Ukraine Tourism Report Q4 2014

Date: October 29, 2014
Pages: 54
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI forecasts all the major indicators for the Ukrainian tourism industry - inbound travel in particular - to be negatively affected by the deteriorating security situation and political crisis as well as the annexation of the Crimean peninsula by Russia. We expect to see a deep contraction in the Ukrainian economy in 2014, and investment in the tourism industry will suffer as a result. In advance of the crisis in Ukraine, we were expecting to see arrivals grow to over 32mn by 2018. In light of the recent destabilising event we have drastically reduced our expectations to 8.4mn arrivals in 2018, down from a high of 24.7mn in 2013. There will be knock-on effects on Ukraine's tourism industry value and hotel numbers, which are set to fall by 58% and 30% respectively in 2014, as well as tourism-related receipts, which will lose around USD1bn in value as a result of the crisis.
BMI Industry View
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Inbound Tourism
  Table: Inbound Tourism (Ukraine 2011-2018)
  Table: Top 10 Countries By Arrivals, '000 (Ukraine 2011-2018)
Outbound Tourism
  Table: Outbound Tourism (Ukraine 2011-2018)
  Table: Top 10 Countries By Departures, '000 (2011-2018)
  Table: Receipts For Transport And Travel (Ukraine 2011-2018)
  Table: Breakdown Of Methods Of Tourist Travel (Ukraine 2011-2018)
  Table: Hotels And Restaurants Industry Value (Ukraine 2011-2018)
  Table: Hotel Accommodation (Ukraine 2011-2018)
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings
  Table: Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings - Central & Eastern Europe
Security Risk
Market Overview
  Table: Ukraine's Airport Projects
  Table: Top 10 Global Hotels Groups' Presence In Ukraine
Company Profile
Premier Hotels
Global Industry Overview
Global Assumptions
  Table: Global Assumptions, 2013-2018
  Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2013-2016 (% change y-o-y)
Developed States
  Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2013-2016
Emerging Markets
  Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2013-2016
  Table: BMI Versus Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014 And 2015 (%)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Ukraine's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
  Table: Ukraine's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
  Table: Ukraine's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
  Table: Ukraine's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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