Pakistan Defence and Security Report Q2 2014

Date: March 19, 2014
Pages: 90
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Despite Nawaz Sharif's best laid plans to initiate peace talks with the Taliban and to address major security issues, we expect Pakistan's domestic security situation to remain highly fragile. in September 2013, Nawaz called an All Parties Conference which gave him the green light to begin negotiating with the Taliban. However, talks have already stalled and Nawaz's plans are in tatters. Regarding the defence industry, we expect Pakistan to continue to pursue defence relationships with a range of powers including Saudi Arabia, Turkey and South Korea. This will be essential in avoiding overreliance on the USA and China for military equipment.

We remain sceptical on the outlook for successful peace talks between the government and Pakistan's militant groups. While Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has taken the positive step of declaring that he favours a dialogue with the Taliban rather than pressing ahead with a military strategy that shows little sign of working, we emphasise that peace talks are likely to end in impasse over coming years. A positive development in the security sphere has been the appointment of Raheel Sharif as the new Pakistan army commander after the departure of General Kayani in Q413. So far, the army has cooperated well with the government with the prospect of military coup remaining low.
BMI Industry View
Pakistan Security SWOT
Pakistan Defence & Security SWOT
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Defence Budget
  Table: Pakistan's Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017
  Table: Pakistan's Defence Expenditure - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
Armed Forces
  Table: Pakistan's Defence Personnel, 2001-2009 ('000, unless otherwise stated)
  Table: Pakistan's Manpower Available For Military Services, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
  Table: Pakistan's Defence Trade Balance, 2010-2017
  Table: Pakistan's Defence Exports, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
  Table: Pakistan's Defence Imports, 2010-2017 (US$mn, unless stated)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Pakistan - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia Security Risk Ratings
  Table: Asia Pacific Security Risk Ratings
  Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Pakistan Security Risk Ratings
Market Overview
Pakistan Defence Market Overview
Armed Forces
  Table: Pakistan's Nuclear-Capable Ballistic Missile Arsenal
  Table: Exports From Pakistan
Pakistan Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Company Profile
Air Weapons Complex
Dr AQ Khan Laboratories
Heavy Industries Taxila
Pakistan Aeronautical Complex
Pakistan Ordnance Factories
Regional Overview
South Asia Security Overview
Global Industry Overview
Global Political Outlook
  Table: Election Timetable, 2014
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Security Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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