Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q1 2016

Date: December 16, 2015
Pages: 69
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: H1D97907CF3EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: A decline in total mobile subscribers is attributable to high market saturation, which cannot sustain further growth in light of Hong Kong's slowing economic growth. Operators are deriving growth by migrating subscribers on to greater revenue-generating networks such as LTE. In addition, the potential for postpaid subscribers to outnumber prepaid ones will remove some subscriber number volatility and reduce churn rates for operators in the longer term. This change in the mobile landscape will also buoy average revenues per user (ARPU).

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

Latest data from the OFCA showed there were 16.72mn mobile subscribers at the end of August 2015, down by 1.7% y-o-y. We forecast 16.85mn mobile subscribers by the end of our five-year forecast period in 2019, for a penetration rate of 224.4%. The highly saturated mobile market provides little room for subscriber growth, and will revenue growth will come from migrating subscribers on to postpaid plans and encouraging consumption of more value-added services.

In wireline, the focus is on FTTH as subscribers demand faster and more reliable fixed network connections. Based on full year data from the regulator for broadband subscribers, we forecast the number of broadband internet subscriptions to reach 2.57mn by 2019, a 34.3% penetration rate.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Wireline Voice & Broadband
  Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Hong Kong 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk-Reward Index - Q116
Market Overview
Market Drivers & Trends
Wireline Voice & Broadband
Pay TV/ Convergence
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
  Table: Hong Kong Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Spectrum Release Plan (2013-2015)
  Table: Hong Kong Spectrum Release Plan For 2013-2015
Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Players - Hong Kong Telecoms Market
  Table: Operator Revenues (USDmn)
  Table: Hong Kong Mobile Market Overview
  Table: CSL
  Table: Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (3 Hong Kong)
  Table: SmarTone Hong Kong
  Table: PCCW Mobile
Company Profiles
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTHKH)
SmarTone Telecommunications
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Hong Kong 1990-2025)
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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