Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Date: September 14, 2016
Pages: 63
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: H1F96120610EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have attributed the fall in mobile subscriber numbers in 2015 to the saturated state of the Hong Kong mobile market, together with Hong Kong's slowing economic growth and already high levels of LTE adoption. This will be exacerbated by a yet another MVNO entering the market - Hong Kong Broadband Network (HKBN) received an MVNO licence from the Office of the Communications Authority (OFCA) in July, further saturating the already competitive mobile market. Operators are deriving growth and value from customers by bundling higher-value products and services like video and smart applications to their primary offerings. In addition, the potential for post-paid subscribers to outnumber prepaid ones will remove some subscriber number volatility and reduce churn rates for operators in the longer term. This has positive implications for average revenues per user (ARPU).

Latest Updates & Industry Developments
  • The latest data from the OFCA showed there were 16.685mn mobile subscribers at the end of May 2016 - up only 0.6% y-o-y - reflecting the maturity of the market. We forecast 16.99mn mobile subscribers by the end of our five-year forecast period in 2020, for a penetration rate of 224.7%, of which 94.4% will be 3G/4G. The highly-saturated mobile market provides little room for organic growth, and revenue growth will come from migrating subscribers to post-paid plans and encouraging consumption of more value-added services.
  • In the wireline sector, the focus is on FTTH as subscribers demand faster and more reliable fixed network connections. Based on full year data from the regulator for broadband subscribers, we forecast the number of broadband internet subscriptions to reach 2.65mn by 2020, equivalent to a penetration rate of 35.1%.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Telecoms Risk/Reward Index
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index
  Table: APAC Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416
Hong Kong Telecoms Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers & Trends
Wireline Voice & Broadband
Pay TV/Convergence
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Players - Hong Kong Telecoms Market
  Table: Operator Revenues (USDmn)
  Table: Hong Kong Mobile Market Overview
  Table: CSL
  Table: Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (3 Hong Kong)
  Table: SmarTone Hong Kong
  Table: PCCW Mobile
Company Profiles
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTHKH)
SmarTone Telecommunications
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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