customer base shrinking by 2.26mn. Airtel and Globacom continued to see positive customer growth in the first quarter of 2016. However, as in Q415, both MTN and Etisalat experienced declining customer base. The negative customer growth at MTN and Etisalat reflected efforts by those operators to enforce new rules on the definition of an active mobile customer.
  • We currently expect the number of 3G and 4G customers to rise to about 40.4mn by the end of 2016, equivalent to 24.9% of the mobile subscriber base, rising to 108.14mn by the end of 2020, equivalent to 54% of the market.
  • MTN and the government of Nigeria agreed in June that the operator will pay a fine of NGN330bn (USD1.671bn), down from the original fine of USD5.2bn, for failing to disconnect unregistered SIMs. Further reducing the burden to a manageable level for the operator, MTN will pay the fine over a period of three years.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Nigeria 2013-2020)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016
Nigeria Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers & Trends
Wireline Voice & Broadband
  Table: Nigeria - Fixed-Line Market, March 2014 - March 2016
  Table: Nigeria - Wireline Developments, 2013-2016
Regulatory Development
  Table: Nigeria - Overview Of The Nigerian Communications Commission
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Players - Telecoms Sector
  Table: Nigeria - Mobile Market, June 2014-March 2016
  Table: MTN Nigeria, June 2014-March 2016
  Table: Globacom, June 2014-March 2016
  Table: Airtel, June 2014-March 2016
  Table: Etisalat, June 2014-March 2016
  Table: Visafone, June 2014-March 2016
Company Profile
Etisalat Nigeria
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Nigeria 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Nigeria 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Nigeria 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Nigeria 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Nigeria 1990-2025)
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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