Kenya Tourism Report Q4 2015

Date: October 7, 2015
Pages: 58
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: K76428A9004EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Kenya tourism report looks at a range of key indicators in this well established, yet struggling, tourism destination. A decline in the security situation is impacting heavily on the tourism market, particularly along the coastline, and deterring potential investors and visitors alike. Although we expect to see a return to growth towards the end of the current forecast period, it will be some time before Kenya regains previous inbound tourism highs. In the meantime, the outbound tourism market offers more attractive growth prospects based on healthy domestic economic growth.

Kenya has long been established as a popular safari holiday destination and benefits from having diverse source markets including the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, the United Arab Emirates, India and South Africa. The country's tourism market has however been in decline for several years due to a rise in terrorist activity within the country, particularly the capital Nairobi and along the coast line. While inland safari destinations have suffered less of an impact, the previously popular beach holiday destinations are now on many 'unsafe' travel lists for governments worldwide. With arrivals on a downwards trend we expect to see an 8% decrease in arrivals in 2015, to around 1.2mn.
BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Inbound Tourism
  Table: Inbound Tourism (Kenya 2012-2019)
  Table: Inbound Tourism, Top 10 Markets By Arrivals, '000 (Kenya 2012-2019)
Outbound Tourism
  Table: Outbound Tourism (Kenya 2012-2019)
  Table: Outbound Tourism, Top 10 Countries By Departures, '000 (Kenya 2012-2019)
  Table: Receipts for Transport and Travel (Kenya 2012-2019)
  Table: Breakdown of Methods of Tourist Travel (Kenya 2012-2019)
  Table: Hotel Accommodation (Kenya 2012-2019)
  Table: Hotels and Restaurants Industry Value (Kenya 2012-2019)
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
Industry Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Tourism Industry Risk/Reward Index
Tourism Risk/Reward Index
Security Risk
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Domestic Hotel Groups
International Hotel Groups
Global Industry Overview
Global Assumptions
Global Macro Outlook
  Table: Global Forecasts, 2014-2019
  Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2014-2017 (% change y-o-y)
Developed States
  Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014-2017
Emerging Markets
  Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014-2017
  Table: BMI Versus Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2015 And 2016 (%)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kenya 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Kenya 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Kenya 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Kenya 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Kenya 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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