Kenya Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Date: September 7, 2016
Pages: 67
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: K00A8872F65EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We hold our positive outlook for the Kenyan mobile market in our Q416 quarterly report update and have once again made some positive forecast revisions, based on the higher than anticipated growth in the first half of 2016. Strong mobile market growth will be supported by low penetration rates, currently around 82.9%. Airtel has made significant investments into developing 4G services in the country and the operator is poised to launch its high-speed data service to rival the primacy of Safaricom this year. Airtel is set to release its 4G service before the end of 2016 and we are of the opinion that Orange will follow suit in 2017. Mobile financial services, in particular, will be a key driver for both subscription and revenue growth. However, we remain watchful of recent consolidation in the market, strong competition in the wireline sector, and Helios's acquisition of a 70% stake in Telkom Kenya. Furthermore, we are still of the opinion that the completed digital migration will free up new spectrum, easing the response to growth in the data market.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments
  • The Kenyan mobile market grew by 9.2% y-o-y by the end of H116, with total subscribers reaching over 39.4mn.
  • Airtel is set to launch its 4G LTE service in the country before the end of 2016 as it desperately seeks to compete with the growing primacy of Safaricom. Orange is expected to launch their high-speed data service in 2017.
  • The regulator is planning to issue 4G spectrum concessions in the 800MHz band to all three operators before the end of August 2016 for a fee of approximately USD25mn each. The regulator envisions equitable holdings of the 800MHz spectrum by all three major operators to ensure healthy competition in the market for high-speed data.
BMI Industry View
Latest Updates And Industry Developments
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016
Kenya Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers And Trends
  Table: Mobile Financial Services Subscribers
  Table: National Payment System Framework - Key Points
Wireline Voice & Broadband
  Table: Internet Subscriptions by Technology ('000)
  Table: Fixed/Fixed Wireless Broadband Market
Pay TV/Convergence
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Industry Risks
Main Development: 4G LTE Service Licenses
Additional Developments
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Players - Kenya Telecoms Sector
  Table: Mobile Market Overview
  Table: Safaricom
  Table: Airtel
  Table: Orange
  Table: Equitel
  Table: Broadband Subscriptions
  Table: Fixed-Line Subscriptions
Company Profile
Telkom Kenya
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kenya 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Kenya 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Kenya 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Kenya 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Kenya 1990-2025)
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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Kenya Telecommunications Report Q1 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Jan, 2016 · 65 pages
Kenya Telecommunications Report Q2 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Mar, 2016 · 66 pages
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