Iran Defence and Security Report Q1 2015

Date: November 5, 2014
Pages: 91
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: I052C5F9246EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The significant 17.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) increase in defence spending for 2015 is due to an increase in the value of the local currency. A second extension to the interim deal on the nuclear program in November 2013 seems the best outcome if the parties fail to reach a deal within the context of the P5+1 talks by the November 24 deadline. A short term non-admitted tactical cooperation to combat the Islamic State (IS) between Iran and the West is possible, long-term cooperation is questionable.

Iran's annual defence budget is modest in comparison with that of its neighbours Israel, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq. Details of the defence budget are only summarily divulged to public scrutiny if at all. For 2015, our forecasts estimate defence spending to reach USD11.6bn, which fades in comparison with the USD59.5bn forecast for Saudi Arabia. We think that despite the severe economic conditions, Iran will attempt to maintain its defence spending constant at 2.2-2.3% of GDP over the coming years in view of its regional and international security environment.
BMI Industry View
Iran Security SWOT
Iran Defence & Security SWOT
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
  Table: Defence Expenditure (Iran 2011-2018)
Armed Forces
  Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Iran 2004-2011)
  Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Iran 2011-2018)
Defence Sector Production
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Economic Activity (Iran 2009-2018)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Middle East And Africa Security Risk Index
  Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Risk Index
  Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
Iran Security Risk Ratings
Market Overview
Iran Defence Market Overview
Armed Forces And Government Spending
  Table: Equipment
  Table: Equipment
  Table: Equipment
  Table: Equipment
  Table: Equipment
  Table: Equipment
Industry Trends And Developments
Arms Trade Overview
Iran Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Company Profile
China Great Wall Industry Corporation
Ulan-Ude Aviation Plant
Aerospace Industries Organization
Ammunition & Metallurgy Industries Group
Defence Industries Organization
Iran Electronics Industries
Regional Overview
Europe Security Overview
Global Industry Overview
Political Risk Analysis
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Security Risk Index Methodology
  Table: Indicators And Weighting
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