Indonesia Consumer Electronics Report Q3 2016

Date: May 18, 2016
Pages: 64
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect a second successive year of US dollar contraction for Indonesia consumer electronics device spending in 2016, but with a forecast contraction of just 0.1%, performance will be a considerable improvement over 2015. The medium term outlook is much stronger, with economic development driving up incomes, and a significant boost to our forecast across the board from rupiah appreciation against the USD envisaged for 2018-2020. We forecast a CAGR of 8.9% for 2016-2020 as a whole, to total spending of USD19.7bn in 2020. Underpinning our view for improved performance later in the forecast is pent-up demand from 2015 and 2016, which will be unlocked as economic growth strengthens and the household income profile resisters a considerable improvement. Other factors making a positive contribution to the consumer spending growth story will include favourable demographic dynamics, rising levels of urbanisation, and declining device prices.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments
  • Computer Hardware Sales: USD4.83bn in 2016 to USD7.61bn in 2020, compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.0% 2016-2020. Depreciation remains a squeeze on affordability in 2016, but the mediumterm outlook is bright based on income growth that will deepen the market and ease price sensitivity in the middle class.
  • AV Sales: Rising from USD2.09bn in 2016 to USD2.76bn in 2020, CAGR of 7.2% 2016-2020. Flatpanel TV set upgrades still have growth momentum in Indonesia, while Smart and Ultra-HD technologies will trigger spending in among high income households.
  • Handset Sales: Rising from USD7.03bn in 2016 to USD9.29bn in 2020, a CAGR of 7.2% 2016-2020. Local content requirement generates some uncertainty but we are still bullish on smartphone growth in Indonesia where relatively low penetration of smartphones should see volume growth maintained over the medium term.
BMI Industry View
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
Consumer Electronics Market
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Consumer Electronics Overview (Indonesia 2014-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Asia Pacific CE Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016
Market Overview
Recent Developments
  Table: PC Sales (Indonesia 2014-2020)
AV Devices
  Table: AV Sales (Indonesia 2014-2020)
Mobile Handsets
  Table: Mobile Communications (Indonesia 2014-2020)
Industry Trends And Developments
Consumer Electronics Trade
  Table: Emerging APAC Consumer Electronics (CE) Trade, 2009-2014
  Table: Indonesia Consumer Electronics Trade Balance, 2009-2014
Consumer Electronics Industry Analysis
  Table: Smartphone Production Expansion In Indonesia By Vendor
Regulatory Development
  Table: Key Ministers And Departments
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Major Electronics Retailers
  Table: E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces
Consumer Electronics Vendors
  Table: Lenovo Indonesia
  Table: Foxconn Technology Group
  Table: Intel
  Table: PT Global Teleshop
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Consumer Electronics Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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