4Q13 Africa Mobile Operator Forecast, 2014 – 2017

Date: March 15, 2014
Price:
US$ 6,995.00
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Publisher: IE Market Research Corporation
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: 2444D8D9136EN
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4Q13 Africa Mobile Operator Forecast, 2014 – 2017
IEMR’s Africa Mobile Operator Forecast is the most comprehensive forecast of its kind in the world. This report provides operational and financial metrics for wireless markets across the region and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. We provide five-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2017. We also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 2Q2004 and ending in 3Q2015. Our forecast contains separate data for each country and their mobile operators. Our Mobile Operator Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

By purchasing this report, you will receive an Excel file with 48 datasheets of operational and financial metrics such as post-paid subscribers, prepaid subscribers, subscriber growth, net subscriber adds, monthly churn, monthly ARPU, ARPU growth, data ARPU, MOU per subscriber, service revenue, EBITDA and CAPEX.

In this regional report, each datasheet covers 189 mobile operators in 55 countries. It is the most extensive company-specific and country-specific forecast of its kind.

Countries Covered in this Global Mobile Operator Forecast

Algeria
Angola
Benin
Botswana
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cameroon
Cape Verde
Central African Republic
Chad
Comoros Islands
Congo, Republic of the
Côte d'Ivoire
Democratic Rep of Congo (ex-Zaire)
Djibouti
Egypt
Equatorial Guinea
Eritrea
Ethiopia
Gabon
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea Republic
Guinea-Bissau
Kenya
Lesotho
Liberia
Libya
Madagascar
Malawi
Mali
Mauritania
Mauritius
Mayotte
Morocco
Mozambique
Namibia
Niger
Nigeria
Rwanda
Réunion
Sao Tomé & Principe
Senegal
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
Somalia
South Africa
South
Sudan
Swaziland
Tanzania
Togo
Tunisia
Uganda
Zambia
Zimbabwe

Companies Covered in each of the Regional Mobile Operator Forecasts

Algeria
Djezzy GSM (Orascom Télécoms Algérie)
Mobilis (Algérie Télécom)
Nedjma (Wataniya Télécom Algérie)

Angola
Movicel (Angola Telecom)
Unitel Angola (UNITEL SA)

Benin
Bell Benin Communications (BBCom)
Etisalat Benin S.A. (Telecel Benin) (Moov)
Globacom Benin (Globacom Limited)
Libercom (Benin Telecoms)
MTN Group (Spacetel Benin) (Areeba)

Botswana
Botswana Telecommunications Corporation (Be Mobile)
Mascom Wireless (Pty) Limited
Orange Botswana (France Télécom S.A.)

Burkina Faso
Onatel SA
Telecel Burkina Faso (Telecel Faso SA)
Zain Burkina Faso (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Burundi
Africell Burundi (VTEL Holdings)
Econet Wireless Burundi PLC
Lacell SU
Onatel Burundi (Onatel SA)
U-Com (Telecel Globe, Orascom Telecom Holding S.A.E.)

Cameroon
MTN Cameroon (MTN Group)
Orange Cameroon (France Télécom S.A.)

Cape Verde
CVMóvel, SA (Cabo Verde Telecom)
T+ Telecomunicações, SA (T-Mais)

Central African Republic
Atlantique Telecom Centrafrique SA (Moov CAR)
NationLink Telecom
Orange Central African Republic (France Télécom S.A.)
Telecel Central African Republic (Telecel Globe Ltd.)

Chad
Tigo Chad (Millicom International Cellular S.A.)
Zain Chad (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Comoros Islands
Comores Telecom (Société Nationale des Télécommunications)

Congo, Republic of the
MTN Congo (MTN Group)
Warid Congo (Warid Telecom International Ltd)
Zain Congo (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Côte d'Ivoire
Comium Côte d'Ivoire (Comium Group)
LAP Green Network (Oricel)
Moov Cote d'Ivoire (Atlantique Telecom, Etisalat)
MTN Cote d'Ivoire (MTN Group)
Orange Côte d'Ivoire (France Télécom S.A.)

Democratic Republic of Congo
Congo Chine Télécoms (CCT)
Standard Telecom Democratic Republic of Congo (Megapass)
Supercell
Tigo DRC (Millicom International Cellular S.A.)
Vodacom Congo (Vodacom Group (Pty) Ltd)
Zain Congo DRC (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Djibouti
Djibouti Telecom S.A. (Evatis)

Egypt
Etisalat Egypt (Emirates Telecommunications Corporation)
Mobinil (The Egyptian Company for Mobile Services)
Vodafone Egypt Telecommunications Company S.A.E.

Equatorial Guinea
Hits Telecom Equatorial Guinea (Hits Telecom Holding Company)
Orange Equatorial Guinea (GETESA) (France Télécom S.A.)

Eritrea
EriTel (Eritrean Telecommunications Corporation)

Ethiopia
Ethio Telecom (Ethiopian Telecommunications Corporation)

Gabon
Azur (USAN-Gabon) (Bintel Ltd.)
Gabon Telecom SA (Libertis)
Moov Gabon (Emirates Telecommunications Corporation)
Zain Gabon (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Gambia
Africell Gambia Ltd.
Comium Gambia Ltd.
Gambia Cellular Co. Ltd. (Gamcell)
QCell Limited

Ghana
Kasapa (Hutchison Telecommunications International Limited)
MTN Ghana (MTN Group)
Tigo (Millicom International Cellular S.A.)
Vodafone Ghana (Vodafone Group plc)
Zain Ghana (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Guinea
Areeba Guinea (MTN Group) (Investcom)
Cellcom Guinée S.A.
Intercel Holdings Guinea Republic
Orange Guinee (France Télécom S.A.)
Sotelgui S.A.

Guinea-Bissau
Areeba Bissau (MTN Group) (Spacetel)
Guinetel
Orange Bissau (France Telecom Group)

Kenya
Bharti Airtel Limited (Zain Kenya)
Essar Telecom Kenya Limited (Yu)
Orange Kenya (France Télécom S.A.)
Safaricom Limited

Lesotho
Econet Telecom Lesotho (Econet Ezi Cel Lesotho (Pty) Ltd)
Vodacom Lesotho (Vodacom (Pty) Ltd)

Liberia
Cellcom Liberia (Cellcom Telecommunications, Inc.)
Comium Liberia (Comium Group)
LiberCell (Atlantic Wireless Liberia Inc.)
Lonestar Communications Corporation (Lonestar Cell)

Libya
Aljeel Aljadeed
Almadar Aljadeed Company
Libyana Mobile Phone

Madagascar
Orange Madagascar (France Télécom S.A.)
Telecom Malagasy (Telma Mobile SA)
Zain Madagascar (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Malawi
MTL (Malawi Telecommunications Limited)
TNM (Telekom Networks Malawi Limited)
Zain Malawi (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Mali
Orange Mali SA
SOTELMA

Mauritania
Chinguitel S.A.
Mattel
Mauritel Mobiles

Mauritius
Emtel Ltd.
Mahanagar Telephone Mauritius Limited (MTML) (Mokoze Mobile)
Orange Mauritius (France Telecom Group)

Mayotte
Orange Mayotte (France Telecom Group)
Outremer Telecom Mayotte
SFR Mayotte

Morocco
Maroc Telecom SA (Itissalatt Al Maghreb)
Meditel (Medi Telecom)
Wana (ONA Group)

Mozambique
Moçambique Celular, S.A.R.L. (mcel)
Vodacom Mozambique (Vodacom Group (Pty) Ltd)

Namibia
Leo (Cell One) (Orascom Telecom Holding S.A.E.)
MTC (Mobile Telecommunications Limited)
Telecom Namibia Limited

Niger
Orange Niger (France Télécom S.A.)
SahelCom (SONITEL)
Telecel Niger (Moov Niger)
Zain Niger (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Nigeria
Airtel Nigeria (Bharti Airtel Limited)
Etisalat Nigeria (Emerging Markets Telecommunication Services (EMTS))
Globacom Limited
MTN Nigeria Communications Limited
Multi-links Telecommunications Ltd.
Reliance Telecom Nigeria
Starcomms Plc
Visafone Communications Limited

Réunion
Orange Réunion (France Telecom Group)
Outremer Telecom Reunion
SFR Reunion

Rwanda
MTN Rwanda (MTN Group)
Rwandatel S.A.
Tigo Rwanda (Millicom International Cellular S.A.)

São Tomé and Príncipe
CST (Companhia Santomense de Telecomunicações, SARL)

Senegal
Orange Senegal (France Télécom S.A.)
Sudatel Senegal (Expresso Senegal)
Tigo Senegal (Millicom International Cellular S.A.) (Sentel)

Seychelles
Airtel Seychelles (Telecom Seychelles Limited)
Cable & Wireless Seychelles

Sierra Leone
Africell Sierra Leone (Lintel Group)
Comium Sierra Leone (Comium Group)
Millicom International Cellular S.A. (merged with Africell in 2009)
Sierra Leone Telecommunications Company (SierraTel)
Zain Sierra Leone (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Somalia
Golis Telecom Somalia
Hormuud Telecom Somalia Inc.
NationLink Telecom
Somafone FZ LLC
Telcom Somalia
Telsom Mobile

South Africa
Autopage Cellular (Pty) Ltd
Cell C (Pty) Ltd
MTN Group Limited
Nashua Mobile (Pty) Ltd
Neotel (Pty) Ltd
Telkom SA Limited
Virgin Mobile South Africa (Pty) Ltd
Vodacom Group (Pty) Ltd

Sudan
Canartel (Canar Telecommunication Co. Limited)
Gemtel Telecom Limited
MTN Sudan (MTN Group)
Sudatel Group
Vivacell (Network of The World)
Zain Sudan (Zain Group)

Swaziland
MTN Swaziland (MTN Group)
SPTC (Swaziland Posts and Telecommunications Corporation)

Tanzania
Benson Informatics Ltd.
Dovetel Limited
Tigo Tanzania (Millicom International Cellular S.A.)
TTCL (Tanzania Telecommunications Company Limited)
Vodacom Tanzania Limited
Zain Tanzania (Bharti Airtel Limited)
Zanzibar Telecom Ltd. (Zantel)

Togo
Telecel Togo (Moov Togo)
Togocel (Togo Telecom)

Tunisia
Orange Tunisie (France Télécom S.A.)
Tunisiana (Orascom Telecom Holding SAE)
Tuntel (Tunisie Télécom)

Uganda
I-Tel Ltd.
MTN Uganda (MTN Group)
Orange Uganda (France Télécom S.A.)
Smile Telecoms Holdings Ltd.
Uganda Telecom Ltd.
Warid Telecom Uganda (Warid Telecom International Ltd.)
Zain Uganda (Bharti Airtel Limited)

Zambia
MTN Zambia (MTN Group)
Zain Zambia (Bharti Airtel Limited)
ZAMTEL (Zambia Telecommunications Company Limited)

Zimbabwe
Econet Wireless (Private) Limited
NetOne Cellular (Pvt) Ltd
Telecel Zimbabwe (Pvt) Ltd

Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2003-CY 2016. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: June 2003 – September 2014
Subscribers (000)
Subscriber growth (YoY %)
Net subscriber adds (000)
Net subscriber adds growth (YoY %)
Monthly churn (%)
Post-paid subscribers (000)
Post-paid subcriber growth (YoY %)
Prepaid subcribers (000)
Prepaid subscriber growth (YoY %)
Post-paid % of total subs
Prepaid/wsl % of total subs
Post-paid net adds (000)
Post-paid adds growth (YoY %)
Prepaid/wsl net adds (000)
Prepaid/wsl adds growth (YoY %)
Monthly ARPU (USD)
ARPU growth (YoY %)
Data % of service revenues
Monthly data ARPU (USD)
Data ARPU growth (YoY %)
Monthly voice ARPU (USD)
Voice ARPU growth (YoY %)
Voice rev per minute (USD)
Voice RPM growth (YoY %)
MOU per sub (mins/month)
MOU/sub growth (YoY %)
Share of total subscribers
Share of net adds
Share of post-paid net adds
Share of prepaid/wsl net adds
Share of service revenue
YoY change in revenue share (bps)
Reported revenue (USD mn)
Reported revenue growth (YoY %)
Service revenue (USD mn)
Service revenue growth (YoY %)
EBITDA (USD mn)
EBITDA growth (YoY %)
Capex (USD mn)
Capex growth (YoY %)
EBITDA / reported revenue
EBITDA / service revenue
Incr EBITDA / Incr service rev
Capex / reported revenue
Capex / service revenue
(EBITDA-capex) / reported revenue
(EBITDA-capex) / service revenue
EBITDA margin expansion/contraction (bps)
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4Q13 Africa Mobile Operator Forecast, 2014 – 2017
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